Bowling Green at Buffalo - 2013 Matchup Preview
Bowling Green logo Bowling Green Falcons at Buffalo BullsBuffalo logo
Friday, November 29th 2013 (1:30 PM EST)
Bowling Green -3.5 (52.0) (0)  Open: 0.0
Bowling Green 24 - Buffalo: 7  (Mid-American)

 
Falcons (10 - 4) (10 - 4 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 35 - 16 (33 - 17 on Road)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Temp: 26.1°
BGSU 2nd straight Road Game
BUFF is playing their 4th straight game
BGSU is playing their 4th straight game
Our Line: -2.5  (SP+ -0)

Projected Score: BGSU: 28 - BUFF: 22 (50)
BGSU Win prob: 62% | Cover: 49%
BGSU Travel: 272 miles
Bulls (8 - 5) (8 - 5 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 30 - 24 (30 - 13 @ Home)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Bowling Green's 2013 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Thu 8/29 Bowling Green vs Tulsa+3.0
Sat 9/7 Bowling Green at Kent State-8.0
Sat 9/14 Bowling Green at Indiana+4.0
Sat 9/21 Bowling Green vs Murray State-28.0
Sat 9/28 Bowling Green vs Akron-15.5
Sat 10/5 Bowling Green vs Massachusetts-23.0
Sat 10/12 Bowling Green at Mississippi State+8.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/26 Bowling Green vs Toledo-3.0
BYE WEEK
Tue 11/5 Bowling Green at Miami (OH)-24.5
Tue 11/12 Bowling Green vs Ohio-9.0
Sat 11/23 Bowling Green at Eastern Michigan-24.0
Fri 11/29 Bowling Green at Buffalo-3.552.0W 24 - 7UY
Fri 12/6 Bowling Green vs Northern Illinois+3.0
Thu 12/26 Bowling Green vs Pittsburgh-7.049.5L 27 - 30ON

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Bowling Green's Schedule
Buffalo's 2013 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/31 Buffalo at Ohio State+33.5
Sat 9/7 Buffalo at Baylor+21.5
Sat 9/14 Buffalo vs Stony Brook-6.0
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/28 Buffalo vs UConn+2.5
Sat 10/5 Buffalo vs Eastern Michigan-13.0
Sat 10/12 Buffalo at Western Michigan-11.0
Sat 10/19 Buffalo vs Massachusetts-20.5
Sat 10/26 Buffalo at Kent State-2.0
BYE WEEK
Tue 11/5 Buffalo vs Ohio-2.5
Tue 11/12 Buffalo at Toledo+3.5
Tue 11/19 Buffalo at Miami (OH)-24.0
Fri 11/29 Buffalo vs Bowling Green+3.552.0L 7 - 24UN
Sat 12/21 Buffalo vs San Diego State-1.049.5L 24 - 49ON

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Buffalo's Schedule
Important Stats (2013)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
BGSU.2150%34.846%3.219352%266-0.2.0642%15.943%40%-0.145.20.81.5
BUFF.0742%30.339%2.7616744%2270.0339%24.435%41%-0.0961.41.22.3
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
BGSU#53 (.21)43% (68)41% (99)3.01 (74)13444% (38)2073.84 (77)#43 (.13)38% (15)39% (29)37% (20)3.47 (32)41.10.81
BUFF#77 (.17)40% (104)38% (115)2.7 (117)15342% (70)1764.22 (41)#72 (.17)43% (82)43% (71)43% (97)3.84 (74)39.311.5



Overall Stats 2013
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
BGSU Offense1434.83349.7%-0.20.8234591932664.756%42%46%52%2%.21
BUFF Defense1324.413.238.7%-0.092.3 - - - - - 53%45%35%41%2%.03
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
BGSU Defense1415.91742%-0.11.5 - - - - - 48%51%43%40%3%.06
BUFF Offense1330.329.742.1%01.221395167227451%48%39%44%1%.07

Additional Stats 2013
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Bowling Green1433:5623.146%45%5.145.20.81.500331.5
Buffalo1331:2621.240%47%5.961.41.22.300430.3
Run Game Stats (2013)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
BGSU Offense1456%46%41.3193.34.730.063.262%0%0.77
BUFF Defense1353%35% - - - - -.062.7264%0%0.77
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
BGSU Defense1448%43% - - - - .022.9660%0%0.76
BUFF Offense1351%39%41.4167.4421-.032.7652%0%0.76

Pass Game Stats (2013)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
BGSU Offense1442%52%18.228.9266.19.214.6277.421.432%45%.532%1.6
BUFF Defense1345%41% - - - - - - 15.171.435%34%.282%1.7
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
BGSU Defense1451%40% - - - - - - 8.11.232%31%.243%1.7
BUFF Offense1348%44%18.732.8227.36.912.2258.171.231%33%.271%1.6

Bowling Green's Power Ratings
Bowling Green's Power Rating: NR
Bowling Green's Offense Rating: NR
Bowling Green's Defense Rating: NR
2013 Talent Rating: NR
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Bowling Green's 2013 Expected Record: -
Bowling Green's 2013 Overall SP+ Rating: NR
Bowling Green's Offense SP+ Rating: NR
Bowling Green's Defense SP+ Rating: NR

Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
Bowling Green:    Buffalo: 2.5

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Bowling Green:    Buffalo:




Buffalo's Power Ratings
Buffalo's Power Rating: 2.5 NR
Buffalo's Offense Rating: NR
Buffalo's Defense Rating: NR
2013 Talent Rating: NR
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Buffalo's 2013 Expected Record: -
Buffalo's 2013 Overall SP+ Rating: NR
Buffalo's Offense SP+ Rating: NR
Buffalo's Defense SP+ Rating: NR

Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482


Bowling Green Scoring
Offense: 34.8 PPG
Offense on Road: 33
Defense: 15.9 PPG
Defense on Road: 17

Bowling Green's 2013 Record
Record: 10 - 4
Record vs Spread: 10 - 4 - 0
Over/Under Record: 1 - 13
Record on Road: 5 - 2
Record vs Spread on Road: 5 - 1 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 7 - 3 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 4 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
Bowling Green 28
Buffalo 22


Total Points: 50

Based on Last 4 Games
Bowling Green 30
Buffalo 21

Total Points: 51

Based on Entire Season
Bowling Green 27
Buffalo 23

Total Points: 50
Buffalo Scoring
Offense: 30.3 PPG
Offense at Home: 29.7
Defense: 24.4 PPG
Defense at Home: 13.2

Buffalo's 2013 Record
Record: 8 - 5
Record vs Spread: 8 - 5 - 0
Over/Under Record: 1 - 12
Record at home: 5 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 4 - 2 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 2 - 3 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 1 - 1 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202511/01Bowling Green3Buffalo28Bowling Green -2.5Buffalo44.5Under
202310/14Buffalo14Bowling Green24Buffalo -3Bowling Green44.5Under
202210/08Bowling Green7Buffalo38Buffalo -2Buffalo55.5Under
202110/30Buffalo44Bowling Green56Buffalo -13.5Bowling Green51.5Over
202011/17Bowling Green17Buffalo42Buffalo -31.5Bowling Green57.5Over
201911/29Buffalo49Bowling Green7Buffalo -28Buffalo53.5Over
201811/23Bowling Green14Buffalo44Buffalo -16Buffalo62.0Under
201711/07Buffalo38Bowling Green28Buffalo -7Buffalo61.0Over
201611/25Bowling Green27Buffalo19Bowling Green -11Buffalo60.0Under
201510/03Buffalo22Bowling Green28Bowling Green -6.5Buffalo67.5Under
201410/04Bowling Green36Buffalo35Bowling Green -5Buffalo0
201311/29Buffalo7Bowling Green24Bowling Green -3.5Bowling Green52.0Under
201211/23Bowling Green21Buffalo7
201111/25Buffalo28Bowling Green42
201010/02Bowling Green26Buffalo28
200911/03Buffalo29Bowling Green30
200811/21Bowling Green34Buffalo40
200711/17Buffalo17Bowling Green31
200609/09Bowling Green48Buffalo40
200510/15Buffalo7Bowling Green27
200109/08Bowling Green35Buffalo0
200009/22Buffalo20Bowling Green17
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Buffalo984 Overs
Bowling Green1347 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams8 - 144 - 82 - 52 - 3
Road Teams14 - 88 - 43 - 25 - 2

(#) BGSU at (#) BUFF
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatBGSUBUFF
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+NRNR
Perf GradeGradeNRNR
OffenseOffNRNR
DefenseDefNRNR
Spec TeamsSTNRNR
TalentTalNRNR
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
Bowling Green on Offense
CategoryCat
BGSU OffBUFF Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+NRNR
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Bowling Green Run Game
CategoryCat
BGSU OffBUFF Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Bowling Green Pass Game
CategoryCat
BGSU OffBUFF Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Buffalo on Offense
CategoryCatBUFF OffBGSU Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+NRNR
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Buffalo Run Game
CategoryCat
BUFF OffBGSU Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Buffalo Pass Game
CategoryCatBUFF OffBGSU Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
BUFF 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'13 Profile: Remains Poor G5

BGSU 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'13 Profile: Remains Poor G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in UB Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 26°
Rematch from Week 14
Bowling Green 3.5 (52.0)
Bowling Green won at Buffalo this year (24-7)

Previous Matchups
Bowling Green beat Buffalo in 2023 (24-14)
Buffalo beat Bowling Green in 2022 (38-7)

  
BGSU's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

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BGSU's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD

BUFF's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

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BUFF's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD