New Mexico State at New Mexico - 2015 Matchup Preview
New Mexico State logo   New Mexico State Aggies at New Mexico Lobos  New Mexico logo
Saturday, October 3rd 2015 (8:00 PM EDT)
New Mexico -14 (65.5) (0)  Open: 0.0
New Mexico 38 - New Mexico State: 29

 
Aggies (3 - 9) (5 - 7 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 22 - 28 (20 - 38 on Road)
'15 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
NMSU coming off BYE
UNM is playing their 5th straight game
Our Line: -2.5  (SP+ -0)
Projected Score: NMSU: 21 - UNM: 30 (51)
UNM Win prob: 86% | Cover: 55%
NMSU Travel: 193 miles
Lobos (7 - 6) (6 - 6 - 1)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 27 - 22 (28 - 19 @ Home)
'15 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
New Mexico State's 2015 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/5 New Mexico State at Florida+38.054.0L 13 - 61ON
Sat 9/12 New Mexico State vs Georgia State-4.064.5L 32 - 34ON
Sat 9/19 New Mexico State vs UTEP+4.059.5L 47 - 50OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/3 New Mexico State at New Mexico+14.065.5L 29 - 38OY
Sat 10/10 New Mexico State at Ole Miss+43.070.0L 3 - 52UN
Sat 10/17 New Mexico State at Georgia Southern+26.062.0L 26 - 56ON
Sat 10/24 New Mexico State vs Troy+3.558.5L 7 - 52ON
Sat 10/31 New Mexico State vs Idaho+3.069.5W 55 - 48OY
Sat 11/7 New Mexico State at Texas State+13.069.0W 31 - 21UY
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/21 New Mexico State at Louisiana+15.562.0W 37 - 34OY
Sat 11/28 New Mexico State vs Arkansas State+17.071.0L 28 - 52ON
Sat 12/5 New Mexico State at UL Monroe+3.059.0L 35 - 42ON

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for New Mexico State's Schedule
New Mexico's 2015 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/5 New Mexico vs Mississippi Valley State-42.0
Sat 9/12 New Mexico vs Tulsa-3.071.5L 21 - 40UN
Fri 9/18 New Mexico at Arizona State+24.063.5L 10 - 34UY
Sat 9/26 New Mexico at Wyoming-2.558.5W 38 - 28OY
Sat 10/3 New Mexico vs New Mexico State-14.065.5W 38 - 29ON
Sat 10/10 New Mexico at Nevada+6.053.5L 17 - 35UN
Sat 10/17 New Mexico vs Hawai'i-3.551.5W 28 - 27ON
Sat 10/24 New Mexico at San José State+7.556.0L 21 - 31UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/7 New Mexico vs Utah State+14.557.5W 14 - 13UY
Sat 11/14 New Mexico at Boise State+29.557.0W 31 - 24UY
Sat 11/21 New Mexico vs Colorado State+2.056.5L 21 - 28UN
Sat 11/28 New Mexico vs Air Force+10.553.5W 47 - 35OY
Sat 12/19 New Mexico vs Arizona+11.5

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for New Mexico's Schedule
Important Stats (2014)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
NMSU.1340%21.637%2.617942%2422.69.2753%27.656%44%4.1133.92.81.9
UNM.2241%27.143%3.0231031%893.14.2847%22.348%45%3.840.81.51.6
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
NMSU0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
UNM0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2014
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
NMSU Offense1221.62040%2.692.8224211792424.649%50%37%42%3%.13
UNM Defense1222.318.747.1%3.81.6 - - - - - 57%42%48%45%2%.28
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
NMSU Defense1227.637.552.8%4.111.9 - - - - - 65%33%56%44%2%.27
UNM Offense1227.128.341.1%3.141.517400310896.478%22%43%31%2%.22

Additional Stats 2014
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
New Mexico State1227:2821.542%56%4.833.92.81.900229.3
New Mexico1229:5517.137%40%4.340.81.51.600327.7
Run Game Stats (2015)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
NMSU Offense1249%37%39.1179.34.619.062.673%0%1.05
UNM Defense1257%48% - - - - .253.1386%0%1.11
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
NMSU Defense1265%56% - - - - .313.7386%0%1
UNM Offense1278%43%48.8310.46.434.243.0266%0%1.33

Pass Game Stats (2015)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
NMSU Offense1250%42%23.237.7241.66.410.41924.211.534%29%.153%1.9
UNM Defense1242%45% - - - - - - 11.331.730%41%.492%1.9
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
NMSU Defense1233%44% - - - - - - 13.231.325%35%.442%1.9
UNM Offense1222%31%6.312.489.17.214.176.192.232%27%.242%2.1

New Mexico State's Power Ratings
New Mexico State's Power Rating: NR
New Mexico State's Offense Rating: NR
New Mexico State's Defense Rating: NR
2015 Talent Rating:  #126
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
New Mexico State's 2015 Expected Record: -
New Mexico State's 2015 Overall SP+ Rating: NR
New Mexico State's Offense SP+ Rating: NR
New Mexico State's Defense SP+ Rating: NR

Average Talent
Average Conference USA Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
New Mexico State:    New Mexico: 2.5

SP+ Ratings Matchup
New Mexico State:    New Mexico:




New Mexico's Power Ratings
New Mexico's Power Rating: 2.5 NR
New Mexico's Offense Rating: NR
New Mexico's Defense Rating: NR
2015 Talent Rating:  #108
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
New Mexico's 2015 Expected Record: -
New Mexico's 2015 Overall SP+ Rating: NR
New Mexico's Offense SP+ Rating: NR
New Mexico's Defense SP+ Rating: NR

Average Talent
Average Mountain West Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76


New Mexico State Scoring
Offense: 21.6 PPG
Offense on Road: 20
Defense: 27.6 PPG
Defense on Road: 37.5

New Mexico State's 2015 Record
Record: 3 - 9
Record vs Spread: 5 - 7 - 0
Over/Under Record: 10 - 2
Record on Road: 2 - 5
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 4 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 5 - 6 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 3 - 4 - 0
Projected Score
New Mexico 30
New Mexico State 21

Projected Total Points: 51
New Mexico Scoring
Offense: 27.1 PPG
Offense at Home: 28.3
Defense: 22.3 PPG
Defense at Home: 18.7

New Mexico's 2015 Record
Record: 7 - 6
Record vs Spread: 6 - 6 - 1
Over/Under Record: 4 - 9
Record at home: 5 - 2
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 4 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 2 - 3 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 1 - 3 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202509/27New Mexico38New Mexico State20New Mexico -16.5New Mexico53.5Over
202409/28New Mexico State40New Mexico50New Mexico -9.5New Mexico54.0Over
202309/16New Mexico17New Mexico State27New Mexico -2.5New Mexico State52.0Under
202210/15New Mexico State21New Mexico9New Mexico -7New Mexico State38.5Under
202109/11New Mexico34New Mexico State25New Mexico -19.5New Mexico State55.5Over
201909/21New Mexico55New Mexico State52New Mexico -4New Mexico State69.0Over
201809/15New Mexico State25New Mexico42New Mexico -3New Mexico60.5Over
201709/09New Mexico28New Mexico State30New Mexico -7New Mexico State69.5Under
201609/10New Mexico State32New Mexico31New Mexico -11.5New Mexico State62.0Over
201510/03New Mexico38New Mexico State29New Mexico -14New Mexico State65.5Over
201409/20New Mexico State35New Mexico38New Mexico -3NA0
201310/05New Mexico66New Mexico State17New Mexico -7New Mexico0
201209/22New Mexico State14New Mexico27
201110/01New Mexico28New Mexico State42
201010/09New Mexico State16New Mexico14
200909/26New Mexico17New Mexico State20
200809/27New Mexico State24New Mexico35
200709/08New Mexico44New Mexico State34
200609/09New Mexico State28New Mexico34
200509/17New Mexico38New Mexico State21
200409/25New Mexico State3New Mexico38
200309/27New Mexico24New Mexico State17
200209/21New Mexico State24New Mexico13
200111/24New Mexico53New Mexico State0
200009/15New Mexico State13New Mexico16
TeamWinsCoversO/U
New Mexico1747 Overs
New Mexico State873 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams13 - 124 - 72 - 52 - 2
Road Teams12 - 137 - 42 - 25 - 2

(#) NMSU at (#) UNM
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatNMSUUNM
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+NRNR
Perf GradeGradeNRNR
OffenseOffNRNR
DefenseDefNRNR
Spec TeamsSTNRNR
TalentTal #126 #108
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
New Mexico State on Offense
CategoryCat
NMSU OffUNM Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+NRNR
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
New Mexico State Run Game
CategoryCat
NMSU OffUNM Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
New Mexico State Pass Game
CategoryCat
NMSU OffUNM Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
New Mexico on Offense
CategoryCatUNM OffNMSU Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+NRNR
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
New Mexico Run Game
CategoryCat
UNM OffNMSU Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
New Mexico Pass Game
CategoryCatUNM OffNMSU Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
UNM 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'15 Profile: Remains Poor G5

NMSU 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'15 Profile: Remains Poor G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in University Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Rematch from Week 5
New Mexico -14.0 (65.5)
New Mexico won vs New Mexico State this year (38-29)

Previous Matchups
New Mexico beat New Mexico State last year (38-20)
New Mexico beat New Mexico State in 2024 (50-40)
New Mexico State beat New Mexico in 2023 (27-17)

  
NMSU's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View New Mexico State's Full Roster

NMSU's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD

UNM's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View New Mexico's Full Roster

UNM's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD