Akron at Ball State - 2016 Matchup Preview

Saturday, October 22nd 2016 (3:00 PM EDT)
Ball State -2 (62.5) (0) Open: 0.0
Akron 35 - Ball State: 25 (Mid-American)

Zips (5 - 7) (4 - 7 - 1)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 27 - 34 (27 - 32 on Road)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

BALL is playing their 8th straight game
AKR is playing their 8th straight game
Our Line: -2 (SP+ AKR -1.5)
Projected Score: AKR: 29 - BALL: 29 (58)
BALL Win prob: 55% | Cover: 50%
AKR Travel: 213 miles

Cardinals (4 - 8) (8 - 4 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 27 - 30 (30 - 36 @ Home)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
AKR Players
BALL Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Akron's 2016 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/3	Akron vs VMI	-28.0
Sat 9/10	Akron at Wisconsin	+24.0	45.5	L 10 - 54	O	N
Sat 9/17	Akron at Marshall	+15.5	55.5	W 65 - 38	O	Y
Sat 9/24	Akron vs App State	+7.0	56.0	L 38 - 45	O	Y
Sat 10/1	Akron at Kent State	-5.0	51.5	W 31 - 27	O	N
Sat 10/8	Akron vs Miami (OH)	-7.5	54.0	W 35 - 13	U	Y
Sat 10/15	Akron vs Western Michigan	+10.5	67.0	L 0 - 41	U	N
Sat 10/22	Akron at Ball State	+2.0	62.5	W 35 - 25	U	Y
Thu 10/27	Akron at Buffalo	-14.5	63.0	L 20 - 41	U	N
Wed 11/2	Akron vs Toledo	+8.0	72.0	L 17 - 48	U	N
Wed 11/9	Akron vs Bowling Green	-11.5	73.0	L 28 - 38	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Tue 11/22	Akron at Ohio	+7.5	53.0	L 3 - 9	U	Y

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Akron's Schedule

Ball State's 2016 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Fri 9/2	Ball State at Georgia State	-5.5	56.0	W 31 - 21	U	Y
Sat 9/10	Ball State at Indiana	+17.5	63.5	L 20 - 30	U	Y
Sat 9/17	Ball State vs Eastern Kentucky	-13.0
Sat 9/24	Ball State at Florida Atlantic	-3.0	53.5	W 31 - 27	O	Y
Sat 10/1	Ball State vs Northern Illinois	-1.0	57.5	L 24 - 31	U	N
Sat 10/8	Ball State at Central Michigan	+13.5	56.0	L 21 - 24	U	Y
Sat 10/15	Ball State at Buffalo	-9.0	52.5	W 31 - 21	U	Y
Sat 10/22	Ball State vs Akron	-2.0	62.5	L 25 - 35	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Tue 11/1	Ball State vs Western Michigan	+16.0	64.5	L 20 - 52	O	N
Tue 11/8	Ball State vs Eastern Michigan	-3.5	59.5	L 41 - 48	O	N
Wed 11/16	Ball State at Toledo	+19.0	68.5	L 19 - 37	U	Y
Tue 11/22	Ball State at Miami (OH)	+6.0	55.0	L 20 - 21	U	Y

Important Stats (2016)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
AKR	.14	40%	27.4	38%	2.59	132	41%	255	3.27	.2	47%	33.6	47%	44%	3.78	67.3	1.8	1.1
BALL	.14	49%	27	53%	3.38	220	43%	229	3.45	.21	44%	30.1	40%	46%	3.34	35.5	2	1.2

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
AKR	#122 (.07)	39% (114)		44% (64)	2.82 (103)	101	36% (118)	233	3.26 (120)	#91 (.21)	45% (101)		41% (55)	49% (126)	4.19 (108)	48.7	1.7	0.8
BALL	#98 (.14)	42% (78)		44% (70)	3.06 (61)	103	41% (72)	245	3.94 (65)	#128 (.32)	46% (118)		46% (103)	47% (121)	4.81 (133)	45.3	1.2	1.3

Overall Stats 2016

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
AKR Offense	12	27.4	27.3	40.2%	3.27	1.8	19	387	132	255	4.2	44%	54%	38%	41%	19%	.14
BALL Defense	12	30.1	36	44.1%	3.34	1.2	-	-	-	-	-	42%	56%	40%	46%	17%	.21

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
AKR Defense	12	33.6	32.3	46.5%	3.78	1.1	-	-	-	-	-	55%	43%	47%	44%	13%	.2
BALL Offense	12	27	30.2	49.2%	3.45	2	25	449	220	229	5.1	52%	46%	53%	43%	15%	.14

Additional Stats 2016

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Akron	12	25:58	19.3	38%	48%	7.6	67.3	1.8	1.1	5.1	1.3	4	30.7
Ball State	12	31:03	24.5	45%	52%	4	35.5	2	1.2	7	2.7	1	30.5

Run Game Stats (2016)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
AKR Offense	12	44%	38%	31.7	132.2	4.2	13	.04	2.59	67%	11%	1.01
BALL Defense	12	42%	40%	-	-	-	-	.08	2.76	65%	11%	1.11

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
AKR Defense	12	55%	47%	-	-	-	-	.16	3.13	75%	7%	0.93
BALL Offense	12	52%	53%	43.3	220	5.1	25	.2	3.38	73%	7%	0.86

Pass Game Stats (2016)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
AKR Offense	12	54%	41%	18.1	33	255.3	7.7	14.1	25	14	.25	1.7	37%	34%	.31	8%	1.8
BALL Defense	12	56%	46%	-	-	-	-	-	-	7	.31	1.5	33%	38%	.45	6%	1.9

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
AKR Defense	12	43%	44%	-	-	-	-	-	-	8	.28	1.5	28%	41%	.39	5%	1.6
BALL Offense	12	46%	43%	21.9	36.3	229.2	6.3	10.5	14	15	.09	1.3	27%	39%	.24	7%	1.4

Akron's Power Ratings
Akron's Power Rating: NR
Akron's Offense Rating: NR
Akron's Defense Rating: NR
2016 Talent Rating: #80
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Akron's 2016 Expected Record: -
Akron's 2016 Overall SP+ Rating: -5.6 #90
Akron's Offense SP+ Rating: 22.3 #108
Akron's Defense SP+ Rating: 28.2 #64

Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
Akron: Ball State: -1

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Akron: -5.6 Ball State: -7.0

Ball State's Power Ratings
Ball State's Power Rating: -1 NR
Ball State's Offense Rating: NR
Ball State's Defense Rating: NR
2016 Talent Rating: #109
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Ball State's 2016 Expected Record: -
Ball State's 2016 Overall SP+ Rating: -7.0 #96
Ball State's Offense SP+ Rating: 28.2 #73
Ball State's Defense SP+ Rating: 35.1 #100

Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Akron Scoring
Offense: 27.4 PPG
Offense on Road: 27.3
Defense: 33.6 PPG
Defense on Road: 32.3

Akron's 2016 Record
Record: 5 - 7
Record vs Spread: 4 - 7 - 1
Over/Under Record: 4 - 8
Record on Road: 3 - 3
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 3 - 3 - 1
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 3 - 1 - 0

Projected Score
Akron 29
Ball State 29

Total Points: 58

Based on Last 4 Games
Akron 28
Ball State 27

Total Points: 56

Based on Entire Season
Ball State 31
Akron 30

Total Points: 61

Ball State Scoring
Offense: 27 PPG
Offense at Home: 30.2
Defense: 30.1 PPG
Defense at Home: 36

Ball State's 2016 Record
Record: 4 - 8
Record vs Spread: 8 - 4 - 0
Over/Under Record: 3 - 9
Record at home: 1 - 4
Record vs Spread at home: 1 - 4 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 4 - 3 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 1 - 3 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2025	10/18	Ball State	42	Akron	28	Akron -2.5	Ball State	44.5	Over
2021	11/02	Akron	25	Ball State	31	Ball State -20	Akron	58.0	Under
2017	10/07	Akron	31	Ball State	3	Akron -4.5	Akron	52.0	Under
2016	10/22	Ball State	25	Akron	35	Ball State -2	Akron	62.5	Under
2014	10/25	Ball State	35	Akron	21	Akron -1	Ball State	0
2013	10/26	Akron	24	Ball State	42	Ball State -11.5	Ball State	0
2010	11/06	Ball State	37	Akron	30
2008	09/13	Akron	24	Ball State	41
2005	11/05	Ball State	23	Akron	17
2004	10/23	Akron	35	Ball State	23

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Ball State	7	3	1 Overs
Akron	3	3	3 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	6 - 4	4 - 2	1 - 1	3 - 1
Road Teams	4 - 6	2 - 4	1 - 3	1 - 1

(#) AKR at (#) BALL

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	AKR	BALL
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#90	#96
Perf GradeGrade	NR	NR
OffenseOff	NR	NR
DefenseDef	NR	NR
Spec TeamsST	NR	NR
TalentTal	#80	#109
Blue ChipsBC%	NR	NR

Akron Injury Report

Ball State Injury Report

Akron on Offense


CategoryCat	AKR Off	BALL Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#108	#100
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Akron Run Game


CategoryCat	AKR Off	BALL Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	NR

Akron Pass Game


CategoryCat	AKR Off	BALL Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Ball State on Offense


CategoryCat	BALL Off	AKR Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#73	#64
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Ball State Run Game


CategoryCat	BALL Off	AKR Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	NR

Ball State Pass Game


CategoryCat	BALL Off	AKR Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Program Comparison
BALL 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'16 Profile: Down to Average G5

AKR 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'16 Profile: Down to Average G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Scheumann Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 55° - Wind: 11 mph

Rematch from Week 8
Ball State -2.0 (62.5)
Akron won at Ball State this year (35-25)

No Matchups Past 4 Years

AKR's OC ()

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Akron's Full Roster

AKR's DC ()

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

BALL's OC ()

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Ball State's Full Roster

BALL's DC ()

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD