Liberty at SMU - 2016 Matchup Preview
Liberty logo Liberty Flames at SMU MustangsSMU logo
Saturday, September 17th 2016 (7:00 PM EDT)
SMU -13.5 (0)  Open: 0.0
SMU 29 - Liberty: 14

 
Flames (0 - 2) (1 - 1 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 14 - 33 (14 - 33 on Road)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Temp: 95° (36% Hum)
LIB coming off BYE
Our Line: -3  (SP+ SMU -11)
Projected Score: LIB: 27 - SMU: 34 (61)
SMU Win prob: 84% | Cover: 56%
LIB Travel: 1041 miles, 1 hrs ahead
Mustangs (5 - 7) (8 - 4 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 28 - 36 (23 - 37 @ Home)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Liberty's 2016 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/3 Liberty at Virginia Tech+35.0
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/17 Liberty at SMU+13.5

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Liberty's Schedule
SMU's 2016 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/3 SMU at North Texas-12.068.0W 34 - 21UY
Sat 9/10 SMU at Baylor+28.572.0L 13 - 40UY
Sat 9/17 SMU vs Liberty-13.5
Fri 9/23 SMU vs TCU+24.068.0L 3 - 33UN
Sat 10/1 SMU at Temple+13.553.0L 20 - 45ON
Fri 10/7 SMU at Tulsa+11.068.0L 40 - 43OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/22 SMU vs Houston+24.060.0W 38 - 16UY
Sat 10/29 SMU at Tulane+1.048.0W 35 - 31OY
Sat 11/5 SMU vs Memphis+6.565.0L 7 - 51UN
Sat 11/12 SMU at East Carolina+5.063.0W 55 - 31OY
Sat 11/19 SMU vs South Florida+12.573.0L 27 - 35UY
Sat 11/26 SMU vs Navy+8.065.5L 31 - 75ON

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for SMU's Schedule
Important Stats (2016)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
LIB-.1628%13.532%2.6025%01.91.0540%32.540%38%2.39000
SMU.1340%27.739%2.9316339%2643.04.1544%36.345%41%3.545222.2
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
LIB#24 (.26)50% (7)54% (2)3.56 (7)23843% (60)1614.21 (43)#24 (.1)39% (39)39% (30)40% (66)3.68 (58)64.41.31.3
SMU#38 (.24)44% (53)44% (62)2.97 (83)16944% (45)2634.41 (25)#5 (.03)37% (9)39% (35)35% (10)3.09 (13)77.71.71.6



Overall Stats 2016
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
LIB Offense213.513.528.1%1.9100000049%51%32%25%18%-.16
SMU Defense1236.337.344%3.542.2 - - - - - 51%48%45%41%15%.15
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
LIB Defense232.532.540.4%2.390 - - - - - 52%45%40%38%12%.05
SMU Offense1227.722.540.1%3.042224271632644.148%50%39%39%16%.13

Additional Stats 2016
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Liberty20:000NAN%0%000000030.9
SMU1230:3721.843%38%5.85222.25.72.4430.4
Run Game Stats (2016)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
LIB Offense249%32%0000-.022.683%5%0.77
SMU Defense1251%45% - - - - .193.275%9%1.02
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
LIB Defense252%40% - - - - -3.2388%8%0.66
SMU Offense1248%39%39.8163.34.114.062.9373%9%0.86

Pass Game Stats (2016)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
LIB Offense251%25%0000000-.31.641%23%-.0413%1.7
SMU Defense1248%41% - - - - - - 18.121.632%33%.176%1.6
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
LIB Defense245%38% - - - - - - 0.181.633%33%.114%1.5
SMU Offense1250%39%20.738264712.82217.241.735%32%.257%1.8

Liberty's Power Ratings
Liberty's Power Rating: NR
Liberty's Offense Rating: NR
Liberty's Defense Rating: NR
2016 Talent Rating:  #211
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Liberty's 2016 Expected Record: -
Liberty's 2016 Overall SP+ Rating: NR
Liberty's Offense SP+ Rating: NR
Liberty's Defense SP+ Rating: NR

Average Talent
Average Conference USA Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
Liberty:    SMU: -2.9

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Liberty:    SMU: -10.8




SMU's Power Ratings
SMU's Power Rating: -2.9 NR
SMU's Offense Rating: NR
SMU's Defense Rating: NR
2016 Talent Rating:  #75
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
SMU's 2016 Expected Record: -
SMU's 2016 Overall SP+ Rating: -10.8  #103
SMU's Offense SP+ Rating: 24.3  #99
SMU's Defense SP+ Rating: 32.6  #89

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482


Liberty Scoring
Offense: 13.5 PPG
Offense on Road: 13.5
Defense: 32.5 PPG
Defense on Road: 32.5

Liberty's 2016 Record
Record: 0 - 2
Record vs Spread: 1 - 1 - 0
Over/Under Record: 0 - 2
Record on Road: 0 - 2
Record vs Spread on Road: 1 - 1 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 1 - 1 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 1 - 1 - 0
Projected Score
SMU 34
Liberty 27

Total Points: 61

Based on Last 4 Games
SMU 39
Liberty 29

Total Points: 68

Based on Entire Season
SMU 29
Liberty 25

Total Points: 54
SMU Scoring
Offense: 27.7 PPG
Offense at Home: 22.5
Defense: 36.3 PPG
Defense at Home: 37.3

SMU's 2016 Record
Record: 5 - 7
Record vs Spread: 8 - 4 - 0
Over/Under Record: 5 - 7
Record at home: 2 - 4
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 2 - 0 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 1 - 0 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
201609/17SMU29Liberty14SMU -13.5SMU0
TeamWinsCoversO/U
SMU110 Overs
Liberty000 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams1 - 01 - 01 - 00 - 0
Road Teams0 - 10 - 10 - 00 - 1

(#) LIB at (#) SMU
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatLIBSMU
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+NR #103
Perf GradeGradeNRNR
OffenseOffNRNR
DefenseDefNRNR
Spec TeamsSTNRNR
TalentTal #211 #75
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
Liberty on Offense
CategoryCat
LIB OffSMU Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+NR #89
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Liberty Run Game
CategoryCat
LIB OffSMU Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Liberty Pass Game
CategoryCat
LIB OffSMU Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
SMU on Offense
CategoryCatSMU OffLIB Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #99NR
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
SMU Run Game
CategoryCat
SMU OffLIB Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
SMU Pass Game
CategoryCatSMU OffLIB Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
SMU 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'16 Profile: Down to Below Avg G5

LIB 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'16 Profile: Remains Poor G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Gerald J. Ford Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 95°
Rematch from Week 3
SMU -13.5 (0)
SMU won vs Liberty this year (29-14)

No Matchups Past 4 Years
  
LIB's OC ()
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SMU's OC ()
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