East Carolina at UCF - 2015 Matchup Preview

Thursday, November 19th 2015 (7:30 PM EST)
East Carolina -17 (51.5) (0) Open: 0.0
East Carolina 44 - UCF: 7 (American Athletic)

Pirates (5 - 7) (6 - 5 - 1)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 27 - 26 (32 - 30 on Road)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

ECU coming off BYE
UCF coming off BYE
Our Line: -2.5 (SP+ -0)
Projected Score: ECU: 34 - UCF: 20 (54)
ECU Win prob: 90% | Cover: 52%
ECU Travel: 532 miles

Knights (0 - 12) (1 - 11 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 14 - 38 (10 - 36 @ Home)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
ECU Players
UCF Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

East Carolina's 2015 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/5	East Carolina vs Towson	-30.5
Sat 9/12	East Carolina at Florida	+13.0	53.5	L 24 - 31	O	Y
Sat 9/19	East Carolina at Navy	+1.5	58.0	L 21 - 45	O	N
Sat 9/26	East Carolina vs Virginia Tech	+6.0	50.5	W 35 - 28	O	Y
Sat 10/3	East Carolina at SMU	-6.5	64.5	W 49 - 23	O	Y
Sat 10/10	East Carolina at BYU	+8.5	60.0	L 38 - 45	O	Y
Sat 10/17	East Carolina vs Tulsa	-11.0	77.0	W 30 - 17	U	Y
Thu 10/22	East Carolina vs Temple	-2.0	48.0	L 14 - 24	U	N
Fri 10/30	East Carolina at UConn	-7.0	51.0	L 13 - 31	U	N
Sat 11/7	East Carolina vs South Florida	-3.0	55.0	L 17 - 22	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Thu 11/19	East Carolina at UCF	-17.0	51.5	W 44 - 7	U	Y
Sat 11/28	East Carolina vs Cincinnati	+3.0	69.0	L 16 - 19	U	Y

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for East Carolina's Schedule

UCF's 2015 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Thu 9/3	UCF vs Florida International	-17.0	44.0	L 14 - 15	U	N
Sat 9/12	UCF at Stanford	+16.0	46.5	L 7 - 31	U	N
Sat 9/19	UCF vs Furman	-26.0
Sat 9/26	UCF at South Carolina	+12.5	45.0	L 14 - 31	U	N
Sat 10/3	UCF at Tulane	-3.0	44.0	L 31 - 45	O	N
Sat 10/10	UCF vs UConn	-3.0	39.0	L 13 - 40	O	N
Sat 10/17	UCF at Temple	+18.0	43.0	L 16 - 30	O	Y
Sat 10/24	UCF vs Houston	+18.5	53.0	L 10 - 59	O	N
Sat 10/31	UCF at Cincinnati	+20.5	61.5	L 7 - 52	U	N
Sat 11/7	UCF at Tulsa	+11.0	61.5	L 30 - 45	O	N
	BYE WEEK
Thu 11/19	UCF vs East Carolina	+17.0	51.5	L 7 - 44	U	N
Thu 11/26	UCF vs South Florida	+22.5	53.5	L 3 - 44	U	N

Important Stats (2015)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
ECU	.17	44%	27.4	41%	2.47	133	46%	281	3.4	.16	43%	26	44%	40%	3.55	68.8	1.6	1.3
UCF	-.04	36%	13.9	34%	2.35	81	36%	187	2.32	.29	46%	37.7	43%	48%	3.91	45.1	2.8	1.1

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
ECU	#49 (.22)	43% (62)		44% (71)	3.07 (57)	147	43% (54)	253	3.79 (83)	#64 (.16)	40% (40)		37% (11)	43% (86)	3.85 (76)	61	2.2	1.6
UCF	#58 (.21)	46% (28)		52% (8)	3.62 (2)	248	38% (103)	200	3.75 (86)	#63 (.16)	40% (45)		37% (12)	42% (84)	4.37 (118)	54.4	1.6	0.9

Overall Stats 2015

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
ECU Offense	12	27.4	31.5	44.2%	3.4	1.6	22	415	133	281	4	43%	56%	41%	46%	2%	.17
UCF Defense	12	37.7	36.3	46.3%	3.91	1.1	-	-	-	-	-	53%	45%	43%	48%	2%	.29

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
ECU Defense	12	26	30.3	43.2%	3.55	1.3	-	-	-	-	-	55%	44%	44%	40%	1%	.16
UCF Offense	12	13.9	10.3	36%	2.32	2.8	16	268	81	187	2.7	43%	55%	34%	36%	2%	-.04

Additional Stats 2015

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
East Carolina	12	28:06	21.7	43%	65%	7.4	68.8	1.6	1.3	0	0	3	30.2
UCF	12	27:35	15.8	29%	33%	5.3	45.1	2.8	1.1	0	0	1	29.1

Run Game Stats (2015)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
ECU Offense	12	43%	41%	33.7	133.3	4	19	.07	2.47	63%	0%	1.06
UCF Defense	12	53%	43%	-	-	-	-	.18	2.84	72%	0%	1.12

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
ECU Defense	12	55%	44%	-	-	-	-	.14	3.11	80%	0%	0.87
UCF Offense	12	43%	34%	29.7	81.3	2.7	4	-.18	2.35	65%	0%	0.65

Pass Game Stats (2015)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
ECU Offense	12	56%	46%	26.8	39.4	281.3	7.1	10.5	21	12	.26	1.4	32%	34%	.27	2%	1.8
UCF Defense	12	45%	48%	-	-	-	-	-	-	4	.45	1.7	33%	40%	.58	2%	1.9

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
ECU Defense	12	44%	40%	-	-	-	-	-	-	8	.2	1.5	30%	32%	.27	1%	1.7
UCF Offense	12	55%	36%	17.6	35.4	187.2	5.3	10.6	13	23	.07	1.5	36%	29%	.12	2%	1.8

East Carolina's Power Ratings
East Carolina's Power Rating: NR
East Carolina's Offense Rating: NR
East Carolina's Defense Rating: NR
2015 Talent Rating: #87
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
East Carolina's 2015 Expected Record: -
East Carolina's 2015 Overall SP+ Rating: NR
East Carolina's Offense SP+ Rating: NR
East Carolina's Defense SP+ Rating: NR

Average Talent
Average American Athletic Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
East Carolina: UCF: 2.5

SP+ Ratings Matchup
East Carolina: UCF:

UCF's Power Ratings
UCF's Power Rating: 2.5 NR
UCF's Offense Rating: NR
UCF's Defense Rating: NR
2015 Talent Rating: #73
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
UCF's 2015 Expected Record: -
UCF's 2015 Overall SP+ Rating: NR
UCF's Offense SP+ Rating: NR
UCF's Defense SP+ Rating: NR

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

East Carolina Scoring
Offense: 27.4 PPG
Offense on Road: 31.5
Defense: 26 PPG
Defense on Road: 30.3

East Carolina's 2015 Record
Record: 5 - 7
Record vs Spread: 6 - 5 - 1
Over/Under Record: 5 - 7
Record on Road: 2 - 4
Record vs Spread on Road: 4 - 2 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 3 - 4 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 2 - 1 - 0

Projected Score
East Carolina 34
UCF 20

Total Points: 54

Based on Last 4 Games
East Carolina 34
UCF 20

Total Points: 54

Based on Entire Season
East Carolina 33
UCF 20

Total Points: 53

UCF Scoring
Offense: 13.9 PPG
Offense at Home: 10.3
Defense: 37.7 PPG
Defense at Home: 36.3

UCF's 2015 Record
Record: 0 - 12
Record vs Spread: 1 - 11 - 0
Over/Under Record: 5 - 7
Record at home: 0 - 6
Record vs Spread at home: 0 - 6 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 1 - 7 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 0 - 3 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2022	10/22	East Carolina	34	UCF	13	UCF -5.5	East Carolina	63.0	Under
2021	10/09	UCF	20	East Carolina	16	UCF -10	East Carolina	65.0	Under
2020	09/26	East Carolina	28	UCF	51	UCF -28	East Carolina	78.0	Over
2019	10/19	UCF	41	East Carolina	28	UCF -34.5	East Carolina	65.5	Over
2018	10/20	East Carolina	10	UCF	37	UCF -21.5	UCF	65.5	Under
2017	10/14	UCF	63	East Carolina	21	UCF -35	UCF	70.0	Over
2016	10/01	East Carolina	29	UCF	47	East Carolina -5.5	UCF	61.0	Over
2015	11/19	UCF	7	East Carolina	44	East Carolina -17	East Carolina	51.5	Under
2014	12/04	East Carolina	30	UCF	32	East Carolina -6.5	UCF	0
2012	10/04	UCF	40	East Carolina	20
2011	11/19	East Carolina	38	UCF	31
2010	10/30	UCF	49	East Carolina	35
2009	09/26	East Carolina	19	UCF	14
2008	11/02	UCF	10	East Carolina	13
2007	10/06	East Carolina	52	UCF	38
2006	11/04	UCF	10	East Carolina	23
2005	10/29	East Carolina	20	UCF	30

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
UCF	10	4	4 Overs
East Carolina	7	5	4 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	9 - 8	3 - 6	1 - 4	2 - 2
Road Teams	8 - 9	6 - 3	2 - 2	4 - 1

(#) ECU at (#) UCF

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	ECU	UCF
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	NR	NR
Perf GradeGrade	NR	NR
OffenseOff	NR	NR
DefenseDef	NR	NR
Spec TeamsST	NR	NR
TalentTal	#87	#73
Blue ChipsBC%	NR	NR

East Carolina Injury Report

UCF Injury Report

East Carolina on Offense


CategoryCat	ECU Off	UCF Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	NR	NR
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

East Carolina Run Game


CategoryCat	ECU Off	UCF Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	NR

East Carolina Pass Game


CategoryCat	ECU Off	UCF Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

UCF on Offense


CategoryCat	UCF Off	ECU Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	NR	NR
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

UCF Run Game


CategoryCat	UCF Off	ECU Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	NR

UCF Pass Game


CategoryCat	UCF Off	ECU Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Program Comparison
UCF 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'15 Profile: Remains Poor G5

ECU 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'15 Profile: Remains Poor G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Bright House Networks Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 74°Rain: 0.161

Rematch from Week 12
East Carolina 17.0 (51.5)
East Carolina won at UCF this year (44-7)

Previous Matchups
East Carolina beat UCF in 2022 (34-13)

ECU's OC ()

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View East Carolina's Full Roster

ECU's DC ()

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

UCF's OC ()

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View UCF's Full Roster

UCF's DC ()

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD