TCU at SMU - 2016 Matchup Preview
TCU logo   TCU Horned Frogs at SMU Mustangs  SMU logo
Friday, September 23rd 2016 (8:00 PM EDT)
TCU -24 (68.0) (0)  Open: 0.0
TCU 33 - SMU: 3

 
Horned Frogs (6 - 7) (3 - 10 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 31 - 25 (26 - 26 on Road)
'16 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
SMU 2nd straight Home Game
SMU is playing their 4th straight game
TCU is playing their 4th straight game
Our Line: -8.5  (SP+ TCU -22)
Projected Score: TCU: 24 - SMU: 30 (54)
TCU Win prob: 96% | Cover: 57%
TCU Travel: 35 miles
Mustangs (5 - 7) (8 - 4 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 32 - 21 (36 - 19 @ Home)
'16 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
TCU's 2016 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/3 TCU vs South Dakota State-39.5
Sat 9/10 TCU vs Arkansas-6.057.5L 38 - 41ON
Sat 9/17 TCU vs Iowa State-23.560.5W 41 - 20ON
Fri 9/23 TCU at SMU-24.068.0W 33 - 3UY
Sat 10/1 TCU vs Oklahoma+3.565.5L 46 - 52ON
Sat 10/8 TCU at Kansas-29.561.0W 24 - 23UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/22 TCU at West Virginia+5.065.0L 10 - 34UN
Sat 10/29 TCU vs Texas Tech-8.587.0L 24 - 27UN
Sat 11/5 TCU at Baylor+9.065.0W 62 - 22OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/19 TCU vs Oklahoma State-4.568.5L 6 - 31UN
Fri 11/25 TCU at Texas+3.060.5W 31 - 9UY
Sat 12/3 TCU vs Kansas State-4.550.0L 6 - 30UN
Fri 12/30 TCU vs Georgia-1.549.0L 23 - 31ON

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for TCU's Schedule
SMU's 2016 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/3 SMU at North Texas-12.068.0W 34 - 21UY
Sat 9/10 SMU at Baylor+28.572.0L 13 - 40UY
Sat 9/17 SMU vs Liberty-13.5
Fri 9/23 SMU vs TCU+24.068.0L 3 - 33UN
Sat 10/1 SMU at Temple+13.553.0L 20 - 45ON
Fri 10/7 SMU at Tulsa+11.068.0L 40 - 43OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/22 SMU vs Houston+24.060.0W 38 - 16UY
Sat 10/29 SMU at Tulane+1.048.0W 35 - 31OY
Sat 11/5 SMU vs Memphis+6.565.0L 7 - 51UN
Sat 11/12 SMU at East Carolina+5.063.0W 55 - 31OY
Sat 11/19 SMU vs South Florida+12.573.0L 27 - 35UY
Sat 11/26 SMU vs Navy+8.065.5L 31 - 75ON

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for SMU's Schedule
Important Stats (2015)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
TCU.2649%30.748%3.1621547%3473.88.0938%25.341%32%3.4370.91.51.5
SMU.1541%32.244%2.8616536%2184.08.3650%20.553%43%4.6750.32.11.3
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
TCU0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
SMU0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2015
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
TCU Offense1330.725.548.5%3.881.528563215347548%51%48%47%2%.26
SMU Defense1220.519.249.9%4.671.3 - - - - - 60%39%53%43%2%.36
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
TCU Defense1325.326.237.8%3.431.5 - - - - - 52%46%41%32%2%.09
SMU Offense1232.23641.3%4.082.1213831652183.953%46%44%36%2%.15

Additional Stats 2015
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
TCU1331:2127.543%47%7.270.91.51.500330.3
SMU1231:2620.539%35%5.450.32.11.300128.4
Run Game Stats (2016)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
TCU Offense1348%48%43.2215.4526.123.1665%0%0.87
SMU Defense1260%53% - - - - .313.477%0%1.1
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
TCU Defense1352%41% - - - - .12.8170%0%0.95
SMU Offense1253%44%41.9164.53.923.122.8667%0%0.96

Pass Game Stats (2016)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
TCU Offense1351%47%25.139.8347.58.713.93915.41.729%38%.392%1.8
SMU Defense1239%43% - - - - - - 10.51.928%34%.392%1.9
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
TCU Defense1346%32% - - - - - - 7.11.833%27%.192%2.1
SMU Offense1246%36%16.930.5218.37.212.9198.191.835%35%.312%1.9

TCU's Power Ratings
TCU's Power Rating: NR
TCU's Offense Rating: NR
TCU's Defense Rating: NR
2016 Talent Rating:  #30
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
TCU's 2016 Expected Record: -
TCU's 2016 Overall SP+ Rating: 11.0  #34
TCU's Offense SP+ Rating: 34.5  #37
TCU's Defense SP+ Rating: 23.4  #36

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
TCU:    SMU: -2.9

SP+ Ratings Matchup
TCU: 11.0   SMU: -10.8




SMU's Power Ratings
SMU's Power Rating: -2.9 NR
SMU's Offense Rating: NR
SMU's Defense Rating: NR
2016 Talent Rating:  #75
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
SMU's 2016 Expected Record: -
SMU's 2016 Overall SP+ Rating: -10.8  #103
SMU's Offense SP+ Rating: 24.3  #99
SMU's Defense SP+ Rating: 32.6  #89

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76


TCU Scoring
Offense: 30.7 PPG
Offense on Road: 25.5
Defense: 25.3 PPG
Defense on Road: 26.2

TCU's 2016 Record
Record: 6 - 7
Record vs Spread: 3 - 10 - 0
Over/Under Record: 5 - 8
Record on Road: 4 - 1
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 2 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 1 - 8 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 1 - 1 - 0
Projected Score
SMU 30
TCU 24

Projected Total Points: 54
SMU Scoring
Offense: 32.2 PPG
Offense at Home: 36
Defense: 20.5 PPG
Defense at Home: 19.2

SMU's 2016 Record
Record: 5 - 7
Record vs Spread: 8 - 4 - 0
Over/Under Record: 5 - 7
Record at home: 2 - 4
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 6 - 4 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 2 - 3 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202509/20TCU35SMU24TCU -6.5TCU63.5Under
202409/21SMU66TCU42TCU -1SMU58.5Over
202309/23TCU34SMU17TCU -7TCU63.5Under
202209/24SMU34TCU42TCU -2.5TCU72.0Over
202109/25TCU34SMU42TCU -8SMU66.0Over
201909/21TCU38SMU41TCU -7.5SMU54.5Over
201809/07SMU12TCU42TCU -23.5TCU59.5Under
201709/16TCU56SMU36TCU -22SMU64.5Over
201609/23SMU3TCU33TCU -24TCU68.0Under
201509/19TCU56SMU37TCU -38SMU68.5Over
201409/27SMU0TCU56TCU -31TCU0
201309/28TCU48SMU17TCU -19.5TCU0
201209/29SMU16TCU24
201110/01TCU33SMU40
201009/24SMU24TCU41
200910/03TCU39SMU14
200809/20SMU7TCU48
200709/22TCU21SMU7
200509/10SMU21TCU10
200409/11TCU44SMU0
200311/29SMU13TCU20
200209/14TCU17SMU6
200109/08SMU10TCU38
200011/23SMU7TCU62
TeamWinsCoversO/U
SMU556 Overs
TCU1974 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams11 - 134 - 83 - 41 - 4
Road Teams13 - 118 - 44 - 14 - 3

(#) TCU at (#) SMU
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatTCUSMU
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #34 #103
Perf GradeGradeNRNR
OffenseOffNRNR
DefenseDefNRNR
Spec TeamsSTNRNR
TalentTal #30 #75
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
TCU on Offense
CategoryCat
TCU OffSMU Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #37 #89
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
TCU Run Game
CategoryCat
TCU OffSMU Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
TCU Pass Game
CategoryCat
TCU OffSMU Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
SMU on Offense
CategoryCatSMU OffTCU Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #99 #36
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
SMU Run Game
CategoryCat
SMU OffTCU Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
SMU Pass Game
CategoryCatSMU OffTCU Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
SMU 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'16 Profile: Down to Below Avg G5

TCU 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'16 Profile: Down to Average P4

Weather Forecast
Playing in Gerald J. Ford Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Rematch from Week 4
TCU 24.0 (68.0)
TCU won at SMU this year (33-3)

Previous Matchups
TCU beat SMU last year (35-24)
SMU beat TCU in 2024 (66-42)
TCU beat SMU in 2023 (34-17)

  
TCU's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

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TCU's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD

SMU's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

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SMU's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD