Toledo at Akron - 2016 Matchup Preview
Toledo logo Toledo Rockets at Akron ZipsAkron logo
Wednesday, November 2nd 2016 (7:30 PM EDT)
Toledo -8 (72.0) (0)  Open: 0.0
Toledo 48 - Akron: 17  (Mid-American)

 
Rockets (9 - 4) (6 - 7 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 38 - 26 (40 - 31 on Road)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
AKR is playing their 10th straight game
TOL is playing their 6th straight game
Our Line: -6.5  (SP+ TOL -18)
Projected Score: TOL: 34 - AKR: 25 (59)
TOL Win prob: 74% | Cover: 48%
TOL Travel: 116 miles
Zips (5 - 7) (4 - 7 - 1)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 27 - 34 (28 - 35 @ Home)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Toledo's 2016 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Fri 9/2 Toledo at Arkansas State+2.564.0W 31 - 10UY
Sat 9/10 Toledo vs Maine-30.0
Sat 9/17 Toledo vs Fresno State-20.057.5W 52 - 17OY
BYE WEEK
Fri 9/30 Toledo at BYU+4.551.0L 53 - 55OY
Sat 10/8 Toledo at Eastern Michigan-17.565.5W 35 - 20UN
Sat 10/15 Toledo vs Bowling Green-24.071.0W 42 - 35ON
Sat 10/22 Toledo vs Central Michigan-10.061.5W 31 - 17UY
Thu 10/27 Toledo vs Ohio-17.557.0L 26 - 31UN
Wed 11/2 Toledo at Akron-8.072.0W 48 - 17UY
Wed 11/9 Toledo vs Northern Illinois-7.569.5W 31 - 24UN
Wed 11/16 Toledo vs Ball State-19.068.5W 37 - 19UN
Fri 11/25 Toledo at Western Michigan+9.571.5L 35 - 55ON
Sat 12/17 Toledo vs App State-2.560.0L 28 - 31UN

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Toledo's Schedule
Akron's 2016 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/3 Akron vs VMI-28.0
Sat 9/10 Akron at Wisconsin+24.045.5L 10 - 54ON
Sat 9/17 Akron at Marshall+15.555.5W 65 - 38OY
Sat 9/24 Akron vs App State+7.056.0L 38 - 45OY
Sat 10/1 Akron at Kent State-5.051.5W 31 - 27ON
Sat 10/8 Akron vs Miami (OH)-7.554.0W 35 - 13UY
Sat 10/15 Akron vs Western Michigan+10.567.0L 0 - 41UN
Sat 10/22 Akron at Ball State+2.062.5W 35 - 25UY
Thu 10/27 Akron at Buffalo-14.563.0L 20 - 41UN
Wed 11/2 Akron vs Toledo+8.072.0L 17 - 48UN
Wed 11/9 Akron vs Bowling Green-11.573.0L 28 - 38UN
BYE WEEK
Tue 11/22 Akron at Ohio+7.553.0L 3 - 9UY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Akron's Schedule
Important Stats (2016)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
TOL.3349%3845%3.2619550%3234.08.1639%25.738%39%3.3960.21.10.8
AKR.1440%27.438%2.5913241%2553.27.247%33.647%44%3.7867.31.81.1
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
TOL#111 (.11)41% (95)38% (120)2.66 (121)11144% (46)2273.55 (99)#20 (.09)40% (43)42% (60)38% (35)3.87 (79)46.71.31.3
AKR#122 (.07)39% (114)44% (64)2.82 (103)10136% (118)2333.26 (120)#91 (.21)45% (101)41% (55)49% (126)4.19 (108)48.71.70.8



Overall Stats 2016
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
TOL Offense133840.448.6%4.081.124518195323551%47%45%50%14%.33
AKR Defense1233.634.846.5%3.781.1 - - - - - 55%43%47%44%13%.2
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
TOL Defense1325.731.439.3%3.390.8 - - - - - 50%48%38%39%16%.16
AKR Offense1227.427.540.2%3.271.8193871322554.244%54%38%41%19%.14

Additional Stats 2016
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Toledo1330:1024.251%40%760.21.10.85.91.6228.7
Akron1225:5819.338%48%7.667.31.81.15.11.3430.7
Run Game Stats (2016)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
TOL Offense1351%45%39.4195517.113.2679%8%0.8
AKR Defense1255%47% - - - - .163.1375%7%0.93
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
TOL Defense1350%38% - - - - .092.7665%10%1.15
AKR Offense1244%38%31.7132.24.213.042.5967%11%1.01

Pass Game Stats (2016)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
TOL Offense1347%50%22.432.5322.89.914.4469.591.830%45%.725%2.1
AKR Defense1243%44% - - - - - - 8.281.528%41%.395%1.6
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
TOL Defense1348%39% - - - - - - 6.251.736%35%.316%1.8
AKR Offense1254%41%18.133255.37.714.12514.251.737%34%.318%1.8

Toledo's Power Ratings
Toledo's Power Rating: NR
Toledo's Offense Rating: NR
Toledo's Defense Rating: NR
2016 Talent Rating:  #77
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Toledo's 2016 Expected Record: -
Toledo's 2016 Overall SP+ Rating: 12.3  #26
Toledo's Offense SP+ Rating: 40.6  #10
Toledo's Defense SP+ Rating: 27.4  #54

Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
Toledo:    Akron: -0.3

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Toledo: 12.3   Akron: -5.6




Akron's Power Ratings
Akron's Power Rating: -0.3 NR
Akron's Offense Rating: NR
Akron's Defense Rating: NR
2016 Talent Rating:  #80
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Akron's 2016 Expected Record: -
Akron's 2016 Overall SP+ Rating: -5.6  #90
Akron's Offense SP+ Rating: 22.3  #108
Akron's Defense SP+ Rating: 28.2  #64

Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482


Toledo Scoring
Offense: 38 PPG
Offense on Road: 40.4
Defense: 25.7 PPG
Defense on Road: 31.4

Toledo's 2016 Record
Record: 9 - 4
Record vs Spread: 6 - 7 - 0
Over/Under Record: 4 - 9
Record on Road: 4 - 2
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 2 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 4 - 5 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 1 - 1 - 0
Projected Score
Toledo 34
Akron 25

Total Points: 59

Based on Last 4 Games
Toledo 31
Akron 21

Total Points: 53

Based on Entire Season
Toledo 37
Akron 28

Total Points: 65
Akron Scoring
Offense: 27.4 PPG
Offense at Home: 27.5
Defense: 33.6 PPG
Defense at Home: 34.8

Akron's 2016 Record
Record: 5 - 7
Record vs Spread: 4 - 7 - 1
Over/Under Record: 4 - 8
Record at home: 2 - 4
Record vs Spread at home: 1 - 4 - 1
Record as Dog vs Spread: 3 - 3 - 1
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 0 - 2 - 1


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202509/27Toledo45Akron3Toledo -21.5Toledo50.5Under
202411/26Akron21Toledo14Toledo -9.5Akron50.5Under
202111/27Toledo49Akron14Toledo -28.5Toledo57.5Over
201712/02Toledo45Akron28Toledo -20.5Akron61.5Over
201710/21Toledo48Akron21Toledo -15.5Toledo58.5Over
201611/02Akron17Toledo48Toledo -8Toledo72.0Under
201311/29Akron31Toledo29Toledo -8.5Akron0
201211/20Toledo35Akron23
200811/05Akron47Toledo30
200610/28Toledo35Akron20
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Akron333 Overs
Toledo743 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams9 - 15 - 23 - 12 - 1
Road Teams1 - 92 - 51 - 21 - 3

(#) TOL at (#) AKR
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatTOLAKR
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #26 #90
Perf GradeGradeNRNR
OffenseOffNRNR
DefenseDefNRNR
Spec TeamsSTNRNR
TalentTal #77 #80
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
Toledo on Offense
CategoryCat
TOL OffAKR Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #10 #64
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Toledo Run Game
CategoryCat
TOL OffAKR Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Toledo Pass Game
CategoryCat
TOL OffAKR Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Akron on Offense
CategoryCatAKR OffTOL Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #108 #54
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Akron Run Game
CategoryCat
AKR OffTOL Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Akron Pass Game
CategoryCatAKR OffTOL Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
AKR 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'16 Profile: Down to Average G5

TOL 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'16 Profile: Down to Average P4

Weather Forecast
Playing in Summa Field at InfoCision Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 69°
Rematch from Week 10
Toledo 8.0 (72.0)
Toledo won at Akron this year (48-17)

Previous Matchups
Akron beat Toledo last year (21-14)

  
TOL's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View Toledo's Full Roster

TOL's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD

AKR's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View Akron's Full Roster

AKR's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD