New Mexico State at Texas State - 2015 Matchup Preview
New Mexico State logo   New Mexico State Aggies at Texas State Bobcats  Texas State logo
Saturday, November 7th 2015 (4:00 PM EST)
Texas State -13 (69.0) (0)  Open: 0.0
New Mexico State 31 - Texas State: 21  (Sun Belt)

 
Aggies (3 - 9) (5 - 7 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 22 - 28 (20 - 38 on Road)
'15 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
NMSU is playing their 6th straight game
Our Line: -2.5  (SP+ -0)
Projected Score: NMSU: 25 - TXST: 35 (60)
TXST Win prob: 80% | Cover: 46%
NMSU Travel: 547 miles, 2 hrs behind
Bobcats (3 - 9) (3 - 9 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 37 - 29 (38 - 28 @ Home)
'15 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
New Mexico State's 2015 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/5 New Mexico State at Florida+38.054.0L 13 - 61ON
Sat 9/12 New Mexico State vs Georgia State-4.064.5L 32 - 34ON
Sat 9/19 New Mexico State vs UTEP+4.059.5L 47 - 50OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/3 New Mexico State at New Mexico+14.065.5L 29 - 38OY
Sat 10/10 New Mexico State at Ole Miss+43.070.0L 3 - 52UN
Sat 10/17 New Mexico State at Georgia Southern+26.062.0L 26 - 56ON
Sat 10/24 New Mexico State vs Troy+3.558.5L 7 - 52ON
Sat 10/31 New Mexico State vs Idaho+3.069.5W 55 - 48OY
Sat 11/7 New Mexico State at Texas State+13.069.0W 31 - 21UY
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/21 New Mexico State at Louisiana+15.562.0W 37 - 34OY
Sat 11/28 New Mexico State vs Arkansas State+17.071.0L 28 - 52ON
Sat 12/5 New Mexico State at UL Monroe+3.059.0L 35 - 42ON

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for New Mexico State's Schedule
Texas State's 2015 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/5 Texas State at Florida State+37.060.0L 16 - 59ON
Sat 9/12 Texas State vs Prairie View A&M-28.0
Sat 9/19 Texas State vs Southern Miss-2.067.0L 50 - 56ON
Sat 9/26 Texas State at Houston+16.573.0L 14 - 59UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/10 Texas State at Louisiana+4.068.0L 27 - 49ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/24 Texas State vs South Alabama-5.063.0W 36 - 18UY
Thu 10/29 Texas State at Georgia Southern+18.565.0L 13 - 37UN
Sat 11/7 Texas State vs New Mexico State-13.069.0L 21 - 31UN
Sat 11/14 Texas State vs Georgia State-5.064.0L 19 - 41UN
Thu 11/19 Texas State vs UL Monroe-5.058.5W 16 - 3UY
Sat 11/28 Texas State at Idaho+4.565.5L 31 - 38ON
Sat 12/5 Texas State at Arkansas State+21.568.0L 17 - 55ON

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Texas State's Schedule
Important Stats (2014)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
NMSU.1340%21.637%2.617942%2422.69.2753%27.656%44%4.1133.92.81.9
TXST.2145%36.547%3.123940%2264.1.1643%2944%41%3.195911.6
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
NMSU0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
TXST0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2014
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
NMSU Offense1221.62040%2.692.8224211792424.649%50%37%42%3%.13
TXST Defense122928.343.3%3.191.6 - - - - - 51%48%44%41%2%.16
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
NMSU Defense1227.637.552.8%4.111.9 - - - - - 65%33%56%44%2%.27
TXST Offense1236.53844.6%4.11234642392265.355%44%47%40%2%.21

Additional Stats 2014
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
New Mexico State1227:2821.542%56%4.833.92.81.900229.3
Texas State1228:1723.239%60%6.35911.600230
Run Game Stats (2015)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
NMSU Offense1249%37%39.1179.34.619.062.673%0%1.05
TXST Defense1251%44% - - - - .173.2276%0%0.96
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
NMSU Defense1265%56% - - - - .313.7386%0%1
TXST Offense1255%47%44.8238.55.329.193.175%0%1

Pass Game Stats (2015)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
NMSU Offense1250%42%23.237.7241.66.410.41924.211.534%29%.153%1.9
TXST Defense1248%41% - - - - - - 13.171.530%30%.212%1.7
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
NMSU Defense1233%44% - - - - - - 13.231.325%35%.442%1.9
TXST Offense1244%40%20.831.8225.97.110.8227.271.632%37%.492%1.9

New Mexico State's Power Ratings
New Mexico State's Power Rating: NR
New Mexico State's Offense Rating: NR
New Mexico State's Defense Rating: NR
2015 Talent Rating:  #126
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
New Mexico State's 2015 Expected Record: -
New Mexico State's 2015 Overall SP+ Rating: NR
New Mexico State's Offense SP+ Rating: NR
New Mexico State's Defense SP+ Rating: NR

Average Talent
Average Conference USA Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
New Mexico State:    Texas State: 2.5

SP+ Ratings Matchup
New Mexico State:    Texas State:




Texas State's Power Ratings
Texas State's Power Rating: 2.5 NR
Texas State's Offense Rating: NR
Texas State's Defense Rating: NR
2015 Talent Rating:  #103
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Texas State's 2015 Expected Record: -
Texas State's 2015 Overall SP+ Rating: NR
Texas State's Offense SP+ Rating: NR
Texas State's Defense SP+ Rating: NR

Average Talent
Average Pac-12 Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76


New Mexico State Scoring
Offense: 21.6 PPG
Offense on Road: 20
Defense: 27.6 PPG
Defense on Road: 37.5

New Mexico State's 2015 Record
Record: 3 - 9
Record vs Spread: 5 - 7 - 0
Over/Under Record: 10 - 2
Record on Road: 2 - 5
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 4 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 5 - 6 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 3 - 4 - 0
Projected Score
Texas State 35
New Mexico State 25

Projected Total Points: 60
Texas State Scoring
Offense: 36.5 PPG
Offense at Home: 38
Defense: 29 PPG
Defense at Home: 28.3

Texas State's 2015 Record
Record: 3 - 9
Record vs Spread: 3 - 9 - 0
Over/Under Record: 5 - 7
Record at home: 3 - 3
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 3 - 3 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
201810/27Texas State27New Mexico State20Texas State -1Texas State56.0Under
201711/04Texas State35New Mexico State45New Mexico State -9.5New Mexico State57.0Over
201611/19New Mexico State50Texas State10New Mexico State -6.5New Mexico State66.0Under
201511/07Texas State21New Mexico State31Texas State -13New Mexico State69.0Under
201411/01New Mexico State29Texas State37Texas State -10.5New Mexico State0
201212/01Texas State66New Mexico State28
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Texas State311 Overs
New Mexico State343 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams3 - 33 - 22 - 11 - 1
Road Teams3 - 32 - 31 - 11 - 2

(#) NMSU at (#) TXST
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatNMSUTXST
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+NRNR
Perf GradeGradeNRNR
OffenseOffNRNR
DefenseDefNRNR
Spec TeamsSTNRNR
TalentTal #126 #103
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
New Mexico State on Offense
CategoryCat
NMSU OffTXST Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+NRNR
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
New Mexico State Run Game
CategoryCat
NMSU OffTXST Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
New Mexico State Pass Game
CategoryCat
NMSU OffTXST Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Texas State on Offense
CategoryCatTXST OffNMSU Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+NRNR
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Texas State Run Game
CategoryCat
TXST OffNMSU Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Texas State Pass Game
CategoryCatTXST OffNMSU Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
TXST 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'15 Profile: Remains Poor G5

NMSU 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'15 Profile: Remains Poor G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Wacker Field at Bobcat Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Rematch from Week 10
Texas State -13.0 (69.0)
New Mexico State won at Texas State this year (31-21)

No Matchups Past 4 Years
  
NMSU's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View New Mexico State's Full Roster

NMSU's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD

TXST's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View Texas State's Full Roster

TXST's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD