Navy at Tulsa - 2017 Matchup Preview
Navy logo Navy Midshipmen at Tulsa Golden HurricaneTulsa logo
Saturday, September 30th 2017 (3:30 PM EDT)
Navy -7.5 (70.5) (0)  Open: 0.0
Navy 31 - Tulsa: 21  (American Athletic)

 
Midshipmen (7 - 6) (7 - 6 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 31 - 26 (26 - 25 on Road)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
TLSA 2nd straight Home Game
TLSA is playing their 5th straight game
Our Line: -2.5  (SP+ NAVY -10)
Projected Score: NAVY: 35 - TLSA: 29 (64)
NAVY Win prob: 73% | Cover: 49%
NAVY Travel: 1080 miles, 1 hrs ahead
Golden Hurricane (2 - 10) (5 - 7 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 29 - 38 (30 - 32 @ Home)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Navy's 2017 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Fri 9/1 Navy at Florida Atlantic-9.064.0W 42 - 19UY
Sat 9/9 Navy vs Tulane-8.549.5W 23 - 21UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/23 Navy vs Cincinnati-8.552.5W 42 - 32OY
Sat 9/30 Navy at Tulsa-7.570.5W 31 - 21UY
Sat 10/7 Navy vs Air Force-8.553.5W 48 - 45ON
Sat 10/14 Navy at Memphis+3.573.0L 27 - 30UY
Sat 10/21 Navy vs UCF+9.565.5L 21 - 31UN
BYE WEEK
Thu 11/2 Navy at Temple-6.551.5L 26 - 34ON
Sat 11/11 Navy vs SMU-1.566.0W 43 - 40OY
Sat 11/18 Navy at Notre Dame+20.558.5L 17 - 24UY
Fri 11/24 Navy at Houston+6.555.0L 14 - 24UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 12/9 Navy vs Army-2.544.5L 13 - 14UN
Thu 12/28 Navy vs Virginia-2.551.0W 49 - 7OY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Navy's Schedule
Tulsa's 2017 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Thu 8/31 Tulsa at Oklahoma State+19.571.5L 24 - 59ON
Sat 9/9 Tulsa vs Louisiana-14.059.0W 66 - 42OY
Sat 9/16 Tulsa at Toledo+7.074.0L 51 - 54OY
Sat 9/23 Tulsa vs New Mexico-9.068.5L 13 - 16UN
Sat 9/30 Tulsa vs Navy+7.570.5L 21 - 31UN
Sat 10/7 Tulsa at Tulane+6.054.0L 28 - 62ON
Sat 10/14 Tulsa vs Houston+13.563.5W 45 - 17UY
Sat 10/21 Tulsa at UConn-4.077.0L 14 - 20UN
Fri 10/27 Tulsa at SMU+11.576.5L 34 - 38UY
Fri 11/3 Tulsa vs Memphis+14.581.0L 14 - 41UN
BYE WEEK
Thu 11/16 Tulsa at South Florida+23.565.5L 20 - 27UY
Sat 11/25 Tulsa vs Temple+4.556.5L 22 - 43ON

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Tulsa's Schedule
Important Stats (2017)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
NAVY.2648%30.549%3.4135133%774.2546%26.343%48%3.4640.61.51.2
TLSA.1842%29.346%2.9224733%1733.52.3147%37.545%47%3.6601.11.1
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
NAVY#12 (.31)44% (51)46% (43)3.27 (32)23139% (101)1174.39 (26)#28 (.1)41% (61)46% (95)37% (24)3.48 (35)41.91.11.8
TLSA#124 (.06)34% (131)35% (128)2.88 (97)15133% (126)2393.54 (100)#127 (.31)42% (75)38% (23)46% (115)4.7 (130)511.91.3



Overall Stats 2017
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
NAVY Offense1330.526.247.8%41.521429351775.687%12%49%33%10%.26
TLSA Defense1237.531.747%3.61.1 - - - - - 59%40%45%47%13%.31
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
NAVY Defense1326.325.346%3.461.2 - - - - - 53%45%43%48%15%.25
TLSA Offense1229.330.242.4%3.521.122420247173564%35%46%33%15%.18

Additional Stats 2017
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Navy1336:1821.245%66%4.140.61.51.24.81.2034
Tulsa1228:0121.844%61%7601.11.14.91129.4
Run Game Stats (2017)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
NAVY Offense1387%49%63.2351.45.642.273.4183%7%1.06
TLSA Defense1259%45% - - - - .23.3366%8%1.13
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
NAVY Defense1353%43% - - - - .12.7270%10%0.97
TLSA Offense1264%46%49.3247.3536.252.9273%9%1.12

Pass Game Stats (2017)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
NAVY Offense1312%33%3.27.877.39.923.91010.262.427%30%.273%1.8
TLSA Defense1240%47% - - - - - - 7.471.929%41%.465%1.8
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
NAVY Defense1345%48% - - - - - - 7.451.731%37%.346%1.8
TLSA Offense1235%33%1324.3173.17.113.368.061.732%33%.256%1.8

Navy's Power Ratings
Navy's Power Rating: NR
Navy's Offense Rating: NR
Navy's Defense Rating: NR
2017 Talent Rating:  #91
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Navy's 2017 Expected Record: -
Navy's 2017 Overall SP+ Rating: -0.7  #73
Navy's Offense SP+ Rating: 32.5  #39
Navy's Defense SP+ Rating: 32.1  #92

Average Talent
Average American Athletic Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
Navy:    Tulsa: -2.85

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Navy: -0.7   Tulsa: -10.7




Tulsa's Power Ratings
Tulsa's Power Rating: -2.85 NR
Tulsa's Offense Rating: NR
Tulsa's Defense Rating: NR
2017 Talent Rating:  #80
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Tulsa's 2017 Expected Record: -
Tulsa's 2017 Overall SP+ Rating: -10.7  #103
Tulsa's Offense SP+ Rating: 27.3  #76
Tulsa's Defense SP+ Rating: 37.8  #114

Average Talent
Average American Athletic Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482


Navy Scoring
Offense: 30.5 PPG
Offense on Road: 26.2
Defense: 26.3 PPG
Defense on Road: 25.3

Navy's 2017 Record
Record: 7 - 6
Record vs Spread: 7 - 6 - 0
Over/Under Record: 5 - 8
Record on Road: 2 - 4
Record vs Spread on Road: 4 - 2 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 5 - 4 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 2 - 1 - 0
Projected Score
Navy 35
Tulsa 29

Total Points: 64

Based on Last 4 Games
Navy 38
Tulsa 29

Total Points: 67

Based on Entire Season
Navy 32
Tulsa 28

Total Points: 60
Tulsa Scoring
Offense: 29.3 PPG
Offense at Home: 30.2
Defense: 37.5 PPG
Defense at Home: 31.7

Tulsa's 2017 Record
Record: 2 - 10
Record vs Spread: 5 - 7 - 0
Over/Under Record: 5 - 7
Record at home: 2 - 4
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 4 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 4 - 5 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 1 - 3 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202509/13Tulsa23Navy42Navy -14Navy52.5Over
202210/08Navy53Tulsa21Tulsa -4.5Navy45.5Over
202110/29Tulsa17Navy20Tulsa -11Navy46.0Under
202012/05Navy6Tulsa19Tulsa -12Tulsa46.0Under
201910/12Tulsa17Navy45Tulsa -1Navy52.0Over
201811/17Navy37Tulsa29Navy -5Navy50.5Over
201709/30Tulsa21Navy31Navy -7.5Navy70.5Under
201611/12Navy42Tulsa40Navy -1Navy71.5Over
201511/21Tulsa21Navy44Navy -9.5Navy64.5Over
200609/23Navy23Tulsa24
200409/18Tulsa0Navy29
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Tulsa216 Overs
Navy983 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams3 - 83 - 62 - 21 - 4
Road Teams8 - 36 - 34 - 12 - 2

(#) NAVY at (#) TLSA
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatNAVYTLSA
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #73 #103
Perf GradeGradeNRNR
OffenseOffNRNR
DefenseDefNRNR
Spec TeamsSTNRNR
TalentTal #91 #80
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
Navy on Offense
CategoryCat
NAVY OffTLSA Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #39 #114
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Navy Run Game
CategoryCat
NAVY OffTLSA Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Navy Pass Game
CategoryCat
NAVY OffTLSA Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Tulsa on Offense
CategoryCatTLSA OffNAVY Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #76 #92
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Tulsa Run Game
CategoryCat
TLSA OffNAVY Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Tulsa Pass Game
CategoryCatTLSA OffNAVY Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
TLSA 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'17 Profile: Down to Below Avg G5

NAVY 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'17 Profile: Down to Top G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in at H. A. Chapman Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 80° - Wind: 7 mph
Rematch from Week 5
Navy 7.5 (70.5)
Navy won at Tulsa this year (31-21)

Previous Matchups
Navy beat Tulsa in 2022 (53-21)

  
NAVY's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

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NAVY's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD

TLSA's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

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TLSA's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD