Missouri at Purdue - 2018 Matchup Preview
Missouri logo (#25)Missouri Tigers at Purdue BoilermakersPurdue logo
Saturday, September 15th 2018 (7:30 PM EDT)
Missouri -5 (68.0)
Missouri 40 - Purdue: 37

 
Tigers (8 - 5) (7 - 6 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 37 - 26 (35 - 29 on Road)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
PUR 3rd straight Home Game
Our Line: -4.5  (SP+ MIZ -14.5)
Projected Score: MIZ: 35 - PUR: 30 (65)
MIZ Win prob: 63% | Cover: 48%
MIZ Travel: 306 miles, 1 hrs behind
Boilermakers (6 - 7) (7 - 6 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 31 - 30 (35 - 30 @ Home)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Missouri's 2018 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/1 Missouri vs UT Martin-35.057.0W 51 - 14OY
Sat 9/8 Missouri vs Wyoming-19.053.0W 40 - 13UY
Sat 9/15 Missouri at Purdue-5.068.0W 40 - 37ON
Sat 9/22 Missouri vs Georgia+14.568.0L 29 - 43OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/6 Missouri at South Carolina-1.062.5L 35 - 37ON
Sat 10/13 Missouri at Alabama+28.072.5L 10 - 39UN
Sat 10/20 Missouri vs Memphis-8.569.5W 65 - 33OY
Sat 10/27 Missouri vs Kentucky-7.554.5L 14 - 16UN
Sat 11/3 Missouri at Florida+6.059.5W 38 - 17UY
Sat 11/10 Missouri vs Vanderbilt-13.565.0W 33 - 28UN
Sat 11/17 Missouri at Tennessee-5.558.0W 50 - 17OY
Fri 11/23 Missouri vs Arkansas-24.059.0W 38 - 0UY
Mon 12/31 Missouri vs Oklahoma State-9.572.5L 33 - 38UN

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Missouri's Schedule
Purdue's 2018 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Thu 8/30 Purdue vs Northwestern-1.052.5L 27 - 31ON
Sat 9/8 Purdue vs Eastern Michigan-15.050.0L 19 - 20UN
Sat 9/15 Purdue vs Missouri+5.068.0L 37 - 40OY
Sat 9/22 Purdue vs Boston College+6.562.5W 30 - 13UY
Sat 9/29 Purdue at Nebraska-3.558.5W 42 - 28OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/13 Purdue at Illinois-10.562.0W 46 - 7UY
Sat 10/20 Purdue vs Ohio State+12.066.0W 49 - 20OY
Sat 10/27 Purdue at Michigan State-2.548.5L 13 - 23UN
Sat 11/3 Purdue vs Iowa-1.551.5W 38 - 36OY
Sat 11/10 Purdue at Minnesota-10.558.0L 10 - 41UN
Sat 11/17 Purdue vs Wisconsin-3.556.0L 44 - 47ON
Sat 11/24 Purdue at Indiana-3.565.0W 28 - 21UY
Fri 12/28 Purdue vs Auburn+3.558.5L 14 - 63ON

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Purdue's Schedule
Important Stats (2018)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
MIZ.2550%36.651%3.0820247%2793.97.1341%25.539%41%3.1261.51.21.2
PUR.245%30.544%2.8513643%3083.79.2147%3046%46%3.4864.51.51.1
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
MIZ#70 (.19)44% (54)47% (28)3.04 (67)15941% (80)2023.91 (68)#32 (.11)41% (54)42% (57)39% (56)3.38 (28)460.71.2
PUR#112 (.11)41% (96)42% (90)3.04 (65)11640% (93)1843.34 (115)#134 (.39)49% (129)49% (120)50% (129)4.82 (134)51.81.60.4



Overall Stats 2018
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
MIZ Offense1336.634.650%3.971.2254822022794.851%46%51%47%12%.25
PUR Defense133029.646.9%3.481.1 - - - - - 46%52%46%46%12%.21
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
MIZ Defense1325.529.441.2%3.121.2 - - - - - 45%53%39%41%15%.13
PUR Offense1330.534.944.6%3.791.5224441363084.538%60%44%43%17%.2

Additional Stats 2018
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Missouri1330:3624.546%53%6.961.51.21.25.82.1130
Purdue1329:3721.838%53%6.264.51.51.13.91.8128.2
Run Game Stats (2018)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
MIZ Offense1351%51%42.5202.44.827.133.0875%6%0.77
PUR Defense1346%46% - - - - .163.175%7%0.94
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
MIZ Defense1345%39% - - - - -.032.6349%10%0.9
PUR Offense1338%44%30.6136.44.520.122.8571%10%1.01

Pass Game Stats (2018)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
MIZ Offense1346%47%21.634.7279.48.112.9288.431.628%41%.355%1.6
PUR Defense1352%46% - - - - - - 11.291.531%33%.335%1.9
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
MIZ Defense1353%41% - - - - - - 10.281.733%34%.295%1.8
PUR Offense1360%43%25.639.2307.57.9122813.271.531%36%.327%1.6

Missouri's Power Ratings
Missouri's Power Rating: NR
Missouri's Offense Rating: NR
Missouri's Defense Rating: NR
2018 Talent Rating:  #46
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Missouri's 2018 Expected Record: -
Missouri's 2018 Overall SP+ Rating: 20.8  #12
Missouri's Offense SP+ Rating: 41.3  #8
Missouri's Defense SP+ Rating: 21.0  #24

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
Missouri:    Purdue: 5.75

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Missouri: 20.8   Purdue: 6.5




Purdue's Power Ratings
Purdue's Power Rating: 5.75 NR
Purdue's Offense Rating: NR
Purdue's Defense Rating: NR
2018 Talent Rating:  #71
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Purdue's 2018 Expected Record: -
Purdue's 2018 Overall SP+ Rating: 6.5  #44
Purdue's Offense SP+ Rating: 37.2  #17
Purdue's Defense SP+ Rating: 30.8  #88

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482


Missouri Scoring
Offense: 36.6 PPG
Offense on Road: 34.6
Defense: 25.5 PPG
Defense on Road: 29.4

Missouri's 2018 Record
Record: 8 - 5
Record vs Spread: 7 - 6 - 0
Over/Under Record: 6 - 7
Record on Road: 3 - 2
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 5 - 5 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 1 - 2 - 0
Projected Score
Missouri 35
Purdue 30

Total Points: 65

Based on Last 4 Games
Missouri 38
Purdue 30

Total Points: 68

Based on Entire Season
Missouri 33
Purdue 30

Total Points: 63
Purdue Scoring
Offense: 30.5 PPG
Offense at Home: 34.9
Defense: 30 PPG
Defense at Home: 29.6

Purdue's 2018 Record
Record: 6 - 7
Record vs Spread: 7 - 6 - 0
Over/Under Record: 7 - 6
Record at home: 3 - 4
Record vs Spread at home: 4 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 3 - 1 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 3 - 0 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
201809/15Purdue37Missouri40Missouri -5Purdue68.0Over
201709/16Missouri3Purdue35Missouri -5.5Purdue76.0Under
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Purdue121 Overs
Missouri101 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams0 - 21 - 10 - 11 - 0
Road Teams2 - 01 - 10 - 11 - 0

(#) MIZ at (#) PUR
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatMIZPUR
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #12 #44
Perf GradeGradeNRNR
OffenseOffNRNR
DefenseDefNRNR
Spec TeamsSTNRNR
TalentTal #46 #71
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
Missouri on Offense
CategoryCat
MIZ OffPUR Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #8 #88
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Missouri Run Game
CategoryCat
MIZ OffPUR Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Missouri Pass Game
CategoryCat
MIZ OffPUR Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Purdue on Offense
CategoryCatPUR OffMIZ Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #17 #24
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Purdue Run Game
CategoryCat
PUR OffMIZ Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Purdue Pass Game
CategoryCatPUR OffMIZ Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
PUR 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'18 Profile: Down to Below Avg P4

MIZ 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'18 Profile: Down to CFP Hopefuls

Weather Forecast
Playing in Ross-Ade Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 83° - Wind: 8 mph
Rematch from Week 3
Missouri 5.0 (68.0)
Missouri won at Purdue this year (40-37)

No Matchups Past 4 Years
  
MIZ's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View Missouri's Full Roster

MIZ's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD

PUR's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View Purdue's Full Roster

PUR's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD