UCF at Tulsa - 2015 Matchup Preview
UCF logo UCF Knights at Tulsa Golden HurricaneTulsa logo
Saturday, November 7th 2015 (12:00 PM EST)
Tulsa -11 (61.5) (0)  Open: 0.0
Tulsa 45 - UCF: 30  (American Athletic)

 
Knights (0 - 12) (1 - 11 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 14 - 38 (18 - 39 on Road)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
UCF 2nd straight Road Game
TLSA is playing their 6th straight game
UCF is playing their 10th straight game
Our Line: -2.5  (SP+ -0)
Projected Score: UCF: 27 - TLSA: 39 (66)
TLSA Win prob: 78% | Cover: 49%
UCF Travel: 1004 miles, 1 hrs ahead
Golden Hurricane (6 - 7) (8 - 5 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 37 - 40 (36 - 41 @ Home)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
UCF's 2015 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Thu 9/3 UCF vs Florida International-17.044.0L 14 - 15UN
Sat 9/12 UCF at Stanford+16.046.5L 7 - 31UN
Sat 9/19 UCF vs Furman-26.0
Sat 9/26 UCF at South Carolina+12.545.0L 14 - 31UN
Sat 10/3 UCF at Tulane-3.044.0L 31 - 45ON
Sat 10/10 UCF vs UConn-3.039.0L 13 - 40ON
Sat 10/17 UCF at Temple+18.043.0L 16 - 30OY
Sat 10/24 UCF vs Houston+18.553.0L 10 - 59ON
Sat 10/31 UCF at Cincinnati+20.561.5L 7 - 52UN
Sat 11/7 UCF at Tulsa+11.061.5L 30 - 45ON
BYE WEEK
Thu 11/19 UCF vs East Carolina+17.051.5L 7 - 44UN
Thu 11/26 UCF vs South Florida+22.553.5L 3 - 44UN

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for UCF's Schedule
Tulsa's 2015 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/5 Tulsa vs Florida Atlantic-21.067.5W 47 - 44ON
Sat 9/12 Tulsa at New Mexico+3.071.5W 40 - 21UY
Sat 9/19 Tulsa at Oklahoma+33.071.0L 38 - 52OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/3 Tulsa vs Houston+9.580.0L 24 - 38UN
Sat 10/10 Tulsa vs UL Monroe-7.066.0W 34 - 24UY
Sat 10/17 Tulsa at East Carolina+11.077.0L 17 - 30UN
Fri 10/23 Tulsa vs Memphis+11.575.5L 42 - 66ON
Sat 10/31 Tulsa at SMU-1.575.5W 40 - 31UY
Sat 11/7 Tulsa vs UCF-11.061.5W 45 - 30OY
Sat 11/14 Tulsa at Cincinnati+16.076.5L 38 - 49OY
Sat 11/21 Tulsa vs Navy+9.564.5L 21 - 44ON
Fri 11/27 Tulsa at Tulane-3.058.5W 45 - 34OY
Sat 12/26 Tulsa vs Virginia Tech+14.0

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Tulsa's Schedule
Important Stats (2015)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
UCF-.0436%13.934%2.358136%1872.32.2946%37.743%48%3.9145.12.81.1
TLSA.2343%37.244%3.0517441%3334.09.2448%39.848%46%3.8156.21.51.8
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
UCF#58 (.21)46% (28)52% (8)3.62 (2)24838% (103)2003.75 (86)#63 (.16)40% (45)37% (12)42% (84)4.37 (118)54.41.60.9
TLSA#124 (.06)34% (131)35% (128)2.88 (97)15133% (126)2393.54 (100)#127 (.31)42% (75)38% (23)46% (115)4.7 (130)511.91.3



Overall Stats 2015
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
UCF Offense1213.917.536%2.322.816268811872.743%55%34%36%2%-.04
TLSA Defense1339.84147.6%3.811.8 - - - - - 53%46%48%46%2%.24
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
UCF Defense1237.73946.3%3.911.1 - - - - - 53%45%43%48%2%.29
TLSA Offense1337.235.543.1%4.091.5265071743333.850%48%44%41%2%.23

Additional Stats 2015
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
UCF1227:3515.829%33%5.345.12.81.100129.1
Tulsa1327:4425.544%54%756.21.51.800428.4
Run Game Stats (2015)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
UCF Offense1243%34%29.781.32.74-.182.3565%0%0.65
TLSA Defense1353%48% - - - - .153.0966%0%0.98
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
UCF Defense1253%43% - - - - .182.8472%0%1.12
TLSA Offense1350%44%45.5174.23.833.163.0571%0%0.95

Pass Game Stats (2015)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
UCF Offense1255%36%17.635.4187.25.310.61323.071.536%29%.122%1.8
TLSA Defense1346%46% - - - - - - 10.341.731%38%.362%1.9
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
UCF Defense1245%48% - - - - - - 4.451.733%40%.582%1.9
TLSA Offense1348%41%23.537.8333.28.814.2258.341.832%32%.382%1.9

UCF's Power Ratings
UCF's Power Rating: NR
UCF's Offense Rating: NR
UCF's Defense Rating: NR
2015 Talent Rating:  #73
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
UCF's 2015 Expected Record: -
UCF's 2015 Overall SP+ Rating: NR
UCF's Offense SP+ Rating: NR
UCF's Defense SP+ Rating: NR

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
UCF:    Tulsa: 2.5

SP+ Ratings Matchup
UCF:    Tulsa:




Tulsa's Power Ratings
Tulsa's Power Rating: 2.5 NR
Tulsa's Offense Rating: NR
Tulsa's Defense Rating: NR
2015 Talent Rating:  #86
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Tulsa's 2015 Expected Record: -
Tulsa's 2015 Overall SP+ Rating: NR
Tulsa's Offense SP+ Rating: NR
Tulsa's Defense SP+ Rating: NR

Average Talent
Average American Athletic Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482


UCF Scoring
Offense: 13.9 PPG
Offense on Road: 17.5
Defense: 37.7 PPG
Defense on Road: 39

UCF's 2015 Record
Record: 0 - 12
Record vs Spread: 1 - 11 - 0
Over/Under Record: 5 - 7
Record on Road: 0 - 6
Record vs Spread on Road: 1 - 5 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 1 - 7 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 1 - 4 - 0
Projected Score
Tulsa 39
UCF 27

Total Points: 66

Based on Last 4 Games
Tulsa 39
UCF 26

Total Points: 66

Based on Entire Season
Tulsa 38
UCF 28

Total Points: 66
Tulsa Scoring
Offense: 37.2 PPG
Offense at Home: 35.5
Defense: 39.8 PPG
Defense at Home: 41

Tulsa's 2015 Record
Record: 6 - 7
Record vs Spread: 8 - 5 - 0
Over/Under Record: 7 - 6
Record at home: 3 - 3
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 4 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 4 - 1 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 2 - 1 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202010/03UCF26Tulsa34UCF -19.5Tulsa70.0Under
201911/08Tulsa34UCF31UCF -17Tulsa68.5Under
201611/19UCF20Tulsa35UCF -1.5Tulsa64.0Under
201511/07Tulsa45UCF30Tulsa -11Tulsa61.5Over
201411/14UCF31Tulsa7UCF -18.5UCF0
201212/01Tulsa33UCF27
201211/17Tulsa23UCF21
201111/03UCF17Tulsa24
200810/26Tulsa49UCF19
200710/20UCF44Tulsa23
200712/01UCF44Tulsa25
200512/03UCF27Tulsa44
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Tulsa941 Overs
UCF313 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams8 - 43 - 22 - 21 - 0
Road Teams4 - 82 - 30 - 12 - 2

(#) UCF at (#) TLSA
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatUCFTLSA
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+NRNR
Perf GradeGradeNRNR
OffenseOffNRNR
DefenseDefNRNR
Spec TeamsSTNRNR
TalentTal #73 #86
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
UCF on Offense
CategoryCat
UCF OffTLSA Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+NRNR
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
UCF Run Game
CategoryCat
UCF OffTLSA Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
UCF Pass Game
CategoryCat
UCF OffTLSA Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Tulsa on Offense
CategoryCatTLSA OffUCF Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+NRNR
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Tulsa Run Game
CategoryCat
TLSA OffUCF Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Tulsa Pass Game
CategoryCatTLSA OffUCF Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
TLSA 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'15 Profile: Remains Poor G5

UCF 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'15 Profile: Remains Poor G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in at H. A. Chapman Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 60° - Wind: 7 mph
Rematch from Week 10
Tulsa -11.0 (61.5)
Tulsa won vs UCF this year (45-30)

No Matchups Past 4 Years
  
UCF's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

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UCF's DC ()
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SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD

TLSA's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

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TLSA's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD