Baylor at Texas - 2014 Matchup Preview
Baylor logo Baylor Bears at Texas Longhorns(#9)Texas logo
Saturday, October 4th 2014 (3:30 PM EDT)
Baylor -13 (0)  Open: 0.0
Baylor 28 - Texas: 7  (Big 12)

 
Bears (11 - 2) (7 - 6 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 48 - 26 (43 - 22 on Road)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
BAY 3rd straight Road Game
Our Line: -2.5  (SP+ -0)

Projected Score: BAY: 40 - TEX: 21 (61)
BAY Win prob: 80% | Cover: 46%
BAY Travel: 95 miles
Longhorns (6 - 7) (7 - 6 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 21 - 24 (24 - 31 @ Home)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Baylor's 2014 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sun 8/31 Baylor vs SMU-33.575.0W 45 - 0UY
Sat 9/6 Baylor vs Northwestern State-47.5
Fri 9/12 Baylor at Buffalo-27.0
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/27 Baylor at Iowa State-22.0
Sat 10/4 Baylor at Texas-13.0
Sat 10/11 Baylor vs TCU-11.0
Sat 10/18 Baylor at West Virginia-9.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/1 Baylor vs Kansas-33.5
Sat 11/8 Baylor at Oklahoma+3.0
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/22 Baylor vs Oklahoma State-25.0
Sat 11/29 Baylor vs Texas Tech-21.5
Sat 12/6 Baylor vs Kansas State-9.0
Thu 1/1 Baylor vs Michigan State-3.068.0L 41 - 42ON

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Baylor's Schedule
Texas's 2014 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/30 Texas vs North Texas-26.5
Sat 9/6 Texas vs BYU-4.5
Sat 9/13 Texas vs UCLA+6.0
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/27 Texas at Kansas-14.0
Sat 10/4 Texas vs Baylor+13.0
Sat 10/11 Texas vs Oklahoma+14.5
Sat 10/18 Texas vs Iowa State-11.0
Sat 10/25 Texas at Kansas State+13.0
Sat 11/1 Texas at Texas Tech-5.0
Sat 11/8 Texas vs West Virginia+5.5
Sat 11/15 Texas at Oklahoma State+1.0
BYE WEEK
Thu 11/27 Texas vs TCU+7.5
Mon 12/29 Texas vs Arkansas+7.042.5L 7 - 31UN

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Texas's Schedule
Important Stats (2014)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
BAY.349%48.250%3.2121647%3664.01.1340%25.540%38%3.6288.412
TEX.141%21.442%2.7513739%2003.71.0539%23.843%34%2.7551.11.91.7
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
BAY#29 (.25)47% (23)46% (37)3.19 (43)17448% (14)2274.28 (30)#74 (.18)39% (38)38% (13)42% (78)3.85 (77)58.111.6
TEX#39 (.24)46% (27)49% (16)2.95 (84)15244% (43)2414.03 (54)#3 (-.01)38% (22)42% (61)34% (7)2.57 (3)44.31.41.8



Overall Stats 2014
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
BAY Offense1348.24349.2%4.011305812163664.549%49%50%47%1%.3
TEX Defense1323.830.839.4%2.751.7 - - - - - 50%49%43%34%2%.05
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
BAY Defense1325.522.239.9%3.622 - - - - - 47%52%40%38%2%.13
TEX Offense1321.423.841.5%3.711.9183371372003.850%48%42%39%3%.1

Additional Stats 2014
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Baylor1328:5630.147%74%9.888.41200032.4
Texas1329:4017.834%50%5.951.11.91.700228.3
Run Game Stats (2014)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
BAY Offense1349%50%47.6215.54.543.233.2179%0%0.94
TEX Defense1350%43% - - - - .123.0677%0%0.87
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
BAY Defense1347%40% - - - - .042.5677%0%0.85
TEX Offense1350%42%36.5137.43.818.032.7567%0%0.83

Pass Game Stats (2014)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
BAY Offense1349%47%24.839.9365.99.214.7388.391.629%36%.371%1.8
TEX Defense1349%34% - - - - - - 151.433%28%.22%1.7
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
BAY Defense1352%38% - - - - - - 13.241.834%30%.252%1.9
TEX Offense1348%39%18.732.2199.96.210.71411.191.536%32%.253%1.8

Baylor's Power Ratings
Baylor's Power Rating: NR
Baylor's Offense Rating: NR
Baylor's Defense Rating: NR
2014 Talent Rating: NR
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Baylor's 2014 Expected Record: -
Baylor's 2014 Overall SP+ Rating: NR
Baylor's Offense SP+ Rating: NR
Baylor's Defense SP+ Rating: NR

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
Baylor:    Texas: 2.5

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Baylor:    Texas:




Texas's Power Ratings
Texas's Power Rating: 2.5 NR
Texas's Offense Rating: NR
Texas's Defense Rating: NR
2014 Talent Rating: NR
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Texas's 2014 Expected Record: -
Texas's 2014 Overall SP+ Rating: NR
Texas's Offense SP+ Rating: NR
Texas's Defense SP+ Rating: NR

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482


Baylor Scoring
Offense: 48.2 PPG
Offense on Road: 43
Defense: 25.5 PPG
Defense on Road: 22.2

Baylor's 2014 Record
Record: 11 - 2
Record vs Spread: 7 - 6 - 0
Over/Under Record: 1 - 12
Record on Road: 5 - 1
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 2 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 6 - 5 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 2 - 2 - 0
Projected Score
Baylor 40
Texas 21


Total Points: 61

Based on Last 4 Games
Baylor 44
Texas 17

Total Points: 61

Based on Entire Season
Baylor 36
Texas 24

Total Points: 60
Texas Scoring
Offense: 21.4 PPG
Offense at Home: 23.8
Defense: 23.8 PPG
Defense at Home: 30.8

Texas's 2014 Record
Record: 6 - 7
Record vs Spread: 7 - 6 - 0
Over/Under Record: 0 - 13
Record at home: 3 - 3
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 4 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 4 - 4 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 1 - 2 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202309/23Baylor6Texas38Texas -17.5Texas49.5Under
202211/25Texas38Baylor27Texas -10Texas55.0Over
202110/30Baylor31Texas24Baylor -2Baylor61.5Under
202010/24Texas27Baylor16Texas -11Push61.5Under
201911/23Baylor24Texas10Baylor -3.5Baylor58.0Under
201810/13Texas23Baylor17Texas -14Baylor58.5Under
201710/28Baylor7Texas38Texas -10Texas52.5Under
201610/29Texas35Baylor34Baylor -3.5Texas75.5Under
201512/05Baylor17Texas23Baylor -20.5Texas63.5Under
201410/04Texas7Baylor28Baylor -13Baylor0
201312/07Baylor30Texas10Baylor -13Baylor0
201210/20Texas56Baylor50
201112/03Baylor48Texas24
201010/30Texas22Baylor30
200911/14Baylor14Texas47
200811/08Texas45Baylor21
200710/20Baylor10Texas31
200610/14Texas63Baylor31
200511/05Baylor0Texas62
200410/02Texas44Baylor14
200310/25Baylor0Texas56
200211/09Texas41Baylor0
200111/03Baylor10Texas49
200010/27Texas48Baylor14
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Texas1851 Overs
Baylor658 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams14 - 105 - 54 - 21 - 3
Road Teams10 - 145 - 53 - 12 - 4

(#) BAY at (#) TEX
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatBAYTEX
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+NRNR
Perf GradeGradeNRNR
OffenseOffNRNR
DefenseDefNRNR
Spec TeamsSTNRNR
TalentTalNRNR
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
Baylor on Offense
CategoryCat
BAY OffTEX Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+NRNR
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Baylor Run Game
CategoryCat
BAY OffTEX Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Baylor Pass Game
CategoryCat
BAY OffTEX Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Texas on Offense
CategoryCatTEX OffBAY Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+NRNR
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Texas Run Game
CategoryCat
TEX OffBAY Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Texas Pass Game
CategoryCatTEX OffBAY Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
TEX 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'14 Profile: Remains Poor G5

BAY 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'14 Profile: Remains Poor G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Darrell K Royal-Texas Memorial Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 75°
Rematch from Week 6
Baylor 13.0 (0)
Baylor won at Texas this year (28-7)

Previous Matchups
Texas beat Baylor in 2023 (38-6)
Texas beat Baylor in 2022 (38-27)

  
BAY's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View Baylor's Full Roster

BAY's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD

TEX's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View Texas's Full Roster

TEX's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD