NC State at South Alabama - 2015 Matchup Preview

NC State Wolfpack at South Alabama Jaguars

Saturday, September 26th 2015 (8:00 PM EDT)
NC State -16.5 (55.5) (0) Open: 0.0
NC State 63 - South Alabama: 13

Wolfpack (7 - 6) (6 - 7 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 33 - 26 (32 - 19 on Road)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

NCST 2nd straight Road Game
USA is playing their 4th straight game
NCST is playing their 4th straight game
Our Line: -2.5 (SP+ -0)
Projected Score: NCST: 37 - USA: 26 (63)
NCST Win prob: 90% | Cover: 54%
NCST Travel: 646 miles, 1 hrs ahead

Jaguars (5 - 7) (5 - 6 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 25 - 37 (31 - 43 @ Home)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
NCST Players
USA Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

NC State's 2015 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/5	NC State vs Troy	-23.0	62.0	W 49 - 21	O	Y
Sat 9/12	NC State vs Eastern Kentucky	-31.0
Sat 9/19	NC State at Old Dominion	-15.0	57.0	W 38 - 14	U	Y
Sat 9/26	NC State at South Alabama	-16.5	55.5	W 63 - 13	O	Y
Sat 10/3	NC State vs Louisville	-5.0	47.5	L 13 - 20	U	N
Fri 10/9	NC State at Virginia Tech	+2.0	44.0	L 13 - 28	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/24	NC State at Wake Forest	-8.5	43.5	W 35 - 17	O	Y
Sat 10/31	NC State vs Clemson	+9.5	50.5	L 41 - 56	O	N
Sat 11/7	NC State at Boston College	-1.0	37.0	W 24 - 8	U	Y
Sat 11/14	NC State at Florida State	+10.5	55.0	L 17 - 34	U	N
Sat 11/21	NC State vs Syracuse	-17.0	55.0	W 42 - 29	O	N
Sat 11/28	NC State vs North Carolina	+6.0	65.0	L 34 - 45	O	N
Wed 12/30	NC State vs Mississippi State	+7.0

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for NC State's Schedule

South Alabama's 2015 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/5	South Alabama vs Gardner-Webb	-23.5
Sat 9/12	South Alabama at Nebraska	+27.0	54.0	L 9 - 48	O	N
Sat 9/19	South Alabama at San Diego State	+15.5	47.5	W 34 - 27	O	Y
Sat 9/26	South Alabama vs NC State	+16.5	55.5	L 13 - 63	O	N
Sat 10/3	South Alabama at Troy	+3.0	61.5	W 24 - 18	U	Y
	BYE WEEK
Tue 10/13	South Alabama vs Arkansas State	+6.0	58.0	L 31 - 49	O	N
Sat 10/24	South Alabama at Texas State	+5.0	63.0	L 18 - 36	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/7	South Alabama vs Idaho	-5.5	61.0	W 52 - 45	O	Y
Thu 11/12	South Alabama vs Louisiana	+1.5	57.0	W 32 - 25	U	Y
Sat 11/21	South Alabama at Georgia State	+1.0	60.5	L 10 - 24	U	N
Sat 11/28	South Alabama at Georgia Southern	+21.0	56.0	L 17 - 55	O	N
Sat 12/5	South Alabama vs App State	+16.5	59.0	L 27 - 34	O	Y

Important Stats (2015)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
NCST	.19	43%	33.2	45%	3.1	202	39%	211	4.06	.13	40%	25.8	38%	40%	3.72	52.8	1	1.7
USA	.07	40%	25	42%	2.78	161	36%	200	2.89	.19	44%	37.3	43%	42%	4.23	57.8	2.1	1.7

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
NCST	#26 (.25)	45% (36)		44% (68)	3.24 (36)	130	47% (20)	215	3.97 (61)	#86 (.19)	41% (59)		39% (31)	43% (87)	3.78 (67)	45	1.7	1.4
USA	#5 (.34)	50% (9)		53% (4)	3.57 (6)	199	47% (18)	243	4.66 (13)	#58 (.15)	41% (58)		39% (28)	43% (96)	3.66 (56)	70.8	0.9	1.5

Overall Stats 2015

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
NCST Offense	13	33.2	31.7	42.6%	4.06	1	22	413	202	211	4.9	51%	48%	45%	39%	2%	.19
USA Defense	12	37.3	43.2	43.5%	4.23	1.7	-	-	-	-	-	57%	42%	43%	42%	2%	.19

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
NCST Defense	13	25.8	19	39.7%	3.72	1.7	-	-	-	-	-	49%	49%	38%	40%	2%	.13
USA Offense	12	25	31	40.2%	2.89	2.1	18	360	161	200	4	54%	45%	42%	36%	2%	.07

Additional Stats 2015

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
NC State	13	33:03	21.5	41%	61%	5.5	52.8	1	1.7	0	0	3	31.8
South Alabama	12	28:25	18.1	35%	44%	6.8	57.8	2.1	1.7	0	0	1	28.4

Run Game Stats (2015)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
NCST Offense	13	51%	45%	41.5	202.1	4.9	36	.22	3.1	75%	0%	1.14
USA Defense	12	57%	43%	-	-	-	-	.12	2.84	67%	0%	1.05

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
NCST Defense	13	49%	38%	-	-	-	-	.06	2.44	57%	0%	1.12
USA Offense	12	54%	42%	40.1	160.7	4	18	.06	2.78	75%	0%	0.87

Pass Game Stats (2015)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
NCST Offense	13	48%	39%	18.9	31.8	210.8	6.6	11.1	20	6	.17	1.6	33%	31%	.23	2%	1.9
USA Defense	12	42%	42%	-	-	-	-	-	-	10	.29	1.6	33%	32%	.38	2%	2.1

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
NCST Defense	13	49%	40%	-	-	-	-	-	-	13	.22	1.6	33%	29%	.17	2%	1.7
USA Offense	12	45%	36%	15.3	29.3	199.5	6.8	13	15	16	.11	1.7	34%	32%	.19	2%	1.7

NC State's Power Ratings
NC State's Power Rating: NR
NC State's Offense Rating: NR
NC State's Defense Rating: NR
2015 Talent Rating: #43
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
NC State's 2015 Expected Record: -
NC State's 2015 Overall SP+ Rating: NR
NC State's Offense SP+ Rating: NR
NC State's Defense SP+ Rating: NR

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
NC State: South Alabama: 2.5

SP+ Ratings Matchup
NC State: South Alabama:

South Alabama's Power Ratings
South Alabama's Power Rating: 2.5 NR
South Alabama's Offense Rating: NR
South Alabama's Defense Rating: NR
2015 Talent Rating: #102
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
South Alabama's 2015 Expected Record: -
South Alabama's 2015 Overall SP+ Rating: NR
South Alabama's Offense SP+ Rating: NR
South Alabama's Defense SP+ Rating: NR

Average Talent
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

NC State Scoring
Offense: 33.2 PPG
Offense on Road: 31.7
Defense: 25.8 PPG
Defense on Road: 19

NC State's 2015 Record
Record: 7 - 6
Record vs Spread: 6 - 7 - 0
Over/Under Record: 6 - 7
Record on Road: 4 - 2
Record vs Spread on Road: 4 - 2 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 6 - 2 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 4 - 0 - 0

Projected Score
NC State 37
South Alabama 26

Total Points: 63

Based on Last 4 Games
NC State 38
South Alabama 26

Total Points: 64

Based on Entire Season
NC State 36
South Alabama 25

Total Points: 61

South Alabama Scoring
Offense: 25 PPG
Offense at Home: 31
Defense: 37.3 PPG
Defense at Home: 43.2

South Alabama's 2015 Record
Record: 5 - 7
Record vs Spread: 5 - 6 - 0
Over/Under Record: 7 - 5
Record at home: 2 - 3
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 2 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 4 - 6 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 2 - 2 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2015	09/26	South Alabama	13	NC State	63	NC State -16.5	NC State	55.5	Over
2012	09/15	NC State	31	South Alabama	7
2011	09/17	NC State	35	South Alabama	13

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
South Alabama	0	0	1 Overs
NC State	3	1	0 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	2 - 1	0 - 1	0 - 0	0 - 1
Road Teams	1 - 2	1 - 0	1 - 0	0 - 0

(#) NCST at (#) USA

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	NCST	USA
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	NR	NR
Perf GradeGrade	NR	NR
OffenseOff	NR	NR
DefenseDef	NR	NR
Spec TeamsST	NR	NR
TalentTal	#43	#102
Blue ChipsBC%	NR	NR

NC State Injury Report

South Alabama Injury Report

NC State on Offense


CategoryCat	NCST Off	USA Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	NR	NR
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

NC State Run Game


CategoryCat	NCST Off	USA Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	NR

NC State Pass Game


CategoryCat	NCST Off	USA Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

South Alabama on Offense


CategoryCat	USA Off	NCST Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	NR	NR
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

South Alabama Run Game


CategoryCat	USA Off	NCST Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	NR

South Alabama Pass Game


CategoryCat	USA Off	NCST Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Program Comparison
USA 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'15 Profile: Remains Poor G5

NCST 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'15 Profile: Remains Poor G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Ladd Peebles Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 78°

Rematch from Week 4
NC State 16.5 (55.5)
NC State won at South Alabama this year (63-13)

No Matchups Past 4 Years

NCST's OC ()

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View NC State's Full Roster

NCST's DC ()

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

USA's OC ()

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View South Alabama's Full Roster

USA's DC ()

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD