Navy at Tulsa - 2015 Matchup Preview
Navy logo   Navy Midshipmen at Tulsa Golden Hurricane  Tulsa logo
Saturday, November 21st 2015 (7:00 PM EST)
Navy -9.5 (64.5) (0)  Open: 0.0
Navy 44 - Tulsa: 21  (American Athletic)

 
Midshipmen (11 - 2) (8 - 4 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 32 - 25 (26 - 30 on Road)
'15 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
TLSA is playing their 8th straight game
NAVY is playing their 5th straight game
Our Line: -2.5  (SP+ -0)

Projected Score: NAVY: 28 - TLSA: 26 (54)
NAVY Win prob: 79% | Cover: 55%
NAVY Travel: 1080 miles, 1 hrs ahead
Golden Hurricane (6 - 7) (8 - 5 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 23 - 29 (27 - 27 @ Home)
'15 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Navy's 2015 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/5 Navy vs Colgate-23.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/19 Navy vs East Carolina-1.558.0W 45 - 21OY
Sat 9/26 Navy at UConn-8.048.5W 28 - 18UY
Sat 10/3 Navy vs Air Force-6.049.5W 33 - 11UY
Sat 10/10 Navy at Notre Dame+16.059.5L 24 - 41ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/24 Navy vs Tulane-22.056.5W 31 - 14UN
Sat 10/31 Navy vs South Florida-11.051.0W 29 - 17UY
Sat 11/7 Navy at Memphis+8.562.5W 45 - 20OY
Sat 11/14 Navy vs SMU-20.059.5W 55 - 14OY
Sat 11/21 Navy at Tulsa-9.564.5W 44 - 21OY
Fri 11/27 Navy at Houston+1.559.0L 31 - 52ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 12/12 Navy vs Army-23.051.0W 21 - 17UN
Mon 12/28 Navy vs Pittsburgh-5.0

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Navy's Schedule
Tulsa's 2015 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/5 Tulsa vs Florida Atlantic-21.067.5W 47 - 44ON
Sat 9/12 Tulsa at New Mexico+3.071.5W 40 - 21UY
Sat 9/19 Tulsa at Oklahoma+33.071.0L 38 - 52OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/3 Tulsa vs Houston+9.580.0L 24 - 38UN
Sat 10/10 Tulsa vs UL Monroe-7.066.0W 34 - 24UY
Sat 10/17 Tulsa at East Carolina+11.077.0L 17 - 30UN
Fri 10/23 Tulsa vs Memphis+11.575.5L 42 - 66ON
Sat 10/31 Tulsa at SMU-1.575.5W 40 - 31UY
Sat 11/7 Tulsa vs UCF-11.061.5W 45 - 30OY
Sat 11/14 Tulsa at Cincinnati+16.076.5L 38 - 49OY
Sat 11/21 Tulsa vs Navy+9.564.5L 21 - 44ON
Fri 11/27 Tulsa at Tulane-3.058.5W 45 - 34OY
Sat 12/26 Tulsa vs Virginia Tech+14.0

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Tulsa's Schedule
Important Stats (2014)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
NAVY.2650%31.553%3.4633834%814.2.249%2549%46%3.5424.81.71.4
TLSA.1242%23.242%3.0514840%2652.7.2944%28.944%44%3.92641.91.3
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
NAVY0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
TLSA0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2014
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
NAVY Offense1331.525.850.4%4.21.721419338816.181%17%53%34%2%.26
TLSA Defense1228.927.244.4%3.921.3 - - - - - 52%47%44%44%1%.29
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
NAVY Defense132530.248.7%3.541.4 - - - - - 57%41%49%46%1%.2
TLSA Offense1223.227.341.6%2.71.9234131482653.747%51%42%40%3%.12

Additional Stats 2014
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Navy1330:1220.748%58%2.524.81.71.400129.3
Tulsa1231:4322.538%39%6.5641.91.300227
Run Game Stats (2015)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
NAVY Offense1381%53%55.9338.16.145.313.4681%0%1.06
TLSA Defense1252%44% - - - - .22.8457%0%1.23
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
NAVY Defense1357%49% - - - - .183.4175%0%0.86
TLSA Offense1247%42%39.8147.83.711.053.0572%0%0.75

Pass Game Stats (2015)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
NAVY Offense1317%34%4.81081.48.117.195.071.825%34%.242%1.7
TLSA Defense1247%44% - - - - - - 8.381.832%36%.441%1.9
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
NAVY Defense1341%46% - - - - - - 13.251.426%38%.391%1.6
TLSA Offense1251%40%21.940.1264.76.612.12318.21.534%30%.223%1.9

Navy's Power Ratings
Navy's Power Rating: NR
Navy's Offense Rating: NR
Navy's Defense Rating: NR
2015 Talent Rating:  #121
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Navy's 2015 Expected Record: -
Navy's 2015 Overall SP+ Rating: NR
Navy's Offense SP+ Rating: NR
Navy's Defense SP+ Rating: NR

Average Talent
Average American Athletic Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Navy:    Tulsa: 2.5

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Navy:    Tulsa:




Tulsa's Power Ratings
Tulsa's Power Rating: 2.5 NR
Tulsa's Offense Rating: NR
Tulsa's Defense Rating: NR
2015 Talent Rating:  #86
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Tulsa's 2015 Expected Record: -
Tulsa's 2015 Overall SP+ Rating: NR
Tulsa's Offense SP+ Rating: NR
Tulsa's Defense SP+ Rating: NR

Average Talent
Average American Athletic Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76


Navy Scoring
Offense: 31.5 PPG
Offense on Road: 25.8
Defense: 25 PPG
Defense on Road: 30.2

Navy's 2015 Record
Record: 11 - 2
Record vs Spread: 8 - 4 - 0
Over/Under Record: 6 - 7
Record on Road: 3 - 2
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 2 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 7 - 2 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 2 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
Navy 28
Tulsa 26


Projected Total Points: 54
Tulsa Scoring
Offense: 23.2 PPG
Offense at Home: 27.3
Defense: 28.9 PPG
Defense at Home: 27.2

Tulsa's 2015 Record
Record: 6 - 7
Record vs Spread: 8 - 5 - 0
Over/Under Record: 7 - 6
Record at home: 3 - 3
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 4 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 4 - 4 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 0 - 3 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202509/13Tulsa23Navy42Navy -14Navy52.5Over
202210/08Navy53Tulsa21Tulsa -4.5Navy45.5Over
202110/29Tulsa17Navy20Tulsa -11Navy46.0Under
202012/05Navy6Tulsa19Tulsa -12Tulsa46.0Under
201910/12Tulsa17Navy45Tulsa -1Navy52.0Over
201811/17Navy37Tulsa29Navy -5Navy50.5Over
201709/30Tulsa21Navy31Navy -7.5Navy70.5Under
201611/12Navy42Tulsa40Navy -1Navy71.5Over
201511/21Tulsa21Navy44Navy -9.5Navy64.5Over
200609/23Navy23Tulsa24
200409/18Tulsa0Navy29
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Tulsa216 Overs
Navy983 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams3 - 83 - 62 - 21 - 4
Road Teams8 - 36 - 34 - 12 - 2

(#) NAVY at (#) TLSA
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatNAVYTLSA
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+NRNR
Perf GradeGradeNRNR
OffenseOffNRNR
DefenseDefNRNR
Spec TeamsSTNRNR
TalentTal #121 #86
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
Navy on Offense
CategoryCat
NAVY OffTLSA Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+NRNR
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Navy Run Game
CategoryCat
NAVY OffTLSA Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Navy Pass Game
CategoryCat
NAVY OffTLSA Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Tulsa on Offense
CategoryCatTLSA OffNAVY Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+NRNR
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Tulsa Run Game
CategoryCat
TLSA OffNAVY Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Tulsa Pass Game
CategoryCatTLSA OffNAVY Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
TLSA 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'15 Profile: Remains Poor G5

NAVY 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'15 Profile: Remains Poor G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in at H. A. Chapman Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Rematch from Week 12
Navy 9.5 (64.5)
Navy won at Tulsa this year (44-21)

Previous Matchups
Navy beat Tulsa last year (42-23)

  
NAVY's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View Navy's Full Roster

NAVY's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD

TLSA's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View Tulsa's Full Roster

TLSA's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD