Toledo at BYU - 2016 Matchup Preview
Toledo logo   Toledo Rockets at BYU Cougars  BYU logo
Friday, September 30th 2016 (10:15 PM EDT)
BYU -4.5 (51.0) (0)  Open: 0.0
BYU 55 - Toledo: 53

 
Rockets (9 - 4) (6 - 7 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 31 - 13 (17 - 17 on Road)
'16 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
TOL coming off BYE
BYU is playing their 5th straight game
Our Line: -0.5  (SP+ TOL -4.5)
Projected Score: TOL: 20 - BYU: 25 (45)
BYU Win prob: 64% | Cover: 49%
TOL Travel: 1460 miles, 2 hrs ahead
Cougars (9 - 4) (10 - 3 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 31 - 19 (41 - 14 @ Home)
'16 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Toledo's 2016 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Fri 9/2 Toledo at Arkansas State+2.564.0W 31 - 10UY
Sat 9/10 Toledo vs Maine-30.0
Sat 9/17 Toledo vs Fresno State-20.057.5W 52 - 17OY
BYE WEEK
Fri 9/30 Toledo at BYU+4.551.0L 53 - 55OY
Sat 10/8 Toledo at Eastern Michigan-17.565.5W 35 - 20UN
Sat 10/15 Toledo vs Bowling Green-24.071.0W 42 - 35ON
Sat 10/22 Toledo vs Central Michigan-10.061.5W 31 - 17UY
Thu 10/27 Toledo vs Ohio-17.557.0L 26 - 31UN
Wed 11/2 Toledo at Akron-8.072.0W 48 - 17UY
Wed 11/9 Toledo vs Northern Illinois-7.569.5W 31 - 24UN
Wed 11/16 Toledo vs Ball State-19.068.5W 37 - 19UN
Fri 11/25 Toledo at Western Michigan+9.571.5L 35 - 55ON
Sat 12/17 Toledo vs App State-2.560.0L 28 - 31UN

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Toledo's Schedule
BYU's 2016 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/3 BYU vs Arizona+2.563.5W 18 - 16UY
Sat 9/10 BYU at Utah+4.543.0L 19 - 20UY
Sat 9/17 BYU vs UCLA+4.050.5L 14 - 17UY
Sat 9/24 BYU vs West Virginia+3.553.0L 32 - 35OY
Fri 9/30 BYU vs Toledo-4.551.0W 55 - 53ON
Sat 10/8 BYU at Michigan State+5.048.5W 31 - 14UY
Fri 10/14 BYU vs Mississippi State-4.055.5W 28 - 21UY
Thu 10/20 BYU at Boise State+9.558.0L 27 - 28UY
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/5 BYU at Cincinnati-10.054.0W 20 - 3UY
Sat 11/12 BYU vs Southern Utah-31.0
Sat 11/19 BYU vs Massachusetts-30.054.0W 51 - 9OY
Sat 11/26 BYU vs Utah State-17.051.5W 28 - 10UY
Wed 12/21 BYU vs Wyoming-7.556.0W 24 - 21UN

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for BYU's Schedule
Important Stats (2015)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
TOL.2244%30.842%2.7820843%2533.53.0340%13.340%38%2.2968.21.21.8
BYU.243%31.441%2.7212843%2964.2.0839%19.137%39%3.157.71.51.7
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
TOL0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
BYU0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2015
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
TOL Offense1230.817.343.9%3.531.2224612082535.151%46%42%43%2%.22
BYU Defense1319.113.739.2%3.11.7 - - - - - 50%48%37%39%3%.08
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
TOL Defense1213.316.739.8%2.291.8 - - - - - 41%56%40%38%2%.03
BYU Offense1331.440.543.4%4.21.521425128296439%59%41%43%2%.2

Additional Stats 2015
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Toledo1229:3222.346%45%868.21.21.800131.8
BYU1328:4021.240%52%6.557.71.51.700229.2
Run Game Stats (2016)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
TOL Offense1251%42%41207.95.126.132.7864%0%1.02
BYU Defense1350%37% - - - - .032.4664%0%1.07
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
TOL Defense1241%40% - - - - -.062.2882%0%0.78
BYU Offense1339%41%31.8128.3428.152.7270%0%1.15

Pass Game Stats (2016)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
TOL Offense1246%43%19.334.32537.413.12410.351.633%38%.432%1.8
BYU Defense1348%39% - - - - - - 15.131.535%32%.183%1.7
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
TOL Defense1256%38% - - - - - - 12.131.538%33%.232%1.7
BYU Offense1359%43%23.238.8296.57.712.82612.241.534%35%.362%1.9

Toledo's Power Ratings
Toledo's Power Rating: NR
Toledo's Offense Rating: NR
Toledo's Defense Rating: NR
2016 Talent Rating:  #77
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Toledo's 2016 Expected Record: -
Toledo's 2016 Overall SP+ Rating: 12.3  #26
Toledo's Offense SP+ Rating: 40.6  #10
Toledo's Defense SP+ Rating: 27.4  #54

Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Toledo:    BYU: 6.5

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Toledo: 12.3   BYU: 8.0




BYU's Power Ratings
BYU's Power Rating: 6.5 NR
BYU's Offense Rating: NR
BYU's Defense Rating: NR
2016 Talent Rating:  #61
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
BYU's 2016 Expected Record: -
BYU's 2016 Overall SP+ Rating: 8.0  #46
BYU's Offense SP+ Rating: 29.6  #63
BYU's Defense SP+ Rating: 23.1  #33

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76


Toledo Scoring
Offense: 30.8 PPG
Offense on Road: 17.3
Defense: 13.3 PPG
Defense on Road: 16.7

Toledo's 2016 Record
Record: 9 - 4
Record vs Spread: 6 - 7 - 0
Over/Under Record: 4 - 9
Record on Road: 4 - 2
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 2 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 2 - 2 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 2 - 1 - 0
Projected Score
BYU 25
Toledo 20

Projected Total Points: 45
BYU Scoring
Offense: 31.4 PPG
Offense at Home: 40.5
Defense: 19.1 PPG
Defense at Home: 13.7

BYU's 2016 Record
Record: 9 - 4
Record vs Spread: 10 - 3 - 0
Over/Under Record: 3 - 10
Record at home: 5 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 4 - 2 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 4 - 2 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 3 - 2 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
201909/28Toledo28BYU21BYU -1.5Toledo63.5Under
201609/30BYU55Toledo53BYU -4.5Toledo51.0Over
TeamWinsCoversO/U
BYU101 Overs
Toledo121 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams2 - 01 - 10 - 11 - 0
Road Teams0 - 21 - 10 - 11 - 0

(#) TOL at (#) BYU
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatTOLBYU
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #26 #46
Perf GradeGradeNRNR
OffenseOffNRNR
DefenseDefNRNR
Spec TeamsSTNRNR
TalentTal #77 #61
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
Toledo on Offense
CategoryCat
TOL OffBYU Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #10 #33
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Toledo Run Game
CategoryCat
TOL OffBYU Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Toledo Pass Game
CategoryCat
TOL OffBYU Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
BYU on Offense
CategoryCatBYU OffTOL Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #63 #54
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
BYU Run Game
CategoryCat
BYU OffTOL Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
BYU Pass Game
CategoryCatBYU OffTOL Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
BYU 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'16 Profile: Down to Below Avg P4

TOL 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'16 Profile: Down to Average P4

Weather Forecast
Playing in LaVell Edwards Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Rematch from Week 5
BYU -4.5 (51.0)
BYU won vs Toledo this year (55-53)

No Matchups Past 4 Years
  
TOL's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

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TOL's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD

BYU's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

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BYU's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD