Alabama at Mississippi State - 2013 Matchup Preview
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Alabama Crimson Tide at Mississippi State Bulldogs

Mississippi State logo
Saturday, November 16th 2013 (7:45 PM EST)
Alabama -24.5 (0)  Open: 0.0
Alabama 20 - Mississippi State: 7  (SEC)

 
Crimson Tide (11 - 2) (7 - 5 - 1)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 30 - 19 (26 - 24 on Road)
'13 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
MSST is playing their 4th straight game
Our Line: -2.5  (SP+ -0)
Projected Score: ALA: 29 - MSST: 27 (56)
ALA Win prob: 95% | Cover: 52%
ALA Travel: 74 miles
Bulldogs (7 - 6) (8 - 5 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 30 - 30 (34 - 28 @ Home)
'13 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Alabama's 2013 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/31 Alabama vs Virginia Tech-18.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/14 Alabama at Texas A&M-7.0
Sat 9/21 Alabama vs Colorado State-36.5
Sat 9/28 Alabama vs Ole Miss-16.0
Sat 10/5 Alabama vs Georgia State-56.0
Sat 10/12 Alabama at Kentucky-27.0
Sat 10/19 Alabama vs Arkansas-28.0
Sat 10/26 Alabama vs Tennessee-26.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/9 Alabama vs LSU-9.5
Sat 11/16 Alabama at Mississippi State-24.5
Sat 11/23 Alabama vs Chattanooga-48.5
Sat 11/30 Alabama at Auburn-9.5
Thu 1/2 Alabama vs Oklahoma-17.051.5L 31 - 45ON

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Alabama's Schedule
Mississippi State's 2013 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/31 Mississippi State vs Oklahoma State+13.0
Sat 9/7 Mississippi State vs Alcorn State-42.5
Sat 9/14 Mississippi State at Auburn+6.0
Sat 9/21 Mississippi State vs Troy-13.0
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/5 Mississippi State vs LSU+9.5
Sat 10/12 Mississippi State vs Bowling Green-8.5
BYE WEEK
Thu 10/24 Mississippi State vs Kentucky-11.0
Sat 11/2 Mississippi State at South Carolina+11.5
Sat 11/9 Mississippi State at Texas A&M+19.0
Sat 11/16 Mississippi State vs Alabama+24.5
Sat 11/23 Mississippi State at Arkansas-3.0
Thu 11/28 Mississippi State vs Ole Miss+3.0
Tue 12/31 Mississippi State vs Rice-7.050.5W 44 - 7OY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Mississippi State's Schedule
Important Stats (2012)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
ALA.249%29.551%3.7822743%2180.07-.0235%19.232%37%-0.1433.41.12.1
MSST.0344%30.442%2.8614443%238-0.08.0945%30.242%46%0.1939.81.32.5
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
ALA0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
MSST0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2012
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
ALA Offense1429.526.348.8%0.071.1224452272185.655%42%51%43%1%.2
MSST Defense1330.227.944.8%0.192.5 - - - - - 52%47%42%46%3%.09
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
ALA Defense1419.223.735.1%-0.142.1 - - - - - 47%52%32%37%2%-.02
MSST Offense1330.433.944%-0.081.3203811442384.447%51%42%43%4%.03

Additional Stats 2012
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Alabama1435:1221.648%64%3.933.41.12.100233.2
Mississippi State1329:4420.435%62%4.739.81.32.500332.7
Run Game Stats (2013)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
ALA Offense1455%51%40.7226.55.637.223.7876%0%0.76
MSST Defense1352%42% - - - - .073.0271%0%0.77
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
ALA Defense1447%32% - - - - -.172.2455%0%0.63
MSST Offense1347%42%32.6143.54.418-.042.8659%0%0.65

Pass Game Stats (2013)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
ALA Offense1442%43%15.623.42189.313.9313.21.227%35%.371%1.5
MSST Defense1347%46% - - - - - - 19.14130%31%.23%1.2
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
ALA Defense1452%37% - - - - - - 18.121.336%25%.122%1.8
MSST Offense1351%43%19.232.6237.87.312.42810.09133%35%.24%1.3

Alabama's Power Ratings
Alabama's Power Rating: NR
Alabama's Offense Rating: NR
Alabama's Defense Rating: NR
2013 Talent Rating: NR
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Alabama's 2013 Expected Record: -
Alabama's 2013 Overall SP+ Rating: NR
Alabama's Offense SP+ Rating: NR
Alabama's Defense SP+ Rating: NR

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Alabama:    Mississippi State: 2.5

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Alabama:    Mississippi State:




Mississippi State's Power Ratings
Mississippi State's Power Rating: 2.5 NR
Mississippi State's Offense Rating: NR
Mississippi State's Defense Rating: NR
2013 Talent Rating: NR
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Mississippi State's 2013 Expected Record: -
Mississippi State's 2013 Overall SP+ Rating: NR
Mississippi State's Offense SP+ Rating: NR
Mississippi State's Defense SP+ Rating: NR

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76


Alabama Scoring
Offense: 29.5 PPG
Offense on Road: 26.3
Defense: 19.2 PPG
Defense on Road: 23.7

Alabama's 2013 Record
Record: 11 - 2
Record vs Spread: 7 - 5 - 1
Over/Under Record: 1 - 12
Record on Road: 4 - 1
Record vs Spread on Road: 1 - 2 - 1
Record as Fav vs Spread: 6 - 5 - 1
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 1 - 2 - 0
Projected Score
Alabama 29
Mississippi State 27

Projected Total Points: 56
Mississippi State Scoring
Offense: 30.4 PPG
Offense at Home: 33.9
Defense: 30.2 PPG
Defense at Home: 27.9

Mississippi State's 2013 Record
Record: 7 - 6
Record vs Spread: 8 - 5 - 0
Over/Under Record: 1 - 12
Record at home: 5 - 2
Record vs Spread at home: 4 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 4 - 3 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 2 - 1 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202309/30Mississippi State17Alabama40Alabama -16.5Alabama45.0Over
202210/22Alabama30Mississippi State6Alabama -21.5Alabama61.5Under
202110/16Mississippi State9Alabama49Alabama -17.5Alabama59.5Under
202010/31Alabama41Mississippi State0Alabama -32.0Alabama0
201911/16Mississippi State7Alabama38Alabama -19Alabama61.0Under
201811/10Alabama24Mississippi State0Alabama -21.5Alabama50.0Under
201711/11Mississippi State24Alabama31Alabama -14.5Mississippi State50.0Over
201611/12Alabama51Mississippi State3Alabama -28.5Alabama52.5Over
201511/14Mississippi State6Alabama31Alabama -7Alabama51.5Under
201411/15Alabama25Mississippi State20Alabama -6.5Mississippi State0
201311/16Mississippi State7Alabama20Alabama -24.5Mississippi State0
201210/27Alabama38Mississippi State7
201111/12Mississippi State7Alabama24
201011/13Alabama30Mississippi State10
200911/14Mississippi State3Alabama31
200811/15Alabama32Mississippi State7
200711/10Mississippi State17Alabama12
200611/04Alabama16Mississippi State24
200511/05Mississippi State0Alabama17
200411/06Alabama30Mississippi State14
200311/08Mississippi State0Alabama38
200211/09Alabama28Mississippi State14
200111/10Alabama24Mississippi State17
200011/10Mississippi State29Alabama7
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Mississippi State333 Overs
Alabama2185 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams13 - 116 - 54 - 12 - 4
Road Teams11 - 135 - 64 - 21 - 4

(#) ALA at (#) MSST
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatALAMSST
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+NRNR
Perf GradeGradeNRNR
OffenseOffNRNR
DefenseDefNRNR
Spec TeamsSTNRNR
TalentTalNRNR
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
Alabama on Offense
CategoryCat
ALA OffMSST Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+NRNR
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Alabama Run Game
CategoryCat
ALA OffMSST Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Alabama Pass Game
CategoryCat
ALA OffMSST Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Mississippi State on Offense
CategoryCatMSST OffALA Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+NRNR
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Mississippi State Run Game
CategoryCat
MSST OffALA Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Mississippi State Pass Game
CategoryCatMSST OffALA Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
MSST 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'13 Profile: Remains Poor G5

ALA 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'13 Profile: Remains Poor G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Davis Wade Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Rematch from Week 12
Alabama 24.5 (0)
Alabama won at Mississippi State this year (20-7)

Previous Matchups
Alabama beat Mississippi State in 2023 (40-17)

  
ALA's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View Alabama's Full Roster

ALA's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD

MSST's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View Mississippi State's Full Roster

MSST's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD