Northwestern at Purdue - 2018 Matchup Preview
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Northwestern Wildcats at Purdue Boilermakers

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Thursday, August 30th 2018 (8:00 PM EDT)
Purdue -1 (52.5)
Northwestern 31 - Purdue: 27  (Big Ten)

 
Wildcats (9 - 5) (7 - 5 - 2)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 23 - 20 (15 - 26 on Road)
'18 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Our Line: -5  (SP+ PUR -5)
Projected Score: NW: 25 - PUR: 21 (46)
PUR Win prob: 48% | Cover: 46%
NW Travel: 120 miles, 1 hrs behind
Boilermakers (6 - 7) (7 - 6 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 19 - 32 (21 - 30 @ Home)
'18 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Northwestern's 2018 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Thu 8/30 Northwestern at Purdue+1.052.5W 31 - 27OY
Sat 9/8 Northwestern vs Duke-2.547.5L 7 - 21UN
Sat 9/15 Northwestern vs Akron-21.545.5L 34 - 39ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/29 Northwestern vs Michigan+14.546.5L 17 - 20UY
Sat 10/6 Northwestern at Michigan State+10.543.0W 29 - 19OY
Sat 10/13 Northwestern vs Nebraska-3.059.0W 34 - 31ON
Sat 10/20 Northwestern at Rutgers-20.048.5W 18 - 15UN
Sat 10/27 Northwestern vs Wisconsin+4.550.0W 31 - 17UY
Sat 11/3 Northwestern vs Notre Dame+10.049.5L 21 - 31OY
Sat 11/10 Northwestern at Iowa+10.046.5W 14 - 10UY
Sat 11/17 Northwestern at Minnesota+3.048.5W 24 - 14UY
Sat 11/24 Northwestern vs Illinois-14.556.0W 24 - 16UN
Sat 12/1 Northwestern vs Ohio State+16.562.5L 24 - 45ON
Mon 12/31 Northwestern vs Utah+7.043.0W 31 - 20OY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Northwestern's Schedule
Purdue's 2018 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Thu 8/30 Purdue vs Northwestern-1.052.5L 27 - 31ON
Sat 9/8 Purdue vs Eastern Michigan-15.050.0L 19 - 20UN
Sat 9/15 Purdue vs Missouri+5.068.0L 37 - 40OY
Sat 9/22 Purdue vs Boston College+6.562.5W 30 - 13UY
Sat 9/29 Purdue at Nebraska-3.558.5W 42 - 28OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/13 Purdue at Illinois-10.562.0W 46 - 7UY
Sat 10/20 Purdue vs Ohio State+12.066.0W 49 - 20OY
Sat 10/27 Purdue at Michigan State-2.548.5L 13 - 23UN
Sat 11/3 Purdue vs Iowa-1.551.5W 38 - 36OY
Sat 11/10 Purdue at Minnesota-10.558.0L 10 - 41UN
Sat 11/17 Purdue vs Wisconsin-3.556.0L 44 - 47ON
Sat 11/24 Purdue at Indiana-3.565.0W 28 - 21UY
Fri 12/28 Purdue vs Auburn+3.558.5L 14 - 63ON

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Purdue's Schedule
Important Stats (2017)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
NW.1143%23.443%2.9717442%2343.62.0539%19.836%40%2.63491.41.8
PUR.1142%18.845%3.2115238%2523.45.0938%31.834%41%2.850.61.31.4
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
NW0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
PUR0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2017
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
NW Offense1323.415.243.3%3.621.4234081742344.249%50%43%42%15%.11
PUR Defense1331.83038.4%2.81.4 - - - - - 49%50%34%41%16%.09
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
NW Defense1319.82638.8%2.631.8 - - - - - 42%56%36%40%20%.05
PUR Offense1318.820.942.1%3.451.3224031522524.441%57%45%38%18%.11

Additional Stats 2017
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Northwestern1330:4722.835%56%4.9491.41.87.52.5129.7
Purdue1328:5721.633%57%5.850.61.31.46.62.2230.2
Run Game Stats (2018)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
NW Offense1349%43%41.3174.24.230.132.9763%8%0.96
PUR Defense1349%34% - - - - -.082.563%11%0.81
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
NW Defense1342%36% - - - - -.082.3248%12%0.92
PUR Offense1341%45%34.4151.54.412.123.2162%9%0.9

Pass Game Stats (2018)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
NW Offense1350%42%21.235.5233.86.6111712.11.332%32%.117%1.4
PUR Defense1350%41% - - - - - - 11.281.636%30%.255%1.9
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
NW Defense1356%40% - - - - - - 17.161.535%31%.218%1.8
PUR Offense1357%38%22.537.8251.56.711.22711.121.533%34%.359%1.9

Northwestern's Power Ratings
Northwestern's Power Rating: NR
Northwestern's Offense Rating: NR
Northwestern's Defense Rating: NR
2018 Talent Rating:  #44
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Northwestern's 2018 Expected Record: -
Northwestern's 2018 Overall SP+ Rating: 1.9  #68
Northwestern's Offense SP+ Rating: 25.5  #93
Northwestern's Defense SP+ Rating: 21.6  #29

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Northwestern:    Purdue: 5.75

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Northwestern: 1.9   Purdue: 6.5




Purdue's Power Ratings
Purdue's Power Rating: 5.75 NR
Purdue's Offense Rating: NR
Purdue's Defense Rating: NR
2018 Talent Rating:  #71
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Purdue's 2018 Expected Record: -
Purdue's 2018 Overall SP+ Rating: 6.5  #44
Purdue's Offense SP+ Rating: 37.2  #17
Purdue's Defense SP+ Rating: 30.8  #88

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76


Northwestern Scoring
Offense: 23.4 PPG
Offense on Road: 15.2
Defense: 19.8 PPG
Defense on Road: 26

Northwestern's 2018 Record
Record: 9 - 5
Record vs Spread: 7 - 5 - 2
Over/Under Record: 7 - 7
Record on Road: 6 - 0
Record vs Spread on Road: 4 - 1 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 7 - 1 - 1
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 4 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
Northwestern 25
Purdue 21

Projected Total Points: 46
Purdue Scoring
Offense: 18.8 PPG
Offense at Home: 20.9
Defense: 31.8 PPG
Defense at Home: 30

Purdue's 2018 Record
Record: 6 - 7
Record vs Spread: 7 - 6 - 0
Over/Under Record: 7 - 6
Record at home: 3 - 4
Record vs Spread at home: 4 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 4 - 5 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 1 - 3 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202510/18Northwestern19Purdue0Northwestern -3Northwestern47.5Under
202411/02Purdue20Northwestern26Purdue -3Northwestern44.5Over
202311/18Northwestern23Purdue15Northwestern -2.5Northwestern47.5Under
202211/19Purdue17Northwestern9Purdue -17.5Northwestern44.5Under
202111/20Northwestern14Purdue32Purdue -11Purdue47.5Under
202011/14Purdue20Northwestern27Northwestern -3.5Northwestern48.5Under
201911/09Northwestern22Purdue24Purdue -0.0Purdue38.5Over
201808/30Purdue27Northwestern31Purdue -1Northwestern52.5Over
201711/11Northwestern23Purdue13Northwestern -6Northwestern49.5Under
201611/12Purdue17Northwestern45Northwestern -10.5Northwestern58.0Over
201511/14Northwestern21Purdue14Northwestern -13Purdue48.0Under
201411/22Purdue14Northwestern38Northwestern -2Northwestern0
201010/09Northwestern17Purdue20
200910/03Purdue21Northwestern27
200810/18Northwestern48Purdue26
200710/27Purdue35Northwestern17
200610/14Northwestern10Purdue31
200510/15Purdue29Northwestern34
200410/30Northwestern13Purdue10
200311/01Purdue34Northwestern14
200210/26Northwestern13Purdue42
200110/27Purdue32Northwestern27
200010/13Northwestern28Purdue41
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Purdue1034 Overs
Northwestern1397 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams10 - 133 - 93 - 50 - 4
Road Teams13 - 109 - 34 - 05 - 3

(#) NW at (#) PUR
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatNWPUR
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #68 #44
Perf GradeGradeNRNR
OffenseOffNRNR
DefenseDefNRNR
Spec TeamsSTNRNR
TalentTal #44 #71
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
Northwestern on Offense
CategoryCat
NW OffPUR Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #93 #88
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Northwestern Run Game
CategoryCat
NW OffPUR Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Northwestern Pass Game
CategoryCat
NW OffPUR Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Purdue on Offense
CategoryCatPUR OffNW Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #17 #29
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Purdue Run Game
CategoryCat
PUR OffNW Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Purdue Pass Game
CategoryCatPUR OffNW Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
PUR 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'18 Profile: Down to Below Avg P4

NW 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'18 Profile: Down to Top G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Ross-Ade Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Rematch from Week 1
Purdue -1.0 (52.5)
Northwestern won at Purdue this year (31-27)

Previous Matchups
Northwestern beat Purdue last year (19-0)
Northwestern beat Purdue in 2024 (26-20)
Northwestern beat Purdue in 2023 (23-15)

  
NW's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View Northwestern's Full Roster

NW's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD

PUR's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View Purdue's Full Roster

PUR's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD