Missouri at Arkansas State - 2015 Matchup Preview

Missouri Tigers at Arkansas State Red Wolves

Saturday, September 12th 2015 (7:00 PM EDT)
Missouri -13 (55.0) (0) Open: 0.0
Missouri 27 - Arkansas State: 20

Tigers (5 - 7) (3 - 8 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 30 - 19 (18 - 17 on Road)
'15 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Our Line: -2.5 (SP+ -0)
Projected Score: MIZ: 26 - ARST: 23 (49)
MIZ Win prob: 80% | Cover: 46%
MIZ Travel: 232 miles

Red Wolves (9 - 4) (8 - 5 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 25 - 27 (29 - 27 @ Home)
'15 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
MIZ Players
ARST Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Missouri's 2015 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/5	Missouri vs Southeast Missouri State	-23.5
Sat 9/12	Missouri at Arkansas State	-13.0	55.0	W 27 - 20	U	N
Sat 9/19	Missouri vs UConn	-24.0	41.0	W 9 - 6	U	N
Sat 9/26	Missouri at Kentucky	+2.5	44.0	L 13 - 21	U	N
Sat 10/3	Missouri vs South Carolina	-3.5	42.5	W 24 - 10	U	Y
Sat 10/10	Missouri vs Florida	+3.5	38.5	L 3 - 21	U	N
Sat 10/17	Missouri at Georgia	+17.0	48.5	L 6 - 9	U	Y
Sat 10/24	Missouri at Vanderbilt	-2.0	34.0	L 3 - 10	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Thu 11/5	Missouri vs Mississippi State	+7.5	41.0	L 13 - 31	O	N
Sat 11/14	Missouri vs BYU	+3.0	41.0	W 20 - 16	U	Y
Sat 11/21	Missouri vs Tennessee	+9.0	43.0	L 8 - 19	U	N
Fri 11/27	Missouri at Arkansas	+14.0	44.0	L 3 - 28	U	N

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Missouri's Schedule

Arkansas State's 2015 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/5	Arkansas State at USC	+27.0	66.5	L 6 - 55	U	N
Sat 9/12	Arkansas State vs Missouri	+13.0	55.0	L 20 - 27	U	Y
Sat 9/19	Arkansas State vs Missouri State	-22.0
Sat 9/26	Arkansas State at Toledo	+10.0	58.0	L 7 - 37	U	N
Sat 10/3	Arkansas State vs Idaho	-20.5	60.0	W 49 - 35	O	N
	BYE WEEK
Tue 10/13	Arkansas State at South Alabama	-6.0	58.0	W 49 - 31	O	Y
Tue 10/20	Arkansas State vs Louisiana	-6.0	55.5	W 37 - 27	O	Y
Sat 10/31	Arkansas State vs Georgia State	-18.5	57.5	W 48 - 34	O	N
Thu 11/5	Arkansas State at App State	+12.5	56.0	W 40 - 27	O	Y
Sat 11/14	Arkansas State at UL Monroe	-12.5	55.5	W 59 - 21	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/28	Arkansas State at New Mexico State	-17.0	71.0	W 52 - 28	O	Y
Sat 12/5	Arkansas State vs Texas State	-21.5	68.0	W 55 - 17	O	Y
Sat 12/19	Arkansas State vs Louisiana Tech	-1.0

Important Stats (2014)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
MIZ	.18	42%	30.2	43%	3	178	39%	189	3.4	.04	40%	18.9	39%	39%	3.29	58.2	1.1	1.8
ARST	.16	43%	25.2	44%	2.61	216	40%	260	3.74	.17	42%	27.4	44%	38%	2.96	69.6	1.7	2.2

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
MIZ		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
ARST		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2014

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
MIZ Offense	14	30.2	17.5	42%	3.4	1.1	19	367	178	189	4.6	53%	45%	43%	39%	2%	.18
ARST Defense	13	27.4	27.2	42%	2.96	2.2	-	-	-	-	-	55%	45%	44%	38%	2%	.17

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
MIZ Defense	14	18.9	17	39.7%	3.29	1.8	-	-	-	-	-	47%	52%	39%	39%	2%	.04
ARST Offense	13	25.2	29	42.9%	3.74	1.7	23	476	216	260	4.9	52%	47%	44%	40%	2%	.16

Additional Stats 2014

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Missouri	14	28:54	19.3	43%	81%	7.3	58.2	1.1	1.8	0	0	4	29.8
Arkansas State	13	29:34	23.4	38%	50%	8	69.6	1.7	2.2	0	0	4	32.7

Run Game Stats (2015)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
MIZ Offense	14	53%	43%	38.5	177.9	4.6	17	.17	3	76%	0%	1.07
ARST Defense	13	55%	44%	-	-	-	-	.17	3.01	75%	0%	1.03

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
MIZ Defense	14	47%	39%	-	-	-	-	-.04	2.38	67%	0%	0.91
ARST Offense	13	52%	44%	44.3	216.4	4.9	35	.12	2.61	59%	0%	1.06

Pass Game Stats (2015)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
MIZ Offense	14	45%	39%	15.8	29.6	189.1	6.4	12	25	13	.19	1.6	34%	35%	.37	2%	1.9
ARST Defense	13	45%	38%	-	-	-	-	-	-	16	.17	1.6	32%	29%	.26	2%	2

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
MIZ Defense	14	52%	39%	-	-	-	-	-	-	12	.14	1.5	35%	28%	.18	2%	1.9
ARST Offense	13	47%	40%	21.2	34.5	260.1	7.6	12.3	25	8	.22	1.6	34%	31%	.26	2%	2

Missouri's Power Ratings
Missouri's Power Rating: NR
Missouri's Offense Rating: NR
Missouri's Defense Rating: NR
2015 Talent Rating: #34
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Missouri's 2015 Expected Record: -
Missouri's 2015 Overall SP+ Rating: NR
Missouri's Offense SP+ Rating: NR
Missouri's Defense SP+ Rating: NR

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Missouri: Arkansas State: 2.5

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Missouri: Arkansas State:

Arkansas State's Power Ratings
Arkansas State's Power Rating: 2.5 NR
Arkansas State's Offense Rating: NR
Arkansas State's Defense Rating: NR
2015 Talent Rating: #84
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Arkansas State's 2015 Expected Record: -
Arkansas State's 2015 Overall SP+ Rating: NR
Arkansas State's Offense SP+ Rating: NR
Arkansas State's Defense SP+ Rating: NR

Average Talent
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Missouri Scoring
Offense: 30.2 PPG
Offense on Road: 17.5
Defense: 18.9 PPG
Defense on Road: 17

Missouri's 2015 Record
Record: 5 - 7
Record vs Spread: 3 - 8 - 0
Over/Under Record: 1 - 11
Record on Road: 1 - 4
Record vs Spread on Road: 1 - 4 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 1 - 3 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 0 - 2 - 0

Projected Score
Missouri 26
Arkansas State 23

Projected Total Points: 49

Arkansas State Scoring
Offense: 25.2 PPG
Offense at Home: 29
Defense: 27.4 PPG
Defense at Home: 27.2

Arkansas State's 2015 Record
Record: 9 - 4
Record vs Spread: 8 - 5 - 0
Over/Under Record: 8 - 5
Record at home: 5 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 4 - 2 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 2 - 2 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 1 - 0 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2015	09/12	Arkansas State	20	Missouri	27	Missouri -13	Arkansas State	55.0	Under
2013	09/28	Missouri	41	Arkansas State	19	Missouri -21	Missouri	0
2005	09/03	Arkansas State	17	Missouri	44
2004	09/04	Missouri	52	Arkansas State	20

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Arkansas State	0	1	0 Overs
Missouri	4	1	1 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	2 - 2	2 - 0	1 - 0	1 - 0
Road Teams	2 - 2	0 - 2	0 - 1	0 - 1

(#) MIZ at (#) ARST

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	MIZ	ARST
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	NR	NR
Perf GradeGrade	NR	NR
OffenseOff	NR	NR
DefenseDef	NR	NR
Spec TeamsST	NR	NR
TalentTal	#34	#84
Blue ChipsBC%	NR	NR

Missouri Injury Report

Arkansas State Injury Report

Missouri on Offense


CategoryCat	MIZ Off	ARST Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	NR	NR
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Missouri Run Game


CategoryCat	MIZ Off	ARST Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	NR

Missouri Pass Game


CategoryCat	MIZ Off	ARST Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Arkansas State on Offense


CategoryCat	ARST Off	MIZ Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	NR	NR
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Arkansas State Run Game


CategoryCat	ARST Off	MIZ Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	NR

Arkansas State Pass Game


CategoryCat	ARST Off	MIZ Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Program Comparison
ARST 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'15 Profile: Remains Poor G5

MIZ 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'15 Profile: Remains Poor G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Centennial Bank Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Rematch from Week 2
Missouri 13.0 (55.0)
Missouri won at Arkansas State this year (27-20)

No Matchups Past 4 Years

MIZ's OC ()

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Missouri's Full Roster

MIZ's DC ()

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

ARST's OC ()

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Arkansas State's Full Roster

ARST's DC ()

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD