LSU at Mississippi State - 2013 Matchup Preview
LSU logo (#13)LSU Tigers at Mississippi State BulldogsMississippi State logo
Saturday, October 5th 2013 (7:00 PM EDT)
LSU -9.5 (0)  Open: 0.0
LSU 59 - Mississippi State: 26  (SEC)

 
Tigers (10 - 3) (5 - 6 - 2)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 36 - 22 (35 - 34 on Road)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
LSU 2nd straight Road Game
MSST coming off BYE
LSU is playing their 6th straight game
Our Line: -2.5  (SP+ -0)
Projected Score: LSU: 27 - MSST: 36 (63)
LSU Win prob: 79% | Cover: 55%
LSU Travel: 253 miles
Bulldogs (7 - 6) (8 - 5 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 28 - 23 (30 - 21 @ Home)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
LSU's 2013 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/31 LSU vs TCU-5.0
Sat 9/7 LSU vs UAB-33.5
Sat 9/14 LSU vs Kent State-38.0
Sat 9/21 LSU vs Auburn-14.0
Sat 9/28 LSU at Georgia+3.0
Sat 10/5 LSU at Mississippi State-9.5
Sat 10/12 LSU vs Florida-5.0
Sat 10/19 LSU at Ole Miss-8.0
Sat 10/26 LSU vs Furman-47.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/9 LSU at Alabama+9.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/23 LSU vs Texas A&M-4.0
Fri 11/29 LSU vs Arkansas-24.5
Wed 1/1 LSU vs Iowa-7.548.0W 21 - 14UN

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for LSU's Schedule
Mississippi State's 2013 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/31 Mississippi State vs Oklahoma State+13.0
Sat 9/7 Mississippi State vs Alcorn State-42.5
Sat 9/14 Mississippi State at Auburn+6.0
Sat 9/21 Mississippi State vs Troy-13.0
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/5 Mississippi State vs LSU+9.5
Sat 10/12 Mississippi State vs Bowling Green-8.5
BYE WEEK
Thu 10/24 Mississippi State vs Kentucky-11.0
Sat 11/2 Mississippi State at South Carolina+11.5
Sat 11/9 Mississippi State at Texas A&M+19.0
Sat 11/16 Mississippi State vs Alabama+24.5
Sat 11/23 Mississippi State at Arkansas-3.0
Thu 11/28 Mississippi State vs Ole Miss+3.0
Tue 12/31 Mississippi State vs Rice-7.050.5W 44 - 7OY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Mississippi State's Schedule
Important Stats (2013)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
LSU.1946%35.841%3.0520250%251-0.08.0842%2243%39%0.156.31.51.5
MSST.144%27.741%2.919046%244-0.15.141%2335%46%0.139.71.41.9
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
LSU#30 (.25)45% (38)42% (89)2.92 (90)10847% (24)2913.99 (60)#92 (.21)41% (60)41% (54)41% (73)3.44 (30)45.71.21
MSST#78 (.17)39% (109)40% (105)2.9 (93)13938% (104)2393.75 (86)#130 (.32)50% (133)47% (108)55% (134)4.32 (113)60.31.50.9



Overall Stats 2013
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
LSU Offense1335.835.345.8%-0.081.522453202251557%41%41%50%2%.19
MSST Defense132320.741.4%0.11.9 - - - - - 51%47%35%46%3%.1
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
LSU Defense132233.842.5%0.11.5 - - - - - 51%46%43%39%2%.08
MSST Offense1327.730.344.1%-0.151.4234341902444.751%48%41%46%1%.1

Additional Stats 2013
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
LSU1330:582257%33%6.956.31.51.500030.3
Mississippi State1333:5423.539%45%4.939.71.41.900130
Run Game Stats (2013)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
LSU Offense1357%41%40.2202.3537-3.0575%0%0.67
MSST Defense1351%35% - - - - .012.8560%0%0.89
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
LSU Defense1351%43% - - - - .032.9862%0%0.73
MSST Offense1351%41%40.5189.94.729.032.973%0%0.83

Pass Game Stats (2013)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
LSU Offense1341%50%15.825.12511015.9239.491.732%42%.522%1.8
MSST Defense1347%46% - - - - - - 14.181.131%32%.213%1.5
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
LSU Defense1346%39% - - - - - - 11.151.332%37%.312%1.5
MSST Offense1348%46%19.533244.57.412.61812.21.233%35%.271%1.6

LSU's Power Ratings
LSU's Power Rating: NR
LSU's Offense Rating: NR
LSU's Defense Rating: NR
2013 Talent Rating: NR
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
LSU's 2013 Expected Record: -
LSU's 2013 Overall SP+ Rating: NR
LSU's Offense SP+ Rating: NR
LSU's Defense SP+ Rating: NR

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
LSU:    Mississippi State: 2.5

SP+ Ratings Matchup
LSU:    Mississippi State:




Mississippi State's Power Ratings
Mississippi State's Power Rating: 2.5 NR
Mississippi State's Offense Rating: NR
Mississippi State's Defense Rating: NR
2013 Talent Rating: NR
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Mississippi State's 2013 Expected Record: -
Mississippi State's 2013 Overall SP+ Rating: NR
Mississippi State's Offense SP+ Rating: NR
Mississippi State's Defense SP+ Rating: NR

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482


LSU Scoring
Offense: 35.8 PPG
Offense on Road: 35.3
Defense: 22 PPG
Defense on Road: 33.8

LSU's 2013 Record
Record: 10 - 3
Record vs Spread: 5 - 6 - 2
Over/Under Record: 0 - 13
Record on Road: 2 - 3
Record vs Spread on Road: 1 - 2 - 1
Record as Fav vs Spread: 4 - 5 - 1
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 1 - 1 - 0
Projected Score
Mississippi State 36
LSU 27

Total Points: 63

Based on Last 4 Games
Mississippi State 42
LSU 26

Total Points: 68

Based on Entire Season
LSU 29
Mississippi State 29

Total Points: 58
Mississippi State Scoring
Offense: 27.7 PPG
Offense at Home: 30.3
Defense: 23 PPG
Defense at Home: 20.7

Mississippi State's 2013 Record
Record: 7 - 6
Record vs Spread: 8 - 5 - 0
Over/Under Record: 1 - 12
Record at home: 5 - 2
Record vs Spread at home: 4 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 4 - 3 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 2 - 1 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202309/16Mississippi State14LSU41LSU -9.5LSU54.0Over
202209/17LSU31Mississippi State16Mississippi State -3LSU53.0Under
202109/25Mississippi State25LSU28LSU -1.5LSU54.5Under
202009/26LSU34Mississippi State44LSU -14.5Mississippi State57.0Over
201910/19Mississippi State13LSU36LSU -17.5LSU62.0Under
201810/20LSU19Mississippi State3LSU -6LSU45.5Under
201709/16Mississippi State37LSU7LSU -7.5Mississippi State53.5Under
201609/17LSU23Mississippi State20LSU -13Mississippi State47.0Under
201509/12Mississippi State19LSU21LSU -3Mississippi State52.5Under
201409/20LSU29Mississippi State34LSU -7Mississippi State0
201310/05Mississippi State26LSU59LSU -9.5LSU0
201211/10LSU37Mississippi State17
201109/15Mississippi State6LSU19
201009/18LSU29Mississippi State7
200909/26Mississippi State26LSU30
200809/27LSU34Mississippi State24
200708/30Mississippi State0LSU45
200609/30LSU48Mississippi State17
200510/01Mississippi State7LSU37
200409/25LSU51Mississippi State0
200309/27Mississippi State6LSU41
200209/28LSU31Mississippi State13
200110/20Mississippi State0LSU42
200010/20LSU45Mississippi State38
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Mississippi State352 Overs
LSU2167 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams11 - 134 - 71 - 33 - 4
Road Teams13 - 117 - 44 - 33 - 1

(#) LSU at (#) MSST
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatLSUMSST
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+NRNR
Perf GradeGradeNRNR
OffenseOffNRNR
DefenseDefNRNR
Spec TeamsSTNRNR
TalentTalNRNR
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
LSU on Offense
CategoryCat
LSU OffMSST Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+NRNR
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
LSU Run Game
CategoryCat
LSU OffMSST Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
LSU Pass Game
CategoryCat
LSU OffMSST Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Mississippi State on Offense
CategoryCatMSST OffLSU Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+NRNR
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Mississippi State Run Game
CategoryCat
MSST OffLSU Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Mississippi State Pass Game
CategoryCatMSST OffLSU Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
MSST 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'13 Profile: Remains Poor G5

LSU 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'13 Profile: Remains Poor G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Davis Wade Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 82°
Rematch from Week 6
LSU 9.5 (0)
LSU won at Mississippi State this year (59-26)

Previous Matchups
LSU beat Mississippi State in 2023 (41-14)
LSU beat Mississippi State in 2022 (31-16)

  
LSU's OC ()
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Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

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LSU's DC ()
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SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD

MSST's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

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MSST's DC ()
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SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD