SMU at East Carolina - 2014 Matchup Preview
SMU logo SMU Mustangs at East Carolina PiratesEast Carolina logo
Saturday, October 4th 2014 (12:00 PM EDT)
East Carolina -35.5 (0)  Open: 0.0
East Carolina 45 - SMU: 24  (American Athletic)

 
Mustangs (1 - 11) (3 - 9 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 11 - 41 (15 - 41 on Road)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
ECU coming off BYE
Our Line: -2.5  (SP+ -0)
Projected Score: SMU: 19 - ECU: 45 (64)
ECU Win prob: 98% | Cover: 46%
SMU Travel: 1124 miles, 1 hrs behind
Pirates (8 - 5) (5 - 8 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 36 - 26 (44 - 22 @ Home)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
SMU's 2014 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sun 8/31 SMU at Baylor+33.575.0L 0 - 45UN
Sat 9/6 SMU at North Texas+4.0
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/20 SMU vs Texas A&M+28.0
Sat 9/27 SMU vs TCU+31.0
Sat 10/4 SMU at East Carolina+35.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/18 SMU vs Cincinnati+14.5
Sat 10/25 SMU vs Memphis+24.0
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/8 SMU at Tulsa+9.5
Sat 11/15 SMU vs South Florida+12.0
Sat 11/22 SMU at UCF+26.5
Fri 11/28 SMU vs Houston+22.5
Sat 12/6 SMU at UConn+10.5

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for SMU's Schedule
East Carolina's 2014 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/30 East Carolina vs North Carolina Central-39.0
Sat 9/6 East Carolina at South Carolina+15.5
Sat 9/13 East Carolina at Virginia Tech+11.5
Sat 9/20 East Carolina vs North Carolina+2.0
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/4 East Carolina vs SMU-35.5
Sat 10/11 East Carolina at South Florida-14.5
BYE WEEK
Thu 10/23 East Carolina vs UConn-24.0
Sat 11/1 East Carolina at Temple-7.0
BYE WEEK
Thu 11/13 East Carolina at Cincinnati-2.5
Sat 11/22 East Carolina vs Tulane-17.5
Fri 11/28 East Carolina at Tulsa-17.5
Thu 12/4 East Carolina vs UCF-6.5
Sat 1/3 East Carolina vs Florida+6.554.0L 20 - 28UN

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for East Carolina's Schedule
Important Stats (2014)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
SMU-.0335%11.140%2.5510031%1691.98.2949%41.346%50%4.0352.72.51.3
ECU.2148%35.846%2.8316149%3723.63.1139%25.835%40%377.21.81.5
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
SMU#38 (.24)44% (53)44% (62)2.97 (83)16944% (45)2634.41 (25)#5 (.03)37% (9)39% (35)35% (10)3.09 (13)77.71.71.6
ECU#49 (.22)43% (62)44% (71)3.07 (57)14743% (54)2533.79 (83)#64 (.16)40% (40)37% (11)43% (86)3.85 (76)612.21.6



Overall Stats 2014
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
SMU Offense1211.115.335.4%1.982.5152691001693.339%59%40%31%2%-.03
ECU Defense1325.821.838.7%31.5 - - - - - 44%54%35%40%2%.11
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
SMU Defense1241.340.749.2%4.031.3 - - - - - 55%43%46%50%2%.29
ECU Offense1335.843.748.4%3.631.8295331613724.835%63%46%49%2%.21

Additional Stats 2014
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
SMU1231:2514.633%50%6.252.72.51.300029.5
East Carolina1329:3829.147%46%8.477.21.81.500229.8
Run Game Stats (2014)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
SMU Offense1239%40%30.2100.33.39.022.5568%0%0.91
ECU Defense1344%35% - - - - -.022.4781%0%0.92
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
SMU Defense1255%46% - - - - .23.4674%0%0.95
ECU Offense1335%46%33.3161.14.828.072.8364%0%0.95

Pass Game Stats (2014)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
SMU Offense1259%31%19.235.8168.74.78.8614-.061.338%25%.132%1.7
ECU Defense1354%40% - - - - - - 14.221.535%30%.242%1.9
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
SMU Defense1243%50% - - - - - - 6.431.528%40%.422%1.7
ECU Offense1363%49%30.949371.97.6123111.31.432%40%.442%1.8

SMU's Power Ratings
SMU's Power Rating: NR
SMU's Offense Rating: NR
SMU's Defense Rating: NR
2014 Talent Rating: NR
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
SMU's 2014 Expected Record: -
SMU's 2014 Overall SP+ Rating: NR
SMU's Offense SP+ Rating: NR
SMU's Defense SP+ Rating: NR

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
SMU:    East Carolina: 2.5

SP+ Ratings Matchup
SMU:    East Carolina:




East Carolina's Power Ratings
East Carolina's Power Rating: 2.5 NR
East Carolina's Offense Rating: NR
East Carolina's Defense Rating: NR
2014 Talent Rating: NR
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
East Carolina's 2014 Expected Record: -
East Carolina's 2014 Overall SP+ Rating: NR
East Carolina's Offense SP+ Rating: NR
East Carolina's Defense SP+ Rating: NR

Average Talent
Average American Athletic Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482


SMU Scoring
Offense: 11.1 PPG
Offense on Road: 15.3
Defense: 41.3 PPG
Defense on Road: 40.7

SMU's 2014 Record
Record: 1 - 11
Record vs Spread: 3 - 9 - 0
Over/Under Record: 0 - 12
Record on Road: 1 - 5
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 4 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 3 - 9 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 2 - 4 - 0
Projected Score
East Carolina 45
SMU 19

Total Points: 64

Based on Last 4 Games
East Carolina 50
SMU 19

Total Points: 69

Based on Entire Season
East Carolina 41
SMU 19

Total Points: 60
East Carolina Scoring
Offense: 35.8 PPG
Offense at Home: 43.7
Defense: 25.8 PPG
Defense at Home: 21.8

East Carolina's 2014 Record
Record: 8 - 5
Record vs Spread: 5 - 8 - 0
Over/Under Record: 0 - 13
Record at home: 5 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 2 - 7 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 2 - 3 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202310/12East Carolina10SMU31SMU -11.5SMU48.5Under
202011/28East Carolina52SMU38SMU -12East Carolina72.0Over
201911/09SMU59East Carolina51SMU -23East Carolina74.0Over
201611/12East Carolina31SMU55East Carolina -5SMU63.0Over
201510/03SMU23East Carolina49East Carolina -6.5East Carolina64.5Over
201410/04East Carolina45SMU24East Carolina -35.5SMU0
201011/26East Carolina38SMU45
200910/10SMU28East Carolina21
200610/21East Carolina38SMU21
200510/15SMU17East Carolina24
TeamWinsCoversO/U
East Carolina534 Overs
SMU531 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams5 - 51 - 50 - 31 - 2
Road Teams5 - 55 - 12 - 13 - 0

(#) SMU at (#) ECU
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatSMUECU
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+NRNR
Perf GradeGradeNRNR
OffenseOffNRNR
DefenseDefNRNR
Spec TeamsSTNRNR
TalentTalNRNR
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
SMU on Offense
CategoryCat
SMU OffECU Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+NRNR
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
SMU Run Game
CategoryCat
SMU OffECU Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
SMU Pass Game
CategoryCat
SMU OffECU Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
East Carolina on Offense
CategoryCatECU OffSMU Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+NRNR
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
East Carolina Run Game
CategoryCat
ECU OffSMU Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
East Carolina Pass Game
CategoryCatECU OffSMU Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
ECU 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'14 Profile: Remains Poor G5

SMU 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'14 Profile: Remains Poor G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Dowdy-Ficklen Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 73° - Wind: 8 mph
Rematch from Week 6
East Carolina -35.5 (0)
East Carolina won vs SMU this year (45-24)

Previous Matchups
SMU beat East Carolina in 2023 (31-10)

  
SMU's OC ()
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Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

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SMU's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD

ECU's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

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ECU's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD