East Carolina at Florida - 2015 Matchup Preview

Saturday, September 12th 2015 (7:00 PM EDT)
Florida -13 (53.5) (0) Open: 0.0
Florida 31 - East Carolina: 24

Pirates (5 - 7) (6 - 5 - 1)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 33 - 20 (31 - 21 on Road)
'15 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

FLA 2nd straight Home Game
Our Line: -2.5 (SP+ -0)
Projected Score: ECU: 26 - FLA: 23 (49)
FLA Win prob: 80% | Cover: 46%
ECU Travel: 503 miles

Gators (10 - 4) (7 - 7 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 22 - 24 (29 - 19 @ Home)
'15 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
ECU Players
FLA Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

East Carolina's 2015 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/5	East Carolina vs Towson	-30.5
Sat 9/12	East Carolina at Florida	+13.0	53.5	L 24 - 31	O	Y
Sat 9/19	East Carolina at Navy	+1.5	58.0	L 21 - 45	O	N
Sat 9/26	East Carolina vs Virginia Tech	+6.0	50.5	W 35 - 28	O	Y
Sat 10/3	East Carolina at SMU	-6.5	64.5	W 49 - 23	O	Y
Sat 10/10	East Carolina at BYU	+8.5	60.0	L 38 - 45	O	Y
Sat 10/17	East Carolina vs Tulsa	-11.0	77.0	W 30 - 17	U	Y
Thu 10/22	East Carolina vs Temple	-2.0	48.0	L 14 - 24	U	N
Fri 10/30	East Carolina at UConn	-7.0	51.0	L 13 - 31	U	N
Sat 11/7	East Carolina vs South Florida	-3.0	55.0	L 17 - 22	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Thu 11/19	East Carolina at UCF	-17.0	51.5	W 44 - 7	U	Y
Sat 11/28	East Carolina vs Cincinnati	+3.0	69.0	L 16 - 19	U	Y

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for East Carolina's Schedule

Florida's 2015 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/5	Florida vs New Mexico State	-38.0	54.0	W 61 - 13	O	Y
Sat 9/12	Florida vs East Carolina	-13.0	53.5	W 31 - 24	O	N
Sat 9/19	Florida at Kentucky	-4.5	52.5	W 14 - 9	U	Y
Sat 9/26	Florida vs Tennessee	-3.0	50.5	W 28 - 27	O	N
Sat 10/3	Florida vs Ole Miss	+6.5	50.5	W 38 - 10	U	Y
Sat 10/10	Florida at Missouri	-3.5	38.5	W 21 - 3	U	Y
Sat 10/17	Florida at LSU	+6.5	43.5	L 28 - 35	O	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/31	Florida vs Georgia	-2.5	49.0	W 27 - 3	U	Y
Sat 11/7	Florida vs Vanderbilt	-19.0	38.5	W 9 - 7	U	N
Sat 11/14	Florida at South Carolina	-8.5	47.0	W 24 - 14	U	Y
Sat 11/21	Florida vs Florida Atlantic	-31.0	45.0	W 20 - 14	U	N
Sat 11/28	Florida vs Florida State	-3.0	44.0	L 2 - 27	U	N
Sat 12/5	Florida vs Alabama	+17.0	38.0	L 15 - 29	O	Y
Fri 1/1	Florida vs Michigan	+4.0

Important Stats (2014)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
ECU	.21	48%	32.7	46%	2.83	161	49%	372	3.63	.11	39%	20.1	35%	40%	3	77.2	1.8	1.5
FLA	.05	38%	21.6	39%	2.7	188	32%	180	3.39	.03	39%	24	40%	35%	2.49	59.2	2	2.6

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
ECU		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
FLA		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2014

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
ECU Offense	13	32.7	30.8	48.4%	3.63	1.8	29	533	161	372	4.8	35%	63%	46%	49%	2%	.21
FLA Defense	12	24	18.7	38.5%	2.49	2.6	-	-	-	-	-	47%	51%	40%	35%	3%	.03

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
ECU Defense	13	20.1	20.8	38.7%	3	1.5	-	-	-	-	-	44%	54%	35%	40%	2%	.11
FLA Offense	12	21.6	29	38.1%	3.39	2	18	368	188	180	4.4	58%	40%	39%	32%	3%	.05

Additional Stats 2014

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
East Carolina	13	29:38	29.1	47%	46%	8.4	77.2	1.8	1.5	0	0	2	29.8
Florida	12	29:52	17.5	36%	53%	6.7	59.2	2	2.6	0	0	3	33

Run Game Stats (2015)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
ECU Offense	13	35%	46%	33.3	161.1	4.8	28	.07	2.83	64%	0%	0.95
FLA Defense	12	47%	40%	-	-	-	-	-.04	2.64	64%	0%	0.78

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
ECU Defense	13	44%	35%	-	-	-	-	-.02	2.47	81%	0%	0.92
FLA Offense	12	58%	39%	43.1	187.7	4.4	22	.04	2.7	73%	0%	0.93

Pass Game Stats (2015)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
ECU Offense	13	63%	49%	30.9	49	371.9	7.6	12	31	11	.3	1.4	32%	40%	.44	2%	1.8
FLA Defense	12	51%	35%	-	-	-	-	-	-	17	.09	1.6	35%	29%	.23	3%	1.9

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
ECU Defense	13	54%	40%	-	-	-	-	-	-	14	.22	1.5	35%	30%	.24	2%	1.9
FLA Offense	12	40%	32%	14.1	27	179.9	6.7	12.8	18	14	.1	1.7	34%	30%	.27	3%	1.8

East Carolina's Power Ratings
East Carolina's Power Rating: NR
East Carolina's Offense Rating: NR
East Carolina's Defense Rating: NR
2015 Talent Rating: #87
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
East Carolina's 2015 Expected Record: -
East Carolina's 2015 Overall SP+ Rating: NR
East Carolina's Offense SP+ Rating: NR
East Carolina's Defense SP+ Rating: NR

Average Talent
Average American Athletic Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
East Carolina: Florida: 2.5

SP+ Ratings Matchup
East Carolina: Florida:

Florida's Power Ratings
Florida's Power Rating: 2.5 NR
Florida's Offense Rating: NR
Florida's Defense Rating: NR
2015 Talent Rating: #15
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Florida's 2015 Expected Record: -
Florida's 2015 Overall SP+ Rating: NR
Florida's Offense SP+ Rating: NR
Florida's Defense SP+ Rating: NR

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

East Carolina Scoring
Offense: 32.7 PPG
Offense on Road: 30.8
Defense: 20.1 PPG
Defense on Road: 20.8

East Carolina's 2015 Record
Record: 5 - 7
Record vs Spread: 6 - 5 - 1
Over/Under Record: 5 - 7
Record on Road: 2 - 4
Record vs Spread on Road: 4 - 2 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 3 - 1 - 1
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 2 - 1 - 0

Projected Score
East Carolina 26
Florida 23

Projected Total Points: 49

Florida Scoring
Offense: 21.6 PPG
Offense at Home: 29
Defense: 24 PPG
Defense at Home: 18.7

Florida's 2015 Record
Record: 10 - 4
Record vs Spread: 7 - 7 - 0
Over/Under Record: 5 - 9
Record at home: 6 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 5 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 5 - 5 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 1 - 5 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2015	09/12	Florida	31	East Carolina	24	Florida -13	East Carolina	53.5	Over
2014	01/03	Florida	28	East Carolina	20	Florida -6.5	Florida	54.0	Under

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Florida	2	1	1 Overs
East Carolina	0	1	1 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	2 - 0	1 - 1	1 - 1	0 - 0
Road Teams	0 - 2	1 - 1	0 - 0	1 - 1

(#) ECU at (#) FLA

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	ECU	FLA
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	NR	NR
Perf GradeGrade	NR	NR
OffenseOff	NR	NR
DefenseDef	NR	NR
Spec TeamsST	NR	NR
TalentTal	#87	#15
Blue ChipsBC%	NR	NR

East Carolina Injury Report

Florida Injury Report

East Carolina on Offense


CategoryCat	ECU Off	FLA Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	NR	NR
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

East Carolina Run Game


CategoryCat	ECU Off	FLA Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	NR

East Carolina Pass Game


CategoryCat	ECU Off	FLA Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Florida on Offense


CategoryCat	FLA Off	ECU Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	NR	NR
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Florida Run Game


CategoryCat	FLA Off	ECU Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	NR

Florida Pass Game


CategoryCat	FLA Off	ECU Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Program Comparison
FLA 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'15 Profile: Remains Poor G5

ECU 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'15 Profile: Remains Poor G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Ben Hill Griffin Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Rematch from Week 2
Florida -13.0 (53.5)
Florida won vs East Carolina this year (31-24)

No Matchups Past 4 Years

ECU's OC ()

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View East Carolina's Full Roster

ECU's DC ()

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

FLA's OC ()

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Florida's Full Roster

FLA's DC ()

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD