East Carolina at SMU - 2015 Matchup Preview
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East Carolina Pirates at SMU Mustangs

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Saturday, October 3rd 2015 (4:00 PM EDT)
East Carolina -6.5 (64.5) (0)  Open: 0.0
East Carolina 49 - SMU: 23  (American Athletic)

 
Pirates (5 - 7) (6 - 5 - 1)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 33 - 20 (31 - 21 on Road)
'15 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
SMU 2nd straight Home Game
SMU is playing their 5th straight game
ECU is playing their 5th straight game
Our Line: -2.5  (SP+ -0)
Projected Score: ECU: 26 - SMU: 27 (53)
ECU Win prob: 68% | Cover: 48%
ECU Travel: 1124 miles, 1 hrs ahead
Mustangs (2 - 10) (3 - 8 - 1)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 32 - 21 (36 - 19 @ Home)
'15 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
East Carolina's 2015 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/5 East Carolina vs Towson-30.5
Sat 9/12 East Carolina at Florida+13.053.5L 24 - 31OY
Sat 9/19 East Carolina at Navy+1.558.0L 21 - 45ON
Sat 9/26 East Carolina vs Virginia Tech+6.050.5W 35 - 28OY
Sat 10/3 East Carolina at SMU-6.564.5W 49 - 23OY
Sat 10/10 East Carolina at BYU+8.560.0L 38 - 45OY
Sat 10/17 East Carolina vs Tulsa-11.077.0W 30 - 17UY
Thu 10/22 East Carolina vs Temple-2.048.0L 14 - 24UN
Fri 10/30 East Carolina at UConn-7.051.0L 13 - 31UN
Sat 11/7 East Carolina vs South Florida-3.055.0L 17 - 22UN
BYE WEEK
Thu 11/19 East Carolina at UCF-17.051.5W 44 - 7UY
Sat 11/28 East Carolina vs Cincinnati+3.069.0L 16 - 19UY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for East Carolina's Schedule
SMU's 2015 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Fri 9/4 SMU vs Baylor+20.071.0L 21 - 56ON
Sat 9/12 SMU vs North Texas-6.060.0W 31 - 13UY
Sat 9/19 SMU at TCU+38.068.5L 37 - 56OY
Sat 9/26 SMU vs James Madison-14.5
Sat 10/3 SMU vs East Carolina+6.564.5L 23 - 49ON
Thu 10/8 SMU at Houston+21.070.0L 28 - 49OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/24 SMU at South Florida+13.062.0L 14 - 38UN
Sat 10/31 SMU vs Tulsa+1.575.5L 31 - 40UN
Fri 11/6 SMU vs Temple+11.549.5L 40 - 60ON
Sat 11/14 SMU at Navy+20.059.5L 14 - 55ON
Sat 11/21 SMU vs Tulane-3.055.5W 49 - 21OY
Sat 11/28 SMU at Memphis+24.570.0L 0 - 63UN

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for SMU's Schedule
Important Stats (2014)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
ECU.2148%32.746%2.8316149%3723.63.1139%20.135%40%377.21.81.5
SMU-.0335%32.240%2.5510031%1691.98.2949%20.546%50%4.0352.72.51.3
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
ECU0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
SMU0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2014
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
ECU Offense1332.730.848.4%3.631.8295331613724.835%63%46%49%2%.21
SMU Defense1220.519.249.2%4.031.3 - - - - - 55%43%46%50%2%.29
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
ECU Defense1320.120.838.7%31.5 - - - - - 44%54%35%40%2%.11
SMU Offense1232.23635.4%1.982.5152691001693.339%59%40%31%2%-.03

Additional Stats 2014
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
East Carolina1329:3829.147%46%8.477.21.81.500229.8
SMU1231:2514.633%50%6.252.72.51.300029.5
Run Game Stats (2015)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
ECU Offense1335%46%33.3161.14.828.072.8364%0%0.95
SMU Defense1255%46% - - - - .23.4674%0%0.95
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
ECU Defense1344%35% - - - - -.022.4781%0%0.92
SMU Offense1239%40%30.2100.33.39.022.5568%0%0.91

Pass Game Stats (2015)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
ECU Offense1363%49%30.949371.97.6123111.31.432%40%.442%1.8
SMU Defense1243%50% - - - - - - 6.431.528%40%.422%1.7
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
ECU Defense1354%40% - - - - - - 14.221.535%30%.242%1.9
SMU Offense1259%31%19.235.8168.74.78.8614-.061.338%25%.132%1.7

East Carolina's Power Ratings
East Carolina's Power Rating: NR
East Carolina's Offense Rating: NR
East Carolina's Defense Rating: NR
2015 Talent Rating:  #87
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
East Carolina's 2015 Expected Record: -
East Carolina's 2015 Overall SP+ Rating: NR
East Carolina's Offense SP+ Rating: NR
East Carolina's Defense SP+ Rating: NR

Average Talent
Average American Athletic Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
East Carolina:    SMU: 2.5

SP+ Ratings Matchup
East Carolina:    SMU:




SMU's Power Ratings
SMU's Power Rating: 2.5 NR
SMU's Offense Rating: NR
SMU's Defense Rating: NR
2015 Talent Rating:  #75
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
SMU's 2015 Expected Record: -
SMU's 2015 Overall SP+ Rating: NR
SMU's Offense SP+ Rating: NR
SMU's Defense SP+ Rating: NR

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76


East Carolina Scoring
Offense: 32.7 PPG
Offense on Road: 30.8
Defense: 20.1 PPG
Defense on Road: 20.8

East Carolina's 2015 Record
Record: 5 - 7
Record vs Spread: 6 - 5 - 1
Over/Under Record: 5 - 7
Record on Road: 2 - 4
Record vs Spread on Road: 4 - 2 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 3 - 4 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 2 - 1 - 0
Projected Score
SMU 27
East Carolina 26

Projected Total Points: 53
SMU Scoring
Offense: 32.2 PPG
Offense at Home: 36
Defense: 20.5 PPG
Defense at Home: 19.2

SMU's 2015 Record
Record: 2 - 10
Record vs Spread: 3 - 8 - 1
Over/Under Record: 7 - 5
Record at home: 2 - 5
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 5 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 1 - 7 - 1
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 0 - 4 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202310/12East Carolina10SMU31SMU -11.5SMU48.5Under
202011/28East Carolina52SMU38SMU -12East Carolina72.0Over
201911/09SMU59East Carolina51SMU -23East Carolina74.0Over
201611/12East Carolina31SMU55East Carolina -5SMU63.0Over
201510/03SMU23East Carolina49East Carolina -6.5East Carolina64.5Over
201410/04East Carolina45SMU24East Carolina -35.5SMU0
201011/26East Carolina38SMU45
200910/10SMU28East Carolina21
200610/21East Carolina38SMU21
200510/15SMU17East Carolina24
TeamWinsCoversO/U
SMU534 Overs
East Carolina531 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams5 - 51 - 50 - 31 - 2
Road Teams5 - 55 - 12 - 13 - 0

(#) ECU at (#) SMU
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatECUSMU
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+NRNR
Perf GradeGradeNRNR
OffenseOffNRNR
DefenseDefNRNR
Spec TeamsSTNRNR
TalentTal #87 #75
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
East Carolina on Offense
CategoryCat
ECU OffSMU Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+NRNR
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
East Carolina Run Game
CategoryCat
ECU OffSMU Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
East Carolina Pass Game
CategoryCat
ECU OffSMU Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
SMU on Offense
CategoryCatSMU OffECU Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+NRNR
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
SMU Run Game
CategoryCat
SMU OffECU Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
SMU Pass Game
CategoryCatSMU OffECU Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
SMU 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'15 Profile: Remains Poor G5

ECU 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'15 Profile: Remains Poor G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Gerald J. Ford Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Rematch from Week 5
East Carolina 6.5 (64.5)
East Carolina won at SMU this year (49-23)

Previous Matchups
SMU beat East Carolina in 2023 (31-10)

  
ECU's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

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ECU's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD

SMU's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

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SMU's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD