Toledo at Akron - 2016 Matchup Preview

Toledo Rockets at Akron Zips

Wednesday, November 2nd 2016 (7:30 PM EDT)
Toledo -8 (72.0) (0) Open: 0.0
Toledo 48 - Akron: 17 (Mid-American)

Rockets (9 - 4) (6 - 7 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 31 - 13 (17 - 17 on Road)
'16 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

AKR is playing their 10th straight game
TOL is playing their 6th straight game
Our Line: -6.5 (SP+ TOL -18)
Projected Score: TOL: 23 - AKR: 20 (43)
TOL Win prob: 74% | Cover: 48%
TOL Travel: 116 miles

Zips (5 - 7) (4 - 7 - 1)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 22 - 27 (28 - 19 @ Home)
'16 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
TOL Players
AKR Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Toledo's 2016 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Fri 9/2	Toledo at Arkansas State	+2.5	64.0	W 31 - 10	U	Y
Sat 9/10	Toledo vs Maine	-30.0
Sat 9/17	Toledo vs Fresno State	-20.0	57.5	W 52 - 17	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Fri 9/30	Toledo at BYU	+4.5	51.0	L 53 - 55	O	Y
Sat 10/8	Toledo at Eastern Michigan	-17.5	65.5	W 35 - 20	U	N
Sat 10/15	Toledo vs Bowling Green	-24.0	71.0	W 42 - 35	O	N
Sat 10/22	Toledo vs Central Michigan	-10.0	61.5	W 31 - 17	U	Y
Thu 10/27	Toledo vs Ohio	-17.5	57.0	L 26 - 31	U	N
Wed 11/2	Toledo at Akron	-8.0	72.0	W 48 - 17	U	Y
Wed 11/9	Toledo vs Northern Illinois	-7.5	69.5	W 31 - 24	U	N
Wed 11/16	Toledo vs Ball State	-19.0	68.5	W 37 - 19	U	N
Fri 11/25	Toledo at Western Michigan	+9.5	71.5	L 35 - 55	O	N
Sat 12/17	Toledo vs App State	-2.5	60.0	L 28 - 31	U	N

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Toledo's Schedule

Akron's 2016 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/3	Akron vs VMI	-28.0
Sat 9/10	Akron at Wisconsin	+24.0	45.5	L 10 - 54	O	N
Sat 9/17	Akron at Marshall	+15.5	55.5	W 65 - 38	O	Y
Sat 9/24	Akron vs App State	+7.0	56.0	L 38 - 45	O	Y
Sat 10/1	Akron at Kent State	-5.0	51.5	W 31 - 27	O	N
Sat 10/8	Akron vs Miami (OH)	-7.5	54.0	W 35 - 13	U	Y
Sat 10/15	Akron vs Western Michigan	+10.5	67.0	L 0 - 41	U	N
Sat 10/22	Akron at Ball State	+2.0	62.5	W 35 - 25	U	Y
Thu 10/27	Akron at Buffalo	-14.5	63.0	L 20 - 41	U	N
Wed 11/2	Akron vs Toledo	+8.0	72.0	L 17 - 48	U	N
Wed 11/9	Akron vs Bowling Green	-11.5	73.0	L 28 - 38	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Tue 11/22	Akron at Ohio	+7.5	53.0	L 3 - 9	U	Y

Important Stats (2015)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
TOL	.22	44%	30.8	42%	2.78	208	43%	253	3.53	.03	40%	13.3	40%	38%	2.29	68.2	1.2	1.8
AKR	.11	40%	22.3	38%	2.65	164	40%	193	3.46	.06	38%	27.4	37%	38%	3.22	64.5	1.4	2.2

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
TOL		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
AKR		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2015

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
TOL Offense	12	30.8	17.3	43.9%	3.53	1.2	22	461	208	253	5.1	51%	46%	42%	43%	2%	.22
AKR Defense	13	27.4	18.5	38.2%	3.22	2.2	-	-	-	-	-	42%	57%	37%	38%	2%	.06

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
TOL Defense	12	13.3	16.7	39.8%	2.29	1.8	-	-	-	-	-	41%	56%	40%	38%	2%	.03
AKR Offense	13	22.3	27.5	39.9%	3.46	1.4	20	357	164	193	4	56%	42%	38%	40%	2%	.11

Additional Stats 2015

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Toledo	12	29:32	22.3	46%	45%	8	68.2	1.2	1.8	0	0	1	31.8
Akron	13	32:49	19.8	37%	47%	7.5	64.5	1.4	2.2	0	0	0	32.4

Run Game Stats (2016)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
TOL Offense	12	51%	42%	41	207.9	5.1	26	.13	2.78	64%	0%	1.02
AKR Defense	13	42%	37%	-	-	-	-	-.08	2.21	70%	0%	0.85

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
TOL Defense	12	41%	40%	-	-	-	-	-.06	2.28	82%	0%	0.78
AKR Offense	13	56%	38%	41.2	164.2	4	20	.06	2.65	62%	0%	1.01

Pass Game Stats (2016)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
TOL Offense	12	46%	43%	19.3	34.3	253	7.4	13.1	24	10	.35	1.6	33%	38%	.43	2%	1.8
AKR Defense	13	57%	38%	-	-	-	-	-	-	14	.16	1.5	35%	29%	.2	2%	1.7

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
TOL Defense	12	56%	38%	-	-	-	-	-	-	12	.13	1.5	38%	33%	.23	2%	1.7
AKR Offense	13	42%	40%	14.2	28.5	192.9	6.8	13.6	18	12	.21	1.6	35%	28%	.2	2%	1.9

Toledo's Power Ratings
Toledo's Power Rating: NR
Toledo's Offense Rating: NR
Toledo's Defense Rating: NR
2016 Talent Rating: #77
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Toledo's 2016 Expected Record: -
Toledo's 2016 Overall SP+ Rating: 12.3 #26
Toledo's Offense SP+ Rating: 40.6 #10
Toledo's Defense SP+ Rating: 27.4 #54

Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Toledo: Akron: -0.3

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Toledo: 12.3 Akron: -5.6

Akron's Power Ratings
Akron's Power Rating: -0.3 NR
Akron's Offense Rating: NR
Akron's Defense Rating: NR
2016 Talent Rating: #80
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Akron's 2016 Expected Record: -
Akron's 2016 Overall SP+ Rating: -5.6 #90
Akron's Offense SP+ Rating: 22.3 #108
Akron's Defense SP+ Rating: 28.2 #64

Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Toledo Scoring
Offense: 30.8 PPG
Offense on Road: 17.3
Defense: 13.3 PPG
Defense on Road: 16.7

Toledo's 2016 Record
Record: 9 - 4
Record vs Spread: 6 - 7 - 0
Over/Under Record: 4 - 9
Record on Road: 4 - 2
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 2 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 4 - 5 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 1 - 1 - 0

Projected Score
Toledo 23
Akron 20

Projected Total Points: 43

Akron Scoring
Offense: 22.3 PPG
Offense at Home: 27.5
Defense: 27.4 PPG
Defense at Home: 18.5

Akron's 2016 Record
Record: 5 - 7
Record vs Spread: 4 - 7 - 1
Over/Under Record: 4 - 8
Record at home: 2 - 4
Record vs Spread at home: 1 - 4 - 1
Record as Dog vs Spread: 3 - 3 - 1
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 0 - 2 - 1

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2025	09/27	Toledo	45	Akron	3	Toledo -21.5	Toledo	50.5	Under
2024	11/26	Akron	21	Toledo	14	Toledo -9.5	Akron	50.5	Under
2021	11/27	Toledo	49	Akron	14	Toledo -28.5	Toledo	57.5	Over
2017	12/02	Toledo	45	Akron	28	Toledo -20.5	Akron	61.5	Over
2017	10/21	Toledo	48	Akron	21	Toledo -15.5	Toledo	58.5	Over
2016	11/02	Akron	17	Toledo	48	Toledo -8	Toledo	72.0	Under
2013	11/29	Akron	31	Toledo	29	Toledo -8.5	Akron	0
2012	11/20	Toledo	35	Akron	23
2008	11/05	Akron	47	Toledo	30
2006	10/28	Toledo	35	Akron	20

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Akron	3	3	3 Overs
Toledo	7	4	3 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	9 - 1	5 - 2	3 - 1	2 - 1
Road Teams	1 - 9	2 - 5	1 - 2	1 - 3

(#) TOL at (#) AKR

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	TOL	AKR
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#26	#90
Perf GradeGrade	NR	NR
OffenseOff	NR	NR
DefenseDef	NR	NR
Spec TeamsST	NR	NR
TalentTal	#77	#80
Blue ChipsBC%	NR	NR

Toledo Injury Report

Akron Injury Report

Toledo on Offense


CategoryCat	TOL Off	AKR Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#10	#64
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Toledo Run Game


CategoryCat	TOL Off	AKR Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	NR

Toledo Pass Game


CategoryCat	TOL Off	AKR Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Akron on Offense


CategoryCat	AKR Off	TOL Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#108	#54
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Akron Run Game


CategoryCat	AKR Off	TOL Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	NR

Akron Pass Game


CategoryCat	AKR Off	TOL Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Program Comparison
AKR 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'16 Profile: Down to Average G5

TOL 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'16 Profile: Down to Average P4

Weather Forecast
Playing in Summa Field at InfoCision Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Rematch from Week 10
Toledo 8.0 (72.0)
Toledo won at Akron this year (48-17)

Previous Matchups
Toledo beat Akron last year (45-3)
Akron beat Toledo in 2024 (21-14)

TOL's OC ()

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Toledo's Full Roster

TOL's DC ()

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

AKR's OC ()

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Akron's Full Roster

AKR's DC ()

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD