Purdue at Nebraska - 2018 Matchup Preview

Purdue Boilermakers at Nebraska Cornhuskers

Saturday, September 29th 2018 (3:30 PM EDT)
Purdue -3.5 (58.5)
Purdue 42 - Nebraska: 28 (Big Ten)

Boilermakers (6 - 7) (7 - 6 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 31 - 30 (28 - 24 on Road)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Wind: 13.9 MPH
NEB is playing their 4th straight game
PUR is playing their 5th straight game
Our Line: -2 (SP+ PUR -1)
Projected Score: PUR: 28 - NEB: 24 (52)
PUR Win prob: 62% | Cover: 49%
PUR Travel: 514 miles, 1 hrs ahead

Cornhuskers (4 - 8) (5 - 5 - 1)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 30 - 31 (34 - 25 @ Home)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
PUR Players
NEB Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Purdue's 2018 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Thu 8/30	Purdue vs Northwestern	-1.0	52.5	L 27 - 31	O	N
Sat 9/8	Purdue vs Eastern Michigan	-15.0	50.0	L 19 - 20	U	N
Sat 9/15	Purdue vs Missouri	+5.0	68.0	L 37 - 40	O	Y
Sat 9/22	Purdue vs Boston College	+6.5	62.5	W 30 - 13	U	Y
Sat 9/29	Purdue at Nebraska	-3.5	58.5	W 42 - 28	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/13	Purdue at Illinois	-10.5	62.0	W 46 - 7	U	Y
Sat 10/20	Purdue vs Ohio State	+12.0	66.0	W 49 - 20	O	Y
Sat 10/27	Purdue at Michigan State	-2.5	48.5	L 13 - 23	U	N
Sat 11/3	Purdue vs Iowa	-1.5	51.5	W 38 - 36	O	Y
Sat 11/10	Purdue at Minnesota	-10.5	58.0	L 10 - 41	U	N
Sat 11/17	Purdue vs Wisconsin	-3.5	56.0	L 44 - 47	O	N
Sat 11/24	Purdue at Indiana	-3.5	65.0	W 28 - 21	U	Y
Fri 12/28	Purdue vs Auburn	+3.5	58.5	L 14 - 63	O	N

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Purdue's Schedule

Nebraska's 2018 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
	BYE WEEK
Sat 9/8	Nebraska vs Colorado	-3.0	62.0	L 28 - 33	U	N
Sat 9/15	Nebraska vs Troy	-13.0	55.0	L 19 - 24	U	N
Sat 9/22	Nebraska at Michigan	+18.0	52.0	L 10 - 56	O	N
Sat 9/29	Nebraska vs Purdue	+3.5	58.5	L 28 - 42	O	N
Sat 10/6	Nebraska at Wisconsin	+7.5
Sat 10/13	Nebraska at Northwestern	+3.0	59.0	L 31 - 34	O	Y
Sat 10/20	Nebraska vs Minnesota	-4.5	54.5	W 53 - 28	O	Y
Sat 10/27	Nebraska vs Bethune-Cookman	-48.0
Sat 11/3	Nebraska at Ohio State	+17.0	75.5	L 31 - 36	U	Y
Sat 11/10	Nebraska vs Illinois	-17.0	71.0	W 54 - 35	O	Y
Sat 11/17	Nebraska vs Michigan State	-1.5	48.5	W 9 - 6	U	Y
Fri 11/23	Nebraska at Iowa	+7.5	52.0	L 28 - 31	O	Y

Important Stats (2018)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
PUR	.2	45%	30.5	44%	2.85	136	43%	308	3.79	.21	47%	30	46%	46%	3.48	64.5	1.5	1.1
NEB	.23	49%	30	52%	3.27	209	44%	247	3.52	.18	45%	31.3	50%	39%	3.55	71.7	1.8	1.7

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
PUR	#112 (.11)	41% (96)		42% (90)	3.04 (65)	116	40% (93)	184	3.34 (115)	#134 (.39)	49% (129)		49% (120)	50% (129)	4.82 (134)	51.8	1.6	0.4
NEB	#74 (.18)	45% (37)		48% (22)	3.21 (40)	121	43% (55)	210	3.38 (114)	#44 (.13)	40% (50)		39% (24)	42% (82)	3.06 (11)	48.9	1.3	1.2

Overall Stats 2018

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
PUR Offense	13	30.5	27.8	44.6%	3.79	1.5	22	444	136	308	4.5	38%	60%	44%	43%	17%	.2
NEB Defense	12	31.3	25.3	45.2%	3.55	1.7	-	-	-	-	-	49%	50%	50%	39%	18%	.18

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
PUR Defense	13	30	24	46.9%	3.48	1.1	-	-	-	-	-	46%	52%	46%	46%	12%	.21
NEB Offense	12	30	33.7	48.7%	3.52	1.8	23	456	209	247	5.4	50%	49%	52%	44%	18%	.23

Additional Stats 2018

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Purdue	13	29:37	21.8	38%	53%	6.2	64.5	1.5	1.1	3.9	1.8	1	28.2
Nebraska	12	27:44	23.1	37%	45%	7.6	71.7	1.8	1.7	5.9	2.1	1	26.2

Run Game Stats (2018)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
PUR Offense	13	38%	44%	30.6	136.4	4.5	20	.12	2.85	71%	10%	1.01
NEB Defense	12	49%	50%	-	-	-	-	.23	3.24	74%	10%	1

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
PUR Defense	13	46%	46%	-	-	-	-	.16	3.1	75%	7%	0.94
NEB Offense	12	50%	52%	38.7	209	5.4	25	.27	3.27	67%	13%	1.07

Pass Game Stats (2018)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
PUR Offense	13	60%	43%	25.6	39.2	307.5	7.9	12	28	13	.27	1.5	31%	36%	.32	7%	1.6
NEB Defense	12	50%	39%	-	-	-	-	-	-	11	.15	1.6	32%	38%	.39	8%	1.9

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
PUR Defense	13	52%	46%	-	-	-	-	-	-	11	.29	1.5	31%	33%	.33	5%	1.9
NEB Offense	12	49%	44%	21.4	33.7	247.2	7.3	11.5	19	11	.21	1.4	30%	35%	.36	4%	1.8

Purdue's Power Ratings
Purdue's Power Rating: NR
Purdue's Offense Rating: NR
Purdue's Defense Rating: NR
2018 Talent Rating: #71
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Purdue's 2018 Expected Record: -
Purdue's 2018 Overall SP+ Rating: 6.5 #44
Purdue's Offense SP+ Rating: 37.2 #17
Purdue's Defense SP+ Rating: 30.8 #88

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
Purdue: Nebraska: 5.2

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Purdue: 6.5 Nebraska: 5.4

Nebraska's Power Ratings
Nebraska's Power Rating: 5.2 NR
Nebraska's Offense Rating: NR
Nebraska's Defense Rating: NR
2018 Talent Rating: #25
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Nebraska's 2018 Expected Record: -
Nebraska's 2018 Overall SP+ Rating: 5.4 #49
Nebraska's Offense SP+ Rating: 32.7 #42
Nebraska's Defense SP+ Rating: 26.9 #55

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Purdue Scoring
Offense: 30.5 PPG
Offense on Road: 27.8
Defense: 30 PPG
Defense on Road: 24

Purdue's 2018 Record
Record: 6 - 7
Record vs Spread: 7 - 6 - 0
Over/Under Record: 7 - 6
Record on Road: 3 - 2
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 2 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 4 - 5 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 3 - 2 - 0

Projected Score
Purdue 28
Nebraska 24

Total Points: 52

Based on Last 4 Games
Purdue 26
Nebraska 18

Total Points: 44

Based on Entire Season
Purdue 29
Nebraska 29

Total Points: 58

Nebraska Scoring
Offense: 30 PPG
Offense at Home: 33.7
Defense: 31.3 PPG
Defense at Home: 25.3

Nebraska's 2018 Record
Record: 4 - 8
Record vs Spread: 5 - 5 - 1
Over/Under Record: 6 - 6
Record at home: 4 - 3
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 4 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 2 - 2 - 1
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 0 - 1 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2024	09/28	Purdue	10	Nebraska	28	Nebraska -10	Nebraska	47.5	Under
2023	10/28	Nebraska	31	Purdue	14	Purdue -1	Nebraska	39.5	Over
2022	10/15	Purdue	43	Nebraska	37	Purdue -14	Nebraska	56.0	Over
2021	10/30	Nebraska	23	Purdue	28	Nebraska -7.5	Purdue	54.0	Under
2020	12/05	Purdue	27	Nebraska	37	Purdue -1.0	Nebraska	64.0	Push
2019	11/02	Purdue	31	Nebraska	27	Nebraska -4	Purdue	57.0	Over
2018	09/29	Nebraska	28	Purdue	42	Purdue -3.5	Purdue	58.5	Over
2017	10/28	Purdue	24	Nebraska	25	Purdue -4	Nebraska	53.0	Under
2016	10/22	Nebraska	27	Purdue	14	Nebraska -23.5	Purdue	59.0	Under
2015	10/31	Purdue	55	Nebraska	45	Nebraska -10	Purdue	54.5	Over
2014	11/01	Nebraska	35	Purdue	14	Nebraska -24.5	Purdue	0
2013	10/12	Purdue	7	Nebraska	44	Nebraska -14	Nebraska	0

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Nebraska	7	6	5 Overs
Purdue	5	6	4 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	6 - 6	3 - 9	0 - 6	3 - 3
Road Teams	6 - 6	9 - 3	3 - 3	6 - 0

(#) PUR at (#) NEB

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	PUR	NEB
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#44	#49
Perf GradeGrade	NR	NR
OffenseOff	NR	NR
DefenseDef	NR	NR
Spec TeamsST	NR	NR
TalentTal	#71	#25
Blue ChipsBC%	NR	NR

Purdue Injury Report

Nebraska Injury Report

Purdue on Offense


CategoryCat	PUR Off	NEB Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#17	#55
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Purdue Run Game


CategoryCat	PUR Off	NEB Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	NR

Purdue Pass Game


CategoryCat	PUR Off	NEB Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Nebraska on Offense


CategoryCat	NEB Off	PUR Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#42	#88
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Nebraska Run Game


CategoryCat	NEB Off	PUR Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	NR

Nebraska Pass Game


CategoryCat	NEB Off	PUR Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Program Comparison
NEB 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'18 Profile: Down to Below Avg P4

PUR 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'18 Profile: Down to Below Avg P4

Weather Forecast
Playing in Memorial Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 46° - Wind: 14 mph

Rematch from Week 5
Purdue 3.5 (58.5)
Purdue won at Nebraska this year (42-28)

Previous Matchups
Nebraska beat Purdue last year (28-10)
Nebraska beat Purdue in 2023 (31-14)
Purdue beat Nebraska in 2022 (43-37)

PUR's OC ()

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Purdue's Full Roster

PUR's DC ()

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

NEB's OC ()

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Nebraska's Full Roster

NEB's DC ()

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD