UCF at Stanford - 2015 Matchup Preview
UCF logo UCF Knights at Stanford CardinalStanford logo
Saturday, September 12th 2015 (10:30 PM EDT)
Stanford -16 (46.5) (0)  Open: 0.0
Stanford 31 - UCF: 7

 
Knights (0 - 12) (1 - 11 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 14 - 38 (18 - 39 on Road)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Our Line: -2.5  (SP+ -0)
Projected Score: UCF: 18 - STAN: 27 (45)
STAN Win prob: 88% | Cover: 54%
UCF Travel: 2430 miles, 3 hrs ahead
Cardinal (12 - 2) (10 - 3 - 1)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 38 - 23 (40 - 24 @ Home)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
UCF's 2015 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Thu 9/3 UCF vs Florida International-17.044.0L 14 - 15UN
Sat 9/12 UCF at Stanford+16.046.5L 7 - 31UN
Sat 9/19 UCF vs Furman-26.0
Sat 9/26 UCF at South Carolina+12.545.0L 14 - 31UN
Sat 10/3 UCF at Tulane-3.044.0L 31 - 45ON
Sat 10/10 UCF vs UConn-3.039.0L 13 - 40ON
Sat 10/17 UCF at Temple+18.043.0L 16 - 30OY
Sat 10/24 UCF vs Houston+18.553.0L 10 - 59ON
Sat 10/31 UCF at Cincinnati+20.561.5L 7 - 52UN
Sat 11/7 UCF at Tulsa+11.061.5L 30 - 45ON
BYE WEEK
Thu 11/19 UCF vs East Carolina+17.051.5L 7 - 44UN
Thu 11/26 UCF vs South Florida+22.553.5L 3 - 44UN

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for UCF's Schedule
Stanford's 2015 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/5 Stanford at Northwestern-10.048.5L 6 - 16UN
Sat 9/12 Stanford vs UCF-16.046.5W 31 - 7UY
Sat 9/19 Stanford at USC+8.051.0W 41 - 31OY
Fri 9/25 Stanford at Oregon State-16.547.0W 42 - 24OY
Sat 10/3 Stanford vs Arizona-14.059.0W 55 - 17OY
BYE WEEK
Thu 10/15 Stanford vs UCLA-5.056.0W 56 - 35OY
Sat 10/24 Stanford vs Washington-17.047.5W 31 - 14UN
Sat 10/31 Stanford at Washington State-12.559.5W 30 - 28UN
Sat 11/7 Stanford at Colorado-16.055.5W 42 - 10UY
Sat 11/14 Stanford vs Oregon-8.565.5L 36 - 38ON
Sat 11/21 Stanford vs California-12.563.0W 35 - 22UY
Sat 11/28 Stanford vs Notre Dame+2.057.0W 38 - 36OY
Sat 12/5 Stanford vs USC-4.059.0W 41 - 22OY
Fri 1/1 Stanford vs Iowa-6.5

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Stanford's Schedule
Important Stats (2015)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
UCF-.0436%13.934%2.358136%1872.32.2946%37.743%48%3.9145.12.81.1
STAN.3252%37.852%3.3122451%2124.38.1744%22.641%43%3.3946.30.91
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
UCF#58 (.21)46% (28)52% (8)3.62 (2)24838% (103)2003.75 (86)#63 (.16)40% (45)37% (12)42% (84)4.37 (118)54.41.60.9
STAN#114 (.1)40% (101)41% (95)2.72 (116)13439% (98)1913.67 (92)#120 (.27)47% (119)45% (92)48% (124)4.53 (124)491.81.3



Overall Stats 2015
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
UCF Offense1213.917.536%2.322.816268811872.743%55%34%36%2%-.04
STAN Defense1422.624.143.7%3.391 - - - - - 46%51%41%43%3%.17
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
UCF Defense1237.73946.3%3.911.1 - - - - - 53%45%43%48%2%.29
STAN Offense1437.840.352.4%4.380.9224362242125.161%37%52%51%2%.32

Additional Stats 2015
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
UCF1227:3515.829%33%5.345.12.81.100129.1
Stanford1434:4822.150%81%5.646.30.9100432.1
Run Game Stats (2015)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
UCF Offense1243%34%29.781.32.74-.182.3565%0%0.65
STAN Defense1446%41% - - - - .092.8769%0%0.97
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
UCF Defense1253%43% - - - - .182.8472%0%1.12
STAN Offense1461%52%43.6223.75.133.233.3177%0%0.94

Pass Game Stats (2015)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
UCF Offense1255%36%17.635.4187.25.310.61323.071.536%29%.122%1.8
STAN Defense1451%43% - - - - - - 8.281.531%37%.333%1.7
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
UCF Defense1245%48% - - - - - - 4.451.733%40%.582%1.9
STAN Offense1437%51%15.222.7211.89.313.9308.51.726%39%.472%1.8

UCF's Power Ratings
UCF's Power Rating: NR
UCF's Offense Rating: NR
UCF's Defense Rating: NR
2015 Talent Rating:  #73
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
UCF's 2015 Expected Record: -
UCF's 2015 Overall SP+ Rating: NR
UCF's Offense SP+ Rating: NR
UCF's Defense SP+ Rating: NR

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
UCF:    Stanford: 2.5

SP+ Ratings Matchup
UCF:    Stanford:




Stanford's Power Ratings
Stanford's Power Rating: 2.5 NR
Stanford's Offense Rating: NR
Stanford's Defense Rating: NR
2015 Talent Rating:  #18
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Stanford's 2015 Expected Record: -
Stanford's 2015 Overall SP+ Rating: NR
Stanford's Offense SP+ Rating: NR
Stanford's Defense SP+ Rating: NR

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482


UCF Scoring
Offense: 13.9 PPG
Offense on Road: 17.5
Defense: 37.7 PPG
Defense on Road: 39

UCF's 2015 Record
Record: 0 - 12
Record vs Spread: 1 - 11 - 0
Over/Under Record: 5 - 7
Record on Road: 0 - 6
Record vs Spread on Road: 1 - 5 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 1 - 7 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 1 - 4 - 0
Projected Score
Stanford 27
UCF 18

Total Points: 45

Based on Last 4 Games
UCF 17
Stanford 15

Total Points: 31

Based on Entire Season
Stanford 39
UCF 19

Total Points: 58
Stanford Scoring
Offense: 37.8 PPG
Offense at Home: 40.3
Defense: 22.6 PPG
Defense at Home: 24.1

Stanford's 2015 Record
Record: 12 - 2
Record vs Spread: 10 - 3 - 1
Over/Under Record: 7 - 7
Record at home: 6 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 5 - 1 - 1
Record as Fav vs Spread: 7 - 3 - 1
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 4 - 1 - 1


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
201909/14UCF45Stanford27UCF -9.5UCF58.0Over
201509/12Stanford31UCF7Stanford -16Stanford46.5Under
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Stanford111 Overs
UCF111 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams2 - 02 - 02 - 00 - 0
Road Teams0 - 20 - 20 - 00 - 2

(#) UCF at (#) STAN
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatUCFSTAN
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+NRNR
Perf GradeGradeNRNR
OffenseOffNRNR
DefenseDefNRNR
Spec TeamsSTNRNR
TalentTal #73 #18
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
UCF on Offense
CategoryCat
UCF OffSTAN Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+NRNR
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
UCF Run Game
CategoryCat
UCF OffSTAN Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
UCF Pass Game
CategoryCat
UCF OffSTAN Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Stanford on Offense
CategoryCatSTAN OffUCF Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+NRNR
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Stanford Run Game
CategoryCat
STAN OffUCF Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Stanford Pass Game
CategoryCatSTAN OffUCF Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
STAN 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'15 Profile: Remains Poor G5

UCF 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'15 Profile: Remains Poor G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Stanford Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 78°
Rematch from Week 2
Stanford -16.0 (46.5)
Stanford won vs UCF this year (31-7)

No Matchups Past 4 Years
  
UCF's OC ()
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UCF's DC ()
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STAN's OC ()
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STAN's DC ()
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