New Mexico State at Florida - 2015 Matchup Preview

New Mexico State Aggies at Florida Gators

Saturday, September 5th 2015 (7:30 PM EDT)
Florida -38 (54.0) (0) Open: 0.0
Florida 61 - New Mexico State: 13

Aggies (3 - 9) (5 - 7 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 22 - 28 (20 - 38 on Road)
'15 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Our Line: -2.5 (SP+ -0)
Projected Score: NMSU: 21 - FLA: 29 (50)
FLA Win prob: 100% | Cover: 60%
NMSU Travel: 1453 miles, 3 hrs behind

Gators (10 - 4) (7 - 7 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 22 - 24 (29 - 19 @ Home)
'15 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
NMSU Players
FLA Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

New Mexico State's 2015 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/5	New Mexico State at Florida	+38.0	54.0	L 13 - 61	O	N
Sat 9/12	New Mexico State vs Georgia State	-4.0	64.5	L 32 - 34	O	N
Sat 9/19	New Mexico State vs UTEP	+4.0	59.5	L 47 - 50	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/3	New Mexico State at New Mexico	+14.0	65.5	L 29 - 38	O	Y
Sat 10/10	New Mexico State at Ole Miss	+43.0	70.0	L 3 - 52	U	N
Sat 10/17	New Mexico State at Georgia Southern	+26.0	62.0	L 26 - 56	O	N
Sat 10/24	New Mexico State vs Troy	+3.5	58.5	L 7 - 52	O	N
Sat 10/31	New Mexico State vs Idaho	+3.0	69.5	W 55 - 48	O	Y
Sat 11/7	New Mexico State at Texas State	+13.0	69.0	W 31 - 21	U	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/21	New Mexico State at Louisiana	+15.5	62.0	W 37 - 34	O	Y
Sat 11/28	New Mexico State vs Arkansas State	+17.0	71.0	L 28 - 52	O	N
Sat 12/5	New Mexico State at UL Monroe	+3.0	59.0	L 35 - 42	O	N

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for New Mexico State's Schedule

Florida's 2015 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/5	Florida vs New Mexico State	-38.0	54.0	W 61 - 13	O	Y
Sat 9/12	Florida vs East Carolina	-13.0	53.5	W 31 - 24	O	N
Sat 9/19	Florida at Kentucky	-4.5	52.5	W 14 - 9	U	Y
Sat 9/26	Florida vs Tennessee	-3.0	50.5	W 28 - 27	O	N
Sat 10/3	Florida vs Ole Miss	+6.5	50.5	W 38 - 10	U	Y
Sat 10/10	Florida at Missouri	-3.5	38.5	W 21 - 3	U	Y
Sat 10/17	Florida at LSU	+6.5	43.5	L 28 - 35	O	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/31	Florida vs Georgia	-2.5	49.0	W 27 - 3	U	Y
Sat 11/7	Florida vs Vanderbilt	-19.0	38.5	W 9 - 7	U	N
Sat 11/14	Florida at South Carolina	-8.5	47.0	W 24 - 14	U	Y
Sat 11/21	Florida vs Florida Atlantic	-31.0	45.0	W 20 - 14	U	N
Sat 11/28	Florida vs Florida State	-3.0	44.0	L 2 - 27	U	N
Sat 12/5	Florida vs Alabama	+17.0	38.0	L 15 - 29	O	Y
Fri 1/1	Florida vs Michigan	+4.0

Important Stats (2014)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
NMSU	.13	40%	21.6	37%	2.6	179	42%	242	2.69	.27	53%	27.6	56%	44%	4.11	33.9	2.8	1.9
FLA	.05	38%	21.6	39%	2.7	188	32%	180	3.39	.03	39%	24	40%	35%	2.49	59.2	2	2.6

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
NMSU		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
FLA		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2014

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
NMSU Offense	12	21.6	20	40%	2.69	2.8	22	421	179	242	4.6	49%	50%	37%	42%	3%	.13
FLA Defense	12	24	18.7	38.5%	2.49	2.6	-	-	-	-	-	47%	51%	40%	35%	3%	.03

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
NMSU Defense	12	27.6	37.5	52.8%	4.11	1.9	-	-	-	-	-	65%	33%	56%	44%	2%	.27
FLA Offense	12	21.6	29	38.1%	3.39	2	18	368	188	180	4.4	58%	40%	39%	32%	3%	.05

Additional Stats 2014

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
New Mexico State	12	27:28	21.5	42%	56%	4.8	33.9	2.8	1.9	0	0	2	29.3
Florida	12	29:52	17.5	36%	53%	6.7	59.2	2	2.6	0	0	3	33

Run Game Stats (2015)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
NMSU Offense	12	49%	37%	39.1	179.3	4.6	19	.06	2.6	73%	0%	1.05
FLA Defense	12	47%	40%	-	-	-	-	-.04	2.64	64%	0%	0.78

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
NMSU Defense	12	65%	56%	-	-	-	-	.31	3.73	86%	0%	1
FLA Offense	12	58%	39%	43.1	187.7	4.4	22	.04	2.7	73%	0%	0.93

Pass Game Stats (2015)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
NMSU Offense	12	50%	42%	23.2	37.7	241.6	6.4	10.4	19	24	.21	1.5	34%	29%	.15	3%	1.9
FLA Defense	12	51%	35%	-	-	-	-	-	-	17	.09	1.6	35%	29%	.23	3%	1.9

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
NMSU Defense	12	33%	44%	-	-	-	-	-	-	13	.23	1.3	25%	35%	.44	2%	1.9
FLA Offense	12	40%	32%	14.1	27	179.9	6.7	12.8	18	14	.1	1.7	34%	30%	.27	3%	1.8

New Mexico State's Power Ratings
New Mexico State's Power Rating: NR
New Mexico State's Offense Rating: NR
New Mexico State's Defense Rating: NR
2015 Talent Rating: #126
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
New Mexico State's 2015 Expected Record: -
New Mexico State's 2015 Overall SP+ Rating: NR
New Mexico State's Offense SP+ Rating: NR
New Mexico State's Defense SP+ Rating: NR

Average Talent
Average Conference USA Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
New Mexico State: Florida: 2.5

SP+ Ratings Matchup
New Mexico State: Florida:

Florida's Power Ratings
Florida's Power Rating: 2.5 NR
Florida's Offense Rating: NR
Florida's Defense Rating: NR
2015 Talent Rating: #15
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Florida's 2015 Expected Record: -
Florida's 2015 Overall SP+ Rating: NR
Florida's Offense SP+ Rating: NR
Florida's Defense SP+ Rating: NR

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

New Mexico State Scoring
Offense: 21.6 PPG
Offense on Road: 20
Defense: 27.6 PPG
Defense on Road: 37.5

New Mexico State's 2015 Record
Record: 3 - 9
Record vs Spread: 5 - 7 - 0
Over/Under Record: 10 - 2
Record on Road: 2 - 5
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 4 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 5 - 6 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 3 - 4 - 0

Projected Score
Florida 29
New Mexico State 21

Projected Total Points: 50

Florida Scoring
Offense: 21.6 PPG
Offense at Home: 29
Defense: 24 PPG
Defense at Home: 18.7

Florida's 2015 Record
Record: 10 - 4
Record vs Spread: 7 - 7 - 0
Over/Under Record: 5 - 9
Record at home: 6 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 5 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 5 - 5 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 1 - 5 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2015	09/05	Florida	61	New Mexico State	13	Florida -38	Florida	54.0	Over

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Florida	1	1	1 Overs
New Mexico State	0	0	0 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	1 - 0	1 - 0	1 - 0	0 - 0
Road Teams	0 - 1	0 - 1	0 - 0	0 - 1

(#) NMSU at (#) FLA

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	NMSU	FLA
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	NR	NR
Perf GradeGrade	NR	NR
OffenseOff	NR	NR
DefenseDef	NR	NR
Spec TeamsST	NR	NR
TalentTal	#126	#15
Blue ChipsBC%	NR	NR

New Mexico State Injury Report

Florida Injury Report

New Mexico State on Offense


CategoryCat	NMSU Off	FLA Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	NR	NR
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

New Mexico State Run Game


CategoryCat	NMSU Off	FLA Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	NR

New Mexico State Pass Game


CategoryCat	NMSU Off	FLA Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Florida on Offense


CategoryCat	FLA Off	NMSU Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	NR	NR
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Florida Run Game


CategoryCat	FLA Off	NMSU Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	NR

Florida Pass Game


CategoryCat	FLA Off	NMSU Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Program Comparison
FLA 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'15 Profile: Remains Poor G5

NMSU 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'15 Profile: Remains Poor G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Ben Hill Griffin Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Rematch from Week 1
Florida -38.0 (54.0)
Florida won vs New Mexico State this year (61-13)

No Matchups Past 4 Years

NMSU's OC ()

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View New Mexico State's Full Roster

NMSU's DC ()

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

FLA's OC ()

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Florida's Full Roster

FLA's DC ()

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD