Arkansas State at App State - 2015 Matchup Preview
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Arkansas State Red Wolves at App State Mountaineers

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Thursday, November 5th 2015 (7:30 PM EST)
Appalachian State -12.5 (56.0) (0)  Open: 0.0
Arkansas State 40 - App State: 27  (Sun Belt)

 
Red Wolves (9 - 4) (8 - 5 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 25 - 27 (21 - 22 on Road)
'15 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
APP 3rd straight Home Game
APP is playing their 7th straight game
ARST is playing their 4th straight game
Our Line: -2.5  (SP+ -0)
Projected Score: ARST: 26 - APP: 25 (51)
APP Win prob: 81% | Cover: 53%
ARST Travel: 502 miles, 1 hrs behind
Mountaineers (11 - 2) (6 - 6 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 24 - 30 (27 - 27 @ Home)
'15 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Arkansas State's 2015 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/5 Arkansas State at USC+27.066.5L 6 - 55UN
Sat 9/12 Arkansas State vs Missouri+13.055.0L 20 - 27UY
Sat 9/19 Arkansas State vs Missouri State-22.0
Sat 9/26 Arkansas State at Toledo+10.058.0L 7 - 37UN
Sat 10/3 Arkansas State vs Idaho-20.560.0W 49 - 35ON
BYE WEEK
Tue 10/13 Arkansas State at South Alabama-6.058.0W 49 - 31OY
Tue 10/20 Arkansas State vs Louisiana-6.055.5W 37 - 27OY
Sat 10/31 Arkansas State vs Georgia State-18.557.5W 48 - 34ON
Thu 11/5 Arkansas State at App State+12.556.0W 40 - 27OY
Sat 11/14 Arkansas State at UL Monroe-12.555.5W 59 - 21OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/28 Arkansas State at New Mexico State-17.071.0W 52 - 28OY
Sat 12/5 Arkansas State vs Texas State-21.568.0W 55 - 17OY
Sat 12/19 Arkansas State vs Louisiana Tech-1.0

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Arkansas State's Schedule
App State's 2015 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/5 App State vs Howard-23.5
Sat 9/12 App State at Clemson+21.057.5L 10 - 41UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/26 App State at Old Dominion-7.054.5W 49 - 0UY
Sat 10/3 App State vs Wyoming-17.552.5W 31 - 13UY
Sat 10/10 App State at Georgia State-18.061.0W 37 - 3UY
Sat 10/17 App State at UL Monroe-8.547.0W 59 - 14OY
Thu 10/22 App State vs Georgia Southern-6.060.0W 31 - 13UY
Sat 10/31 App State vs Troy-24.055.0W 44 - 41ON
Thu 11/5 App State vs Arkansas State-12.556.0L 27 - 40ON
Sat 11/14 App State at Idaho-20.065.5W 47 - 20OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/28 App State vs Louisiana-22.059.0W 28 - 7UN
Sat 12/5 App State at South Alabama-16.559.0W 34 - 27ON
Sat 12/19 App State vs Ohio-9.5

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for App State's Schedule
Important Stats (2014)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
ARST.1643%25.244%2.6121640%2603.74.1742%27.444%38%2.9669.61.72.2
APP.2645%24.245%3.1224244%2204.1440%29.841%37%3.6162.91.81.6
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
ARST0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
APP0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2014
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
ARST Offense1325.22142.9%3.741.7234762162604.952%47%44%40%2%.16
APP Defense1229.826.739.9%3.611.6 - - - - - 49%49%41%37%2%.14
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
ARST Defense1327.421.842%2.962.2 - - - - - 55%45%44%38%2%.17
APP Offense1224.22745.1%41.8244622422205.457%41%45%44%2%.26

Additional Stats 2014
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Arkansas State1329:3423.438%50%869.61.72.200432.7
App State1231:4023.649%61%7.362.91.81.600232.5
Run Game Stats (2015)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
ARST Offense1352%44%44.3216.44.935.122.6159%0%1.06
APP Defense1249%41% - - - - .132.8660%0%1.09
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
ARST Defense1355%44% - - - - .173.0175%0%1.03
APP Offense1257%45%44.8241.85.433.183.1274%0%1.03

Pass Game Stats (2015)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
ARST Offense1347%40%21.234.5260.17.612.3258.221.634%31%.262%2
APP Defense1249%37% - - - - - - 12.161.634%33%.362%1.8
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
ARST Defense1345%38% - - - - - - 16.171.632%29%.262%2
APP Offense1241%44%17.128.3219.87.812.92111.41.733%36%.462%2.1

Arkansas State's Power Ratings
Arkansas State's Power Rating: NR
Arkansas State's Offense Rating: NR
Arkansas State's Defense Rating: NR
2015 Talent Rating:  #84
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Arkansas State's 2015 Expected Record: -
Arkansas State's 2015 Overall SP+ Rating: NR
Arkansas State's Offense SP+ Rating: NR
Arkansas State's Defense SP+ Rating: NR

Average Talent
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Arkansas State:    App State: 2.5

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Arkansas State:    App State:




App State's Power Ratings
App State's Power Rating: 2.5 NR
App State's Offense Rating: NR
App State's Defense Rating: NR
2015 Talent Rating:  #120
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
App State's 2015 Expected Record: -
App State's 2015 Overall SP+ Rating: NR
App State's Offense SP+ Rating: NR
App State's Defense SP+ Rating: NR

Average Talent
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76


Arkansas State Scoring
Offense: 25.2 PPG
Offense on Road: 21
Defense: 27.4 PPG
Defense on Road: 21.8

Arkansas State's 2015 Record
Record: 9 - 4
Record vs Spread: 8 - 5 - 0
Over/Under Record: 8 - 5
Record on Road: 4 - 2
Record vs Spread on Road: 4 - 2 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 2 - 2 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 1 - 2 - 0
Projected Score
Arkansas State 26
App State 25

Projected Total Points: 51
App State Scoring
Offense: 24.2 PPG
Offense at Home: 27
Defense: 29.8 PPG
Defense at Home: 26.7

App State's 2015 Record
Record: 11 - 2
Record vs Spread: 6 - 6 - 0
Over/Under Record: 5 - 8
Record at home: 5 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 6 - 5 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 2 - 3 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202511/29App State29Arkansas State30App State -1.0Arkansas State54.5Over
202111/06Arkansas State14App State48Appalachian State -21.5App State67.5Under
202010/22App State45Arkansas State17Appalachian State -14App State69.5Under
201810/09Arkansas State9App State35Appalachian State -10.5App State59.5Under
201511/05App State27Arkansas State40Appalachian State -12.5Arkansas State56.0Over
201411/15Arkansas State32App State37Arkansas State -15App State0
TeamWinsCoversO/U
App State442 Overs
Arkansas State223 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams1 - 51 - 51 - 30 - 2
Road Teams5 - 15 - 12 - 03 - 1

(#) ARST at (#) APP
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatARSTAPP
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+NRNR
Perf GradeGradeNRNR
OffenseOffNRNR
DefenseDefNRNR
Spec TeamsSTNRNR
TalentTal #84 #120
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
Arkansas State on Offense
CategoryCat
ARST OffAPP Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+NRNR
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Arkansas State Run Game
CategoryCat
ARST OffAPP Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Arkansas State Pass Game
CategoryCat
ARST OffAPP Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
App State on Offense
CategoryCatAPP OffARST Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+NRNR
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
App State Run Game
CategoryCat
APP OffARST Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
App State Pass Game
CategoryCatAPP OffARST Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
APP 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'15 Profile: Remains Poor G5

ARST 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'15 Profile: Remains Poor G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Kidd Brewer Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Rematch from Week 10
App State -12.5 (56.0)
Arkansas State won at App State this year (40-27)

Previous Matchups
Arkansas State beat App State last year (30-29)

  
ARST's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View Arkansas State's Full Roster

ARST's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD

APP's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View App State's Full Roster

APP's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD