Arkansas State at USC - 2015 Matchup Preview
Arkansas State logo   Arkansas State Red Wolves at USC Trojans  USC logo
Saturday, September 5th 2015 (11:00 PM EDT)
USC -27 (66.5) (0)  Open: 0.0
USC 55 - Arkansas State: 6

 
Red Wolves (9 - 4) (8 - 5 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 25 - 27 (21 - 22 on Road)
'15 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Our Line: -2.5  (SP+ -0)
Projected Score: ARST: 22 - USC: 32 (54)
USC Win prob: 98% | Cover: 56%
ARST Travel: 1565 miles, 2 hrs ahead
Trojans (8 - 6) (6 - 8 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 36 - 23 (43 - 18 @ Home)
'15 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Arkansas State's 2015 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/5 Arkansas State at USC+27.066.5L 6 - 55UN
Sat 9/12 Arkansas State vs Missouri+13.055.0L 20 - 27UY
Sat 9/19 Arkansas State vs Missouri State-22.0
Sat 9/26 Arkansas State at Toledo+10.058.0L 7 - 37UN
Sat 10/3 Arkansas State vs Idaho-20.560.0W 49 - 35ON
BYE WEEK
Tue 10/13 Arkansas State at South Alabama-6.058.0W 49 - 31OY
Tue 10/20 Arkansas State vs Louisiana-6.055.5W 37 - 27OY
Sat 10/31 Arkansas State vs Georgia State-18.557.5W 48 - 34ON
Thu 11/5 Arkansas State at App State+12.556.0W 40 - 27OY
Sat 11/14 Arkansas State at UL Monroe-12.555.5W 59 - 21OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/28 Arkansas State at New Mexico State-17.071.0W 52 - 28OY
Sat 12/5 Arkansas State vs Texas State-21.568.0W 55 - 17OY
Sat 12/19 Arkansas State vs Louisiana Tech-1.0

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Arkansas State's Schedule
USC's 2015 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/5 USC vs Arkansas State-27.066.5W 55 - 6UY
Sat 9/12 USC vs Idaho-43.566.5W 59 - 9OY
Sat 9/19 USC vs Stanford-8.051.0L 31 - 41ON
Sat 9/26 USC at Arizona State-6.062.0W 42 - 14UY
BYE WEEK
Thu 10/8 USC vs Washington-17.059.5L 12 - 17UN
Sat 10/17 USC at Notre Dame+3.062.0L 31 - 41ON
Sat 10/24 USC vs Utah-3.056.5W 42 - 24OY
Sat 10/31 USC at California-4.069.0W 27 - 21UY
Sat 11/7 USC vs Arizona-16.569.5W 38 - 30UN
Fri 11/13 USC at Colorado-14.558.5W 27 - 24UN
Sat 11/21 USC at Oregon+2.572.0L 28 - 48ON
Sat 11/28 USC vs UCLA-3.561.0W 40 - 21UY
Sat 12/5 USC vs Stanford+4.059.0L 22 - 41ON
Wed 12/30 USC vs Wisconsin-3.0

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for USC's Schedule
Important Stats (2014)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
ARST.1643%25.244%2.6121640%2603.74.1742%27.444%38%2.9669.61.72.2
USC.2745%35.842%2.916146%2973.87.1343%2342%43%3.0378.70.91.8
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
ARST0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
USC0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2014
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
ARST Offense1325.22142.9%3.741.7234762162604.952%47%44%40%2%.16
USC Defense132317.943%3.031.8 - - - - - 43%56%42%43%1%.13
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
ARST Defense1327.421.842%2.962.2 - - - - - 55%45%44%38%2%.17
USC Offense1335.84344.7%3.870.924458161297447%52%42%46%1%.27

Additional Stats 2014
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Arkansas State1329:3423.438%50%869.61.72.200432.7
USC1330:2623.747%63%8.878.70.91.800630.4
Run Game Stats (2015)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
ARST Offense1352%44%44.3216.44.935.122.6159%0%1.06
USC Defense1343%42% - - - - .042.7871%0%0.88
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
ARST Defense1355%44% - - - - .173.0175%0%1.03
USC Offense1347%42%40.3160.9418.072.968%0%0.96

Pass Game Stats (2015)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
ARST Offense1347%40%21.234.5260.17.612.3258.221.634%31%.262%2
USC Defense1356%43% - - - - - - 14.221.431%30%.21%1.7
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
ARST Defense1345%38% - - - - - - 16.171.632%29%.262%2
USC Offense1352%46%24.535.4296.68.412.1395.451.733%42%.611%2.1

Arkansas State's Power Ratings
Arkansas State's Power Rating: NR
Arkansas State's Offense Rating: NR
Arkansas State's Defense Rating: NR
2015 Talent Rating:  #84
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Arkansas State's 2015 Expected Record: -
Arkansas State's 2015 Overall SP+ Rating: NR
Arkansas State's Offense SP+ Rating: NR
Arkansas State's Defense SP+ Rating: NR

Average Talent
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Arkansas State:    USC: 2.5

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Arkansas State:    USC:




USC's Power Ratings
USC's Power Rating: 2.5 NR
USC's Offense Rating: NR
USC's Defense Rating: NR
2015 Talent Rating:  #2
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
USC's 2015 Expected Record: -
USC's 2015 Overall SP+ Rating: NR
USC's Offense SP+ Rating: NR
USC's Defense SP+ Rating: NR

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76


Arkansas State Scoring
Offense: 25.2 PPG
Offense on Road: 21
Defense: 27.4 PPG
Defense on Road: 21.8

Arkansas State's 2015 Record
Record: 9 - 4
Record vs Spread: 8 - 5 - 0
Over/Under Record: 8 - 5
Record on Road: 4 - 2
Record vs Spread on Road: 4 - 2 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 2 - 2 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 1 - 2 - 0
Projected Score
USC 32
Arkansas State 22

Projected Total Points: 54
USC Scoring
Offense: 35.8 PPG
Offense at Home: 43
Defense: 23 PPG
Defense at Home: 17.9

USC's 2015 Record
Record: 8 - 6
Record vs Spread: 6 - 8 - 0
Over/Under Record: 6 - 8
Record at home: 5 - 2
Record vs Spread at home: 4 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 6 - 5 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 4 - 3 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
201509/05USC55Arkansas State6USC -27USC66.5Under
TeamWinsCoversO/U
USC110 Overs
Arkansas State001 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams1 - 01 - 01 - 00 - 0
Road Teams0 - 10 - 10 - 00 - 1

(#) ARST at (#) USC
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatARSTUSC
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+NRNR
Perf GradeGradeNRNR
OffenseOffNRNR
DefenseDefNRNR
Spec TeamsSTNRNR
TalentTal #84 #2
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
Arkansas State on Offense
CategoryCat
ARST OffUSC Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+NRNR
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Arkansas State Run Game
CategoryCat
ARST OffUSC Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Arkansas State Pass Game
CategoryCat
ARST OffUSC Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
USC on Offense
CategoryCatUSC OffARST Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+NRNR
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
USC Run Game
CategoryCat
USC OffARST Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
USC Pass Game
CategoryCatUSC OffARST Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
USC 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'15 Profile: Remains Poor G5

ARST 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'15 Profile: Remains Poor G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Los Angeles Memorial Coliseum
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Rematch from Week 1
USC -27.0 (66.5)
USC won vs Arkansas State this year (55-6)

No Matchups Past 4 Years
  
ARST's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

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ARST's DC ()
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USC's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

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USC's DC ()
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