Bowling Green at Mississippi State - 2013 Matchup Preview
Bowling Green logo Bowling Green Falcons at Mississippi State BulldogsMississippi State logo
Saturday, October 12th 2013 (7:30 PM EDT)
Mississippi State -8.5 (0)  Open: 0.0
Mississippi State 21 - Bowling Green: 20

 
Falcons (10 - 4) (10 - 4 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 35 - 16 (33 - 17 on Road)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
MSST 3rd straight Home Game
BGSU is playing their 7th straight game
Our Line: -2.5  (SP+ -0)
Projected Score: BGSU: 25 - MSST: 30 (55)
MSST Win prob: 71% | Cover: 46%
BGSU Travel: 616 miles, 1 hrs ahead
Bulldogs (7 - 6) (8 - 5 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 28 - 23 (30 - 21 @ Home)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Bowling Green's 2013 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Thu 8/29 Bowling Green vs Tulsa+3.0
Sat 9/7 Bowling Green at Kent State-8.0
Sat 9/14 Bowling Green at Indiana+4.0
Sat 9/21 Bowling Green vs Murray State-28.0
Sat 9/28 Bowling Green vs Akron-15.5
Sat 10/5 Bowling Green vs Massachusetts-23.0
Sat 10/12 Bowling Green at Mississippi State+8.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/26 Bowling Green vs Toledo-3.0
BYE WEEK
Tue 11/5 Bowling Green at Miami (OH)-24.5
Tue 11/12 Bowling Green vs Ohio-9.0
Sat 11/23 Bowling Green at Eastern Michigan-24.0
Fri 11/29 Bowling Green at Buffalo-3.552.0W 24 - 7UY
Fri 12/6 Bowling Green vs Northern Illinois+3.0
Thu 12/26 Bowling Green vs Pittsburgh-7.049.5L 27 - 30ON

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Bowling Green's Schedule
Mississippi State's 2013 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/31 Mississippi State vs Oklahoma State+13.0
Sat 9/7 Mississippi State vs Alcorn State-42.5
Sat 9/14 Mississippi State at Auburn+6.0
Sat 9/21 Mississippi State vs Troy-13.0
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/5 Mississippi State vs LSU+9.5
Sat 10/12 Mississippi State vs Bowling Green-8.5
BYE WEEK
Thu 10/24 Mississippi State vs Kentucky-11.0
Sat 11/2 Mississippi State at South Carolina+11.5
Sat 11/9 Mississippi State at Texas A&M+19.0
Sat 11/16 Mississippi State vs Alabama+24.5
Sat 11/23 Mississippi State at Arkansas-3.0
Thu 11/28 Mississippi State vs Ole Miss+3.0
Tue 12/31 Mississippi State vs Rice-7.050.5W 44 - 7OY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Mississippi State's Schedule
Important Stats (2013)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
BGSU.2150%34.846%3.219352%266-0.2.0642%15.943%40%-0.145.20.81.5
MSST.144%27.741%2.919046%244-0.15.141%2335%46%0.139.71.41.9
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
BGSU#53 (.21)43% (68)41% (99)3.01 (74)13444% (38)2073.84 (77)#43 (.13)38% (15)39% (29)37% (20)3.47 (32)41.10.81
MSST#78 (.17)39% (109)40% (105)2.9 (93)13938% (104)2393.75 (86)#130 (.32)50% (133)47% (108)55% (134)4.32 (113)60.31.50.9



Overall Stats 2013
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
BGSU Offense1434.83349.7%-0.20.8234591932664.756%42%46%52%2%.21
MSST Defense132320.741.4%0.11.9 - - - - - 51%47%35%46%3%.1
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
BGSU Defense1415.91742%-0.11.5 - - - - - 48%51%43%40%3%.06
MSST Offense1327.730.344.1%-0.151.4234341902444.751%48%41%46%1%.1

Additional Stats 2013
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Bowling Green1433:5623.146%45%5.145.20.81.500331.5
Mississippi State1333:5423.539%45%4.939.71.41.900130
Run Game Stats (2013)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
BGSU Offense1456%46%41.3193.34.730.063.262%0%0.77
MSST Defense1351%35% - - - - .012.8560%0%0.89
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
BGSU Defense1448%43% - - - - .022.9660%0%0.76
MSST Offense1351%41%40.5189.94.729.032.973%0%0.83

Pass Game Stats (2013)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
BGSU Offense1442%52%18.228.9266.19.214.6277.421.432%45%.532%1.6
MSST Defense1347%46% - - - - - - 14.181.131%32%.213%1.5
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
BGSU Defense1451%40% - - - - - - 8.11.232%31%.243%1.7
MSST Offense1348%46%19.533244.57.412.61812.21.233%35%.271%1.6

Bowling Green's Power Ratings
Bowling Green's Power Rating: NR
Bowling Green's Offense Rating: NR
Bowling Green's Defense Rating: NR
2013 Talent Rating: NR
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Bowling Green's 2013 Expected Record: -
Bowling Green's 2013 Overall SP+ Rating: NR
Bowling Green's Offense SP+ Rating: NR
Bowling Green's Defense SP+ Rating: NR

Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
Bowling Green:    Mississippi State: 2.5

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Bowling Green:    Mississippi State:




Mississippi State's Power Ratings
Mississippi State's Power Rating: 2.5 NR
Mississippi State's Offense Rating: NR
Mississippi State's Defense Rating: NR
2013 Talent Rating: NR
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Mississippi State's 2013 Expected Record: -
Mississippi State's 2013 Overall SP+ Rating: NR
Mississippi State's Offense SP+ Rating: NR
Mississippi State's Defense SP+ Rating: NR

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482


Bowling Green Scoring
Offense: 34.8 PPG
Offense on Road: 33
Defense: 15.9 PPG
Defense on Road: 17

Bowling Green's 2013 Record
Record: 10 - 4
Record vs Spread: 10 - 4 - 0
Over/Under Record: 1 - 13
Record on Road: 5 - 2
Record vs Spread on Road: 5 - 1 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 3 - 1 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 1 - 1 - 0
Projected Score
Mississippi State 30
Bowling Green 25

Total Points: 55

Based on Last 4 Games
Mississippi State 36
Bowling Green 22

Total Points: 58

Based on Entire Season
Bowling Green 28
Mississippi State 23

Total Points: 51
Mississippi State Scoring
Offense: 27.7 PPG
Offense at Home: 30.3
Defense: 23 PPG
Defense at Home: 20.7

Mississippi State's 2013 Record
Record: 7 - 6
Record vs Spread: 8 - 5 - 0
Over/Under Record: 1 - 12
Record at home: 5 - 2
Record vs Spread at home: 4 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 4 - 2 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 2 - 2 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202209/24Mississippi State45Bowling Green14Mississippi State -31Push53.0Over
201310/12Mississippi State21Bowling Green20Mississippi State -8.5Bowling Green0
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Mississippi State201 Overs
Bowling Green010 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams2 - 00 - 10 - 10 - 0
Road Teams0 - 21 - 00 - 01 - 0

(#) BGSU at (#) MSST
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatBGSUMSST
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+NRNR
Perf GradeGradeNRNR
OffenseOffNRNR
DefenseDefNRNR
Spec TeamsSTNRNR
TalentTalNRNR
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
Bowling Green on Offense
CategoryCat
BGSU OffMSST Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+NRNR
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Bowling Green Run Game
CategoryCat
BGSU OffMSST Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Bowling Green Pass Game
CategoryCat
BGSU OffMSST Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Mississippi State on Offense
CategoryCatMSST OffBGSU Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+NRNR
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Mississippi State Run Game
CategoryCat
MSST OffBGSU Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Mississippi State Pass Game
CategoryCatMSST OffBGSU Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
MSST 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'13 Profile: Remains Poor G5

BGSU 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'13 Profile: Remains Poor G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Davis Wade Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 77°
Rematch from Week 7
Mississippi State -8.5 (0)
Mississippi State won vs Bowling Green this year (21-20)

Previous Matchups
Mississippi State beat Bowling Green in 2022 (45-14)

  
BGSU's OC ()
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Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

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BGSU's DC ()
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MSST's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

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MSST's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
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Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD