SMU at Baylor - 2014 Matchup Preview
SMU logo SMU Mustangs at Baylor BearsBaylor logo
Sunday, August 31st 2014 (7:30 PM EDT)
Baylor -33.5 (75.0) (0)  Open: 0.0
Baylor 45 - SMU: 0

 
Mustangs (1 - 11) (3 - 9 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 11 - 41 (15 - 41 on Road)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Temp: 93.9° (46% Hum)
Wind: 18.3 MPH
Our Line: -2.5  (SP+ -0)
Projected Score: SMU: 17 - BAY: 36 (53)
BAY Win prob: 100% | Cover: 46%
SMU Travel: 91 miles
Bears (11 - 2) (7 - 6 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 48 - 26 (54 - 22 @ Home)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
SMU's 2014 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sun 8/31 SMU at Baylor+33.575.0L 0 - 45UN
Sat 9/6 SMU at North Texas+4.0
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/20 SMU vs Texas A&M+28.0
Sat 9/27 SMU vs TCU+31.0
Sat 10/4 SMU at East Carolina+35.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/18 SMU vs Cincinnati+14.5
Sat 10/25 SMU vs Memphis+24.0
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/8 SMU at Tulsa+9.5
Sat 11/15 SMU vs South Florida+12.0
Sat 11/22 SMU at UCF+26.5
Fri 11/28 SMU vs Houston+22.5
Sat 12/6 SMU at UConn+10.5

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for SMU's Schedule
Baylor's 2014 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sun 8/31 Baylor vs SMU-33.575.0W 45 - 0UY
Sat 9/6 Baylor vs Northwestern State-47.5
Fri 9/12 Baylor at Buffalo-27.0
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/27 Baylor at Iowa State-22.0
Sat 10/4 Baylor at Texas-13.0
Sat 10/11 Baylor vs TCU-11.0
Sat 10/18 Baylor at West Virginia-9.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/1 Baylor vs Kansas-33.5
Sat 11/8 Baylor at Oklahoma+3.0
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/22 Baylor vs Oklahoma State-25.0
Sat 11/29 Baylor vs Texas Tech-21.5
Sat 12/6 Baylor vs Kansas State-9.0
Thu 1/1 Baylor vs Michigan State-3.068.0L 41 - 42ON

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Baylor's Schedule
Important Stats (2014)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
SMU-.0335%11.140%2.5510031%1691.98.2949%41.346%50%4.0352.72.51.3
BAY.349%48.250%3.2121647%3664.01.1340%25.540%38%3.6288.412
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
SMU#38 (.24)44% (53)44% (62)2.97 (83)16944% (45)2634.41 (25)#5 (.03)37% (9)39% (35)35% (10)3.09 (13)77.71.71.6
BAY#29 (.25)47% (23)46% (37)3.19 (43)17448% (14)2274.28 (30)#74 (.18)39% (38)38% (13)42% (78)3.85 (77)58.111.6



Overall Stats 2014
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
SMU Offense1211.115.335.4%1.982.5152691001693.339%59%40%31%2%-.03
BAY Defense1325.522.239.9%3.622 - - - - - 47%52%40%38%2%.13
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
SMU Defense1241.340.749.2%4.031.3 - - - - - 55%43%46%50%2%.29
BAY Offense1348.253.849.2%4.011305812163664.549%49%50%47%1%.3

Additional Stats 2014
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
SMU1231:2514.633%50%6.252.72.51.300029.5
Baylor1328:5630.147%74%9.888.41200032.4
Run Game Stats (2014)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
SMU Offense1239%40%30.2100.33.39.022.5568%0%0.91
BAY Defense1347%40% - - - - .042.5677%0%0.85
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
SMU Defense1255%46% - - - - .23.4674%0%0.95
BAY Offense1349%50%47.6215.54.543.233.2179%0%0.94

Pass Game Stats (2014)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
SMU Offense1259%31%19.235.8168.74.78.8614-.061.338%25%.132%1.7
BAY Defense1352%38% - - - - - - 13.241.834%30%.252%1.9
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
SMU Defense1243%50% - - - - - - 6.431.528%40%.422%1.7
BAY Offense1349%47%24.839.9365.99.214.7388.391.629%36%.371%1.8

SMU's Power Ratings
SMU's Power Rating: NR
SMU's Offense Rating: NR
SMU's Defense Rating: NR
2014 Talent Rating: NR
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
SMU's 2014 Expected Record: -
SMU's 2014 Overall SP+ Rating: NR
SMU's Offense SP+ Rating: NR
SMU's Defense SP+ Rating: NR

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
SMU:    Baylor: 2.5

SP+ Ratings Matchup
SMU:    Baylor:




Baylor's Power Ratings
Baylor's Power Rating: 2.5 NR
Baylor's Offense Rating: NR
Baylor's Defense Rating: NR
2014 Talent Rating: NR
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Baylor's 2014 Expected Record: -
Baylor's 2014 Overall SP+ Rating: NR
Baylor's Offense SP+ Rating: NR
Baylor's Defense SP+ Rating: NR

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482


SMU Scoring
Offense: 11.1 PPG
Offense on Road: 15.3
Defense: 41.3 PPG
Defense on Road: 40.7

SMU's 2014 Record
Record: 1 - 11
Record vs Spread: 3 - 9 - 0
Over/Under Record: 0 - 12
Record on Road: 1 - 5
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 4 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 3 - 9 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 2 - 4 - 0
Projected Score
Baylor 36
SMU 17

Total Points: 53

Based on Last 4 Games
Baylor 27
SMU 17

Total Points: 44

Based on Entire Season
Baylor 46
SMU 18

Total Points: 64
Baylor Scoring
Offense: 48.2 PPG
Offense at Home: 53.8
Defense: 25.5 PPG
Defense at Home: 22.2

Baylor's 2014 Record
Record: 11 - 2
Record vs Spread: 7 - 6 - 0
Over/Under Record: 1 - 12
Record at home: 6 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 4 - 2 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 6 - 5 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 4 - 2 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202509/06SMU45Baylor48SMU -3.0Baylor65.5Over
201609/10Baylor40SMU13Baylor -28.5SMU72.0Under
201509/04SMU21Baylor56Baylor -20Baylor71.0Over
201408/31Baylor45SMU0Baylor -33.5Baylor75.0Under
201209/02Baylor59SMU24
200509/03SMU23Baylor28
200309/13Baylor10SMU7
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Baylor732 Overs
SMU012 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams4 - 31 - 31 - 20 - 1
Road Teams3 - 43 - 11 - 02 - 1

(#) SMU at (#) BAY
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatSMUBAY
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+NRNR
Perf GradeGradeNRNR
OffenseOffNRNR
DefenseDefNRNR
Spec TeamsSTNRNR
TalentTalNRNR
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
SMU on Offense
CategoryCat
SMU OffBAY Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+NRNR
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
SMU Run Game
CategoryCat
SMU OffBAY Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
SMU Pass Game
CategoryCat
SMU OffBAY Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Baylor on Offense
CategoryCatBAY OffSMU Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+NRNR
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Baylor Run Game
CategoryCat
BAY OffSMU Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Baylor Pass Game
CategoryCatBAY OffSMU Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
BAY 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'14 Profile: Remains Poor G5

SMU 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'14 Profile: Remains Poor G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in McLane Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 94° - Wind: 18 mph
Rematch from Week 1
Baylor -33.5 (75.0)
Baylor won vs SMU this year (45-0)

No Matchups Past 4 Years
  
SMU's OC ()
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SMU's DC ()
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BAY's OC ()
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BAY's DC ()
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