Cincinnati at SMU - 2014 Matchup Preview
Cincinnati logo (#24)Cincinnati Bearcats at SMU MustangsSMU logo
Saturday, October 18th 2014 (3:30 PM EDT)
Cincinnati -14.5 (0)  Open: 0.0
Cincinnati 41 - SMU: 3  (American Athletic)

 
Bearcats (9 - 4) (7 - 5 - 1)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 34 - 27 (33 - 21 on Road)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
CIN 2nd straight Road Game
SMU coming off BYE
CIN is playing their 6th straight game
Our Line: -2.5  (SP+ -0)
Projected Score: CIN: 40 - SMU: 22 (62)
CIN Win prob: 85% | Cover: 47%
CIN Travel: 811 miles, 1 hrs ahead
Mustangs (1 - 11) (3 - 9 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 11 - 41 (7 - 42 @ Home)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Cincinnati's 2014 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
BYE WEEK
Fri 9/12 Cincinnati vs Toledo-12.0
Sat 9/20 Cincinnati vs Miami (OH)-32.0
Sat 9/27 Cincinnati at Ohio State+12.5
Sat 10/4 Cincinnati vs Memphis-6.5
Sat 10/11 Cincinnati at Miami+13.0
Sat 10/18 Cincinnati at SMU-14.5
Fri 10/24 Cincinnati vs South Florida-10.0
Fri 10/31 Cincinnati at Tulane-2.5
BYE WEEK
Thu 11/13 Cincinnati vs East Carolina+2.5
Sat 11/22 Cincinnati at UConn-11.0
Sat 11/29 Cincinnati at Temple-3.5
Sat 12/6 Cincinnati vs Houston-7.0
Sat 12/27 Cincinnati vs Virginia Tech-2.049.5L 17 - 33ON

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Cincinnati's Schedule
SMU's 2014 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sun 8/31 SMU at Baylor+33.575.0L 0 - 45UN
Sat 9/6 SMU at North Texas+4.0
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/20 SMU vs Texas A&M+28.0
Sat 9/27 SMU vs TCU+31.0
Sat 10/4 SMU at East Carolina+35.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/18 SMU vs Cincinnati+14.5
Sat 10/25 SMU vs Memphis+24.0
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/8 SMU at Tulsa+9.5
Sat 11/15 SMU vs South Florida+12.0
Sat 11/22 SMU at UCF+26.5
Fri 11/28 SMU vs Houston+22.5
Sat 12/6 SMU at UConn+10.5

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for SMU's Schedule
Important Stats (2014)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
CIN.2746%3443%3.115747%3044.11.1947%27.248%44%3.2441.71.71.8
SMU-.0335%11.140%2.5510031%1691.98.2949%41.346%50%4.0352.72.51.3
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
CIN#59 (.21)45% (43)44% (67)3.03 (69)18545% (32)2373.33 (118)#75 (.18)42% (76)46% (94)39% (43)3.51 (40)44.41.51.2
SMU#38 (.24)44% (53)44% (62)2.97 (83)16944% (45)2634.41 (25)#5 (.03)37% (9)39% (35)35% (10)3.09 (13)77.71.71.6



Overall Stats 2014
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
CIN Offense133432.745.8%4.111.7244601573044.544%54%43%47%3%.27
SMU Defense1241.34249.2%4.031.3 - - - - - 55%43%46%50%2%.29
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
CIN Defense1327.221.347%3.241.8 - - - - - 48%50%48%44%1%.19
SMU Offense1211.16.835.4%1.982.5152691001693.339%59%40%31%2%-.03

Additional Stats 2014
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Cincinnati1328:3323.841%69%4.541.71.71.800026.4
SMU1231:2514.633%50%6.252.72.51.300029.5
Run Game Stats (2014)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
CIN Offense1344%43%34.9156.54.518.13.177%0%0.83
SMU Defense1255%46% - - - - .23.4674%0%0.95
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
CIN Defense1348%48% - - - - .173.0867%0%1
SMU Offense1239%40%30.2100.33.39.022.5568%0%0.91

Pass Game Stats (2014)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
CIN Offense1354%47%22.637.8303.6813.43514.421.730%38%.373%1.8
SMU Defense1243%50% - - - - - - 6.431.528%40%.422%1.7
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
CIN Defense1350%44% - - - - - - 8.221.632%39%.391%1.8
SMU Offense1259%31%19.235.8168.74.78.8614-.061.338%25%.132%1.7

Cincinnati's Power Ratings
Cincinnati's Power Rating: NR
Cincinnati's Offense Rating: NR
Cincinnati's Defense Rating: NR
2014 Talent Rating: NR
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Cincinnati's 2014 Expected Record: -
Cincinnati's 2014 Overall SP+ Rating: NR
Cincinnati's Offense SP+ Rating: NR
Cincinnati's Defense SP+ Rating: NR

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
Cincinnati:    SMU: 2.5

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Cincinnati:    SMU:




SMU's Power Ratings
SMU's Power Rating: 2.5 NR
SMU's Offense Rating: NR
SMU's Defense Rating: NR
2014 Talent Rating: NR
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
SMU's 2014 Expected Record: -
SMU's 2014 Overall SP+ Rating: NR
SMU's Offense SP+ Rating: NR
SMU's Defense SP+ Rating: NR

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482


Cincinnati Scoring
Offense: 34 PPG
Offense on Road: 32.7
Defense: 27.2 PPG
Defense on Road: 21.3

Cincinnati's 2014 Record
Record: 9 - 4
Record vs Spread: 7 - 5 - 1
Over/Under Record: 1 - 12
Record on Road: 4 - 2
Record vs Spread on Road: 4 - 2 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 6 - 3 - 1
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 4 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
Cincinnati 40
SMU 22

Total Points: 62

Based on Last 4 Games
Cincinnati 41
SMU 27

Total Points: 68

Based on Entire Season
Cincinnati 38
SMU 17

Total Points: 55
SMU Scoring
Offense: 11.1 PPG
Offense at Home: 6.8
Defense: 41.3 PPG
Defense at Home: 42

SMU's 2014 Record
Record: 1 - 11
Record vs Spread: 3 - 9 - 0
Over/Under Record: 0 - 12
Record at home: 0 - 6
Record vs Spread at home: 1 - 5 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 3 - 9 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 1 - 5 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202210/22SMU27Cincinnati29Cincinnati -3.5SMU59.5Under
202111/20Cincinnati48SMU14Cincinnati -9.5Cincinnati65.5Under
202010/24SMU13Cincinnati42SMU -1.5Cincinnati56.5Under
201810/27SMU20Cincinnati26Cincinnati -9.5SMU50.0Under
201710/21Cincinnati28SMU31SMU -6Cincinnati66.0Under
201410/18SMU3Cincinnati41Cincinnati -14.5Cincinnati0
201311/09Cincinnati28SMU25Cincinnati -10.5SMU0
TeamWinsCoversO/U
SMU130 Overs
Cincinnati645 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams2 - 54 - 31 - 23 - 1
Road Teams5 - 23 - 41 - 32 - 1

(#) CIN at (#) SMU
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatCINSMU
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+NRNR
Perf GradeGradeNRNR
OffenseOffNRNR
DefenseDefNRNR
Spec TeamsSTNRNR
TalentTalNRNR
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
Cincinnati on Offense
CategoryCat
CIN OffSMU Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+NRNR
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Cincinnati Run Game
CategoryCat
CIN OffSMU Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Cincinnati Pass Game
CategoryCat
CIN OffSMU Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
SMU on Offense
CategoryCatSMU OffCIN Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+NRNR
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
SMU Run Game
CategoryCat
SMU OffCIN Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
SMU Pass Game
CategoryCatSMU OffCIN Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
SMU 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'14 Profile: Remains Poor G5

CIN 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'14 Profile: Remains Poor G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Gerald J. Ford Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 80° - Wind: 6 mph
Rematch from Week 8
Cincinnati 14.5 (0)
Cincinnati won at SMU this year (41-3)

Previous Matchups
Cincinnati beat SMU in 2022 (29-27)

  
CIN's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

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CIN's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD

SMU's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View SMU's Full Roster

SMU's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD