Iowa State at TCU - 2016 Matchup Preview
Iowa State logo   Iowa State Cyclones at TCU Horned Frogs  TCU logo
Saturday, September 17th 2016 (12:00 PM EDT)
TCU -23.5 (60.5) (0)  Open: 0.0
TCU 41 - Iowa State: 20  (Big 12)

 
Cyclones (3 - 9) (7 - 5 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 27 - 20 (22 - 22 on Road)
'16 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
ISU 2nd straight Road Game
TCU 3rd straight Home Game
Our Line: -7.5  (SP+ TCU -10)
Projected Score: ISU: 25 - TCU: 27 (52)
TCU Win prob: 96% | Cover: 54%
ISU Travel: 675 miles
Horned Frogs (6 - 7) (3 - 10 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 31 - 25 (36 - 24 @ Home)
'16 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Iowa State's 2016 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/3 Iowa State vs Northern Iowa-11.0
Sat 9/10 Iowa State at Iowa+18.049.0L 3 - 42UN
Sat 9/17 Iowa State at TCU+23.560.5L 20 - 41OY
Sat 9/24 Iowa State vs San José State-6.052.0W 44 - 10OY
Sat 10/1 Iowa State vs Baylor+17.062.0L 42 - 45OY
Sat 10/8 Iowa State at Oklahoma State+16.568.5L 31 - 38OY
Sat 10/15 Iowa State at Texas+13.569.0L 6 - 27UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/29 Iowa State vs Kansas State+6.050.5L 26 - 31OY
Thu 11/3 Iowa State vs Oklahoma+19.571.0L 24 - 34UY
Sat 11/12 Iowa State at Kansas-11.554.5W 31 - 24ON
Sat 11/19 Iowa State vs Texas Tech+3.074.5W 66 - 10OY
Sat 11/26 Iowa State vs West Virginia+9.060.5L 19 - 49ON

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Iowa State's Schedule
TCU's 2016 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/3 TCU vs South Dakota State-39.5
Sat 9/10 TCU vs Arkansas-6.057.5L 38 - 41ON
Sat 9/17 TCU vs Iowa State-23.560.5W 41 - 20ON
Fri 9/23 TCU at SMU-24.068.0W 33 - 3UY
Sat 10/1 TCU vs Oklahoma+3.565.5L 46 - 52ON
Sat 10/8 TCU at Kansas-29.561.0W 24 - 23UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/22 TCU at West Virginia+5.065.0L 10 - 34UN
Sat 10/29 TCU vs Texas Tech-8.587.0L 24 - 27UN
Sat 11/5 TCU at Baylor+9.065.0W 62 - 22OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/19 TCU vs Oklahoma State-4.568.5L 6 - 31UN
Fri 11/25 TCU at Texas+3.060.5W 31 - 9UY
Sat 12/3 TCU vs Kansas State-4.550.0L 6 - 30UN
Fri 12/30 TCU vs Georgia-1.549.0L 23 - 31ON

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for TCU's Schedule
Important Stats (2015)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
ISU.1243%27.447%3.118238%2263.32.2147%20.246%46%3.5240.821.1
TCU.2649%30.748%3.1621547%3473.88.0938%25.341%32%3.4370.91.51.5
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
ISU0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
TCU0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2015
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
ISU Offense1227.422.243.3%3.322214081822264.450%48%47%38%2%.12
TCU Defense1325.324.237.8%3.431.5 - - - - - 52%46%41%32%2%.09
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
ISU Defense1220.221.647.1%3.521.1 - - - - - 50%48%46%46%1%.21
TCU Offense1330.73648.5%3.881.528563215347548%51%48%47%2%.26

Additional Stats 2015
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Iowa State1231:3221.440%45%4.940.821.100129.1
TCU1331:2127.543%47%7.270.91.51.500330.3
Run Game Stats (2016)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
ISU Offense1250%47%41.51824.418.093.162%0%0.87
TCU Defense1352%41% - - - - .12.8170%0%0.95
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
ISU Defense1250%46% - - - - .082.8762%0%0.82
TCU Offense1348%48%43.2215.4526.123.1665%0%0.87

Pass Game Stats (2016)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
ISU Offense1248%38%19.834.3226.36.611.51812.161.630%28%.282%2.2
TCU Defense1346%32% - - - - - - 7.11.833%27%.192%2.1
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
ISU Defense1248%46% - - - - - - 5.351.531%34%.371%1.9
TCU Offense1351%47%25.139.8347.58.713.93915.41.729%38%.392%1.8

Iowa State's Power Ratings
Iowa State's Power Rating: NR
Iowa State's Offense Rating: NR
Iowa State's Defense Rating: NR
2016 Talent Rating:  #56
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Iowa State's 2016 Expected Record: -
Iowa State's 2016 Overall SP+ Rating: 0.7  #65
Iowa State's Offense SP+ Rating: 27.0  #81
Iowa State's Defense SP+ Rating: 28.5  #67

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Iowa State:    TCU: 8

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Iowa State: 0.7   TCU: 11.0




TCU's Power Ratings
TCU's Power Rating: 8 NR
TCU's Offense Rating: NR
TCU's Defense Rating: NR
2016 Talent Rating:  #30
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
TCU's 2016 Expected Record: -
TCU's 2016 Overall SP+ Rating: 11.0  #34
TCU's Offense SP+ Rating: 34.5  #37
TCU's Defense SP+ Rating: 23.4  #36

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76


Iowa State Scoring
Offense: 27.4 PPG
Offense on Road: 22.2
Defense: 20.2 PPG
Defense on Road: 21.6

Iowa State's 2016 Record
Record: 3 - 9
Record vs Spread: 7 - 5 - 0
Over/Under Record: 8 - 4
Record on Road: 1 - 4
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 6 - 3 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 2 - 2 - 0
Projected Score
TCU 27
Iowa State 25

Projected Total Points: 52
TCU Scoring
Offense: 30.7 PPG
Offense at Home: 36
Defense: 25.3 PPG
Defense at Home: 24.2

TCU's 2016 Record
Record: 6 - 7
Record vs Spread: 3 - 10 - 0
Over/Under Record: 5 - 8
Record at home: 2 - 5
Record vs Spread at home: 0 - 7 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 1 - 8 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 0 - 6 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202511/08TCU17Iowa State20TCU -7.5Iowa State58.5Under
202310/07Iowa State27TCU14TCU -6.5Iowa State52.5Under
202211/26TCU62Iowa State14TCU -9.5TCU46.0Over
202111/26Iowa State48TCU14Iowa State -16Iowa State61.5Over
202009/26TCU34Iowa State37Iowa State -4.5TCU43.5Over
201910/05Iowa State49TCU24Iowa State -3Iowa State45.0Over
201809/29TCU17Iowa State14TCU -11Iowa State44.5Under
201710/28Iowa State14TCU7TCU -7Iowa State48.5Under
201609/17TCU41Iowa State20TCU -23.5Iowa State60.5Over
201510/17Iowa State21TCU45TCU -18TCU68.0Under
201412/06TCU55Iowa State3TCU -33TCU0
201311/09Iowa State17TCU21TCU -8Iowa State0
201210/06TCU23Iowa State37
200512/31Iowa State24TCU27
TeamWinsCoversO/U
TCU745 Overs
Iowa State785 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams8 - 68 - 44 - 34 - 1
Road Teams6 - 84 - 81 - 43 - 4

(#) ISU at (#) TCU
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatISUTCU
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #65 #34
Perf GradeGradeNRNR
OffenseOffNRNR
DefenseDefNRNR
Spec TeamsSTNRNR
TalentTal #56 #30
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
Iowa State on Offense
CategoryCat
ISU OffTCU Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #81 #36
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Iowa State Run Game
CategoryCat
ISU OffTCU Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Iowa State Pass Game
CategoryCat
ISU OffTCU Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
TCU on Offense
CategoryCatTCU OffISU Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #37 #67
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
TCU Run Game
CategoryCat
TCU OffISU Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
TCU Pass Game
CategoryCatTCU OffISU Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
TCU 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'16 Profile: Down to Average P4

ISU 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'16 Profile: Down to Top G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Amon G. Carter Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Rematch from Week 3
TCU -23.5 (60.5)
TCU won vs Iowa State this year (41-20)

Previous Matchups
Iowa State beat TCU last year (20-17)
Iowa State beat TCU in 2023 (27-14)

  
ISU's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View Iowa State's Full Roster

ISU's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD

TCU's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View TCU's Full Roster

TCU's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD