Minnesota at Illinois - 2018 Matchup Preview

Minnesota Golden Gophers at Illinois Fighting Illini

Saturday, November 3rd 2018 (3:30 PM EDT)
Minnesota -8.5 (61.5)
Illinois 55 - Minnesota: 31 (Big Ten)

Golden Gophers (7 - 6) (8 - 5 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 29 - 27 (25 - 39 on Road)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Wind: 12.7 MPH
ILL is playing their 5th straight game
MINN is playing their 5th straight game
Our Line: -4.5 (SP+ MINN -14)
Projected Score: MINN: 34 - ILL: 29 (63)
MINN Win prob: 71% | Cover: 46%
MINN Travel: 422 miles

Fighting Illini (4 - 8) (4 - 7 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 26 - 39 (25 - 40 @ Home)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
MINN Players
ILL Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Minnesota's 2018 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Thu 8/30	Minnesota vs New Mexico State	-21.5	49.0	W 48 - 10	O	Y
Sat 9/8	Minnesota vs Fresno State	-1.0	50.5	W 21 - 14	U	Y
Sat 9/15	Minnesota vs Miami (OH)	-14.0	46.5	W 26 - 3	U	Y
Sat 9/22	Minnesota at Maryland	+2.5	46.5	L 13 - 42	O	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/6	Minnesota vs Iowa	+7.0	41.5	L 31 - 48	O	N
Sat 10/13	Minnesota at Ohio State	+29.5	60.5	L 14 - 30	U	Y
Sat 10/20	Minnesota at Nebraska	+4.5	54.5	L 28 - 53	O	N
Fri 10/26	Minnesota vs Indiana	+2.5	54.0	W 38 - 31	O	Y
Sat 11/3	Minnesota at Illinois	-8.5	61.5	L 31 - 55	O	N
Sat 11/10	Minnesota vs Purdue	+10.5	58.0	W 41 - 10	U	Y
Sat 11/17	Minnesota vs Northwestern	-3.0	48.5	L 14 - 24	U	N
Sat 11/24	Minnesota at Wisconsin	+10.5	53.0	W 37 - 15	U	Y
Wed 12/26	Minnesota vs Georgia Tech	+5.5	57.0	W 34 - 10	U	Y

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Minnesota's Schedule

Illinois's 2018 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/1	Illinois vs Kent State	-18.0	57.5	W 31 - 24	U	N
Sat 9/8	Illinois vs Western Illinois	-19.5
Sat 9/15	Illinois vs South Florida	+14.0	59.0	L 19 - 25	U	Y
Fri 9/21	Illinois vs Penn State	+26.5	61.0	L 24 - 63	O	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/6	Illinois at Rutgers	-4.5	50.0	W 38 - 17	O	Y
Sat 10/13	Illinois vs Purdue	+10.5	62.0	L 7 - 46	U	N
Sat 10/20	Illinois at Wisconsin	+24.0	53.5	L 20 - 49	O	N
Sat 10/27	Illinois at Maryland	+16.5	56.0	L 33 - 63	O	N
Sat 11/3	Illinois vs Minnesota	+8.5	61.5	W 55 - 31	O	Y
Sat 11/10	Illinois at Nebraska	+17.0	71.0	L 35 - 54	O	N
Sat 11/17	Illinois vs Iowa	+15.5	60.0	L 0 - 63	O	N
Sat 11/24	Illinois at Northwestern	+14.5	56.0	L 16 - 24	U	Y

Important Stats (2018)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
MINN	.16	44%	28.9	45%	3.36	171	41%	209	3.64	.2	43%	26.5	41%	43%	3.13	39.1	1.9	1.6
ILL	.19	45%	26	49%	3.21	244	36%	166	3.11	.34	50%	39.4	53%	46%	4.27	65.1	2	1.7

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
MINN	#64 (.2)	45% (39)		44% (65)	2.7 (119)	103	46% (29)	204	4.38 (27)	#16 (.08)	39% (35)		36% (8)	42% (80)	3.32 (23)	35.6	0.8	1.5
ILL	#31 (.25)	45% (45)		45% (51)	3.14 (49)	140	44% (44)	198	4.23 (39)	#76 (.18)	46% (115)		50% (127)	43% (90)	3.48 (37)	39	0.9	1.5

Overall Stats 2018

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
MINN Offense	13	28.9	24.6	44.3%	3.64	1.9	21	380	171	209	4.3	55%	43%	45%	41%	17%	.16
ILL Defense	12	39.4	40.2	50.3%	4.27	1.7	-	-	-	-	-	52%	47%	53%	46%	16%	.34

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
MINN Defense	13	26.5	39	42.9%	3.13	1.6	-	-	-	-	-	48%	50%	41%	43%	15%	.2
ILL Offense	12	26	25.2	45%	3.11	2	19	410	244	166	6	56%	41%	49%	36%	19%	.19

Additional Stats 2018

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Minnesota	13	31:57	20.7	40%	50%	3.9	39.1	1.9	1.6	5.2	1.6	2	31
Illinois	12	28:33	19.4	35%	57%	6.3	65.1	2	1.7	5.6	1.8	1	29.5

Run Game Stats (2018)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
MINN Offense	13	55%	45%	40.2	171.2	4.3	24	.13	3.36	77%	9%	0.82
ILL Defense	12	52%	53%	-	-	-	-	.31	3.6	90%	9%	1.03

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
MINN Defense	13	48%	41%	-	-	-	-	.19	2.8	72%	9%	1.31
ILL Offense	12	56%	49%	41.1	244.3	6	25	.28	3.21	71%	13%	1.14

Pass Game Stats (2018)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
MINN Offense	13	43%	41%	14.6	26.6	208.8	7.8	14.3	20	14	.2	1.8	31%	33%	.35	8%	2
ILL Defense	12	47%	46%	-	-	-	-	-	-	15	.38	1.6	31%	37%	.36	7%	1.8

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
MINN Defense	13	50%	43%	-	-	-	-	-	-	11	.23	1.4	30%	34%	.3	6%	1.7
ILL Offense	12	41%	36%	14.8	27.4	165.7	6	11.2	10	14	.09	1.6	31%	31%	.27	7%	1.8

Minnesota's Power Ratings
Minnesota's Power Rating: NR
Minnesota's Offense Rating: NR
Minnesota's Defense Rating: NR
2018 Talent Rating: #48
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Minnesota's 2018 Expected Record: -
Minnesota's 2018 Overall SP+ Rating: 6.3 #45
Minnesota's Offense SP+ Rating: 28.2 #75
Minnesota's Defense SP+ Rating: 22.8 #37

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
Minnesota: Illinois: -1.45

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Minnesota: 6.3 Illinois: -7.9

Illinois's Power Ratings
Illinois's Power Rating: -1.45 NR
Illinois's Offense Rating: NR
Illinois's Defense Rating: NR
2018 Talent Rating: #58
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Illinois's 2018 Expected Record: -
Illinois's 2018 Overall SP+ Rating: -7.9 #97
Illinois's Offense SP+ Rating: 29.1 #69
Illinois's Defense SP+ Rating: 38.6 #115

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Minnesota Scoring
Offense: 28.9 PPG
Offense on Road: 24.6
Defense: 26.5 PPG
Defense on Road: 39

Minnesota's 2018 Record
Record: 7 - 6
Record vs Spread: 8 - 5 - 0
Over/Under Record: 6 - 7
Record on Road: 2 - 4
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 3 - 2 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 0 - 1 - 0

Projected Score
Minnesota 34
Illinois 29

Total Points: 63

Based on Last 4 Games
Minnesota 35
Illinois 28

Total Points: 63

Based on Entire Season
Minnesota 33
Illinois 29

Total Points: 62

Illinois Scoring
Offense: 26 PPG
Offense at Home: 25.2
Defense: 39.4 PPG
Defense at Home: 40.2

Illinois's 2018 Record
Record: 4 - 8
Record vs Spread: 4 - 7 - 0
Over/Under Record: 7 - 5
Record at home: 3 - 3
Record vs Spread at home: 1 - 4 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 3 - 6 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 1 - 3 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2024	11/02	Illinois	17	Minnesota	25	Minnesota -2.5	Minnesota	47.0	Under
2023	11/04	Minnesota	26	Illinois	27	Minnesota -1.5	Illinois	43.0	Over
2022	10/15	Illinois	26	Minnesota	14	Minnesota -4.5	Illinois	40.0	Push
2021	11/06	Minnesota	6	Illinois	14	Minnesota -14.5	Illinois	44.5	Under
2020	11/07	Illinois	14	Minnesota	41	Minnesota -7.5	Minnesota	64.5	Under
2019	10/05	Minnesota	40	Illinois	17	Minnesota -14	Minnesota	58.0	Under
2018	11/03	Illinois	55	Minnesota	31	Minnesota -8.5	Illinois	61.5	Over
2017	10/21	Minnesota	24	Illinois	17	Minnesota -14.5	Illinois	48.5	Under
2016	10/29	Illinois	17	Minnesota	40	Minnesota -10	Minnesota	46.5	Over
2015	11/21	Minnesota	32	Illinois	23	Minnesota -4.5	Minnesota	47.0	Over
2014	10/25	Illinois	28	Minnesota	24	Minnesota -6.5	Illinois	0
2012	11/10	Illinois	3	Minnesota	17
2011	11/26	Minnesota	27	Illinois	7
2010	11/13	Illinois	34	Minnesota	38
2009	11/07	Minnesota	32	Illinois	35
2008	10/11	Illinois	20	Minnesota	27
2007	11/03	Minnesota	17	Illinois	44
2004	10/23	Minnesota	45	Illinois	0
2003	10/25	Illinois	10	Minnesota	36
2002	10/03	Minnesota	31	Illinois	10
2001	10/06	Illinois	25	Minnesota	14
2000	09/29	Minnesota	44	Illinois	10

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Illinois	8	6	4 Overs
Minnesota	14	5	5 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	11 - 11	5 - 6	2 - 3	3 - 3
Road Teams	11 - 11	6 - 5	3 - 3	3 - 2

(#) MINN at (#) ILL

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	MINN	ILL
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#45	#97
Perf GradeGrade	NR	NR
OffenseOff	NR	NR
DefenseDef	NR	NR
Spec TeamsST	NR	NR
TalentTal	#48	#58
Blue ChipsBC%	NR	NR

Minnesota Injury Report

Illinois Injury Report

Minnesota on Offense


CategoryCat	MINN Off	ILL Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#75	#115
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Minnesota Run Game


CategoryCat	MINN Off	ILL Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	NR

Minnesota Pass Game


CategoryCat	MINN Off	ILL Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Illinois on Offense


CategoryCat	ILL Off	MINN Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#69	#37
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Illinois Run Game


CategoryCat	ILL Off	MINN Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	NR

Illinois Pass Game


CategoryCat	ILL Off	MINN Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Program Comparison
ILL 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'18 Profile: Down to Average G5

MINN 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'18 Profile: Down to Below Avg P4

Weather Forecast
Playing in Memorial Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 53° - Wind: 13 mph

Rematch from Week 10
Minnesota 8.5 (61.5)
Illinois won vs Minnesota this year (55-31)

Previous Matchups
Minnesota beat Illinois last year (25-17)
Illinois beat Minnesota in 2023 (27-26)
Illinois beat Minnesota in 2022 (26-14)

MINN's OC ()

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Minnesota's Full Roster

MINN's DC ()

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

ILL's OC ()

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Illinois's Full Roster

ILL's DC ()

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD