Fresno State at Minnesota - 2018 Matchup Preview

Fresno State Bulldogs at Minnesota Golden Gophers

Saturday, September 8th 2018 (7:30 PM EDT)
Minnesota -1 (50.5)
Minnesota 21 - Fresno State: 14

Bulldogs (12 - 2) (10 - 4 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 26 - 19 (26 - 25 on Road)
'18 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

MINN 2nd straight Home Game
Our Line: -3 (SP+ FRES -11)
Projected Score: FRES: 22 - MINN: 24 (46)
MINN Win prob: 48% | Cover: 46%
FRES Travel: 1488 miles, 3 hrs behind

Golden Gophers (7 - 6) (8 - 5 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 23 - 23 (30 - 13 @ Home)
'18 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
FRES Players
MINN Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Fresno State's 2018 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/1	Fresno State vs Idaho	-24.5	43.0	W 79 - 13	O	Y
Sat 9/8	Fresno State at Minnesota	+1.0	50.5	L 14 - 21	U	N
Sat 9/15	Fresno State at UCLA	-2.5	50.5	W 38 - 14	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 9/29	Fresno State vs Toledo	-10.0	61.0	W 49 - 27	O	Y
Sat 10/6	Fresno State at Nevada	-15.0	59.0	W 21 - 3	U	Y
Sat 10/13	Fresno State vs Wyoming	-17.5	44.0	W 27 - 3	U	Y
Sat 10/20	Fresno State at New Mexico	-14.0	52.5	W 38 - 7	U	Y
Sat 10/27	Fresno State vs Hawai'i	-24.5	59.5	W 50 - 20	O	Y
Sat 11/3	Fresno State at UNLV	-27.0	58.5	W 48 - 3	U	Y
Fri 11/9	Fresno State at Boise State	-2.5	56.0	L 17 - 24	U	N
Sat 11/17	Fresno State vs San Diego State	-13.0	42.5	W 23 - 14	U	N
Sat 11/24	Fresno State vs San José State	-31.5	51.0	W 31 - 13	U	N
Sat 12/1	Fresno State at Boise State	+2.0	51.5	W 19 - 16	U	Y
Sat 12/15	Fresno State vs Arizona State	-6.0	54.0	W 31 - 20	U	Y

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Fresno State's Schedule

Minnesota's 2018 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Thu 8/30	Minnesota vs New Mexico State	-21.5	49.0	W 48 - 10	O	Y
Sat 9/8	Minnesota vs Fresno State	-1.0	50.5	W 21 - 14	U	Y
Sat 9/15	Minnesota vs Miami (OH)	-14.0	46.5	W 26 - 3	U	Y
Sat 9/22	Minnesota at Maryland	+2.5	46.5	L 13 - 42	O	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/6	Minnesota vs Iowa	+7.0	41.5	L 31 - 48	O	N
Sat 10/13	Minnesota at Ohio State	+29.5	60.5	L 14 - 30	U	Y
Sat 10/20	Minnesota at Nebraska	+4.5	54.5	L 28 - 53	O	N
Fri 10/26	Minnesota vs Indiana	+2.5	54.0	W 38 - 31	O	Y
Sat 11/3	Minnesota at Illinois	-8.5	61.5	L 31 - 55	O	N
Sat 11/10	Minnesota vs Purdue	+10.5	58.0	W 41 - 10	U	Y
Sat 11/17	Minnesota vs Northwestern	-3.0	48.5	L 14 - 24	U	N
Sat 11/24	Minnesota at Wisconsin	+10.5	53.0	W 37 - 15	U	Y
Wed 12/26	Minnesota vs Georgia Tech	+5.5	57.0	W 34 - 10	U	Y

Important Stats (2017)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
FRES	.16	45%	25.8	44%	2.78	155	43%	238	3.56	.05	42%	18.8	42%	40%	2.84	43.6	0.9	1.4
MINN	.07	42%	23	45%	2.9	182	33%	126	2.94	.16	42%	22.9	43%	40%	3.59	28.2	1.5	1.5

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
FRES		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
MINN		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2017

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
FRES Offense	14	25.8	26.3	45.2%	3.56	0.9	19	393	155	238	4.2	51%	46%	44%	43%	12%	.16
MINN Defense	12	22.9	13	42.3%	3.59	1.5	-	-	-	-	-	53%	46%	43%	40%	18%	.16

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
FRES Defense	14	18.8	24.8	41.9%	2.84	1.4	-	-	-	-	-	46%	52%	42%	40%	17%	.05
MINN Offense	12	23	30.1	41.9%	2.94	1.5	16	308	182	126	4.2	64%	34%	45%	33%	16%	.07

Additional Stats 2017

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Fresno State	14	31:16	19.2	36%	67%	5.3	43.6	0.9	1.4	6.4	2.4	2	32.7
Minnesota	12	30:57	16.4	34%	77%	3.3	28.2	1.5	1.5	5.9	1.9	3	30.7

Run Game Stats (2018)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
FRES Offense	14	51%	44%	36.8	155	4.2	22	.04	2.78	72%	7%	0.75
MINN Defense	12	53%	43%	-	-	-	-	.12	3.02	78%	12%	0.96

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
FRES Defense	14	46%	42%	-	-	-	-	-.04	2.81	63%	11%	0.75
MINN Offense	12	64%	45%	43.8	182.3	4.2	20	.12	2.9	77%	11%	0.88

Pass Game Stats (2018)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
FRES Offense	14	46%	43%	19.1	31.2	237.9	7.6	12.4	19	7	.35	1.5	29%	30%	.09	5%	1.5
MINN Defense	12	46%	40%	-	-	-	-	-	-	8	.22	1.6	32%	31%	.22	6%	1.8

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
FRES Defense	14	52%	40%	-	-	-	-	-	-	9	.14	1.4	32%	28%	.08	6%	1.5
MINN Offense	12	34%	33%	9.2	19.3	126.1	6.5	13.8	9	11	-	1.7	32%	29%	.14	5%	1.7

Fresno State's Power Ratings
Fresno State's Power Rating: NR
Fresno State's Offense Rating: NR
Fresno State's Defense Rating: NR
2018 Talent Rating: #81
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Fresno State's 2018 Expected Record: -
Fresno State's 2018 Overall SP+ Rating: 17.4 #16
Fresno State's Offense SP+ Rating: 33.5 #37
Fresno State's Defense SP+ Rating: 15.5 #12

Average Talent
Average Pac-12 Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Fresno State: Minnesota: 5.65

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Fresno State: 17.4 Minnesota: 6.3

Minnesota's Power Ratings
Minnesota's Power Rating: 5.65 NR
Minnesota's Offense Rating: NR
Minnesota's Defense Rating: NR
2018 Talent Rating: #48
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Minnesota's 2018 Expected Record: -
Minnesota's 2018 Overall SP+ Rating: 6.3 #45
Minnesota's Offense SP+ Rating: 28.2 #75
Minnesota's Defense SP+ Rating: 22.8 #37

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Fresno State Scoring
Offense: 25.8 PPG
Offense on Road: 26.3
Defense: 18.8 PPG
Defense on Road: 24.8

Fresno State's 2018 Record
Record: 12 - 2
Record vs Spread: 10 - 4 - 0
Over/Under Record: 4 - 10
Record on Road: 5 - 2
Record vs Spread on Road: 5 - 2 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 1 - 1 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 1 - 1 - 0

Projected Score
Minnesota 24
Fresno State 22

Projected Total Points: 46

Minnesota Scoring
Offense: 23 PPG
Offense at Home: 30.1
Defense: 22.9 PPG
Defense at Home: 13

Minnesota's 2018 Record
Record: 7 - 6
Record vs Spread: 8 - 5 - 0
Over/Under Record: 6 - 7
Record at home: 5 - 2
Record vs Spread at home: 5 - 2 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 3 - 2 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 3 - 1 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2019	09/07	Fresno State	35	Minnesota	38	Minnesota -3	NA	46.0	Over
2018	09/08	Minnesota	21	Fresno State	14	Minnesota -1	Minnesota	50.5	Under

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Minnesota	2	1	1 Overs
Fresno State	0	0	1 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	1 - 1	1 - 0	1 - 0	0 - 0
Road Teams	1 - 1	0 - 1	0 - 0	0 - 1

(#) FRES at (#) MINN

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	FRES	MINN
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#16	#45
Perf GradeGrade	NR	NR
OffenseOff	NR	NR
DefenseDef	NR	NR
Spec TeamsST	NR	NR
TalentTal	#81	#48
Blue ChipsBC%	NR	NR

Fresno State Injury Report

Minnesota Injury Report

Fresno State on Offense


CategoryCat	FRES Off	MINN Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#37	#37
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Fresno State Run Game


CategoryCat	FRES Off	MINN Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	NR

Fresno State Pass Game


CategoryCat	FRES Off	MINN Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Minnesota on Offense


CategoryCat	MINN Off	FRES Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#75	#12
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Minnesota Run Game


CategoryCat	MINN Off	FRES Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	NR

Minnesota Pass Game


CategoryCat	MINN Off	FRES Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Program Comparison
MINN 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'18 Profile: Down to Below Avg P4

FRES 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'18 Profile: Down to CFP Hopefuls

Weather Forecast
Playing in Huntington Bank Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Rematch from Week 2
Minnesota -1.0 (50.5)
Minnesota won vs Fresno State this year (21-14)

No Matchups Past 4 Years

FRES's OC ()

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Fresno State's Full Roster

FRES's DC ()

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

MINN's OC ()

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Minnesota's Full Roster

MINN's DC ()

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD