East Carolina at Navy - 2015 Matchup Preview
East Carolina logo East Carolina Pirates at Navy MidshipmenNavy logo
Saturday, September 19th 2015 (3:30 PM EDT)
Navy -1.5 (58.0) (0)  Open: 0.0
Navy 45 - East Carolina: 21  (American Athletic)

 
Pirates (5 - 7) (6 - 5 - 1)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 27 - 26 (32 - 30 on Road)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
ECU 2nd straight Road Game
NAVY coming off BYE
Our Line: -2.5  (SP+ -0)
Projected Score: ECU: 25 - NAVY: 35 (60)
NAVY Win prob: 50% | Cover: 47%
ECU Travel: 239 miles
Midshipmen (11 - 2) (8 - 4 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 37 - 22 (40 - 15 @ Home)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
East Carolina's 2015 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/5 East Carolina vs Towson-30.5
Sat 9/12 East Carolina at Florida+13.053.5L 24 - 31OY
Sat 9/19 East Carolina at Navy+1.558.0L 21 - 45ON
Sat 9/26 East Carolina vs Virginia Tech+6.050.5W 35 - 28OY
Sat 10/3 East Carolina at SMU-6.564.5W 49 - 23OY
Sat 10/10 East Carolina at BYU+8.560.0L 38 - 45OY
Sat 10/17 East Carolina vs Tulsa-11.077.0W 30 - 17UY
Thu 10/22 East Carolina vs Temple-2.048.0L 14 - 24UN
Fri 10/30 East Carolina at UConn-7.051.0L 13 - 31UN
Sat 11/7 East Carolina vs South Florida-3.055.0L 17 - 22UN
BYE WEEK
Thu 11/19 East Carolina at UCF-17.051.5W 44 - 7UY
Sat 11/28 East Carolina vs Cincinnati+3.069.0L 16 - 19UY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for East Carolina's Schedule
Navy's 2015 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/5 Navy vs Colgate-23.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/19 Navy vs East Carolina-1.558.0W 45 - 21OY
Sat 9/26 Navy at UConn-8.048.5W 28 - 18UY
Sat 10/3 Navy vs Air Force-6.049.5W 33 - 11UY
Sat 10/10 Navy at Notre Dame+16.059.5L 24 - 41ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/24 Navy vs Tulane-22.056.5W 31 - 14UN
Sat 10/31 Navy vs South Florida-11.051.0W 29 - 17UY
Sat 11/7 Navy at Memphis+8.562.5W 45 - 20OY
Sat 11/14 Navy vs SMU-20.059.5W 55 - 14OY
Sat 11/21 Navy at Tulsa-9.564.5W 44 - 21OY
Fri 11/27 Navy at Houston+1.559.0L 31 - 52ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 12/12 Navy vs Army-23.051.0W 21 - 17UN
Mon 12/28 Navy vs Pittsburgh-5.0

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Navy's Schedule
Important Stats (2015)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
ECU.1744%27.441%2.4713346%2813.4.1643%2644%40%3.5568.81.61.3
NAVY.3449%36.851%3.5132735%984.81.1644%21.842%45%3.3826.10.62.1
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
ECU#49 (.22)43% (62)44% (71)3.07 (57)14743% (54)2533.79 (83)#64 (.16)40% (40)37% (11)43% (86)3.85 (76)612.21.6
NAVY#12 (.31)44% (51)46% (43)3.27 (32)23139% (101)1174.39 (26)#28 (.1)41% (61)46% (95)37% (24)3.48 (35)41.91.11.8



Overall Stats 2015
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
ECU Offense1227.431.544.2%3.41.622415133281443%56%41%46%2%.17
NAVY Defense1321.814.544.1%3.382.1 - - - - - 50%48%42%45%1%.16
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
ECU Defense122630.343.2%3.551.3 - - - - - 55%44%44%40%1%.16
NAVY Offense1336.840.249.5%4.810.621425327985.782%16%51%35%2%.34

Additional Stats 2015
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
East Carolina1228:0621.743%65%7.468.81.61.300330.2
Navy1332:4820.950%92%3.126.10.62.100033
Run Game Stats (2015)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
ECU Offense1243%41%33.7133.3419.072.4763%0%1.06
NAVY Defense1350%42% - - - - .042.9664%0%0.95
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
ECU Defense1255%44% - - - - .143.1180%0%0.87
NAVY Offense1382%51%57.5326.75.753.343.5190%0%1.09

Pass Game Stats (2015)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
ECU Offense1256%46%26.839.4281.37.110.52112.261.432%34%.272%1.8
NAVY Defense1348%45% - - - - - - 12.31.530%36%.431%1.9
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
ECU Defense1244%40% - - - - - - 8.21.530%32%.271%1.7
NAVY Offense1316%35%4.99.498.510.52092.42.425%32%.382%1.8

East Carolina's Power Ratings
East Carolina's Power Rating: NR
East Carolina's Offense Rating: NR
East Carolina's Defense Rating: NR
2015 Talent Rating:  #87
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
East Carolina's 2015 Expected Record: -
East Carolina's 2015 Overall SP+ Rating: NR
East Carolina's Offense SP+ Rating: NR
East Carolina's Defense SP+ Rating: NR

Average Talent
Average American Athletic Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
East Carolina:    Navy: 2.5

SP+ Ratings Matchup
East Carolina:    Navy:




Navy's Power Ratings
Navy's Power Rating: 2.5 NR
Navy's Offense Rating: NR
Navy's Defense Rating: NR
2015 Talent Rating:  #121
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Navy's 2015 Expected Record: -
Navy's 2015 Overall SP+ Rating: NR
Navy's Offense SP+ Rating: NR
Navy's Defense SP+ Rating: NR

Average Talent
Average American Athletic Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482


East Carolina Scoring
Offense: 27.4 PPG
Offense on Road: 31.5
Defense: 26 PPG
Defense on Road: 30.3

East Carolina's 2015 Record
Record: 5 - 7
Record vs Spread: 6 - 5 - 1
Over/Under Record: 5 - 7
Record on Road: 2 - 4
Record vs Spread on Road: 4 - 2 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 3 - 1 - 1
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 2 - 1 - 0
Projected Score
Navy 35
East Carolina 25

Total Points: 60

Based on Last 4 Games
Navy 37
East Carolina 25

Total Points: 62

Based on Entire Season
Navy 33
East Carolina 24

Total Points: 57
Navy Scoring
Offense: 36.8 PPG
Offense at Home: 40.2
Defense: 21.8 PPG
Defense at Home: 14.5

Navy's 2015 Record
Record: 11 - 2
Record vs Spread: 8 - 4 - 0
Over/Under Record: 6 - 7
Record at home: 6 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 4 - 1 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 7 - 2 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 4 - 1 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202411/29East Carolina20Navy34East Carolina -2.5Navy54.0Push
202311/18Navy10East Carolina0Navy -2.5Navy30.5Under
202209/24East Carolina20Navy23East Carolina -16.5Navy48.5Under
202111/20Navy35East Carolina38East Carolina -3.5Navy46.0Over
202010/17East Carolina23Navy27Navy -3Navy55.5Under
201909/14Navy42East Carolina10Navy -7.5Navy53.0Under
201611/19East Carolina31Navy66Navy -8Navy64.0Over
201509/19Navy45East Carolina21Navy -1.5Navy58.0Over
201210/27East Carolina28Navy56
201110/22Navy35East Carolina38
201011/06East Carolina35Navy76
200609/02Navy28East Carolina23
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Navy1083 Overs
East Carolina204 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams4 - 84 - 43 - 21 - 2
Road Teams8 - 44 - 42 - 12 - 3

(#) ECU at (#) NAVY
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatECUNAVY
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+NRNR
Perf GradeGradeNRNR
OffenseOffNRNR
DefenseDefNRNR
Spec TeamsSTNRNR
TalentTal #87 #121
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
East Carolina on Offense
CategoryCat
ECU OffNAVY Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+NRNR
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
East Carolina Run Game
CategoryCat
ECU OffNAVY Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
East Carolina Pass Game
CategoryCat
ECU OffNAVY Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Navy on Offense
CategoryCatNAVY OffECU Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+NRNR
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Navy Run Game
CategoryCat
NAVY OffECU Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Navy Pass Game
CategoryCatNAVY OffECU Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
NAVY 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'15 Profile: Remains Poor G5

ECU 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'15 Profile: Remains Poor G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Navy-Marine Corps Memorial Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 80° - Wind: 10 mph
Rematch from Week 3
Navy -1.5 (58.0)
Navy won vs East Carolina this year (45-21)

Previous Matchups
Navy beat East Carolina last year (34-20)
Navy beat East Carolina in 2023 (10-0)
Navy beat East Carolina in 2022 (23-20)

  
ECU's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View East Carolina's Full Roster

ECU's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD

NAVY's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View Navy's Full Roster

NAVY's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD