Arkansas State at New Mexico State - 2015 Matchup Preview
Arkansas State logo   Arkansas State Red Wolves at New Mexico State Aggies  New Mexico State logo
Saturday, November 28th 2015 (4:00 PM EST)
Arkansas State -17 (71.0) (0)  Open: 0.0
Arkansas State 52 - New Mexico State: 28  (Sun Belt)

 
Red Wolves (9 - 4) (8 - 5 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 25 - 27 (21 - 22 on Road)
'15 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
ARST coming off BYE
Our Line: -2.5  (SP+ -0)
Projected Score: ARST: 23 - NMSU: 24 (47)
ARST Win prob: 90% | Cover: 52%
ARST Travel: 951 miles, 2 hrs ahead
Aggies (3 - 9) (5 - 7 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 22 - 28 (23 - 18 @ Home)
'15 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Arkansas State's 2015 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/5 Arkansas State at USC+27.066.5L 6 - 55UN
Sat 9/12 Arkansas State vs Missouri+13.055.0L 20 - 27UY
Sat 9/19 Arkansas State vs Missouri State-22.0
Sat 9/26 Arkansas State at Toledo+10.058.0L 7 - 37UN
Sat 10/3 Arkansas State vs Idaho-20.560.0W 49 - 35ON
BYE WEEK
Tue 10/13 Arkansas State at South Alabama-6.058.0W 49 - 31OY
Tue 10/20 Arkansas State vs Louisiana-6.055.5W 37 - 27OY
Sat 10/31 Arkansas State vs Georgia State-18.557.5W 48 - 34ON
Thu 11/5 Arkansas State at App State+12.556.0W 40 - 27OY
Sat 11/14 Arkansas State at UL Monroe-12.555.5W 59 - 21OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/28 Arkansas State at New Mexico State-17.071.0W 52 - 28OY
Sat 12/5 Arkansas State vs Texas State-21.568.0W 55 - 17OY
Sat 12/19 Arkansas State vs Louisiana Tech-1.0

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Arkansas State's Schedule
New Mexico State's 2015 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/5 New Mexico State at Florida+38.054.0L 13 - 61ON
Sat 9/12 New Mexico State vs Georgia State-4.064.5L 32 - 34ON
Sat 9/19 New Mexico State vs UTEP+4.059.5L 47 - 50OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/3 New Mexico State at New Mexico+14.065.5L 29 - 38OY
Sat 10/10 New Mexico State at Ole Miss+43.070.0L 3 - 52UN
Sat 10/17 New Mexico State at Georgia Southern+26.062.0L 26 - 56ON
Sat 10/24 New Mexico State vs Troy+3.558.5L 7 - 52ON
Sat 10/31 New Mexico State vs Idaho+3.069.5W 55 - 48OY
Sat 11/7 New Mexico State at Texas State+13.069.0W 31 - 21UY
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/21 New Mexico State at Louisiana+15.562.0W 37 - 34OY
Sat 11/28 New Mexico State vs Arkansas State+17.071.0L 28 - 52ON
Sat 12/5 New Mexico State at UL Monroe+3.059.0L 35 - 42ON

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for New Mexico State's Schedule
Important Stats (2014)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
ARST.1643%25.244%2.6121640%2603.74.1742%27.444%38%2.9669.61.72.2
NMSU.1340%21.637%2.617942%2422.69.2753%27.656%44%4.1133.92.81.9
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
ARST0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
NMSU0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2014
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
ARST Offense1325.22142.9%3.741.7234762162604.952%47%44%40%2%.16
NMSU Defense1227.617.752.8%4.111.9 - - - - - 65%33%56%44%2%.27
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
ARST Defense1327.421.842%2.962.2 - - - - - 55%45%44%38%2%.17
NMSU Offense1221.623.240%2.692.8224211792424.649%50%37%42%3%.13

Additional Stats 2014
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Arkansas State1329:3423.438%50%869.61.72.200432.7
New Mexico State1227:2821.542%56%4.833.92.81.900229.3
Run Game Stats (2015)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
ARST Offense1352%44%44.3216.44.935.122.6159%0%1.06
NMSU Defense1265%56% - - - - .313.7386%0%1
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
ARST Defense1355%44% - - - - .173.0175%0%1.03
NMSU Offense1249%37%39.1179.34.619.062.673%0%1.05

Pass Game Stats (2015)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
ARST Offense1347%40%21.234.5260.17.612.3258.221.634%31%.262%2
NMSU Defense1233%44% - - - - - - 13.231.325%35%.442%1.9
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
ARST Defense1345%38% - - - - - - 16.171.632%29%.262%2
NMSU Offense1250%42%23.237.7241.66.410.41924.211.534%29%.153%1.9

Arkansas State's Power Ratings
Arkansas State's Power Rating: NR
Arkansas State's Offense Rating: NR
Arkansas State's Defense Rating: NR
2015 Talent Rating:  #84
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Arkansas State's 2015 Expected Record: -
Arkansas State's 2015 Overall SP+ Rating: NR
Arkansas State's Offense SP+ Rating: NR
Arkansas State's Defense SP+ Rating: NR

Average Talent
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Arkansas State:    New Mexico State: 2.5

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Arkansas State:    New Mexico State:




New Mexico State's Power Ratings
New Mexico State's Power Rating: 2.5 NR
New Mexico State's Offense Rating: NR
New Mexico State's Defense Rating: NR
2015 Talent Rating:  #126
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
New Mexico State's 2015 Expected Record: -
New Mexico State's 2015 Overall SP+ Rating: NR
New Mexico State's Offense SP+ Rating: NR
New Mexico State's Defense SP+ Rating: NR

Average Talent
Average Conference USA Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76


Arkansas State Scoring
Offense: 25.2 PPG
Offense on Road: 21
Defense: 27.4 PPG
Defense on Road: 21.8

Arkansas State's 2015 Record
Record: 9 - 4
Record vs Spread: 8 - 5 - 0
Over/Under Record: 8 - 5
Record on Road: 4 - 2
Record vs Spread on Road: 4 - 2 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 6 - 3 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 3 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
New Mexico State 24
Arkansas State 23

Projected Total Points: 47
New Mexico State Scoring
Offense: 21.6 PPG
Offense at Home: 23.2
Defense: 27.6 PPG
Defense at Home: 17.7

New Mexico State's 2015 Record
Record: 3 - 9
Record vs Spread: 5 - 7 - 0
Over/Under Record: 10 - 2
Record at home: 1 - 4
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 5 - 6 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 2 - 2 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
201710/28New Mexico State21Arkansas State37Arkansas State -3.5Arkansas State71.0Under
201611/12Arkansas State41New Mexico State22Arkansas State -20.5New Mexico State63.0Push
201511/28New Mexico State28Arkansas State52Arkansas State -17Arkansas State71.0Over
201411/29Arkansas State68New Mexico State35Arkansas State -23.5Arkansas State0
200311/01New Mexico State24Arkansas State28
200210/26Arkansas State21New Mexico State26
200111/10New Mexico State28Arkansas State17
200010/20Arkansas State29New Mexico State35
TeamWinsCoversO/U
New Mexico State311 Overs
Arkansas State531 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams3 - 51 - 31 - 10 - 2
Road Teams5 - 33 - 12 - 01 - 1

(#) ARST at (#) NMSU
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatARSTNMSU
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+NRNR
Perf GradeGradeNRNR
OffenseOffNRNR
DefenseDefNRNR
Spec TeamsSTNRNR
TalentTal #84 #126
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
Arkansas State on Offense
CategoryCat
ARST OffNMSU Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+NRNR
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Arkansas State Run Game
CategoryCat
ARST OffNMSU Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Arkansas State Pass Game
CategoryCat
ARST OffNMSU Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
New Mexico State on Offense
CategoryCatNMSU OffARST Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+NRNR
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
New Mexico State Run Game
CategoryCat
NMSU OffARST Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
New Mexico State Pass Game
CategoryCatNMSU OffARST Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
NMSU 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'15 Profile: Remains Poor G5

ARST 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'15 Profile: Remains Poor G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Aggie Memorial Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Rematch from Week 13
Arkansas State 17.0 (71.0)
Arkansas State won at New Mexico State this year (52-28)

No Matchups Past 4 Years
  
ARST's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View Arkansas State's Full Roster

ARST's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD

NMSU's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View New Mexico State's Full Roster

NMSU's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD