Air Force at Navy - 2017 Matchup Preview
Air Force logo   Air Force Falcons at Navy Midshipmen  Navy logo
Saturday, October 7th 2017 (3:30 PM EDT)
Navy -8.5 (53.5) (0)  Open: 0.0
Navy 48 - Air Force: 45

 
Falcons (5 - 7) (5 - 7 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 30 - 30 (32 - 33 on Road)
'17 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
AFA 2nd straight Road Game
AFA is playing their 4th straight game
Our Line: -7.5  (SP+ NAVY -10)
Projected Score: AFA: 28 - NAVY: 33 (61)
NAVY Win prob: 71% | Cover: 46%
AFA Travel: 1516 miles, 2 hrs behind
Midshipmen (7 - 6) (7 - 6 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 32 - 25 (38 - 24 @ Home)
'17 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Air Force's 2017 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/2 Air Force vs VMI-35.0
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/16 Air Force at Michigan+23.053.0L 13 - 29UY
Sat 9/23 Air Force vs San Diego State+1.548.0L 24 - 28ON
Sat 9/30 Air Force at New Mexico-3.050.5L 38 - 56ON
Sat 10/7 Air Force at Navy+8.553.5L 45 - 48OY
Sat 10/14 Air Force vs UNLV-9.565.5W 34 - 30UN
Fri 10/20 Air Force at Nevada-6.565.0W 45 - 42ON
Sat 10/28 Air Force at Colorado State+9.568.5W 45 - 28OY
Sat 11/4 Air Force vs Army-6.554.5L 0 - 21UN
Sat 11/11 Air Force vs Wyoming-2.551.0L 14 - 28UN
Sat 11/18 Air Force at Boise State+17.560.5L 19 - 44ON
Sat 11/25 Air Force vs Utah State-2.557.5W 38 - 35OY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Air Force's Schedule
Navy's 2017 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Fri 9/1 Navy at Florida Atlantic-9.064.0W 42 - 19UY
Sat 9/9 Navy vs Tulane-8.549.5W 23 - 21UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/23 Navy vs Cincinnati-8.552.5W 42 - 32OY
Sat 9/30 Navy at Tulsa-7.570.5W 31 - 21UY
Sat 10/7 Navy vs Air Force-8.553.5W 48 - 45ON
Sat 10/14 Navy at Memphis+3.573.0L 27 - 30UY
Sat 10/21 Navy vs UCF+9.565.5L 21 - 31UN
BYE WEEK
Thu 11/2 Navy at Temple-6.551.5L 26 - 34ON
Sat 11/11 Navy vs SMU-1.566.0W 43 - 40OY
Sat 11/18 Navy at Notre Dame+20.558.5L 17 - 24UY
Fri 11/24 Navy at Houston+6.555.0L 14 - 24UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 12/9 Navy vs Army-2.544.5L 13 - 14UN
Thu 12/28 Navy vs Virginia-2.551.0W 49 - 7OY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Navy's Schedule
Important Stats (2016)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
AFA.2148%29.849%3.2331740%1353.8.1637%30.335%38%3.2752.41.31.8
NAVY.3352%31.554%3.4631044%1284.57.2848%2545%49%4.0924.41.11.3
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
AFA0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
NAVY0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2016
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
AFA Offense1329.832.248.5%3.81.323452317135580%18%49%40%11%.21
NAVY Defense142524.247.8%4.091.3 - - - - - 54%44%45%49%14%.28
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
AFA Defense1330.332.837%3.271.8 - - - - - 49%50%35%38%19%.16
NAVY Offense1431.53852.1%4.571.1214383101285.978%21%54%44%11%.33

Additional Stats 2016
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Air Force1334:0323.251%53%5.252.41.31.85.52.3330.9
Navy1431:1121.154%61%2.824.41.11.34.11.4231.8
Run Game Stats (2017)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
AFA Offense1380%49%63.6317.4539.183.2374%9%0.85
NAVY Defense1454%45% - - - - .163.1879%8%0.99
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
AFA Defense1349%35% - - - - .022.3466%11%1.06
NAVY Offense1478%54%53310.15.961.323.4682%9%1.06

Pass Game Stats (2017)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
AFA Offense1318%40%5.211.5134.811.725.8148.472.425%35%.282%1.6
NAVY Defense1444%49% - - - - - - 7.461.730%41%.516%1.8
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
AFA Defense1350%38% - - - - - - 15.3238%33%.388%2.3
NAVY Offense1421%44%6.611.3128.111.419.397.41.924%38%.512%1.9

Air Force's Power Ratings
Air Force's Power Rating: NR
Air Force's Offense Rating: NR
Air Force's Defense Rating: NR
2017 Talent Rating:  #150
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Air Force's 2017 Expected Record: -
Air Force's 2017 Overall SP+ Rating: -11.0  #104
Air Force's Offense SP+ Rating: 28.8  #59
Air Force's Defense SP+ Rating: 40.5  #121

Average Talent
Average Mountain West Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Air Force:    Navy: 2.15

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Air Force: -11.0   Navy: -0.7




Navy's Power Ratings
Navy's Power Rating: 2.15 NR
Navy's Offense Rating: NR
Navy's Defense Rating: NR
2017 Talent Rating:  #91
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Navy's 2017 Expected Record: -
Navy's 2017 Overall SP+ Rating: -0.7  #73
Navy's Offense SP+ Rating: 32.5  #39
Navy's Defense SP+ Rating: 32.1  #92

Average Talent
Average American Athletic Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76


Air Force Scoring
Offense: 29.8 PPG
Offense on Road: 32.2
Defense: 30.3 PPG
Defense on Road: 32.8

Air Force's 2017 Record
Record: 5 - 7
Record vs Spread: 5 - 7 - 0
Over/Under Record: 7 - 5
Record on Road: 2 - 4
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 3 - 2 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 3 - 1 - 0
Projected Score
Navy 33
Air Force 28

Projected Total Points: 61
Navy Scoring
Offense: 31.5 PPG
Offense at Home: 38
Defense: 25 PPG
Defense at Home: 24.2

Navy's 2017 Record
Record: 7 - 6
Record vs Spread: 7 - 6 - 0
Over/Under Record: 5 - 8
Record at home: 5 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 5 - 4 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 3 - 2 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202510/04Navy34Air Force31Navy -13.5Air Force50.5Over
202410/05Air Force7Navy34Navy -10Navy37.0Over
202310/21Navy6Air Force17Air Force -11NA34.0Under
202210/01Air Force13Navy10Air Force -14Navy38.0Under
202109/11Navy3Air Force23Air Force -6Air Force40.0Under
202010/03Air Force40Navy7Navy -6.5Air Force46.5Over
201910/05Navy34Air Force25Air Force -3Navy46.5Over
201810/06Air Force35Navy7Navy -2.5Air Force47.0Under
201710/07Navy48Air Force45Navy -8.5Air Force53.5Over
201610/01Air Force28Navy14Air Force -10.5Air Force50.5Under
201510/03Navy33Air Force11Navy -6Navy49.5Under
201410/04Air Force30Navy21Navy -4Air Force0
201310/05Navy28Air Force10Navy -11Navy0
201210/06Air Force21Navy28
201110/01Navy34Air Force35
201010/02Air Force14Navy6
200910/03Navy16Air Force13
200810/04Air Force27Navy33
200709/29Navy31Air Force20
200610/07Air Force17Navy24
200510/08Navy27Air Force24
200409/30Air Force21Navy24
200310/04Navy28Air Force25
200210/05Air Force48Navy7
200110/06Navy18Air Force24
200010/06Air Force27Navy13
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Navy1455 Overs
Air Force1276 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams17 - 97 - 53 - 34 - 2
Road Teams9 - 175 - 72 - 43 - 3

(#) AFA at (#) NAVY
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatAFANAVY
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #104 #73
Perf GradeGradeNRNR
OffenseOffNRNR
DefenseDefNRNR
Spec TeamsSTNRNR
TalentTal #150 #91
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
Air Force on Offense
CategoryCat
AFA OffNAVY Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #59 #92
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Air Force Run Game
CategoryCat
AFA OffNAVY Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Air Force Pass Game
CategoryCat
AFA OffNAVY Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Navy on Offense
CategoryCatNAVY OffAFA Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #39 #121
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Navy Run Game
CategoryCat
NAVY OffAFA Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Navy Pass Game
CategoryCatNAVY OffAFA Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
NAVY 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'17 Profile: Down to Top G5

AFA 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'17 Profile: Down to Below Avg G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Navy-Marine Corps Memorial Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Rematch from Week 6
Navy -8.5 (53.5)
Navy won vs Air Force this year (48-45)

Previous Matchups
Navy beat Air Force last year (34-31)
Navy beat Air Force in 2024 (34-7)
Air Force beat Navy in 2023 (17-6)

  
AFA's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View Air Force's Full Roster

AFA's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD

NAVY's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View Navy's Full Roster

NAVY's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD