Ole Miss at Mississippi State - 2013 Matchup Preview
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Ole Miss Rebels at Mississippi State Bulldogs

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Thursday, November 28th 2013 (7:30 PM EST)
Ole Miss -3 (0)  Open: 0.0
Mississippi State 17 - Ole Miss: 10  (SEC)

 
Rebels (8 - 5) (7 - 6 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 37 - 21 (34 - 28 on Road)
'13 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
MSST is playing their 6th straight game
MISS is playing their 4th straight game
Our Line: -2.5  (SP+ -0)
Projected Score: MISS: 33 - MSST: 28 (61)
MISS Win prob: 56% | Cover: 47%
MISS Travel: 76 miles
Bulldogs (7 - 6) (8 - 5 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 30 - 30 (34 - 28 @ Home)
'13 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Ole Miss's 2013 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Thu 8/29 Ole Miss at Vanderbilt+1.5
Sat 9/7 Ole Miss vs Southeast Missouri State-49.0
Sat 9/14 Ole Miss at Texas+3.0
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/28 Ole Miss at Alabama+16.0
Sat 10/5 Ole Miss at Auburn-2.0
Sat 10/12 Ole Miss vs Texas A&M+4.0
Sat 10/19 Ole Miss vs LSU+8.0
Sat 10/26 Ole Miss vs Idaho-40.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/9 Ole Miss vs Arkansas-17.0
Sat 11/16 Ole Miss vs Troy-28.0
Sat 11/23 Ole Miss vs Missouri+2.0
Thu 11/28 Ole Miss at Mississippi State-3.0
Mon 12/30 Ole Miss vs Georgia Tech-2.556.0W 25 - 17UY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Ole Miss's Schedule
Mississippi State's 2013 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/31 Mississippi State vs Oklahoma State+13.0
Sat 9/7 Mississippi State vs Alcorn State-42.5
Sat 9/14 Mississippi State at Auburn+6.0
Sat 9/21 Mississippi State vs Troy-13.0
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/5 Mississippi State vs LSU+9.5
Sat 10/12 Mississippi State vs Bowling Green-8.5
BYE WEEK
Thu 10/24 Mississippi State vs Kentucky-11.0
Sat 11/2 Mississippi State at South Carolina+11.5
Sat 11/9 Mississippi State at Texas A&M+19.0
Sat 11/16 Mississippi State vs Alabama+24.5
Sat 11/23 Mississippi State at Arkansas-3.0
Thu 11/28 Mississippi State vs Ole Miss+3.0
Tue 12/31 Mississippi State vs Rice-7.050.5W 44 - 7OY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Mississippi State's Schedule
Important Stats (2012)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
MISS.0945%36.945%2.8217443%250-0.26.0342%21.138%43%0.0836.92.22.2
MSST.0344%30.442%2.8614443%238-0.08.0945%30.242%46%0.1939.81.32.5
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
MISS0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
MSST0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2012
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
MISS Offense1336.934.344.8%-0.262.2224241742504.151%47%45%43%2%.09
MSST Defense1330.227.944.8%0.192.5 - - - - - 52%47%42%46%3%.09
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
MISS Defense1321.127.841.7%0.082.2 - - - - - 49%48%38%43%2%.03
MSST Offense1330.433.944%-0.081.3203811442384.447%51%42%43%4%.03

Additional Stats 2012
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Ole Miss1329:3322.445%72%4.836.92.22.200127.5
Mississippi State1329:4420.435%62%4.739.81.32.500332.7
Run Game Stats (2013)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
MISS Offense1351%45%42.4173.84.125.052.8264%0%0.77
MSST Defense1352%42% - - - - .073.0271%0%0.77
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
MISS Defense1349%38% - - - - -.052.5668%0%0.74
MSST Offense1347%42%32.6143.54.418-.042.8659%0%0.65

Pass Game Stats (2013)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
MISS Offense1347%43%20.131.6249.97.912.52418.161.130%30%.22%1.5
MSST Defense1347%46% - - - - - - 19.14130%31%.23%1.2
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
MISS Defense1348%43% - - - - - - 15.131.134%33%.222%1.5
MSST Offense1351%43%19.232.6237.87.312.42810.09133%35%.24%1.3

Ole Miss's Power Ratings
Ole Miss's Power Rating: NR
Ole Miss's Offense Rating: NR
Ole Miss's Defense Rating: NR
2013 Talent Rating: NR
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Ole Miss's 2013 Expected Record: -
Ole Miss's 2013 Overall SP+ Rating: NR
Ole Miss's Offense SP+ Rating: NR
Ole Miss's Defense SP+ Rating: NR

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Ole Miss:    Mississippi State: 2.5

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Ole Miss:    Mississippi State:




Mississippi State's Power Ratings
Mississippi State's Power Rating: 2.5 NR
Mississippi State's Offense Rating: NR
Mississippi State's Defense Rating: NR
2013 Talent Rating: NR
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Mississippi State's 2013 Expected Record: -
Mississippi State's 2013 Overall SP+ Rating: NR
Mississippi State's Offense SP+ Rating: NR
Mississippi State's Defense SP+ Rating: NR

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76


Ole Miss Scoring
Offense: 36.9 PPG
Offense on Road: 34.3
Defense: 21.1 PPG
Defense on Road: 27.8

Ole Miss's 2013 Record
Record: 8 - 5
Record vs Spread: 7 - 6 - 0
Over/Under Record: 0 - 13
Record on Road: 3 - 3
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 2 - 4 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 0 - 2 - 0
Projected Score
Ole Miss 33
Mississippi State 28

Projected Total Points: 61
Mississippi State Scoring
Offense: 30.4 PPG
Offense at Home: 33.9
Defense: 30.2 PPG
Defense at Home: 27.9

Mississippi State's 2013 Record
Record: 7 - 6
Record vs Spread: 8 - 5 - 0
Over/Under Record: 1 - 12
Record at home: 5 - 2
Record vs Spread at home: 4 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 4 - 3 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 2 - 1 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202511/28Mississippi State19Ole Miss38Ole Miss -7.5Ole Miss62.5Under
202411/29Ole Miss26Mississippi State14Ole Miss -26.5Mississippi State63.5Under
202311/23Mississippi State7Ole Miss17Ole Miss -11Mississippi State56.0Under
202211/24Ole Miss22Mississippi State24Ole Miss -2.5Mississippi State63.0Under
202111/25Mississippi State21Ole Miss31Mississippi State -2.5Ole Miss65.0Under
202011/28Ole Miss31Mississippi State24Ole Miss -10Mississippi State70.0Under
201911/28Mississippi State21Ole Miss20Mississippi State -1Push59.0Under
201811/22Ole Miss3Mississippi State35Mississippi State -12.5Mississippi State61.0Under
201711/23Mississippi State28Ole Miss31Mississippi State -14Ole Miss64.5Under
201611/26Ole Miss20Mississippi State55Ole Miss -8Mississippi State67.5Over
201511/28Mississippi State27Ole Miss38Ole Miss -2Ole Miss65.5Under
201411/29Ole Miss31Mississippi State17Mississippi State -2.5Ole Miss51.5Under
201311/28Mississippi State17Ole Miss10Ole Miss -3Mississippi State0
201211/24Ole Miss41Mississippi State24
201111/26Mississippi State31Ole Miss3
201011/27Ole Miss23Mississippi State31
200911/28Mississippi State41Ole Miss27
200811/28Ole Miss45Mississippi State0
200711/23Mississippi State17Ole Miss14
200611/25Ole Miss20Mississippi State17
200511/26Mississippi State35Ole Miss14
200411/27Ole Miss20Mississippi State3
200311/27Mississippi State0Ole Miss31
200111/22Mississippi State36Ole Miss28
200011/22Ole Miss45Mississippi State30
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Mississippi State1171 Overs
Ole Miss14511 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams15 - 103 - 90 - 63 - 3
Road Teams10 - 159 - 33 - 36 - 0

(#) MISS at (#) MSST
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatMISSMSST
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+NRNR
Perf GradeGradeNRNR
OffenseOffNRNR
DefenseDefNRNR
Spec TeamsSTNRNR
TalentTalNRNR
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
Ole Miss on Offense
CategoryCat
MISS OffMSST Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+NRNR
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Ole Miss Run Game
CategoryCat
MISS OffMSST Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Ole Miss Pass Game
CategoryCat
MISS OffMSST Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Mississippi State on Offense
CategoryCatMSST OffMISS Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+NRNR
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Mississippi State Run Game
CategoryCat
MSST OffMISS Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Mississippi State Pass Game
CategoryCatMSST OffMISS Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
MSST 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'13 Profile: Remains Poor G5

MISS 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'13 Profile: Remains Poor G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Davis Wade Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Rematch from Week 14
Ole Miss 3.0 (0)
Mississippi State won vs Ole Miss this year (17-10)

Previous Matchups
Ole Miss beat Mississippi State last year (38-19)
Ole Miss beat Mississippi State in 2024 (26-14)
Ole Miss beat Mississippi State in 2023 (17-7)

  
MISS's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

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MISS's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD

MSST's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

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MSST's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD