Kansas State at TCU - 2016 Matchup Preview
Kansas State logo   Kansas State Wildcats at TCU Horned Frogs  TCU logo
Saturday, December 3rd 2016 (12:00 PM EST)
TCU -4.5 (50.0) (0)  Open: 0.0
Kansas State 30 - TCU: 6  (Big 12)

 
Wildcats (9 - 4) (6 - 6 - 1)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 29 - 27 (31 - 26 on Road)
'16 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Our Line: -4  (SP+ TCU -3)
Projected Score: KSU: 27 - TCU: 30 (57)
TCU Win prob: 64% | Cover: 49%
KSU Travel: 451 miles
Horned Frogs (6 - 7) (3 - 10 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 31 - 25 (36 - 24 @ Home)
'16 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Kansas State's 2016 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Fri 9/2 Kansas State at Stanford+16.549.0L 13 - 26UY
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/17 Kansas State vs Florida Atlantic-19.049.5W 63 - 7OY
Sat 9/24 Kansas State vs Missouri State-46.5
Sat 10/1 Kansas State at West Virginia+5.556.0L 16 - 17UY
Sat 10/8 Kansas State vs Texas Tech-9.067.5W 44 - 38ON
Sat 10/15 Kansas State at Oklahoma+13.056.5L 17 - 38UN
Sat 10/22 Kansas State vs Texas-3.054.0W 24 - 21UN
Sat 10/29 Kansas State at Iowa State-6.050.5W 31 - 26ON
Sat 11/5 Kansas State vs Oklahoma State-2.558.0L 37 - 43ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/19 Kansas State at Baylor-2.058.5W 42 - 21OY
Sat 11/26 Kansas State vs Kansas-24.551.0W 34 - 19ON
Sat 12/3 Kansas State at TCU+4.550.0W 30 - 6UY
Wed 12/28 Kansas State vs Texas A&M+2.556.0W 33 - 28OY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Kansas State's Schedule
TCU's 2016 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/3 TCU vs South Dakota State-39.5
Sat 9/10 TCU vs Arkansas-6.057.5L 38 - 41ON
Sat 9/17 TCU vs Iowa State-23.560.5W 41 - 20ON
Fri 9/23 TCU at SMU-24.068.0W 33 - 3UY
Sat 10/1 TCU vs Oklahoma+3.565.5L 46 - 52ON
Sat 10/8 TCU at Kansas-29.561.0W 24 - 23UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/22 TCU at West Virginia+5.065.0L 10 - 34UN
Sat 10/29 TCU vs Texas Tech-8.587.0L 24 - 27UN
Sat 11/5 TCU at Baylor+9.065.0W 62 - 22OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/19 TCU vs Oklahoma State-4.568.5L 6 - 31UN
Fri 11/25 TCU at Texas+3.060.5W 31 - 9UY
Sat 12/3 TCU vs Kansas State-4.550.0L 6 - 30UN
Fri 12/30 TCU vs Georgia-1.549.0L 23 - 31ON

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for TCU's Schedule
Important Stats (2015)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
KSU.1344%29.448%3.0315835%1764.34.2448%26.747%46%3.7638.81.51.2
TCU.2649%30.748%3.1621547%3473.88.0938%25.341%32%3.4370.91.51.5
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
KSU0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
TCU0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2015
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
KSU Offense1329.430.843.7%4.341.5183341581763.955%43%48%35%2%.13
TCU Defense1325.324.237.8%3.431.5 - - - - - 52%46%41%32%2%.09
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
KSU Defense1326.726.447.6%3.761.2 - - - - - 47%51%47%46%2%.24
TCU Offense1330.73648.5%3.881.528563215347548%51%48%47%2%.26

Additional Stats 2015
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Kansas State1332:0818.539%53%5.138.81.51.200533.1
TCU1331:2127.543%47%7.270.91.51.500330.3
Run Game Stats (2016)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
KSU Offense1355%48%40.8157.73.929.133.0370%0%0.84
TCU Defense1352%41% - - - - .12.8170%0%0.95
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
KSU Defense1347%47% - - - - .162.9960%0%1
TCU Offense1348%48%43.2215.4526.123.1665%0%0.87

Pass Game Stats (2016)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
KSU Offense1343%35%12.526.51766.614.11413.171.732%33%.242%1.7
TCU Defense1346%32% - - - - - - 7.11.833%27%.192%2.1
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
KSU Defense1351%46% - - - - - - 5.331.429%34%.362%1.9
TCU Offense1351%47%25.139.8347.58.713.93915.41.729%38%.392%1.8

Kansas State's Power Ratings
Kansas State's Power Rating: NR
Kansas State's Offense Rating: NR
Kansas State's Defense Rating: NR
2016 Talent Rating:  #70
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Kansas State's 2016 Expected Record: -
Kansas State's 2016 Overall SP+ Rating: 8.2  #45
Kansas State's Offense SP+ Rating: 34.2  #40
Kansas State's Defense SP+ Rating: 27.2  #52

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Kansas State:    TCU: 8

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Kansas State: 8.2   TCU: 11.0




TCU's Power Ratings
TCU's Power Rating: 8 NR
TCU's Offense Rating: NR
TCU's Defense Rating: NR
2016 Talent Rating:  #30
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
TCU's 2016 Expected Record: -
TCU's 2016 Overall SP+ Rating: 11.0  #34
TCU's Offense SP+ Rating: 34.5  #37
TCU's Defense SP+ Rating: 23.4  #36

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76


Kansas State Scoring
Offense: 29.4 PPG
Offense on Road: 30.8
Defense: 26.7 PPG
Defense on Road: 26.4

Kansas State's 2016 Record
Record: 9 - 4
Record vs Spread: 6 - 6 - 1
Over/Under Record: 7 - 6
Record on Road: 3 - 3
Record vs Spread on Road: 4 - 2 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 4 - 1 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 3 - 1 - 0
Projected Score
TCU 30
Kansas State 27

Projected Total Points: 57
TCU Scoring
Offense: 30.7 PPG
Offense at Home: 36
Defense: 25.3 PPG
Defense at Home: 24.2

TCU's 2016 Record
Record: 6 - 7
Record vs Spread: 3 - 10 - 0
Over/Under Record: 5 - 8
Record at home: 2 - 5
Record vs Spread at home: 0 - 7 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 1 - 8 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 0 - 6 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202510/11Kansas State41TCU28TCU -3Kansas State54.5Over
202310/21Kansas State41TCU3Kansas State -5.5Kansas State60.0Under
202212/03TCU28Kansas State31TCU -1Kansas State60.5Under
202210/22TCU38Kansas State28TCU -3.5TCU54.5Over
202110/30Kansas State31TCU12Kansas State -3.5Kansas State58.5Under
202010/10TCU14Kansas State21TCU -10.5Kansas State49.5Under
201910/19Kansas State24TCU17TCU -4.5Kansas State43.5Under
201811/03TCU14Kansas State13TCU -10Kansas State44.5Under
201710/14Kansas State6TCU26TCU -7.5TCU49.5Under
201612/03TCU6Kansas State30TCU -4.5Kansas State50.0Under
201510/10Kansas State45TCU52TCU -7NA61.5Over
201411/08TCU41Kansas State20TCU -6TCU0
201311/16Kansas State33TCU31Kansas State -10.5TCU0
201211/10TCU10Kansas State23
TeamWinsCoversO/U
TCU543 Overs
Kansas State988 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams8 - 66 - 64 - 52 - 1
Road Teams6 - 86 - 61 - 25 - 4

(#) KSU at (#) TCU
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatKSUTCU
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #45 #34
Perf GradeGradeNRNR
OffenseOffNRNR
DefenseDefNRNR
Spec TeamsSTNRNR
TalentTal #70 #30
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
Kansas State on Offense
CategoryCat
KSU OffTCU Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #40 #36
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Kansas State Run Game
CategoryCat
KSU OffTCU Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Kansas State Pass Game
CategoryCat
KSU OffTCU Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
TCU on Offense
CategoryCatTCU OffKSU Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #37 #52
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
TCU Run Game
CategoryCat
TCU OffKSU Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
TCU Pass Game
CategoryCatTCU OffKSU Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
TCU 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'16 Profile: Down to Average P4

KSU 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'16 Profile: Down to Below Avg P4

Weather Forecast
Playing in Amon G. Carter Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Rematch from Week 14
TCU -4.5 (50.0)
Kansas State won at TCU this year (30-6)

Previous Matchups
Kansas State beat TCU last year (41-28)
Kansas State beat TCU in 2023 (41-3)

  
KSU's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

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KSU's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD

TCU's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

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TCU's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD