Navy at Notre Dame - 2015 Matchup Preview
Navy logo

Navy Midshipmen at Notre Dame Fighting Irish

Notre Dame logo
Saturday, October 10th 2015 (3:30 PM EDT)
Notre Dame -16 (59.5) (0)  Open: 0.0
Notre Dame 41 - Navy: 24

 
Midshipmen (11 - 2) (8 - 4 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 32 - 25 (26 - 30 on Road)
'15 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
ND is playing their 6th straight game
NAVY is playing their 4th straight game
Our Line: -2.5  (SP+ -0)

Projected Score: NAVY: 23 - ND: 36 (59)
ND Win prob: 88% | Cover: 54%
NAVY Travel: 545 miles
Fighting Irish (10 - 3) (7 - 6 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 42 - 18 (45 - 18 @ Home)
'15 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Navy's 2015 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/5 Navy vs Colgate-23.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/19 Navy vs East Carolina-1.558.0W 45 - 21OY
Sat 9/26 Navy at UConn-8.048.5W 28 - 18UY
Sat 10/3 Navy vs Air Force-6.049.5W 33 - 11UY
Sat 10/10 Navy at Notre Dame+16.059.5L 24 - 41ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/24 Navy vs Tulane-22.056.5W 31 - 14UN
Sat 10/31 Navy vs South Florida-11.051.0W 29 - 17UY
Sat 11/7 Navy at Memphis+8.562.5W 45 - 20OY
Sat 11/14 Navy vs SMU-20.059.5W 55 - 14OY
Sat 11/21 Navy at Tulsa-9.564.5W 44 - 21OY
Fri 11/27 Navy at Houston+1.559.0L 31 - 52ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 12/12 Navy vs Army-23.051.0W 21 - 17UN
Mon 12/28 Navy vs Pittsburgh-5.0

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Navy's Schedule
Notre Dame's 2015 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/5 Notre Dame vs Texas-9.048.0W 38 - 3UY
Sat 9/12 Notre Dame at Virginia-11.547.0W 34 - 27ON
Sat 9/19 Notre Dame vs Georgia Tech-2.056.5W 30 - 22UY
Sat 9/26 Notre Dame vs Massachusetts-28.561.5W 62 - 27OY
Sat 10/3 Notre Dame at Clemson+3.048.5L 22 - 24UY
Sat 10/10 Notre Dame vs Navy-16.059.5W 41 - 24OY
Sat 10/17 Notre Dame vs USC-3.062.0W 41 - 31OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/31 Notre Dame at Temple-10.552.0W 24 - 20UN
Sat 11/7 Notre Dame at Pittsburgh-7.552.5W 42 - 30OY
Sat 11/14 Notre Dame vs Wake Forest-27.052.0W 28 - 7UN
Sat 11/21 Notre Dame vs Boston College-16.043.0W 19 - 16UN
Sat 11/28 Notre Dame at Stanford-2.057.0L 36 - 38ON
Fri 1/1 Notre Dame vs Ohio State+6.0

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Notre Dame's Schedule
Important Stats (2014)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
NAVY.2650%31.553%3.4633834%814.2.249%2549%46%3.5424.81.71.4
ND.1746%4245%2.9515946%2853.76.1845%17.644%44%3.4437.521.8
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
NAVY0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
ND0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2014
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
NAVY Offense1331.525.850.4%4.21.721419338816.181%17%53%34%2%.26
ND Defense1317.61844.7%3.441.8 - - - - - 53%46%44%44%2%.18
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
NAVY Defense132530.248.7%3.541.4 - - - - - 57%41%49%46%1%.2
ND Offense134244.745.8%3.762244451592854.347%51%45%46%2%.17

Additional Stats 2014
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Navy1330:1220.748%58%2.524.81.71.400129.3
Notre Dame1329:4723.847%50%4.537.521.800032.4
Run Game Stats (2015)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
NAVY Offense1381%53%55.9338.16.145.313.4681%0%1.06
ND Defense1353%44% - - - - .122.8167%0%0.98
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
NAVY Defense1357%49% - - - - .183.4175%0%0.86
ND Offense1347%45%37.2159.54.324.062.9574%0%0.86

Pass Game Stats (2015)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
NAVY Offense1317%34%4.81081.48.117.195.071.825%34%.242%1.7
ND Defense1346%44% - - - - - - 16.261.531%36%.352%1.8
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
NAVY Defense1341%46% - - - - - - 13.251.426%38%.391%1.6
ND Offense1351%46%21.335.6285.5813.43014.281.732%39%.42%1.9

Navy's Power Ratings
Navy's Power Rating: NR
Navy's Offense Rating: NR
Navy's Defense Rating: NR
2015 Talent Rating:  #121
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Navy's 2015 Expected Record: -
Navy's 2015 Overall SP+ Rating: NR
Navy's Offense SP+ Rating: NR
Navy's Defense SP+ Rating: NR

Average Talent
Average American Athletic Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Navy:    Notre Dame: 2.5

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Navy:    Notre Dame:




Notre Dame's Power Ratings
Notre Dame's Power Rating: 2.5 NR
Notre Dame's Offense Rating: NR
Notre Dame's Defense Rating: NR
2015 Talent Rating:  #8
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Notre Dame's 2015 Expected Record: -
Notre Dame's 2015 Overall SP+ Rating: NR
Notre Dame's Offense SP+ Rating: NR
Notre Dame's Defense SP+ Rating: NR

Average Talent
Average FBS Independents Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76


Navy Scoring
Offense: 31.5 PPG
Offense on Road: 25.8
Defense: 25 PPG
Defense on Road: 30.2

Navy's 2015 Record
Record: 11 - 2
Record vs Spread: 8 - 4 - 0
Over/Under Record: 6 - 7
Record on Road: 3 - 2
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 2 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 1 - 2 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 1 - 2 - 0
Projected Score
Notre Dame 36
Navy 23


Projected Total Points: 59
Notre Dame Scoring
Offense: 42 PPG
Offense at Home: 44.7
Defense: 17.6 PPG
Defense at Home: 18

Notre Dame's 2015 Record
Record: 10 - 3
Record vs Spread: 7 - 6 - 0
Over/Under Record: 6 - 7
Record at home: 6 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 5 - 1 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 6 - 5 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 5 - 1 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202511/08Notre Dame49Navy10Notre Dame -30.5Notre Dame54.5Over
202410/26Navy14Notre Dame51Notre Dame -14.0Notre Dame50.5Over
202308/26Notre Dame42Navy3Notre Dame -20.5Notre Dame49.0Under
202211/12Navy32Notre Dame35Notre Dame -17Navy40.5Over
202111/06Notre Dame34Navy6Notre Dame -21Notre Dame47.5Under
201911/16Notre Dame52Navy20Notre Dame -7.5Notre Dame55.5Over
201810/27Navy22Notre Dame44Notre Dame -21.5Notre Dame55.5Over
201711/18Notre Dame24Navy17Notre Dame -20.5Navy58.5Under
201611/05Navy28Notre Dame27Navy -4.5Notre Dame63.0Under
201510/10Notre Dame41Navy24Notre Dame -16Notre Dame59.5Over
201411/01Navy39Notre Dame49Notre Dame -13.5Navy0
201311/02Notre Dame38Navy34Notre Dame -17Navy0
201209/01Navy10Notre Dame50
201110/29Notre Dame56Navy14
201010/23Navy35Notre Dame17
200911/07Notre Dame21Navy23
200811/15Navy21Notre Dame27
200711/03Notre Dame44Navy46
200610/28Navy14Notre Dame38
200511/12Notre Dame42Navy21
200410/16Navy9Notre Dame27
200311/08Notre Dame27Navy24
200211/09Navy23Notre Dame30
200111/17Notre Dame34Navy16
200010/13Notre Dame45Navy14
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Notre Dame2186 Overs
Navy444 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams14 - 117 - 55 - 32 - 2
Road Teams11 - 145 - 72 - 23 - 5

(#) NAVY at (#) ND
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatNAVYND
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+NRNR
Perf GradeGradeNRNR
OffenseOffNRNR
DefenseDefNRNR
Spec TeamsSTNRNR
TalentTal #121 #8
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
Navy on Offense
CategoryCat
NAVY OffND Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+NRNR
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Navy Run Game
CategoryCat
NAVY OffND Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Navy Pass Game
CategoryCat
NAVY OffND Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Notre Dame on Offense
CategoryCatND OffNAVY Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+NRNR
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Notre Dame Run Game
CategoryCat
ND OffNAVY Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Notre Dame Pass Game
CategoryCatND OffNAVY Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
ND 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'15 Profile: Remains Poor G5

NAVY 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'15 Profile: Remains Poor G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Notre Dame Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Rematch from Week 6
Notre Dame -16.0 (59.5)
Notre Dame won vs Navy this year (41-24)

Previous Matchups
Notre Dame beat Navy last year (49-10)
Notre Dame beat Navy in 2024 (51-14)
Notre Dame beat Navy in 2023 (42-3)

  
NAVY's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View Navy's Full Roster

NAVY's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD

ND's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View Notre Dame's Full Roster

ND's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD