Fresno State at Minnesota - 2018 Matchup Preview
Fresno State logo Fresno State Bulldogs at Minnesota Golden GophersMinnesota logo
Saturday, September 8th 2018 (7:30 PM EDT)
Minnesota -1 (50.5)
Minnesota 21 - Fresno State: 14

 
Bulldogs (12 - 2) (10 - 4 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 35 - 14 (28 - 13 on Road)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
MINN 2nd straight Home Game
Our Line: -3  (SP+ FRES -11)
Projected Score: FRES: 26 - MINN: 21 (47)
MINN Win prob: 48% | Cover: 46%
FRES Travel: 1488 miles, 2 hrs behind
Golden Gophers (7 - 6) (8 - 5 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 29 - 27 (31 - 20 @ Home)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Fresno State's 2018 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/1 Fresno State vs Idaho-24.543.0W 79 - 13OY
Sat 9/8 Fresno State at Minnesota+1.050.5L 14 - 21UN
Sat 9/15 Fresno State at UCLA-2.550.5W 38 - 14OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/29 Fresno State vs Toledo-10.061.0W 49 - 27OY
Sat 10/6 Fresno State at Nevada-15.059.0W 21 - 3UY
Sat 10/13 Fresno State vs Wyoming-17.544.0W 27 - 3UY
Sat 10/20 Fresno State at New Mexico-14.052.5W 38 - 7UY
Sat 10/27 Fresno State vs Hawai'i-24.559.5W 50 - 20OY
Sat 11/3 Fresno State at UNLV-27.058.5W 48 - 3UY
Fri 11/9 Fresno State at Boise State-2.556.0L 17 - 24UN
Sat 11/17 Fresno State vs San Diego State-13.042.5W 23 - 14UN
Sat 11/24 Fresno State vs San José State-31.551.0W 31 - 13UN
Sat 12/1 Fresno State at Boise State+2.051.5W 19 - 16UY
Sat 12/15 Fresno State vs Arizona State-6.054.0W 31 - 20UY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Fresno State's Schedule
Minnesota's 2018 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Thu 8/30 Minnesota vs New Mexico State-21.549.0W 48 - 10OY
Sat 9/8 Minnesota vs Fresno State-1.050.5W 21 - 14UY
Sat 9/15 Minnesota vs Miami (OH)-14.046.5W 26 - 3UY
Sat 9/22 Minnesota at Maryland+2.546.5L 13 - 42ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/6 Minnesota vs Iowa+7.041.5L 31 - 48ON
Sat 10/13 Minnesota at Ohio State+29.560.5L 14 - 30UY
Sat 10/20 Minnesota at Nebraska+4.554.5L 28 - 53ON
Fri 10/26 Minnesota vs Indiana+2.554.0W 38 - 31OY
Sat 11/3 Minnesota at Illinois-8.561.5L 31 - 55ON
Sat 11/10 Minnesota vs Purdue+10.558.0W 41 - 10UY
Sat 11/17 Minnesota vs Northwestern-3.048.5L 14 - 24UN
Sat 11/24 Minnesota at Wisconsin+10.553.0W 37 - 15UY
Wed 12/26 Minnesota vs Georgia Tech+5.557.0W 34 - 10UY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Minnesota's Schedule
Important Stats (2018)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
FRES.2448%34.644%2.8315450%2674.0435%14.133%36%2.2843.811.8
MINN.1644%28.945%3.3617141%2093.64.243%26.541%43%3.1339.11.91.6
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
FRES#110 (.11)39% (110)38% (121)2.73 (115)10141% (76)2423.68 (91)#17 (.08)40% (51)43% (74)38% (33)3.63 (47)551.31.5
MINN#64 (.2)45% (39)44% (65)2.7 (119)10346% (29)2044.38 (27)#16 (.08)39% (35)36% (8)42% (80)3.32 (23)35.60.81.5



Overall Stats 2018
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
FRES Offense1434.627.948.3%41204211542674.348%51%44%50%12%.24
MINN Defense1326.52042.9%3.131.6 - - - - - 48%50%41%43%15%.2
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
FRES Defense1414.112.635.5%2.281.8 - - - - - 51%47%33%36%17%.04
MINN Offense1328.931.344.3%3.641.9213801712094.355%43%45%41%17%.16

Additional Stats 2018
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Fresno State1430:2120.145%70%5.143.811.84.91.7431.2
Minnesota1331:5720.740%50%3.939.11.91.65.21.6231
Run Game Stats (2018)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
FRES Offense1448%44%35.8154.44.331.122.8369%7%0.91
MINN Defense1348%41% - - - - .192.872%9%1.31
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
FRES Defense1451%33% - - - - .012.8557%8%0.89
MINN Offense1355%45%40.2171.24.324.133.3677%9%0.82

Pass Game Stats (2018)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
FRES Offense1451%50%21.531.4267.18.512.4266.381.426%41%.385%1.6
MINN Defense1350%43% - - - - - - 11.231.430%34%.36%1.7
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
FRES Defense1447%36% - - - - - - 19.071.735%26%.179%2
MINN Offense1343%41%14.626.6208.87.814.32014.21.831%33%.358%2

Fresno State's Power Ratings
Fresno State's Power Rating: NR
Fresno State's Offense Rating: NR
Fresno State's Defense Rating: NR
2018 Talent Rating:  #81
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Fresno State's 2018 Expected Record: -
Fresno State's 2018 Overall SP+ Rating: 17.4  #16
Fresno State's Offense SP+ Rating: 33.5  #37
Fresno State's Defense SP+ Rating: 15.5  #12

Average Talent
Average Mountain West Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
Fresno State:    Minnesota: 5.65

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Fresno State: 17.4   Minnesota: 6.3




Minnesota's Power Ratings
Minnesota's Power Rating: 5.65 NR
Minnesota's Offense Rating: NR
Minnesota's Defense Rating: NR
2018 Talent Rating:  #48
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Minnesota's 2018 Expected Record: -
Minnesota's 2018 Overall SP+ Rating: 6.3  #45
Minnesota's Offense SP+ Rating: 28.2  #75
Minnesota's Defense SP+ Rating: 22.8  #37

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482


Fresno State Scoring
Offense: 34.6 PPG
Offense on Road: 27.9
Defense: 14.1 PPG
Defense on Road: 12.6

Fresno State's 2018 Record
Record: 12 - 2
Record vs Spread: 10 - 4 - 0
Over/Under Record: 4 - 10
Record on Road: 5 - 2
Record vs Spread on Road: 5 - 2 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 1 - 1 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 1 - 1 - 0
Projected Score
Fresno State 26
Minnesota 21

Total Points: 47

Based on Last 4 Games
Fresno State 24
Minnesota 20

Total Points: 43

Based on Entire Season
Fresno State 28
Minnesota 22

Total Points: 50
Minnesota Scoring
Offense: 28.9 PPG
Offense at Home: 31.3
Defense: 26.5 PPG
Defense at Home: 20

Minnesota's 2018 Record
Record: 7 - 6
Record vs Spread: 8 - 5 - 0
Over/Under Record: 6 - 7
Record at home: 5 - 2
Record vs Spread at home: 5 - 2 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 3 - 2 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 3 - 1 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
201909/07Fresno State35Minnesota38Minnesota -3NA46.0Over
201809/08Minnesota21Fresno State14Minnesota -1Minnesota50.5Under
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Minnesota211 Overs
Fresno State001 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams1 - 11 - 01 - 00 - 0
Road Teams1 - 10 - 10 - 00 - 1

(#) FRES at (#) MINN
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatFRESMINN
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #16 #45
Perf GradeGradeNRNR
OffenseOffNRNR
DefenseDefNRNR
Spec TeamsSTNRNR
TalentTal #81 #48
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
Fresno State on Offense
CategoryCat
FRES OffMINN Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #37 #37
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Fresno State Run Game
CategoryCat
FRES OffMINN Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Fresno State Pass Game
CategoryCat
FRES OffMINN Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Minnesota on Offense
CategoryCatMINN OffFRES Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #75 #12
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Minnesota Run Game
CategoryCat
MINN OffFRES Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Minnesota Pass Game
CategoryCatMINN OffFRES Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
MINN 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'18 Profile: Down to Below Avg P4

FRES 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'18 Profile: Down to CFP Hopefuls

Weather Forecast
Playing in Huntington Bank Stadium
Conditions: Fair
Temp: 72° - Wind: 10 mph
Rematch from Week 2
Minnesota -1.0 (50.5)
Minnesota won vs Fresno State this year (21-14)

No Matchups Past 4 Years
  
FRES's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

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FRES's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD

MINN's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View Minnesota's Full Roster

MINN's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD