Michigan State at Alabama - 2015 Matchup Preview
Michigan State logo   Michigan State Spartans vs Alabama Crimson Tide  Alabama logo
Thursday, December 31st 2015 (8:20 PM EST)
Alabama -9.5 (0)  Open: 0.0
Alabama 38 - Michigan State: 0  (GOODYEAR COTTON BOWL CLASSIC - CFP SEMIFINAL)

 
Spartans (12 - 2) (5 - 9 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 25 - 30 (22 - 33 on Road)
'15 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Crimson Tide (14 - 1) (8 - 7 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 30 - 19 (39 - 11 @ Home)
'15 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Michigan State's 2015 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Fri 9/4 Michigan State at Western Michigan-23.555.0W 37 - 24ON
Sat 9/12 Michigan State vs Oregon-5.066.0W 31 - 28UN
Sat 9/19 Michigan State vs Air Force-27.554.5W 35 - 21ON
Sat 9/26 Michigan State vs Central Michigan-28.556.0W 30 - 10UN
Sat 10/3 Michigan State vs Purdue-24.553.0W 24 - 21UN
Sat 10/10 Michigan State at Rutgers-17.056.0W 31 - 24UN
Sat 10/17 Michigan State at Michigan+7.042.5W 27 - 23OY
Sat 10/24 Michigan State vs Indiana-17.059.0W 52 - 26OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/7 Michigan State at Nebraska-4.555.5L 38 - 39ON
Sat 11/14 Michigan State vs Maryland-16.054.0W 24 - 7UY
Sat 11/21 Michigan State at Ohio State+13.053.5W 17 - 14UY
Sat 11/28 Michigan State vs Penn State-11.043.5W 55 - 16OY
Sat 12/5 Michigan State vs Iowa-4.050.0W 16 - 13UN
Thu 12/31 Michigan State vs Alabama+9.5

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Michigan State's Schedule
Alabama's 2015 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/5 Alabama vs Wisconsin-10.044.0W 35 - 17OY
Sat 9/12 Alabama vs Middle Tennessee-34.056.5W 37 - 10UN
Sat 9/19 Alabama vs Ole Miss-8.552.0L 37 - 43ON
Sat 9/26 Alabama vs UL Monroe-39.053.0W 34 - 0UN
Sat 10/3 Alabama at Georgia+1.050.5W 38 - 10UY
Sat 10/10 Alabama vs Arkansas-16.048.0W 27 - 14UN
Sat 10/17 Alabama at Texas A&M-3.054.5W 41 - 23OY
Sat 10/24 Alabama vs Tennessee-14.548.5W 19 - 14UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/7 Alabama vs LSU-7.047.0W 30 - 16UY
Sat 11/14 Alabama at Mississippi State-7.051.5W 31 - 6UY
Sat 11/21 Alabama vs Charleston Southern-38.5
Sat 11/28 Alabama at Auburn-13.047.5W 29 - 13UY
Sat 12/5 Alabama vs Florida-17.038.0W 29 - 15ON
Thu 12/31 Alabama vs Michigan State-9.5
Mon 1/11 Alabama vs Clemson-5.5

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Alabama's Schedule
Important Stats (2014)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
MSU.3350%24.648%3.0723549%2664.34.0835%29.935%34%2.85581.22.6
ALA.3152%29.552%3.3620750%2784.2.0538%19.235%37%2.740.11.61.4
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
MSU0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
ALA0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2014
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
MSU Offense1324.621.649.5%4.341.2255012352665.254%44%48%49%2%.33
ALA Defense1419.211.437.6%2.71.4 - - - - - 44%53%35%37%2%.05
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
MSU Defense1329.932.835.2%2.852.6 - - - - - 40%58%35%34%2%.08
ALA Offense1429.539.351.6%4.21.6244852072785.153%46%52%50%3%.31

Additional Stats 2014
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Michigan State1335:1424.750%53%6.2581.22.600433.8
Alabama1432:5524.351%77%4.940.11.61.400032.8
Run Game Stats (2015)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
MSU Offense1354%48%45.7235.25.244.183.0774%0%0.92
ALA Defense1444%35% - - - - -.112.2860%0%0.8
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
MSU Defense1340%35% - - - - .052.2676%0%1.18
ALA Offense1453%52%40.5206.65.135.223.3673%0%0.91

Pass Game Stats (2015)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
MSU Offense1344%49%18.230.8265.68.614.6269.521.729%42%.552%2
ALA Defense1453%37% - - - - - - 11.221.737%33%.272%1.9
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
MSU Defense1358%34% - - - - - - 18.11.741%25%.122%2
ALA Offense1446%50%20.732.2277.98.613.43210.441.626%40%.523%2

Michigan State's Power Ratings
Michigan State's Power Rating: NR
Michigan State's Offense Rating: NR
Michigan State's Defense Rating: NR
2015 Talent Rating:  #23
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Michigan State's 2015 Expected Record: -
Michigan State's 2015 Overall SP+ Rating: NR
Michigan State's Offense SP+ Rating: NR
Michigan State's Defense SP+ Rating: NR

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Michigan State:    Alabama: 0

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Michigan State:    Alabama:




Alabama's Power Ratings
Alabama's Power Rating: 0 NR
Alabama's Offense Rating: NR
Alabama's Defense Rating: NR
2015 Talent Rating:  #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Alabama's 2015 Expected Record: -
Alabama's 2015 Overall SP+ Rating: NR
Alabama's Offense SP+ Rating: NR
Alabama's Defense SP+ Rating: NR

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76


Michigan State Scoring
Offense: 24.6 PPG
Offense on Road: 21.6
Defense: 29.9 PPG
Defense on Road: 32.8

Michigan State's 2015 Record
Record: 12 - 2
Record vs Spread: 5 - 9 - 0
Over/Under Record: 6 - 8
Record on Road: 5 - 1
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 2 - 2 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 2 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
Alabama 33
Michigan State 19

Projected Total Points: 52
Alabama Scoring
Offense: 29.5 PPG
Offense at Home: 39.3
Defense: 19.2 PPG
Defense at Home: 11.4

Alabama's 2015 Record
Record: 14 - 1
Record vs Spread: 8 - 7 - 0
Over/Under Record: 4 - 11
Record at home: 6 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 5 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 7 - 6 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 2 - 5 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
201512/31Alabama38Michigan State0Alabama -9.5Alabama0
201001/01Michigan State7Alabama49
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Alabama210 Overs
Michigan State000 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams1 - 11 - 01 - 00 - 0
Road Teams1 - 10 - 10 - 00 - 1

Michigan State Recent Bowl History
DateBowlMatchupSpreadTotalResult
2015CFP Semifinal Michigan State vs Alabama+9.5L 0 - 38
2014Cotton Bowl Michigan State vs Baylor+3.068.0W 42 - 41
2013Rose Bowl Michigan State vs Stanford+6.541.0W 24 - 20
2012Wings Bowl Michigan State vs TCU  W 17 - 16
2011Outback Bowl Michigan State vs Georgia  W 33 - 30
2010One Bowl Michigan State vs Alabama  L 7 - 49
2009Alamo Bowl Michigan State vs Texas Tech  L 31 - 41
Alabama Recent Bowl History
DateBowlMatchupSpreadTotalResult
2015CFP Nat'l Title Alabama vs Clemson-5.5W 45 - 40
2015CFP Semifinal Alabama vs Michigan State-9.5W 38 - 0
2014CFP Semifinal Alabama vs Ohio State-7.558.0L 35 - 42
2013Sugar Bowl Alabama vs Oklahoma-17.051.5L 31 - 45
2012DISCOVER BCS NATIONAL CHAMPIONSHIP Alabama vs Notre Dame  W 42 - 14
2011ALLSTATE BCS NATIONAL CHAMPIONSHIP Alabama vs LSU  W 21 - 0
2010One Bowl Alabama vs Michigan State  W 49 - 7
2009CITI BCS NATIONAL CHAMPIONSHIP GAME Alabama vs Texas  W 37 - 21
  
(#) MSU at (#) ALA
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatMSUALA
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+NRNR
Perf GradeGradeNRNR
OffenseOffNRNR
DefenseDefNRNR
Spec TeamsSTNRNR
TalentTal #23 #1
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
Michigan State on Offense
CategoryCat
MSU OffALA Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+NRNR
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Michigan State Run Game
CategoryCat
MSU OffALA Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Michigan State Pass Game
CategoryCat
MSU OffALA Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Alabama on Offense
CategoryCatALA OffMSU Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+NRNR
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Alabama Run Game
CategoryCat
ALA OffMSU Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Alabama Pass Game
CategoryCatALA OffMSU Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
ALA 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'15 Profile: Remains Poor G5

MSU 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'15 Profile: Remains Poor G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in AT&T Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Rematch from Week 1
Alabama -9.5 (0)
Alabama won vs Michigan State this year (38-0)

No Matchups Past 4 Years
  
MSU's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

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MSU's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD

ALA's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

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ALA's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD