Louisville at Virginia - 2018 Matchup Preview
Louisville logo   Louisville Cardinals at Virginia Cavaliers  Virginia logo
Saturday, September 22nd 2018 (12:30 PM EDT)
Virginia -4.5 (51.5)
Virginia 27 - Louisville: 3  (ACC)

 
Cardinals (2 - 10) (1 - 10 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 30 - 21 (23 - 26 on Road)
'18 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
UVA 2nd straight Home Game
UVA is playing their 4th straight game
LOU is playing their 4th straight game
Our Line: -10.5  (SP+ UVA -16)
Projected Score: LOU: 23 - UVA: 29 (52)
UVA Win prob: 64% | Cover: 49%
LOU Travel: 394 miles
Cavaliers (8 - 5) (9 - 4 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 31 - 20 (36 - 18 @ Home)
'18 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Louisville's 2018 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/1 Louisville vs Alabama+23.560.5L 14 - 51ON
Sat 9/8 Louisville vs Indiana State-19
Sat 9/15 Louisville vs Western Kentucky-24.553.0W 20 - 17UN
Sat 9/22 Louisville at Virginia+4.551.5L 3 - 27UN
Sat 9/29 Louisville vs Florida State+4.547.5L 24 - 28OY
Fri 10/5 Louisville vs Georgia Tech+5.556.0L 31 - 66ON
Sat 10/13 Louisville at Boston College+11.056.5L 20 - 38ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/27 Louisville vs Wake Forest-3.068.0L 35 - 56ON
Sat 11/3 Louisville at Clemson+38.061.0L 16 - 77ON
Fri 11/9 Louisville at Syracuse+20.068.5L 23 - 54ON
Sat 11/17 Louisville vs NC State+16.065.0L 10 - 52UN
Sat 11/24 Louisville vs Kentucky+17.053.0L 10 - 56ON

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Louisville's Schedule
Virginia's 2018 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/1 Virginia vs Richmond-14.555.5W 42 - 13UY
Sat 9/8 Virginia at Indiana+5.048.5L 16 - 20UY
Sat 9/15 Virginia vs Ohio-5.054.5W 45 - 31OY
Sat 9/22 Virginia vs Louisville-4.551.5W 27 - 3UY
Sat 9/29 Virginia at NC State+5.552.5L 21 - 35ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/13 Virginia vs Miami+7.046.5W 16 - 13UY
Sat 10/20 Virginia at Duke+6.545.5W 28 - 14UY
Sat 10/27 Virginia vs North Carolina-7.551.0W 31 - 21OY
Fri 11/2 Virginia vs Pittsburgh-7.045.5L 13 - 23UN
Sat 11/10 Virginia vs Liberty-24.058.0W 45 - 24ON
Sat 11/17 Virginia at Georgia Tech+6.052.5L 27 - 30OY
Fri 11/23 Virginia at Virginia Tech-5.049.5L 31 - 34ON
Sat 12/29 Virginia vs South Carolina+3.554.0W 28 - 0UY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Virginia's Schedule
Important Stats (2017)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
LOU.3350%29.952%3.6224547%3004.05.1646%21.246%44%3.1551.11.61.7
UVA.0739%30.839%2.79439%2493.03.1441%19.642%37%3.4945.51.51.4
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
LOU0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
UVA0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2017
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
LOU Offense1329.92350.1%4.051.6275452453006.447%51%52%47%15%.33
UVA Defense1319.617.740.6%3.491.4 - - - - - 59%39%42%37%16%.14
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
LOU Defense1321.225.545.9%3.151.7 - - - - - 52%47%46%44%18%.16
UVA Offense1330.836.439.5%3.031.519342942493.139%60%39%39%18%.07

Additional Stats 2017
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Louisville1330:2527.144%63%6.351.11.61.76.12.1228.3
Virginia1330:2318.539%39%4.845.51.51.45.42.2330.8
Run Game Stats (2018)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
LOU Offense1347%52%38.1245.16.433.343.6270%9%1.14
UVA Defense1359%42% - - - - .133.176%10%0.99
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
LOU Defense1352%46% - - - - .12.8674%11%0.89
UVA Offense1339%39%29.993.53.110.032.760%11%0.98

Pass Game Stats (2018)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
LOU Offense1351%47%21.335.7299.88.414.12910.341.631%44%.56%1.8
UVA Defense1339%37% - - - - - - 15.161.831%31%.226%2
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
LOU Defense1347%44% - - - - - - 13.251.630%31%.297%2
UVA Offense1360%39%23.139.9248.76.210.82511.111.533%28%.246%2

Louisville's Power Ratings
Louisville's Power Rating: NR
Louisville's Offense Rating: NR
Louisville's Defense Rating: NR
2018 Talent Rating:  #40
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Louisville's 2018 Expected Record: -
Louisville's 2018 Overall SP+ Rating: -9.1  #98
Louisville's Offense SP+ Rating: 24.5  #101
Louisville's Defense SP+ Rating: 33.6  #99

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Louisville:    Virginia: 6.05

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Louisville: -9.1   Virginia: 7.1




Virginia's Power Ratings
Virginia's Power Rating: 6.05 NR
Virginia's Offense Rating: NR
Virginia's Defense Rating: NR
2018 Talent Rating:  #66
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Virginia's 2018 Expected Record: -
Virginia's 2018 Overall SP+ Rating: 7.1  #42
Virginia's Offense SP+ Rating: 29.7  #61
Virginia's Defense SP+ Rating: 22.0  #31

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76


Louisville Scoring
Offense: 29.9 PPG
Offense on Road: 23
Defense: 21.2 PPG
Defense on Road: 25.5

Louisville's 2018 Record
Record: 2 - 10
Record vs Spread: 1 - 10 - 0
Over/Under Record: 8 - 4
Record on Road: 0 - 4
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 4 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 1 - 8 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 0 - 4 - 0
Projected Score
Virginia 29
Louisville 23

Projected Total Points: 52
Virginia Scoring
Offense: 30.8 PPG
Offense at Home: 36.4
Defense: 19.6 PPG
Defense at Home: 17.7

Virginia's 2018 Record
Record: 8 - 5
Record vs Spread: 9 - 4 - 0
Over/Under Record: 6 - 7
Record at home: 6 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 5 - 2 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 4 - 3 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 4 - 2 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202510/04Louisville27Virginia30Louisville -6.5Virginia59.5Under
202410/12Virginia20Louisville24Louisville -7Virginia54.0Under
202311/09Louisville31Virginia24Louisville -20.5Virginia49.5Over
202210/08Virginia17Louisville34Virginia -1.5Louisville47.5Over
202110/09Louisville33Virginia34Louisville -2.5Virginia69.5Under
202011/14Virginia31Louisville17Virginia -5.5Virginia64.5Under
201910/26Louisville28Virginia21Virginia -4.5Louisville51.0Under
201809/22Virginia27Louisville3Virginia -4.5Virginia51.5Under
201711/11Louisville38Virginia21Louisville -14Louisville66.5Under
201610/29Virginia25Louisville32Louisville -27Virginia69.5Under
201511/14Louisville38Virginia31Louisville -8.5Virginia48.0Over
201409/13Virginia23Louisville21Louisville -10Virginia0
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Virginia593 Overs
Louisville738 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams7 - 57 - 53 - 54 - 0
Road Teams5 - 75 - 70 - 45 - 3

(#) LOU at (#) UVA
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatLOUUVA
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #98 #42
Perf GradeGradeNRNR
OffenseOffNRNR
DefenseDefNRNR
Spec TeamsSTNRNR
TalentTal #40 #66
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
Louisville on Offense
CategoryCat
LOU OffUVA Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #101 #31
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Louisville Run Game
CategoryCat
LOU OffUVA Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Louisville Pass Game
CategoryCat
LOU OffUVA Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Virginia on Offense
CategoryCatUVA OffLOU Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #61 #99
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Virginia Run Game
CategoryCat
UVA OffLOU Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Virginia Pass Game
CategoryCatUVA OffLOU Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
UVA 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'18 Profile: Down to Below Avg P4

LOU 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'18 Profile: Down to Average G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Scott Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Rematch from Week 4
Virginia -4.5 (51.5)
Virginia won vs Louisville this year (27-3)

Previous Matchups
Virginia beat Louisville last year (30-27)
Louisville beat Virginia in 2024 (24-20)
Louisville beat Virginia in 2023 (31-24)

  
LOU's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

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LOU's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD

UVA's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

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UVA's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD