Middle Tennessee at Alabama - 2015 Matchup Preview
Middle Tennessee logo   Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders at Alabama Crimson Tide  Alabama logo
Saturday, September 12th 2015 (4:00 PM EDT)
Alabama -34 (56.5) (0)  Open: 0.0
Alabama 37 - Middle Tennessee: 10

 
Blue Raiders (7 - 6) (8 - 4 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 22 - 31 (21 - 29 on Road)
'15 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
ALA 2nd straight Home Game
Our Line: -2.5  (SP+ -0)
Projected Score: MTSU: 19 - ALA: 32 (51)
ALA Win prob: 100% | Cover: 48%
MTSU Travel: 195 miles
Crimson Tide (14 - 1) (8 - 7 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 30 - 19 (39 - 11 @ Home)
'15 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Middle Tennessee's 2015 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/5 Middle Tennessee vs Jackson State-23.5
Sat 9/12 Middle Tennessee at Alabama+34.056.5L 10 - 37UY
Sat 9/19 Middle Tennessee vs Charlotte-19.566.0W 73 - 14OY
Sat 9/26 Middle Tennessee at Illinois+7.062.0L 25 - 27UY
Sat 10/3 Middle Tennessee vs Vanderbilt-4.549.5L 13 - 17UN
Sat 10/10 Middle Tennessee at Western Kentucky+7.569.5L 28 - 58ON
Sat 10/17 Middle Tennessee vs Florida International-7.052.5W 42 - 34OY
Sat 10/24 Middle Tennessee at Louisiana Tech+8.563.0L 16 - 45UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/7 Middle Tennessee vs Marshall-2.056.0W 27 - 24UY
Sat 11/14 Middle Tennessee at Florida Atlantic-6.057.5W 24 - 17UY
Sat 11/21 Middle Tennessee vs North Texas-24.063.0W 41 - 7UY
Sat 11/28 Middle Tennessee at UTSA-11.059.0W 42 - 7UY
Thu 12/24 Middle Tennessee vs Western Michigan+3.0

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Middle Tennessee's Schedule
Alabama's 2015 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/5 Alabama vs Wisconsin-10.044.0W 35 - 17OY
Sat 9/12 Alabama vs Middle Tennessee-34.056.5W 37 - 10UN
Sat 9/19 Alabama vs Ole Miss-8.552.0L 37 - 43ON
Sat 9/26 Alabama vs UL Monroe-39.053.0W 34 - 0UN
Sat 10/3 Alabama at Georgia+1.050.5W 38 - 10UY
Sat 10/10 Alabama vs Arkansas-16.048.0W 27 - 14UN
Sat 10/17 Alabama at Texas A&M-3.054.5W 41 - 23OY
Sat 10/24 Alabama vs Tennessee-14.548.5W 19 - 14UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/7 Alabama vs LSU-7.047.0W 30 - 16UY
Sat 11/14 Alabama at Mississippi State-7.051.5W 31 - 6UY
Sat 11/21 Alabama vs Charleston Southern-38.5
Sat 11/28 Alabama at Auburn-13.047.5W 29 - 13UY
Sat 12/5 Alabama vs Florida-17.038.0W 29 - 15ON
Thu 12/31 Alabama vs Michigan State-9.5
Mon 1/11 Alabama vs Clemson-5.5

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Alabama's Schedule
Important Stats (2014)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
MTSU.1745%22.447%3.1421440%2183.26.1946%30.949%43%3.5257.521.7
ALA.3152%29.552%3.3620750%2784.2.0538%19.235%37%2.740.11.61.4
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
MTSU0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
ALA0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2014
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
MTSU Offense1222.420.844.6%3.262214312142184.857%41%47%40%2%.17
ALA Defense1419.211.437.6%2.71.4 - - - - - 44%53%35%37%2%.05
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
MTSU Defense1230.929.346.5%3.521.7 - - - - - 51%48%49%43%1%.19
ALA Offense1429.539.351.6%4.21.6244852072785.153%46%52%50%3%.31

Additional Stats 2014
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Middle Tennessee1229:3521.244%56%6.557.521.700230
Alabama1432:5524.351%77%4.940.11.61.400032.8
Run Game Stats (2015)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
MTSU Offense1257%47%44.2213.84.831.133.1475%0%0.92
ALA Defense1444%35% - - - - -.112.2860%0%0.8
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
MTSU Defense1251%49% - - - - .113.2480%0%0.76
ALA Offense1453%52%40.5206.65.135.223.3673%0%0.91

Pass Game Stats (2015)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
MTSU Offense1241%40%18.728.6217.57.611.71713.241.629%34%.282%1.8
ALA Defense1453%37% - - - - - - 11.221.737%33%.272%1.9
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
MTSU Defense1248%43% - - - - - - 13.291.630%39%.421%1.8
ALA Offense1446%50%20.732.2277.98.613.43210.441.626%40%.523%2

Middle Tennessee's Power Ratings
Middle Tennessee's Power Rating: NR
Middle Tennessee's Offense Rating: NR
Middle Tennessee's Defense Rating: NR
2015 Talent Rating:  #82
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Middle Tennessee's 2015 Expected Record: -
Middle Tennessee's 2015 Overall SP+ Rating: NR
Middle Tennessee's Offense SP+ Rating: NR
Middle Tennessee's Defense SP+ Rating: NR

Average Talent
Average Conference USA Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Middle Tennessee:    Alabama: 2.5

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Middle Tennessee:    Alabama:




Alabama's Power Ratings
Alabama's Power Rating: 2.5 NR
Alabama's Offense Rating: NR
Alabama's Defense Rating: NR
2015 Talent Rating:  #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Alabama's 2015 Expected Record: -
Alabama's 2015 Overall SP+ Rating: NR
Alabama's Offense SP+ Rating: NR
Alabama's Defense SP+ Rating: NR

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76


Middle Tennessee Scoring
Offense: 22.4 PPG
Offense on Road: 20.8
Defense: 30.9 PPG
Defense on Road: 29.3

Middle Tennessee's 2015 Record
Record: 7 - 6
Record vs Spread: 8 - 4 - 0
Over/Under Record: 3 - 10
Record on Road: 2 - 4
Record vs Spread on Road: 4 - 2 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 2 - 3 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 2 - 2 - 0
Projected Score
Alabama 32
Middle Tennessee 19

Projected Total Points: 51
Alabama Scoring
Offense: 29.5 PPG
Offense at Home: 39.3
Defense: 19.2 PPG
Defense at Home: 11.4

Alabama's 2015 Record
Record: 14 - 1
Record vs Spread: 8 - 7 - 0
Over/Under Record: 4 - 11
Record at home: 6 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 5 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 7 - 6 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 2 - 5 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202309/02Alabama56Middle Tennessee7Alabama -39.5Alabama52.0Over
201509/12Alabama37Middle Tennessee10Alabama -34Middle Tennessee56.5Under
200509/03Alabama26Middle Tennessee7
200208/31Alabama39Middle Tennessee34
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Alabama411 Overs
Middle Tennessee011 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams4 - 01 - 11 - 10 - 0
Road Teams0 - 41 - 10 - 01 - 1

(#) MTSU at (#) ALA
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatMTSUALA
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+NRNR
Perf GradeGradeNRNR
OffenseOffNRNR
DefenseDefNRNR
Spec TeamsSTNRNR
TalentTal #82 #1
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
Middle Tennessee on Offense
CategoryCat
MTSU OffALA Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+NRNR
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Middle Tennessee Run Game
CategoryCat
MTSU OffALA Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Middle Tennessee Pass Game
CategoryCat
MTSU OffALA Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Alabama on Offense
CategoryCatALA OffMTSU Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+NRNR
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Alabama Run Game
CategoryCat
ALA OffMTSU Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Alabama Pass Game
CategoryCatALA OffMTSU Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
ALA 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'15 Profile: Remains Poor G5

MTSU 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'15 Profile: Remains Poor G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Bryant Denny Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Rematch from Week 2
Alabama -34.0 (56.5)
Alabama won vs Middle Tennessee this year (37-10)

Previous Matchups
Alabama beat Middle Tennessee in 2023 (56-7)

  
MTSU's OC ()
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MTSU's DC ()
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ALA's OC ()
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Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
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ALA's DC ()
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Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD