Kentucky at Missouri - 2018 Matchup Preview
Kentucky logo Kentucky Wildcats at Missouri Tigers(#15)Missouri logo
Saturday, October 27th 2018 (4:00 PM EDT)
Missouri -7.5 (54.5)
Kentucky 16 - Missouri: 14  (SEC)

 
Wildcats (10 - 3) (6 - 7 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 27 - 17 (24 - 17 on Road)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
MIZ 2nd straight Home Game
MIZ is playing their 4th straight game
Our Line: -6.5  (SP+ MIZ -8)
Projected Score: UK: 26 - MIZ: 28 (54)
MIZ Win prob: 73% | Cover: 49%
UK Travel: 428 miles, 1 hrs ahead
Tigers (8 - 5) (7 - 6 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 37 - 26 (39 - 21 @ Home)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Kentucky's 2018 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/1 Kentucky vs Central Michigan-17.549.0W 35 - 20ON
Sat 9/8 Kentucky at Florida+13.552.5W 27 - 16UY
Sat 9/15 Kentucky vs Murray State-41.056.5W 48 - 10ON
Sat 9/22 Kentucky vs Mississippi State+9.556.0W 28 - 7UY
Sat 9/29 Kentucky vs South Carolina+1.052.0W 24 - 10UY
Sat 10/6 Kentucky at Texas A&M+5.048.5L 14 - 20UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/20 Kentucky vs Vanderbilt-10.545.0W 14 - 7UN
Sat 10/27 Kentucky at Missouri+7.554.5W 16 - 14UY
Sat 11/3 Kentucky vs Georgia+9.547.5L 17 - 34ON
Sat 11/10 Kentucky at Tennessee-5.043.0L 7 - 24UN
Sat 11/17 Kentucky vs Middle Tennessee-16.548.5W 34 - 23ON
Sat 11/24 Kentucky at Louisville-17.053.0W 56 - 10OY
Tue 1/1 Kentucky vs Penn State+4.547.5W 27 - 24OY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Kentucky's Schedule
Missouri's 2018 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/1 Missouri vs UT Martin-35.057.0W 51 - 14OY
Sat 9/8 Missouri vs Wyoming-19.053.0W 40 - 13UY
Sat 9/15 Missouri at Purdue-5.068.0W 40 - 37ON
Sat 9/22 Missouri vs Georgia+14.568.0L 29 - 43OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/6 Missouri at South Carolina-1.062.5L 35 - 37ON
Sat 10/13 Missouri at Alabama+28.072.5L 10 - 39UN
Sat 10/20 Missouri vs Memphis-8.569.5W 65 - 33OY
Sat 10/27 Missouri vs Kentucky-7.554.5L 14 - 16UN
Sat 11/3 Missouri at Florida+6.059.5W 38 - 17UY
Sat 11/10 Missouri vs Vanderbilt-13.565.0W 33 - 28UN
Sat 11/17 Missouri at Tennessee-5.558.0W 50 - 17OY
Fri 11/23 Missouri vs Arkansas-24.059.0W 38 - 0UY
Mon 12/31 Missouri vs Oklahoma State-9.572.5L 33 - 38UN

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Missouri's Schedule
Important Stats (2018)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
UK.1344%26.746%3.119940%1613.74.139%16.842%35%2.6155.11.41.5
MIZ.2550%36.651%3.0820247%2793.97.1341%25.539%41%3.1261.51.21.2
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
UK#118 (.09)41% (89)47% (31)3.02 (71)14635% (123)1853.49 (104)#62 (.16)46% (111)49% (122)42% (75)3.44 (31)52.11.91.3
MIZ#70 (.19)44% (54)47% (28)3.04 (67)15941% (80)2023.91 (68)#32 (.11)41% (54)42% (57)39% (56)3.38 (28)460.71.2



Overall Stats 2018
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
UK Offense1326.72444.1%3.741.4203601991614.861%38%46%40%18%.13
MIZ Defense1325.52141.2%3.121.2 - - - - - 45%53%39%41%15%.13
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
UK Defense1316.816.839.5%2.611.5 - - - - - 51%48%42%35%21%.1
MIZ Offense1336.638.650%3.971.2254822022794.851%46%51%47%12%.25

Additional Stats 2018
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Kentucky1330:2320.139%60%655.11.41.56.92.9328.9
Missouri1330:3624.546%53%6.961.51.21.25.82.1130
Run Game Stats (2018)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
UK Offense1361%46%41.1198.74.827.143.172%13%0.98
MIZ Defense1345%39% - - - - -.032.6349%10%0.9
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
UK Defense1351%42% - - - - .072.7663%13%0.93
MIZ Offense1351%51%42.5202.44.827.133.0875%6%0.77

Pass Game Stats (2018)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
UK Offense1338%40%14.822.7161.37.110.91310.111.428%30%.215%1.8
MIZ Defense1353%41% - - - - - - 10.281.733%34%.295%1.8
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
UK Defense1348%35% - - - - - - 9.141.635%30%.348%1.9
MIZ Offense1346%47%21.634.7279.48.112.9288.431.628%41%.355%1.6

Kentucky's Power Ratings
Kentucky's Power Rating: NR
Kentucky's Offense Rating: NR
Kentucky's Defense Rating: NR
2018 Talent Rating:  #32
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Kentucky's 2018 Expected Record: -
Kentucky's 2018 Overall SP+ Rating: 13.1  #25
Kentucky's Offense SP+ Rating: 29.5  #63
Kentucky's Defense SP+ Rating: 16.3  #15

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
Kentucky:    Missouri: 12.9

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Kentucky: 13.1   Missouri: 20.8




Missouri's Power Ratings
Missouri's Power Rating: 12.9 NR
Missouri's Offense Rating: NR
Missouri's Defense Rating: NR
2018 Talent Rating:  #46
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Missouri's 2018 Expected Record: -
Missouri's 2018 Overall SP+ Rating: 20.8  #12
Missouri's Offense SP+ Rating: 41.3  #8
Missouri's Defense SP+ Rating: 21.0  #24

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482


Kentucky Scoring
Offense: 26.7 PPG
Offense on Road: 24
Defense: 16.8 PPG
Defense on Road: 16.8

Kentucky's 2018 Record
Record: 10 - 3
Record vs Spread: 6 - 7 - 0
Over/Under Record: 6 - 7
Record on Road: 4 - 2
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 2 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 5 - 2 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 2 - 1 - 0
Projected Score
Missouri 28
Kentucky 26

Total Points: 54

Based on Last 4 Games
Missouri 28
Kentucky 28

Total Points: 56

Based on Entire Season
Missouri 27
Kentucky 24

Total Points: 51
Missouri Scoring
Offense: 36.6 PPG
Offense at Home: 38.6
Defense: 25.5 PPG
Defense at Home: 21

Missouri's 2018 Record
Record: 8 - 5
Record vs Spread: 7 - 6 - 0
Over/Under Record: 6 - 7
Record at home: 5 - 2
Record vs Spread at home: 5 - 2 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 5 - 5 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 4 - 2 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202310/14Kentucky21Missouri38Kentucky -1.5Missouri50.5Over
202211/05Missouri17Kentucky21Missouri -1Kentucky40.0Under
202109/11Kentucky35Missouri28Kentucky -5.5Kentucky56.5Over
202010/24Missouri20Kentucky10Kentucky -3.5Missouri47.0Under
201910/26Kentucky29Missouri7Missouri -10Kentucky43.5Under
201810/27Missouri14Kentucky16Missouri -7.5Kentucky54.5Under
201710/07Kentucky40Missouri34Kentucky -8.5Missouri59.5Over
201610/29Missouri21Kentucky35Missouri -4.5Kentucky69.0Under
201509/26Kentucky21Missouri13Kentucky -2.5Kentucky44.0Under
201411/01Missouri20Kentucky10Missouri -7Missouri0
201311/09Kentucky17Missouri48Missouri -14Missouri0
201210/27Missouri33Kentucky10
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Missouri553 Overs
Kentucky766 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams7 - 55 - 63 - 52 - 1
Road Teams5 - 76 - 51 - 25 - 3

(#) UK at (#) MIZ
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatUKMIZ
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #25 #12
Perf GradeGradeNRNR
OffenseOffNRNR
DefenseDefNRNR
Spec TeamsSTNRNR
TalentTal #32 #46
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
Kentucky on Offense
CategoryCat
UK OffMIZ Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #63 #24
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Kentucky Run Game
CategoryCat
UK OffMIZ Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Kentucky Pass Game
CategoryCat
UK OffMIZ Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Missouri on Offense
CategoryCatMIZ OffUK Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #8 #15
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Missouri Run Game
CategoryCat
MIZ OffUK Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Missouri Pass Game
CategoryCatMIZ OffUK Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
MIZ 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'18 Profile: Down to CFP Hopefuls

UK 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'18 Profile: Down to Top 25 Contenders

Weather Forecast
Playing in Faurot Field
Conditions:
Temp: 68° - Wind: 8 mph
Rematch from Week 9
Missouri -7.5 (54.5)
Kentucky won at Missouri this year (16-14)

Previous Matchups
Missouri beat Kentucky in 2023 (38-21)
Kentucky beat Missouri in 2022 (21-17)

  
UK's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

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UK's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD

MIZ's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

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MIZ's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD