TCU at Texas - 2016 Matchup Preview
TCU logo TCU Horned Frogs at Texas Longhorns(#17)Texas logo
Friday, November 25th 2016 (3:30 PM EST)
Texas -3 (60.5) (0)  Open: 0.0
TCU 31 - Texas: 9  (Big 12)

 
Horned Frogs (6 - 7) (3 - 10 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 31 - 28 (32 - 18 on Road)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
TEX is playing their 9th straight game
Our Line: -2.5  (SP+ TCU -0.5)
Projected Score: TCU: 30 - TEX: 28 (58)
TEX Win prob: 56% | Cover: 47%
TCU Travel: 169 miles
Longhorns (5 - 7) (6 - 5 - 1)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 32 - 32 (30 - 25 @ Home)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
TCU's 2016 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/3 TCU vs South Dakota State-39.5
Sat 9/10 TCU vs Arkansas-6.057.5L 38 - 41ON
Sat 9/17 TCU vs Iowa State-23.560.5W 41 - 20ON
Fri 9/23 TCU at SMU-24.068.0W 33 - 3UY
Sat 10/1 TCU vs Oklahoma+3.565.5L 46 - 52ON
Sat 10/8 TCU at Kansas-29.561.0W 24 - 23UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/22 TCU at West Virginia+5.065.0L 10 - 34UN
Sat 10/29 TCU vs Texas Tech-8.587.0L 24 - 27UN
Sat 11/5 TCU at Baylor+9.065.0W 62 - 22OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/19 TCU vs Oklahoma State-4.568.5L 6 - 31UN
Fri 11/25 TCU at Texas+3.060.5W 31 - 9UY
Sat 12/3 TCU vs Kansas State-4.550.0L 6 - 30UN
Fri 12/30 TCU vs Georgia-1.549.0L 23 - 31ON

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for TCU's Schedule
Texas's 2016 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sun 9/4 Texas vs Notre Dame+2.554.5W 50 - 47OY
Sat 9/10 Texas vs UTEP-26.058.0W 41 - 7UY
Sat 9/17 Texas at California-6.079.5L 43 - 50ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/1 Texas at Oklahoma State+3.068.0L 31 - 49ON
Sat 10/8 Texas vs Oklahoma+6.572.5L 40 - 45OY
Sat 10/15 Texas vs Iowa State-13.569.0W 27 - 6UY
Sat 10/22 Texas at Kansas State+3.054.0L 21 - 24UY
Sat 10/29 Texas vs Baylor+3.575.5W 35 - 34UY
Sat 11/5 Texas at Texas Tech-4.085.5W 45 - 37UY
Sat 11/12 Texas vs West Virginia+1.066.0L 20 - 24UN
Sat 11/19 Texas at Kansas-21.061.5L 21 - 24UN
Fri 11/25 Texas vs TCU-3.060.5L 9 - 31UN

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Texas's Schedule
Important Stats (2016)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
TCU.246%3148%3.2919542%2683.3.1641%2842%36%3.4761.31.51.2
TEX.1747%31.949%3.3323943%2523.3.1943%31.544%41%3.5564.11.91.5
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
TCU#18 (.3)47% (20)45% (53)2.95 (85)10649% (9)2934.46 (20)#82 (.19)42% (67)46% (102)36% (18)3.82 (72)49.71.61.1
TEX#39 (.24)46% (27)49% (16)2.95 (84)15244% (43)2414.03 (54)#3 (-.01)38% (22)42% (61)34% (7)2.57 (3)44.31.41.8



Overall Stats 2016
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
TCU Offense13313245.9%3.31.5234631952685.245%53%48%42%15%.2
TEX Defense1231.524.843.3%3.551.5 - - - - - 53%45%44%41%18%.19
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
TCU Defense132818.240.8%3.471.2 - - - - - 52%46%42%36%16%.16
TEX Offense1231.930.347.2%3.31.9254912392524.856%42%49%43%14%.17

Additional Stats 2016
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
TCU1328:0722.840%59%6.861.31.51.26.53.3229.4
Texas1228:1625.236%50%7.164.11.91.57.83.4030.3
Run Game Stats (2016)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
TCU Offense1345%48%37.51955.230.253.2968%9%1.04
TEX Defense1253%44% - - - - .122.9277%12%0.93
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
TCU Defense1352%42% - - - - .183.182%10%0.99
TEX Offense1256%49%49.8239.34.827.193.3380%8%0.86

Pass Game Stats (2016)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
TCU Offense1353%42%22.738.7268.26.911.81814.171.432%33%.317%1.7
TEX Defense1245%41% - - - - - - 10.291.633%36%.426%1.9
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
TCU Defense1346%36% - - - - - - 8.171.734%34%.36%1.7
TEX Offense1242%43%20.133.52527.512.62112.161.428%29%.136%1.5

TCU's Power Ratings
TCU's Power Rating: NR
TCU's Offense Rating: NR
TCU's Defense Rating: NR
2016 Talent Rating:  #30
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
TCU's 2016 Expected Record: -
TCU's 2016 Overall SP+ Rating: 11.0  #34
TCU's Offense SP+ Rating: 34.5  #37
TCU's Defense SP+ Rating: 23.4  #36

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
TCU:    Texas: 7.8

SP+ Ratings Matchup
TCU: 11.0   Texas: 10.6




Texas's Power Ratings
Texas's Power Rating: 7.8 NR
Texas's Offense Rating: NR
Texas's Defense Rating: NR
2016 Talent Rating:  #11
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Texas's 2016 Expected Record: -
Texas's 2016 Overall SP+ Rating: 10.6  #36
Texas's Offense SP+ Rating: 37.4  #25
Texas's Defense SP+ Rating: 26.8  #50

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482


TCU Scoring
Offense: 31 PPG
Offense on Road: 32
Defense: 28 PPG
Defense on Road: 18.2

TCU's 2016 Record
Record: 6 - 7
Record vs Spread: 3 - 10 - 0
Over/Under Record: 5 - 8
Record on Road: 4 - 1
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 2 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 2 - 2 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 2 - 1 - 0
Projected Score
TCU 30
Texas 28

Total Points: 58

Based on Last 4 Games
TCU 30
Texas 29

Total Points: 59

Based on Entire Season
TCU 30
Texas 27

Total Points: 57
Texas Scoring
Offense: 31.9 PPG
Offense at Home: 30.3
Defense: 31.5 PPG
Defense at Home: 24.8

Texas's 2016 Record
Record: 5 - 7
Record vs Spread: 6 - 5 - 1
Over/Under Record: 4 - 8
Record at home: 4 - 2
Record vs Spread at home: 4 - 2 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 2 - 1 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202311/11TCU26Texas29Texas -13.0TCU56.0Under
202211/12Texas10TCU17Texas -7.5TCU65.0Under
202110/02TCU27Texas32Texas -3.5Texas65.5Under
202010/03Texas31TCU33Texas -10.5TCU61.5Over
201910/26TCU37Texas27TCU -1.5TCU57.0Over
201809/22Texas31TCU16TCU -3Texas50.0Under
201711/04TCU24Texas7TCU -7.5TCU45.0Under
201611/25Texas9TCU31Texas -3TCU60.5Under
201510/03TCU50Texas7TCU -18.5TCU73.0Under
201411/27Texas10TCU48TCU -7.5TCU0
201310/26TCU7Texas30TCU -3.5Texas0
201211/22Texas13TCU20
200709/08Texas34TCU13
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Texas532 Overs
TCU887 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams5 - 85 - 63 - 42 - 2
Road Teams8 - 56 - 52 - 24 - 3

(#) TCU at (#) TEX
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatTCUTEX
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #34 #36
Perf GradeGradeNRNR
OffenseOffNRNR
DefenseDefNRNR
Spec TeamsSTNRNR
TalentTal #30 #11
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
TCU on Offense
CategoryCat
TCU OffTEX Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #37 #50
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
TCU Run Game
CategoryCat
TCU OffTEX Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
TCU Pass Game
CategoryCat
TCU OffTEX Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Texas on Offense
CategoryCatTEX OffTCU Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #25 #36
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Texas Run Game
CategoryCat
TEX OffTCU Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Texas Pass Game
CategoryCatTEX OffTCU Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
TEX 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'16 Profile: Down to Average P4

TCU 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'16 Profile: Down to Average P4

Weather Forecast
Playing in Darrell K Royal-Texas Memorial Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 64°
Rematch from Week 13
Texas -3.0 (60.5)
TCU won at Texas this year (31-9)

Previous Matchups
Texas beat TCU in 2023 (29-26)
TCU beat Texas in 2022 (17-10)

  
TCU's OC ()
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Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

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TCU's DC ()
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Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD

TEX's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

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TEX's DC ()
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