Massachusetts at Bowling Green - 2013 Matchup Preview
Massachusetts logo Massachusetts Minutemen at Bowling Green FalconsBowling Green logo
Saturday, October 5th 2013 (3:30 PM EDT)
Bowling Green -23 (0)  Open: 0.0
Bowling Green 28 - Massachusetts: 7  (Mid-American)

 
Minutemen (1 - 11) (5 - 6 - 1)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 12 - 33 (7 - 38 on Road)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
BGSU 3rd straight Home Game
UMASS coming off BYE
BGSU is playing their 6th straight game
Our Line: -2.5  (SP+ -0)

Projected Score: UMASS: 11 - BGSU: 36 (47)
BGSU Win prob: 95% | Cover: 56%
UMASS Travel: 574 miles
Falcons (10 - 4) (10 - 4 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 35 - 16 (36 - 11 @ Home)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Massachusetts's 2013 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/31 Massachusetts at Wisconsin+45.0
Sat 9/7 Massachusetts vs Maine+3.0
Sat 9/14 Massachusetts at Kansas State+37.0
Sat 9/21 Massachusetts vs Vanderbilt+36.0
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/5 Massachusetts at Bowling Green+23.0
Sat 10/12 Massachusetts vs Miami (OH)-2.5
Sat 10/19 Massachusetts at Buffalo+20.5
Sat 10/26 Massachusetts vs Western Michigan-2.0
Sat 11/2 Massachusetts vs Northern Illinois+24.0
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/16 Massachusetts vs Akron+7.0
Sat 11/23 Massachusetts at Central Michigan+8.5
Fri 11/29 Massachusetts at Ohio+14.0

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Massachusetts's Schedule
Bowling Green's 2013 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Thu 8/29 Bowling Green vs Tulsa+3.0
Sat 9/7 Bowling Green at Kent State-8.0
Sat 9/14 Bowling Green at Indiana+4.0
Sat 9/21 Bowling Green vs Murray State-28.0
Sat 9/28 Bowling Green vs Akron-15.5
Sat 10/5 Bowling Green vs Massachusetts-23.0
Sat 10/12 Bowling Green at Mississippi State+8.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/26 Bowling Green vs Toledo-3.0
BYE WEEK
Tue 11/5 Bowling Green at Miami (OH)-24.5
Tue 11/12 Bowling Green vs Ohio-9.0
Sat 11/23 Bowling Green at Eastern Michigan-24.0
Fri 11/29 Bowling Green at Buffalo-3.552.0W 24 - 7UY
Fri 12/6 Bowling Green vs Northern Illinois+3.0
Thu 12/26 Bowling Green vs Pittsburgh-7.049.5L 27 - 30ON

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Bowling Green's Schedule
Important Stats (2013)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
UMASS-.0337%11.736%2.5212536%156-0.23.0946%3344%46%038.32.21.6
BGSU.2150%34.846%3.219352%266-0.2.0642%15.943%40%-0.145.20.81.5
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
UMASS#69 (.19)41% (94)43% (78)3.1 (50)16438% (110)1823.73 (89)#114 (.26)46% (116)51% (128)40% (71)4.66 (129)63.20.80.8
BGSU#53 (.21)43% (68)41% (99)3.01 (74)13444% (38)2073.84 (77)#43 (.13)38% (15)39% (29)37% (20)3.47 (32)41.10.81



Overall Stats 2013
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
UMASS Offense1211.76.737%-0.232.2152821251563.454%44%36%36%3%-.03
BGSU Defense1415.910.542%-0.11.5 - - - - - 48%51%43%40%3%.06
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
UMASS Defense123338.345.6%01.6 - - - - - 56%42%44%46%2%.09
BGSU Offense1434.835.849.7%-0.20.8234591932664.756%42%46%52%2%.21

Additional Stats 2013
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Massachusetts1229:4415.236%41%538.32.21.600127.1
Bowling Green1433:5623.146%45%5.145.20.81.500331.5
Run Game Stats (2013)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
UMASS Offense1254%36%37.3125.23.45-.092.5267%0%0.67
BGSU Defense1448%43% - - - - .022.9660%0%0.76
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
UMASS Defense1256%44% - - - - .053.0962%0%0.78
BGSU Offense1456%46%41.3193.34.730.063.262%0%0.77

Pass Game Stats (2013)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
UMASS Offense1244%36%14.828.3156.45.510.6918.041.232%29%.063%1.1
BGSU Defense1451%40% - - - - - - 8.11.232%31%.243%1.7
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
UMASS Defense1242%46% - - - - - - 8.161.230%34%.222%1.5
BGSU Offense1442%52%18.228.9266.19.214.6277.421.432%45%.532%1.6

Massachusetts's Power Ratings
Massachusetts's Power Rating: NR
Massachusetts's Offense Rating: NR
Massachusetts's Defense Rating: NR
2013 Talent Rating: NR
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Massachusetts's 2013 Expected Record: -
Massachusetts's 2013 Overall SP+ Rating: NR
Massachusetts's Offense SP+ Rating: NR
Massachusetts's Defense SP+ Rating: NR

Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
Massachusetts:    Bowling Green: 2.5

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Massachusetts:    Bowling Green:




Bowling Green's Power Ratings
Bowling Green's Power Rating: 2.5 NR
Bowling Green's Offense Rating: NR
Bowling Green's Defense Rating: NR
2013 Talent Rating: NR
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Bowling Green's 2013 Expected Record: -
Bowling Green's 2013 Overall SP+ Rating: NR
Bowling Green's Offense SP+ Rating: NR
Bowling Green's Defense SP+ Rating: NR

Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482


Massachusetts Scoring
Offense: 11.7 PPG
Offense on Road: 6.7
Defense: 33 PPG
Defense on Road: 38.3

Massachusetts's 2013 Record
Record: 1 - 11
Record vs Spread: 5 - 6 - 1
Over/Under Record: 0 - 12
Record on Road: 0 - 6
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 3 - 1
Record as Dog vs Spread: 4 - 5 - 1
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 2 - 3 - 0
Projected Score
Bowling Green 36
Massachusetts 11


Total Points: 47

Based on Last 4 Games
Bowling Green 36
Massachusetts 11

Total Points: 47

Based on Entire Season
Bowling Green 36
Massachusetts 11

Total Points: 47
Bowling Green Scoring
Offense: 34.8 PPG
Offense at Home: 35.8
Defense: 15.9 PPG
Defense at Home: 10.5

Bowling Green's 2013 Record
Record: 10 - 4
Record vs Spread: 10 - 4 - 0
Over/Under Record: 1 - 13
Record at home: 5 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 4 - 2 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 7 - 3 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 3 - 2 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202511/25Massachusetts14Bowling Green45Bowling Green -14Bowling Green44.5Over
201510/10Bowling Green62Massachusetts38Bowling Green -13.5Bowling Green78.5Over
201409/27Massachusetts42Bowling Green47Bowling Green -12Massachusetts0
201310/05Bowling Green28Massachusetts7Bowling Green -23Massachusetts0
201210/20Massachusetts0Bowling Green24
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Bowling Green522 Overs
Massachusetts020 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams2 - 32 - 21 - 11 - 1
Road Teams3 - 22 - 21 - 11 - 1

(#) UMASS at (#) BGSU
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatUMASSBGSU
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+NRNR
Perf GradeGradeNRNR
OffenseOffNRNR
DefenseDefNRNR
Spec TeamsSTNRNR
TalentTalNRNR
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
Massachusetts on Offense
CategoryCat
UMASS OffBGSU Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+NRNR
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Massachusetts Run Game
CategoryCat
UMASS OffBGSU Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Massachusetts Pass Game
CategoryCat
UMASS OffBGSU Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Bowling Green on Offense
CategoryCatBGSU OffUMASS Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+NRNR
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Bowling Green Run Game
CategoryCat
BGSU OffUMASS Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Bowling Green Pass Game
CategoryCatBGSU OffUMASS Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
BGSU 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'13 Profile: Remains Poor G5

UMASS 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'13 Profile: Remains Poor G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Doyt Perry Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 71°
Rematch from Week 6
Bowling Green -23.0 (0)
Bowling Green won vs Massachusetts this year (28-7)

No Matchups Past 4 Years
  
UMASS's OC ()
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UMASS's DC ()
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BGSU's OC ()
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BGSU's DC ()
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