Louisville at NC State - 2015 Matchup Preview

Louisville Cardinals at NC State Wolfpack

Saturday, October 3rd 2015 (12:30 PM EDT)
NC State -5 (47.5) (0) Open: 0.0
Louisville 20 - NC State: 13 (ACC)

Cardinals (8 - 5) (7 - 6 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 29 - 24 (27 - 28 on Road)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

NCST is playing their 5th straight game
LOU is playing their 5th straight game
Our Line: -2.5 (SP+ -0)
Projected Score: LOU: 20 - NCST: 27 (47)
NCST Win prob: 63% | Cover: 48%
LOU Travel: 422 miles

Wolfpack (7 - 6) (6 - 7 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 33 - 26 (36 - 29 @ Home)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
LOU Players
NCST Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Louisville's 2015 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/5	Louisville vs Auburn	+10.5	54.0	L 24 - 31	O	Y
Sat 9/12	Louisville vs Houston	-12.5	55.5	L 31 - 34	O	N
Thu 9/17	Louisville vs Clemson	+5.0	54.0	L 17 - 20	U	Y
Sat 9/26	Louisville vs Samford	-29.5
Sat 10/3	Louisville at NC State	+5.0	47.5	W 20 - 13	U	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/17	Louisville at Florida State	+9.0	47.0	L 21 - 41	O	N
Sat 10/24	Louisville vs Boston College	-8.5	37.0	W 17 - 14	U	N
Fri 10/30	Louisville at Wake Forest	-9.5	44.0	W 20 - 19	U	N
Sat 11/7	Louisville vs Syracuse	-12.0	50.5	W 41 - 17	O	Y
Sat 11/14	Louisville vs Virginia	-8.5	48.0	W 38 - 31	O	N
Sat 11/21	Louisville at Pittsburgh	+1.5	48.5	L 34 - 45	O	N
Sat 11/28	Louisville at Kentucky	-4.0	51.5	W 38 - 24	O	Y
Wed 12/30	Louisville vs Texas A&M	+2.5

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Louisville's Schedule

NC State's 2015 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/5	NC State vs Troy	-23.0	62.0	W 49 - 21	O	Y
Sat 9/12	NC State vs Eastern Kentucky	-31.0
Sat 9/19	NC State at Old Dominion	-15.0	57.0	W 38 - 14	U	Y
Sat 9/26	NC State at South Alabama	-16.5	55.5	W 63 - 13	O	Y
Sat 10/3	NC State vs Louisville	-5.0	47.5	L 13 - 20	U	N
Fri 10/9	NC State at Virginia Tech	+2.0	44.0	L 13 - 28	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/24	NC State at Wake Forest	-8.5	43.5	W 35 - 17	O	Y
Sat 10/31	NC State vs Clemson	+9.5	50.5	L 41 - 56	O	N
Sat 11/7	NC State at Boston College	-1.0	37.0	W 24 - 8	U	Y
Sat 11/14	NC State at Florida State	+10.5	55.0	L 17 - 34	U	N
Sat 11/21	NC State vs Syracuse	-17.0	55.0	W 42 - 29	O	N
Sat 11/28	NC State vs North Carolina	+6.0	65.0	L 34 - 45	O	N
Wed 12/30	NC State vs Mississippi State	+7.0

Important Stats (2015)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
LOU	.16	43%	28.7	44%	2.9	171	40%	245	3.31	.11	39%	24.1	38%	39%	3.28	62.6	2.1	2
NCST	.19	43%	33.2	45%	3.1	202	39%	211	4.06	.13	40%	25.8	38%	40%	3.72	52.8	1	1.7

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
LOU	#15 (.31)	46% (26)		48% (20)	3.09 (56)	173	45% (30)	251	4.27 (31)	#73 (.18)	40% (49)		40% (44)	40% (65)	3.98 (87)	46.1	0.8	1.2
NCST	#26 (.25)	45% (36)		44% (68)	3.24 (36)	130	47% (20)	215	3.97 (61)	#86 (.19)	41% (59)		39% (31)	43% (87)	3.78 (67)	45	1.7	1.4

Overall Stats 2015

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
LOU Offense	13	28.7	26.6	43%	3.31	2.1	21	416	171	245	4.5	49%	49%	44%	40%	3%	.16
NCST Defense	13	25.8	28.5	39.7%	3.72	1.7	-	-	-	-	-	49%	49%	38%	40%	2%	.13

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
LOU Defense	13	24.1	28.4	38.9%	3.28	2	-	-	-	-	-	50%	49%	38%	39%	3%	.11
NCST Offense	13	33.2	35.7	42.6%	4.06	1	22	413	202	211	4.9	51%	48%	45%	39%	2%	.19

Additional Stats 2015

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Louisville	13	29:29	20.8	38%	47%	7.5	62.6	2.1	2	0	0	2	30.3
NC State	13	33:03	21.5	41%	61%	5.5	52.8	1	1.7	0	0	3	31.8

Run Game Stats (2015)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
LOU Offense	13	49%	44%	37.8	171	4.5	23	.17	2.9	68%	0%	1.12
NCST Defense	13	49%	38%	-	-	-	-	.06	2.44	57%	0%	1.12

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
LOU Defense	13	50%	38%	-	-	-	-	-.01	2.57	66%	0%	0.88
NCST Offense	13	51%	45%	41.5	202.1	4.9	36	.22	3.1	75%	0%	1.14

Pass Game Stats (2015)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
LOU Offense	13	49%	40%	17.5	31.5	245.1	7.8	14	21	15	.16	1.6	34%	37%	.3	3%	1.7
NCST Defense	13	49%	40%	-	-	-	-	-	-	13	.22	1.6	33%	29%	.17	2%	1.7

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
LOU Defense	13	49%	39%	-	-	-	-	-	-	17	.23	1.7	36%	31%	.29	3%	1.9
NCST Offense	13	48%	39%	18.9	31.8	210.8	6.6	11.1	20	6	.17	1.6	33%	31%	.23	2%	1.9

Louisville's Power Ratings
Louisville's Power Rating: NR
Louisville's Offense Rating: NR
Louisville's Defense Rating: NR
2015 Talent Rating: #36
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Louisville's 2015 Expected Record: -
Louisville's 2015 Overall SP+ Rating: NR
Louisville's Offense SP+ Rating: NR
Louisville's Defense SP+ Rating: NR

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
Louisville: NC State: 2.5

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Louisville: NC State:

NC State's Power Ratings
NC State's Power Rating: 2.5 NR
NC State's Offense Rating: NR
NC State's Defense Rating: NR
2015 Talent Rating: #43
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
NC State's 2015 Expected Record: -
NC State's 2015 Overall SP+ Rating: NR
NC State's Offense SP+ Rating: NR
NC State's Defense SP+ Rating: NR

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Louisville Scoring
Offense: 28.7 PPG
Offense on Road: 26.6
Defense: 24.1 PPG
Defense on Road: 28.4

Louisville's 2015 Record
Record: 8 - 5
Record vs Spread: 7 - 6 - 0
Over/Under Record: 7 - 6
Record on Road: 3 - 2
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 4 - 2 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 1 - 2 - 0

Projected Score
NC State 27
Louisville 20

Total Points: 47

Based on Last 4 Games
NC State 24
Louisville 12

Total Points: 36

Based on Entire Season
NC State 31
Louisville 27

Total Points: 58

NC State Scoring
Offense: 33.2 PPG
Offense at Home: 35.7
Defense: 25.8 PPG
Defense at Home: 28.5

NC State's 2015 Record
Record: 7 - 6
Record vs Spread: 6 - 7 - 0
Over/Under Record: 6 - 7
Record at home: 3 - 3
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 4 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 6 - 2 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 2 - 2 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2023	09/29	NC State	10	Louisville	13	Louisville -3.5	NC State	56.5	Under
2022	11/19	Louisville	25	NC State	10	Louisville -4	Louisville	43.0	Under
2021	10/30	NC State	28	Louisville	13	NC State -6	NC State	57.0	Under
2019	11/16	NC State	20	Louisville	34	Louisville -4.5	Louisville	52.0	Over
2018	11/17	Louisville	10	NC State	52	NC State -16	NC State	65.0	Under
2017	10/05	NC State	39	Louisville	25	Louisville -3.5	NC State	67.0	Under
2016	10/22	Louisville	54	NC State	13	Louisville -20	Louisville	65.0	Over
2015	10/03	NC State	13	Louisville	20	NC State -5	Louisville	47.5	Under
2014	10/18	Louisville	30	NC State	18	Louisville -14.5	NC State	0
2011	12/27	NC State	31	Louisville	24
2007	09/29	NC State	10	Louisville	29

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
NC State	4	5	2 Overs
Louisville	7	4	6 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	6 - 5	5 - 4	3 - 2	2 - 2
Road Teams	5 - 6	4 - 5	2 - 2	2 - 3

(#) LOU at (#) NCST

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	LOU	NCST
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	NR	NR
Perf GradeGrade	NR	NR
OffenseOff	NR	NR
DefenseDef	NR	NR
Spec TeamsST	NR	NR
TalentTal	#36	#43
Blue ChipsBC%	NR	NR

Louisville Injury Report

NC State Injury Report

Louisville on Offense


CategoryCat	LOU Off	NCST Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	NR	NR
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Louisville Run Game


CategoryCat	LOU Off	NCST Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	NR

Louisville Pass Game


CategoryCat	LOU Off	NCST Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

NC State on Offense


CategoryCat	NCST Off	LOU Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	NR	NR
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

NC State Run Game


CategoryCat	NCST Off	LOU Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	NR

NC State Pass Game


CategoryCat	NCST Off	LOU Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Program Comparison
NCST 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'15 Profile: Remains Poor G5

LOU 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'15 Profile: Remains Poor G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Carter-Finley Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 59° - Wind: 9 mph

Rematch from Week 5
NC State -5.0 (47.5)
Louisville won at NC State this year (20-13)

Previous Matchups
Louisville beat NC State in 2023 (13-10)
Louisville beat NC State in 2022 (25-10)

LOU's OC ()

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Louisville's Full Roster

LOU's DC ()

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

NCST's OC ()

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View NC State's Full Roster

NCST's DC ()

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD