Navy at Memphis - 2015 Matchup Preview
Navy logo Navy Midshipmen at Memphis Tigers(#25)Memphis logo
Saturday, November 7th 2015 (7:00 PM EST)
Memphis -8.5 (62.5) (0)  Open: 0.0
Navy 45 - Memphis: 20  (American Athletic)

 
Midshipmen (11 - 2) (8 - 4 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 37 - 22 (34 - 30 on Road)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
MEM 2nd straight Home Game
MEM is playing their 4th straight game
Our Line: -2.5  (SP+ -0)

Projected Score: NAVY: 27 - MEM: 35 (62)
MEM Win prob: 71% | Cover: 46%
NAVY Travel: 788 miles, 1 hrs ahead
Tigers (9 - 4) (7 - 5 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 40 - 27 (46 - 23 @ Home)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Navy's 2015 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/5 Navy vs Colgate-23.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/19 Navy vs East Carolina-1.558.0W 45 - 21OY
Sat 9/26 Navy at UConn-8.048.5W 28 - 18UY
Sat 10/3 Navy vs Air Force-6.049.5W 33 - 11UY
Sat 10/10 Navy at Notre Dame+16.059.5L 24 - 41ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/24 Navy vs Tulane-22.056.5W 31 - 14UN
Sat 10/31 Navy vs South Florida-11.051.0W 29 - 17UY
Sat 11/7 Navy at Memphis+8.562.5W 45 - 20OY
Sat 11/14 Navy vs SMU-20.059.5W 55 - 14OY
Sat 11/21 Navy at Tulsa-9.564.5W 44 - 21OY
Fri 11/27 Navy at Houston+1.559.0L 31 - 52ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 12/12 Navy vs Army-23.051.0W 21 - 17UN
Mon 12/28 Navy vs Pittsburgh-5.0

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Navy's Schedule
Memphis's 2015 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/5 Memphis vs Missouri State-23.5
Sat 9/12 Memphis at Kansas-10.562.5W 55 - 23OY
Sat 9/19 Memphis at Bowling Green-4.071.5W 44 - 41ON
Thu 9/24 Memphis vs Cincinnati-4.570.0W 53 - 46OY
Fri 10/2 Memphis at South Florida-10.558.5W 24 - 17UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/17 Memphis vs Ole Miss+10.572.0W 37 - 24UY
Fri 10/23 Memphis at Tulsa-11.575.5W 66 - 42OY
Sat 10/31 Memphis vs Tulane-27.562.5W 41 - 13UY
Sat 11/7 Memphis vs Navy-8.562.5L 20 - 45ON
Sat 11/14 Memphis at Houston+5.069.5L 34 - 35UY
Sat 11/21 Memphis at Temple-1.557.0L 12 - 31UN
Sat 11/28 Memphis vs SMU-24.570.0W 63 - 0UY
Wed 12/30 Memphis vs Auburn+2.5

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Memphis's Schedule
Important Stats (2015)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
NAVY.3449%36.851%3.5132735%984.81.1644%21.842%45%3.3826.10.62.1
MEM.2546%40.243%2.8217947%3074.19.1844%27.344%43%3.8372.81.11.7
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
NAVY#12 (.31)44% (51)46% (43)3.27 (32)23139% (101)1174.39 (26)#28 (.1)41% (61)46% (95)37% (24)3.48 (35)41.91.11.8
MEM#23 (.27)44% (57)46% (40)3.27 (31)17541% (71)2704.66 (14)#87 (.19)40% (47)40% (45)40% (62)4.05 (96)480.61.9



Overall Stats 2015
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
NAVY Offense1336.834.449.5%4.810.621425327985.782%16%51%35%2%.34
MEM Defense1327.322.544.1%3.831.7 - - - - - 53%46%44%43%3%.18
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
NAVY Defense1321.830.444.1%3.382.1 - - - - - 50%48%42%45%1%.16
MEM Offense1340.246.246.3%4.191.1254871793074.149%48%43%47%1%.25

Additional Stats 2015
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Navy1332:4820.950%92%3.126.10.62.100033
Memphis1330:2124.848%56%7.572.81.11.700332.8
Run Game Stats (2015)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
NAVY Offense1382%51%57.5326.75.753.343.5190%0%1.09
MEM Defense1353%44% - - - - .112.9155%0%0.92
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
NAVY Defense1350%42% - - - - .042.9664%0%0.95
MEM Offense1349%43%43.3179.54.129.122.8278%0%0.94

Pass Game Stats (2015)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
NAVY Offense1316%35%4.99.498.510.52092.42.425%32%.382%1.8
MEM Defense1346%43% - - - - - - 12.281.731%36%.373%1.8
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
NAVY Defense1348%45% - - - - - - 12.31.530%36%.431%1.9
MEM Offense1348%47%23.935.8307.58.612.9305.391.633%39%.361%1.5

Navy's Power Ratings
Navy's Power Rating: NR
Navy's Offense Rating: NR
Navy's Defense Rating: NR
2015 Talent Rating:  #121
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Navy's 2015 Expected Record: -
Navy's 2015 Overall SP+ Rating: NR
Navy's Offense SP+ Rating: NR
Navy's Defense SP+ Rating: NR

Average Talent
Average American Athletic Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
Navy:    Memphis: 2.5

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Navy:    Memphis:




Memphis's Power Ratings
Memphis's Power Rating: 2.5 NR
Memphis's Offense Rating: NR
Memphis's Defense Rating: NR
2015 Talent Rating:  #96
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Memphis's 2015 Expected Record: -
Memphis's 2015 Overall SP+ Rating: NR
Memphis's Offense SP+ Rating: NR
Memphis's Defense SP+ Rating: NR

Average Talent
Average American Athletic Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482


Navy Scoring
Offense: 36.8 PPG
Offense on Road: 34.4
Defense: 21.8 PPG
Defense on Road: 30.4

Navy's 2015 Record
Record: 11 - 2
Record vs Spread: 8 - 4 - 0
Over/Under Record: 6 - 7
Record on Road: 3 - 2
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 2 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 1 - 2 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 1 - 2 - 0
Projected Score
Memphis 35
Navy 27


Total Points: 62

Based on Last 4 Games
Memphis 36
Navy 24

Total Points: 60

Based on Entire Season
Memphis 35
Navy 30

Total Points: 65
Memphis Scoring
Offense: 40.2 PPG
Offense at Home: 46.2
Defense: 27.3 PPG
Defense at Home: 22.5

Memphis's 2015 Record
Record: 9 - 4
Record vs Spread: 7 - 5 - 0
Over/Under Record: 5 - 8
Record at home: 5 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 4 - 1 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 5 - 4 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 3 - 1 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202511/27Memphis17Navy28Memphis -3.5Navy57.5Under
202409/21Navy56Memphis44Memphis -9.5Navy47.0Over
202309/14Memphis28Navy24Memphis -12.5Navy47.0Over
202209/10Navy13Memphis37Memphis -4.5Memphis47.5Over
202110/14Memphis35Navy17Memphis -11Memphis55.5Under
202011/28Navy7Memphis10Memphis -13.5Navy62.5Under
201909/26Memphis35Navy23Memphis -11Memphis53.5Over
201809/08Navy22Memphis21Memphis -7Navy67.0Under
201710/14Memphis30Navy27Memphis -3.5Navy73.0Under
201610/22Navy42Memphis28Memphis -2Navy57.0Over
201511/07Memphis20Navy45Memphis -8.5Navy62.5Over
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Memphis636 Overs
Navy585 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams7 - 46 - 52 - 44 - 1
Road Teams4 - 75 - 61 - 44 - 2

(#) NAVY at (#) MEM
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatNAVYMEM
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+NRNR
Perf GradeGradeNRNR
OffenseOffNRNR
DefenseDefNRNR
Spec TeamsSTNRNR
TalentTal #121 #96
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
Navy on Offense
CategoryCat
NAVY OffMEM Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+NRNR
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Navy Run Game
CategoryCat
NAVY OffMEM Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Navy Pass Game
CategoryCat
NAVY OffMEM Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Memphis on Offense
CategoryCatMEM OffNAVY Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+NRNR
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Memphis Run Game
CategoryCat
MEM OffNAVY Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Memphis Pass Game
CategoryCatMEM OffNAVY Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
MEM 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'15 Profile: Remains Poor G5

NAVY 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'15 Profile: Remains Poor G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Liberty Bowl Memorial Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 57° - Wind: 8 mph
Rematch from Week 10
Memphis -8.5 (62.5)
Navy won at Memphis this year (45-20)

Previous Matchups
Navy beat Memphis last year (56-44)
Memphis beat Navy in 2023 (28-24)
Memphis beat Navy in 2022 (37-13)

  
NAVY's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View Navy's Full Roster

NAVY's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD

MEM's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View Memphis's Full Roster

MEM's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD