UCF at Cincinnati - 2015 Matchup Preview
UCF logo UCF Knights at Cincinnati Bearcats(#21)Cincinnati logo
Saturday, October 31st 2015 (12:00 PM EDT)
Cincinnati -20.5 (61.5) (0)  Open: 0.0
Cincinnati 52 - UCF: 7  (American Athletic)

 
Knights (0 - 12) (1 - 11 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 14 - 38 (18 - 39 on Road)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
CIN 2nd straight Home Game
UCF is playing their 9th straight game
Our Line: -2.5  (SP+ -0)
Projected Score: UCF: 22 - CIN: 38 (60)
CIN Win prob: 94% | Cover: 54%
UCF Travel: 752 miles
Bearcats (7 - 6) (4 - 7 - 1)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 34 - 31 (42 - 21 @ Home)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
UCF's 2015 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Thu 9/3 UCF vs Florida International-17.044.0L 14 - 15UN
Sat 9/12 UCF at Stanford+16.046.5L 7 - 31UN
Sat 9/19 UCF vs Furman-26.0
Sat 9/26 UCF at South Carolina+12.545.0L 14 - 31UN
Sat 10/3 UCF at Tulane-3.044.0L 31 - 45ON
Sat 10/10 UCF vs UConn-3.039.0L 13 - 40ON
Sat 10/17 UCF at Temple+18.043.0L 16 - 30OY
Sat 10/24 UCF vs Houston+18.553.0L 10 - 59ON
Sat 10/31 UCF at Cincinnati+20.561.5L 7 - 52UN
Sat 11/7 UCF at Tulsa+11.061.5L 30 - 45ON
BYE WEEK
Thu 11/19 UCF vs East Carolina+17.051.5L 7 - 44UN
Thu 11/26 UCF vs South Florida+22.553.5L 3 - 44UN

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for UCF's Schedule
Cincinnati's 2015 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/5 Cincinnati vs Alabama A&M-23.5
Sat 9/12 Cincinnati vs Temple-6.555.5L 26 - 34ON
Sat 9/19 Cincinnati at Miami (OH)-19.059.5W 37 - 33ON
Thu 9/24 Cincinnati at Memphis+4.570.0L 46 - 53ON
Thu 10/1 Cincinnati vs Miami+5.070.0W 34 - 23UY
BYE WEEK
Fri 10/16 Cincinnati at BYU+7.068.0L 24 - 38UN
Sat 10/24 Cincinnati vs UConn-13.058.5W 37 - 13UY
Sat 10/31 Cincinnati vs UCF-20.561.5W 52 - 7UY
Sat 11/7 Cincinnati at Houston+9.070.5L 30 - 33UY
Sat 11/14 Cincinnati vs Tulsa-16.076.5W 49 - 38ON
Fri 11/20 Cincinnati at South Florida-2.566.0L 27 - 65ON
Sat 11/28 Cincinnati at East Carolina-3.069.0W 19 - 16UN
Thu 12/24 Cincinnati vs San Diego State-2.5

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Cincinnati's Schedule
Important Stats (2015)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
UCF-.0436%13.934%2.358136%1872.32.2946%37.743%48%3.9145.12.81.1
CIN.2349%33.847%2.8317849%3603.71.1743%31.244%40%3.4172.92.51.1
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
UCF#58 (.21)46% (28)52% (8)3.62 (2)24838% (103)2003.75 (86)#63 (.16)40% (45)37% (12)42% (84)4.37 (118)54.41.60.9
CIN#59 (.21)45% (43)44% (67)3.03 (69)18545% (32)2373.33 (118)#75 (.18)42% (76)46% (94)39% (43)3.51 (40)44.41.51.2



Overall Stats 2015
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
UCF Offense1213.917.536%2.322.816268811872.743%55%34%36%2%-.04
CIN Defense1331.220.842.9%3.411.1 - - - - - 51%47%44%40%2%.17
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
UCF Defense1237.73946.3%3.911.1 - - - - - 53%45%43%48%2%.29
CIN Offense1333.841.749.1%3.712.5285381783604.544%54%47%49%3%.23

Additional Stats 2015
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
UCF1227:3515.829%33%5.345.12.81.100129.1
Cincinnati1330:5228.551%64%872.92.51.100027.4
Run Game Stats (2015)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
UCF Offense1243%34%29.781.32.74-.182.3565%0%0.65
CIN Defense1351%44% - - - - .143.1665%0%0.89
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
UCF Defense1253%43% - - - - .182.8472%0%1.12
CIN Offense1344%47%39.4177.94.525.132.8377%0%0.88

Pass Game Stats (2015)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
UCF Offense1255%36%17.635.4187.25.310.61323.071.536%29%.122%1.8
CIN Defense1347%40% - - - - - - 9.221.632%33%.282%1.7
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
UCF Defense1245%48% - - - - - - 4.451.733%40%.582%1.9
CIN Offense1354%49%26.242.1359.98.613.72922.321.631%39%.353%1.8

UCF's Power Ratings
UCF's Power Rating: NR
UCF's Offense Rating: NR
UCF's Defense Rating: NR
2015 Talent Rating:  #73
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
UCF's 2015 Expected Record: -
UCF's 2015 Overall SP+ Rating: NR
UCF's Offense SP+ Rating: NR
UCF's Defense SP+ Rating: NR

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
UCF:    Cincinnati: 2.5

SP+ Ratings Matchup
UCF:    Cincinnati:




Cincinnati's Power Ratings
Cincinnati's Power Rating: 2.5 NR
Cincinnati's Offense Rating: NR
Cincinnati's Defense Rating: NR
2015 Talent Rating:  #71
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Cincinnati's 2015 Expected Record: -
Cincinnati's 2015 Overall SP+ Rating: NR
Cincinnati's Offense SP+ Rating: NR
Cincinnati's Defense SP+ Rating: NR

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482


UCF Scoring
Offense: 13.9 PPG
Offense on Road: 17.5
Defense: 37.7 PPG
Defense on Road: 39

UCF's 2015 Record
Record: 0 - 12
Record vs Spread: 1 - 11 - 0
Over/Under Record: 5 - 7
Record on Road: 0 - 6
Record vs Spread on Road: 1 - 5 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 1 - 7 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 1 - 4 - 0
Projected Score
Cincinnati 38
UCF 22

Total Points: 60

Based on Last 4 Games
Cincinnati 38
UCF 23

Total Points: 61

Based on Entire Season
Cincinnati 38
UCF 21

Total Points: 59
Cincinnati Scoring
Offense: 33.8 PPG
Offense at Home: 41.7
Defense: 31.2 PPG
Defense at Home: 20.8

Cincinnati's 2015 Record
Record: 7 - 6
Record vs Spread: 4 - 7 - 1
Over/Under Record: 5 - 8
Record at home: 5 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 2 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 2 - 5 - 1
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 2 - 2 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202510/11Cincinnati20UCF11Cincinnati -10UCF55.5Under
202410/12UCF13Cincinnati19UCF -2Cincinnati58.0Under
202311/04Cincinnati26UCF28UCF -3.5Cincinnati59.5Under
202210/29UCF25Cincinnati21UCF -1.5UCF55.5Under
202110/16Cincinnati56UCF21Cincinnati -21.5Cincinnati56.0Over
202011/21UCF33Cincinnati36Cincinnati -4.5UCF66.0Over
201910/04Cincinnati27UCF24UCF -3.5Cincinnati64.0Under
201811/17UCF38Cincinnati13UCF -7.5UCF60.0Under
201710/07Cincinnati23UCF51UCF -15UCF52.5Over
201611/12UCF24Cincinnati3UCF -10UCF55.0Under
201510/31Cincinnati52UCF7Cincinnati -20.5Cincinnati61.5Under
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Cincinnati653 Overs
UCF568 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams7 - 48 - 35 - 23 - 1
Road Teams4 - 73 - 81 - 32 - 5

(#) UCF at (#) CIN
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatUCFCIN
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+NRNR
Perf GradeGradeNRNR
OffenseOffNRNR
DefenseDefNRNR
Spec TeamsSTNRNR
TalentTal #73 #71
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
UCF on Offense
CategoryCat
UCF OffCIN Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+NRNR
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
UCF Run Game
CategoryCat
UCF OffCIN Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
UCF Pass Game
CategoryCat
UCF OffCIN Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Cincinnati on Offense
CategoryCatCIN OffUCF Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+NRNR
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Cincinnati Run Game
CategoryCat
CIN OffUCF Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Cincinnati Pass Game
CategoryCatCIN OffUCF Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
CIN 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'15 Profile: Remains Poor G5

UCF 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'15 Profile: Remains Poor G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Nippert Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 50° - Wind: 6 mph
Rematch from Week 9
Cincinnati -20.5 (61.5)
Cincinnati won vs UCF this year (52-7)

Previous Matchups
Cincinnati beat UCF last year (19-13)
UCF beat Cincinnati in 2023 (28-26)
UCF beat Cincinnati in 2022 (25-21)

  
UCF's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View UCF's Full Roster

UCF's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD

CIN's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View Cincinnati's Full Roster

CIN's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD