Auburn at Ole Miss - 2018 Matchup Preview
Auburn logo Auburn Tigers at Ole Miss Rebels(#5)Ole Miss logo
Saturday, October 20th 2018 (12:00 PM EDT)
Auburn -5 (64.0)
Auburn 31 - Ole Miss: 16  (SEC)

 
Tigers (8 - 5) (6 - 7 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 31 - 19 (18 - 30 on Road)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
MISS is playing their 8th straight game
AUB is playing their 8th straight game
Our Line: -4.5  (SP+ AUB -14)
Projected Score: AUB: 25 - MISS: 32 (57)
AUB Win prob: 63% | Cover: 48%
AUB Travel: 263 miles
Rebels (5 - 7) (3 - 9 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 34 - 36 (36 - 36 @ Home)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Auburn's 2018 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/1 Auburn vs Washington-1.550.5W 21 - 16UY
Sat 9/8 Auburn vs Alabama State-62.059.5W 63 - 9ON
Sat 9/15 Auburn vs LSU-10.045.5L 21 - 22UN
Sat 9/22 Auburn vs Arkansas-30.057.5W 34 - 3UY
Sat 9/29 Auburn vs Southern Miss-27.051.0W 24 - 13UN
Sat 10/6 Auburn at Mississippi State-3.045.0L 9 - 23UN
Sat 10/13 Auburn vs Tennessee-14.546.0L 24 - 30ON
Sat 10/20 Auburn at Ole Miss-5.064.0W 31 - 16UY
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/3 Auburn vs Texas A&M-3.547.0W 28 - 24OY
Sat 11/10 Auburn at Georgia+12.552.5L 10 - 27UN
Sat 11/17 Auburn vs Liberty-29.563.5W 53 - 0UY
Sat 11/24 Auburn at Alabama+26.053.0L 21 - 52ON
Fri 12/28 Auburn vs Purdue-3.558.5W 63 - 14OY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Auburn's Schedule
Ole Miss's 2018 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/1 Ole Miss vs Texas Tech-2.571.5W 47 - 27OY
Sat 9/8 Ole Miss vs Southern Illinois-28.065.5W 76 - 41OY
Sat 9/15 Ole Miss vs Alabama+22.571.5L 7 - 62UN
Sat 9/22 Ole Miss vs Kent State-28.575.0W 38 - 17UN
Sat 9/29 Ole Miss at LSU+10.561.0L 16 - 45UN
Sat 10/6 Ole Miss vs UL Monroe-23.576.0W 70 - 21OY
Sat 10/13 Ole Miss at Arkansas-6.566.5W 37 - 33ON
Sat 10/20 Ole Miss vs Auburn+5.064.0L 16 - 31UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/3 Ole Miss vs South Carolina-2.070.0L 44 - 48ON
Sat 11/10 Ole Miss at Texas A&M+13.068.0L 24 - 38UN
Sat 11/17 Ole Miss at Vanderbilt+3.072.5L 29 - 36UN
Thu 11/22 Ole Miss vs Mississippi State+12.561.0L 3 - 35UN

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Ole Miss's Schedule
Important Stats (2018)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
AUB.1743%30.944%2.9116741%2223.42.0838%19.238%35%2.4850.111.7
MISS.3151%33.951%3.1416448%3463.84.2148%36.250%43%3.7166.91.21.3
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
AUB#42 (.24)45% (40)48% (21)3.32 (23)16642% (67)2643.42 (110)#21 (.09)38% (20)38% (19)38% (34)3.35 (25)49.31.81.1
MISS#4 (.34)47% (19)44% (76)3.02 (72)16451% (3)3174 (58)#6 (.04)35% (3)35% (6)36% (13)2.98 (8)68.50.91.6



Overall Stats 2018
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
AUB Offense1330.917.843.5%3.421193901672224.348%50%44%41%14%.17
MISS Defense1236.236.447.8%3.711.3 - - - - - 53%45%50%43%17%.21
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
AUB Defense1319.229.538.2%2.481.7 - - - - - 48%49%38%35%19%.08
MISS Offense1233.936.350.7%3.841.2245111643464.742%55%51%48%17%.31

Additional Stats 2018
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Auburn1325:5719.137%50%5.650.111.76.92.8532.1
Ole Miss1226:202435%53%7.366.91.21.37.21.9225.9
Run Game Stats (2018)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
AUB Offense1348%44%39.4167.54.325.072.9166%10%0.85
MISS Defense1253%50% - - - - .193.2275%11%0.94
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
AUB Defense1348%38% - - - - .012.7564%12%0.93
MISS Offense1242%51%34.8164.34.724.23.1473%9%0.97

Pass Game Stats (2018)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
AUB Offense1350%41%17.929.4222.57.612.4215.281.629%32%.325%1.9
MISS Defense1245%43% - - - - - - 7.261.630%33%.36%1.8
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
AUB Defense1349%35% - - - - - - 14.151.838%32%.237%1.7
MISS Offense1255%48%23.536.7346.49.514.7219.421.629%40%.48%1.7

Auburn's Power Ratings
Auburn's Power Rating: NR
Auburn's Offense Rating: NR
Auburn's Defense Rating: NR
2018 Talent Rating:  #14
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Auburn's 2018 Expected Record: -
Auburn's 2018 Overall SP+ Rating: 23.6  #7
Auburn's Offense SP+ Rating: 36.9  #19
Auburn's Defense SP+ Rating: 14.1  #6

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
Auburn:    Ole Miss: 7.4

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Auburn: 23.6   Ole Miss: 9.8




Ole Miss's Power Ratings
Ole Miss's Power Rating: 7.4 NR
Ole Miss's Offense Rating: NR
Ole Miss's Defense Rating: NR
2018 Talent Rating:  #22
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Ole Miss's 2018 Expected Record: -
Ole Miss's 2018 Overall SP+ Rating: 9.8  #33
Ole Miss's Offense SP+ Rating: 42.1  #6
Ole Miss's Defense SP+ Rating: 31.2  #90

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482


Auburn Scoring
Offense: 30.9 PPG
Offense on Road: 17.8
Defense: 19.2 PPG
Defense on Road: 29.5

Auburn's 2018 Record
Record: 8 - 5
Record vs Spread: 6 - 7 - 0
Over/Under Record: 5 - 8
Record on Road: 1 - 3
Record vs Spread on Road: 1 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 6 - 5 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 1 - 1 - 0
Projected Score
Ole Miss 32
Auburn 25

Total Points: 57

Based on Last 4 Games
Ole Miss 34
Auburn 20

Total Points: 54

Based on Entire Season
Auburn 31
Ole Miss 30

Total Points: 61
Ole Miss Scoring
Offense: 33.9 PPG
Offense at Home: 36.3
Defense: 36.2 PPG
Defense at Home: 36.4

Ole Miss's 2018 Record
Record: 5 - 7
Record vs Spread: 3 - 9 - 0
Over/Under Record: 5 - 7
Record at home: 3 - 4
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 5 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 1 - 6 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 0 - 3 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202310/21Auburn21Ole Miss28Ole Miss -6.5Ole Miss55.5Under
202210/15Ole Miss48Auburn34Ole Miss -15.5Auburn55.5Over
202110/30Auburn31Ole Miss20Auburn -3Auburn67.5Under
202010/24Ole Miss28Auburn35Auburn -3.5Auburn74.0Under
201911/02Auburn20Ole Miss14Auburn -17Ole Miss53.5Under
201810/20Ole Miss16Auburn31Auburn -5Auburn64.0Under
201710/07Auburn44Ole Miss23Auburn -21.5Ole Miss55.5Over
201610/29Ole Miss29Auburn40Auburn -2Auburn65.5Over
201510/31Auburn19Ole Miss27Ole Miss -6Ole Miss57.5Under
201411/01Ole Miss31Auburn35Ole Miss -3Auburn0
201310/05Auburn30Ole Miss22Ole Miss -2Auburn0
201210/13Ole Miss41Auburn20
201110/29Auburn41Ole Miss23
201010/30Ole Miss31Auburn51
200910/31Auburn33Ole Miss20
200811/01Ole Miss17Auburn7
200710/27Auburn17Ole Miss3
200610/28Ole Miss17Auburn23
200510/29Auburn27Ole Miss3
200410/30Ole Miss14Auburn35
200311/08Auburn20Ole Miss24
200211/02Ole Miss24Auburn31
200109/08Auburn27Ole Miss21
200009/08Ole Miss27Auburn35
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Ole Miss643 Overs
Auburn1876 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams12 - 122 - 91 - 41 - 5
Road Teams12 - 129 - 25 - 14 - 1

(#) AUB at (#) MISS
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatAUBMISS
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #7 #33
Perf GradeGradeNRNR
OffenseOffNRNR
DefenseDefNRNR
Spec TeamsSTNRNR
TalentTal #14 #22
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
Auburn on Offense
CategoryCat
AUB OffMISS Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #19 #90
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Auburn Run Game
CategoryCat
AUB OffMISS Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Auburn Pass Game
CategoryCat
AUB OffMISS Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Ole Miss on Offense
CategoryCatMISS OffAUB Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #6 #6
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Ole Miss Run Game
CategoryCat
MISS OffAUB Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Ole Miss Pass Game
CategoryCatMISS OffAUB Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
MISS 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'18 Profile: Down to Average P4

AUB 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'18 Profile: Down to Title Contenders

Weather Forecast
Playing in Vaught-Hemingway Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 57°
Rematch from Week 8
Auburn 5.0 (64.0)
Auburn won at Ole Miss this year (31-16)

Previous Matchups
Ole Miss beat Auburn in 2023 (28-21)
Ole Miss beat Auburn in 2022 (48-34)

  
AUB's OC ()
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AUB's DC ()
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MISS's OC ()
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MISS's DC ()
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