Georgia State at Arkansas State - 2015 Matchup Preview

Georgia State Panthers at Arkansas State Red Wolves

Saturday, October 31st 2015 (7:00 PM EDT)
Arkansas State -18.5 (57.5) (0) Open: 0.0
Arkansas State 48 - Georgia State: 34 (Sun Belt)

Panthers (6 - 7) (9 - 4 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 27 - 28 (34 - 31 on Road)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

ARST 2nd straight Home Game
GAST coming off BYE
Our Line: -2.5 (SP+ -0)
Projected Score: GAST: 29 - ARST: 38 (67)
ARST Win prob: 91% | Cover: 44%
GAST Travel: 385 miles, 1 hrs ahead

Red Wolves (9 - 4) (8 - 5 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 40 - 30 (47 - 25 @ Home)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
GAST Players
ARST Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Georgia State's 2015 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Fri 9/4	Georgia State vs Charlotte	-4.0	68.0	L 20 - 23	U	N
Sat 9/12	Georgia State at New Mexico State	+4.0	64.5	W 34 - 32	O	Y
Sat 9/19	Georgia State at Oregon	+48.5	71.5	L 28 - 61	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/3	Georgia State vs Liberty	-2.0
Sat 10/10	Georgia State vs App State	+18.0	61.0	L 3 - 37	U	N
Sat 10/17	Georgia State at Ball State	+16.5	63.0	W 31 - 19	U	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/31	Georgia State at Arkansas State	+18.5	57.5	L 34 - 48	O	Y
Sat 11/7	Georgia State vs Louisiana	+6.5	59.5	L 21 - 23	U	Y
Sat 11/14	Georgia State at Texas State	+5.0	64.0	W 41 - 19	U	Y
Sat 11/21	Georgia State vs South Alabama	-1.0	60.5	W 24 - 10	U	Y
Fri 11/27	Georgia State vs Troy	-1.0	56.0	W 31 - 21	U	Y
Sat 12/5	Georgia State at Georgia Southern	+22.0	57.0	W 34 - 7	U	Y
Sat 12/19	Georgia State vs San José State	+4.0

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Georgia State's Schedule

Arkansas State's 2015 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/5	Arkansas State at USC	+27.0	66.5	L 6 - 55	U	N
Sat 9/12	Arkansas State vs Missouri	+13.0	55.0	L 20 - 27	U	Y
Sat 9/19	Arkansas State vs Missouri State	-22.0
Sat 9/26	Arkansas State at Toledo	+10.0	58.0	L 7 - 37	U	N
Sat 10/3	Arkansas State vs Idaho	-20.5	60.0	W 49 - 35	O	N
	BYE WEEK
Tue 10/13	Arkansas State at South Alabama	-6.0	58.0	W 49 - 31	O	Y
Tue 10/20	Arkansas State vs Louisiana	-6.0	55.5	W 37 - 27	O	Y
Sat 10/31	Arkansas State vs Georgia State	-18.5	57.5	W 48 - 34	O	N
Thu 11/5	Arkansas State at App State	+12.5	56.0	W 40 - 27	O	Y
Sat 11/14	Arkansas State at UL Monroe	-12.5	55.5	W 59 - 21	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/28	Arkansas State at New Mexico State	-17.0	71.0	W 52 - 28	O	Y
Sat 12/5	Arkansas State vs Texas State	-21.5	68.0	W 55 - 17	O	Y
Sat 12/19	Arkansas State vs Louisiana Tech	-1.0

Important Stats (2015)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
GAST	.2	42%	26.9	37%	2.33	97	45%	336	3.78	.13	45%	28.3	43%	44%	3.11	65.5	1.8	1.7
ARST	.16	45%	40	46%	2.79	231	42%	207	3.58	.13	38%	30.2	39%	36%	3.79	76.6	2	2.7

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
GAST	#92 (.15)	41% (90)		42% (92)	2.94 (86)	134	41% (79)	256	3.85 (76)	#121 (.28)	48% (123)		49% (119)	46% (118)	4.42 (120)	49.1	1.6	1.4
ARST	#81 (.17)	41% (91)		43% (84)	3.01 (77)	148	39% (96)	210	3.96 (63)	#126 (.31)	48% (124)		51% (131)	44% (110)	4.62 (127)	47.8	1.3	1.4

Overall Stats 2015

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
GAST Offense	13	26.9	33.7	42.4%	3.78	1.8	20	433	97	336	3.1	40%	58%	37%	45%	2%	.2
ARST Defense	13	30.2	24.5	37.9%	3.79	2.7	-	-	-	-	-	42%	56%	39%	36%	3%	.13

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
GAST Defense	13	28.3	31	44.8%	3.11	1.7	-	-	-	-	-	53%	45%	43%	44%	2%	.13
ARST Offense	13	40	46.5	45%	3.58	2	22	438	231	207	5	59%	40%	46%	42%	2%	.16

Additional Stats 2015

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Georgia State	13	29:01	20.1	44%	11%	7.1	65.5	1.8	1.7	0	0	2	25.8
Arkansas State	13	30:26	22.3	39%	50%	8.3	76.6	2	2.7	0	0	9	33.4

Run Game Stats (2015)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
GAST Offense	13	40%	37%	31.3	96.9	3.1	15	-.12	2.33	60%	0%	0.75
ARST Defense	13	42%	39%	-	-	-	-	.08	2.19	69%	0%	1.16

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
GAST Defense	13	53%	43%	-	-	-	-	.1	2.93	71%	0%	0.88
ARST Offense	13	59%	46%	46.8	231.3	5	35	.15	2.79	69%	0%	1.04

Pass Game Stats (2015)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
GAST Offense	13	58%	45%	23.7	38.2	335.9	8.8	14.2	28	12	.42	1.8	32%	41%	.44	2%	1.8
ARST Defense	13	56%	36%	-	-	-	-	-	-	27	.17	1.8	37%	29%	.27	3%	2

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
GAST Defense	13	45%	44%	-	-	-	-	-	-	15	.18	1.4	29%	30%	.12	2%	1.6
ARST Offense	13	40%	42%	15.9	28.1	207.2	7.4	13	23	15	.19	1.6	31%	35%	.27	2%	1.7

Georgia State's Power Ratings
Georgia State's Power Rating: NR
Georgia State's Offense Rating: NR
Georgia State's Defense Rating: NR
2015 Talent Rating: #111
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Georgia State's 2015 Expected Record: -
Georgia State's 2015 Overall SP+ Rating: NR
Georgia State's Offense SP+ Rating: NR
Georgia State's Defense SP+ Rating: NR

Average Talent
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
Georgia State: Arkansas State: 2.5

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Georgia State: Arkansas State:

Arkansas State's Power Ratings
Arkansas State's Power Rating: 2.5 NR
Arkansas State's Offense Rating: NR
Arkansas State's Defense Rating: NR
2015 Talent Rating: #84
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Arkansas State's 2015 Expected Record: -
Arkansas State's 2015 Overall SP+ Rating: NR
Arkansas State's Offense SP+ Rating: NR
Arkansas State's Defense SP+ Rating: NR

Average Talent
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Georgia State Scoring
Offense: 26.9 PPG
Offense on Road: 33.7
Defense: 28.3 PPG
Defense on Road: 31

Georgia State's 2015 Record
Record: 6 - 7
Record vs Spread: 9 - 4 - 0
Over/Under Record: 3 - 10
Record on Road: 4 - 2
Record vs Spread on Road: 6 - 0 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 7 - 2 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 6 - 0 - 0

Projected Score
Arkansas State 38
Georgia State 29

Total Points: 67

Based on Last 4 Games
Arkansas State 40
Georgia State 29

Total Points: 69

Based on Entire Season
Arkansas State 36
Georgia State 29

Total Points: 65

Arkansas State Scoring
Offense: 40 PPG
Offense at Home: 46.5
Defense: 30.2 PPG
Defense at Home: 24.5

Arkansas State's 2015 Record
Record: 9 - 4
Record vs Spread: 8 - 5 - 0
Over/Under Record: 8 - 5
Record at home: 5 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 4 - 2 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 6 - 3 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 3 - 2 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2024	11/16	Georgia State	20	Arkansas State	27	Georgia State -2.5	Arkansas State	60.0	Under
2021	11/20	Georgia State	28	Arkansas State	20	Georgia State -15.5	Arkansas State	66.0	Under
2020	10/15	Arkansas State	59	Georgia State	52	Arkansas State -3.5	Arkansas State	72.5	Over
2019	10/05	Georgia State	52	Arkansas State	38	Arkansas State -6.5	Georgia State	69.0	Over
2018	10/18	Arkansas State	51	Georgia State	35	Arkansas State -13.5	Arkansas State	55.5	Over
2016	11/03	Georgia State	16	Arkansas State	31	Arkansas State -2	Arkansas State	48.0	Under
2015	10/31	Arkansas State	48	Georgia State	34	Arkansas State -18.5	Georgia State	57.5	Over
2014	10/11	Georgia State	10	Arkansas State	52	Arkansas State -13.5	Arkansas State	0
2013	11/23	Arkansas State	35	Georgia State	33	Arkansas State -23	Georgia State	0

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Arkansas State	7	6	4 Overs
Georgia State	2	3	3 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	6 - 3	3 - 6	2 - 4	1 - 2
Road Teams	3 - 6	6 - 3	2 - 1	4 - 2

(#) GAST at (#) ARST

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	GAST	ARST
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	NR	NR
Perf GradeGrade	NR	NR
OffenseOff	NR	NR
DefenseDef	NR	NR
Spec TeamsST	NR	NR
TalentTal	#111	#84
Blue ChipsBC%	NR	NR

Georgia State Injury Report

Arkansas State Injury Report

Georgia State on Offense


CategoryCat	GAST Off	ARST Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	NR	NR
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Georgia State Run Game


CategoryCat	GAST Off	ARST Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	NR

Georgia State Pass Game


CategoryCat	GAST Off	ARST Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Arkansas State on Offense


CategoryCat	ARST Off	GAST Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	NR	NR
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Arkansas State Run Game


CategoryCat	ARST Off	GAST Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	NR

Arkansas State Pass Game


CategoryCat	ARST Off	GAST Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Program Comparison
ARST 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'15 Profile: Remains Poor G5

GAST 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'15 Profile: Remains Poor G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Centennial Bank Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 58°

Rematch from Week 9
Arkansas State -18.5 (57.5)
Arkansas State won vs Georgia State this year (48-34)

Previous Matchups
Arkansas State beat Georgia State last year (27-20)

GAST's OC ()

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Georgia State's Full Roster

GAST's DC ()

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

ARST's OC ()

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Arkansas State's Full Roster

ARST's DC ()

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD